With the promotion of digital currency,how to effectively solve the authenticity,privacy and usability of digital currency issuance has been a key problem.Redactable signature scheme(RSS)can provide the verification o...With the promotion of digital currency,how to effectively solve the authenticity,privacy and usability of digital currency issuance has been a key problem.Redactable signature scheme(RSS)can provide the verification of the integrity and source of the generated sub-documents and solve the privacy problem in digital currency by removing blocks from the signed documents.Unfortunately,it has not realized the consolidation of signed documents,which can not solve the problem of merging two digital currencies.Now,we introduce the concept of weight based on the threshold secret sharing scheme(TSSS)and present a redactable signature scheme with merge algorithm(RSS-MA)using the quasi-commutative accumulator.Our scheme can reduce the communication overhead by utilizing the merge algorithm when transmitting multiple digital currency signatures.Furthermore,this can effectively hide the scale of users’private monetary assets and the number of transactions between users.While meeting the three properties of digital currency issuance,in order to ensure the availability of digital currency after redacting,editors shall not remove the relevant identification information block form digital currency.Finally,our security proof and the analysis of efficiency show that RSS-MA greatly improves the communication and computation efficiency when transmitting multiple signatures.展开更多
The MBTI assessment has become a hot topic online and a common method for netizens to identify themselves across China’s social platforms.These netizens generally consider the results of their MBTI assessments as per...The MBTI assessment has become a hot topic online and a common method for netizens to identify themselves across China’s social platforms.These netizens generally consider the results of their MBTI assessments as personal emblems suitable for public display,leading to a remarkably widespread cultural phenomenon.Through structured interviews,this study has found that Internet users are experiencing a psychological crisis of identity due to the dual influences of technological embodiment and the meta-media ecology revolution.Moreover,their behavior on social platforms can be regarded as an invisible form of affective labor.To date,researchers have not paid adequate attention to the immense popularity of MBTI assessment in China,and they have not fully investigated whether MBTI assessment is a symbolic representation of the current identity crisis in the context of meta-media and digital labor.This study has two purposes:First,this study aims to explore whether the dynamic interactions of the MBTI assessment are a form of social currency.Second,it aims to construct an MBTI topic production chain to help understand MBTI’s underlying mechanisms regarding the interactions,the reasons behind its popularity,and the reflection on broader social phenomena.展开更多
Blockchain technology is a shared database of logs of all consumer transactions which are registered on all machines on a network.Both transactions in the system are carried out by consensus processes and to preserve ...Blockchain technology is a shared database of logs of all consumer transactions which are registered on all machines on a network.Both transactions in the system are carried out by consensus processes and to preserve confidentiality all thefiles contained cannot be changed.Blockchain technology is the fundamental software behind digital currencies like Bitcoin,which is common in the marketplace.Cloud computing is a method of using a network of external machines to store,monitor,and process information,rather than using the local computer or a local personal computer.The software is currently facing multiple problems including lack of data protection,data instability,and reliability.This paper aims to give the highest security for multiple user environments in cloud for storing and accessing the data in blocks.The users who are legitimate are only allowed for storing and accessing the data as like a secured block chain approach.As like the Blockchain which does not require a centralized system for transactions,the proposed system is also independent on centralized network interface.The decentralized system is developed in such a way to avoid counterfeiting.The system enables the fabricator to spend less or null resources to perform the validations for its direct operated stores.This ensures the product fabricator to avoid the circulation of its duplicate products.The customer as an end-user is also ensured to have only the genuine products from the fabricator.The Fabricator(F),Merchant(M)and consumer(C)forms an interconnected triangular structure without allowing any counterfeiting agents in their secured cloud chain.The pro-posed approach provides the stability in the security system of the cloud using the chaining mechanism within different blocks at each node.It takes roughly 4.7,6.2,and 7.5 ms,respectively,to register each node in the proposed system for 5,10,and 15 nodes.The overall registration time for each scenario is 11.9,26.2,and 53.1 ms,despite the fact that each node’s registration time was greatest for 10 nodes.By looking at the data,it’s clear that the number of nodes is a func-tion of time.展开更多
This paper is a first pioneering attempt to apply the concept of resilience to the analysis of the public finance systems of local governments, a concept already used and "abused" in various disciplines and fields o...This paper is a first pioneering attempt to apply the concept of resilience to the analysis of the public finance systems of local governments, a concept already used and "abused" in various disciplines and fields of science. In particular, it proposes an attempt to estimate the recovery capacity of Italian Municipalities in a crucial period of our country's financial history, between 1992 and 2000, or between the currency crisis and the introduction of the Euro. However, the analysis also involved the subsequent trends, in order to demonstrate that the current vulnerability of the municipal public finance system, in particular of the Municipalities of Southern Italy, depends not only on the economic cycle but also on the continuous and incessant changes in the financing mechanisms of local governments established by the central government. The analysis showed a lower financial resilience of the Municipalities of the Mezzogiorno (island and continental) compared to those of the Center-North. The determinants of this phenomenon were found, for one part, through the analysis of the financial data of the Italian Municipalities - as presented by the SVIMEZ in its annual reports on the economy of the Mezzogiomo - and, for another part, through the critical synthesis of significant economic events which occurred during the period examined.展开更多
Echell Mobil is to use third variable in currency system. A criterion for becoming Echell Mobil is trade relations. In Echell Mobil system, Echell Mobil countries print and issue dollar banknote and distribute it to p...Echell Mobil is to use third variable in currency system. A criterion for becoming Echell Mobil is trade relations. In Echell Mobil system, Echell Mobil countries print and issue dollar banknote and distribute it to partner country. American Fed implemented Quantity Enlargement Policy during the 2008 crises. Fed directly distributes dollars in quantity enlargement. Echell Mobil is similar to Quantity Enlargement Policy. However, it is different from Quantity Enlargement Policy. There is a third variable in Echell Mobil and this third country issues dollar and distributes to partner country. Iceland may become Echell Mobil of European Union and Jordan may become Echell Mobil of Turkey.展开更多
This research explores upside and downside jumps in the dynamic processes of three rates:domestic interest rates,foreign interest rates,and exchange rates.To fill the gap between the asymmetric jump in the currency ma...This research explores upside and downside jumps in the dynamic processes of three rates:domestic interest rates,foreign interest rates,and exchange rates.To fill the gap between the asymmetric jump in the currency market and the current models,a correlated asymmetric jump model is proposed to capture the co-movement of the correlated jump risks for the three rates and identify the correlated jump risk premia.The likelihood ratio test results show that the new model performs best in 1-,3-,6-,and 12-month maturities.The in-and out-of-sample test results indicate that the new model can capture more risk factors with relatively small pricing errors.Finally,the risk factors captured by the new model can explain the exchange rate fluctuations for various economic events.展开更多
We construct a sovereign default network by employing high-dimensional vector autoregressions obtained by analyzing connectedness in sovereign credit default swap markets.We develop four measures of centrality,namely,...We construct a sovereign default network by employing high-dimensional vector autoregressions obtained by analyzing connectedness in sovereign credit default swap markets.We develop four measures of centrality,namely,degree,betweenness,closeness,and eigenvector centralities,to detect whether network properties drive the currency risk premia.We observe that closeness and betweenness centralities can negatively drive currency excess returns but do not exhibit a relationship with forward spread.Thus,our developed network centralities are independent of an unconditional carry trade risk factor.Based on our findings,we develop a trading strategy by taking a long position on peripheral countries’currencies and a short position on core coun-tries’currencies.The aforementioned strategy generates a higher Sharpe ratio than the currency momentum strategy.Our proposed strategy is robust to foreign exchange regimes and the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.展开更多
The importance of cryptocurrency to the global economy is increasing steadily,which is evidenced by a total market capitalization of over$2.18T as of December 17,2021,according to coinmarketcap.com(Coin,2021).Cryptocu...The importance of cryptocurrency to the global economy is increasing steadily,which is evidenced by a total market capitalization of over$2.18T as of December 17,2021,according to coinmarketcap.com(Coin,2021).Cryptocurrencies are too confusing for laymen and require more investigation.In this study,we analyze the impact that the effective reproductive rate,an epidemiological indicator of the spread of COVID-19,has on both the price and trading volume of eight of the largest digital currencies—Bitcoin,Ethereum,Tether,Ripple,Litecoin,Bitcoin Cash,Cardano,and Binance.We hypothesize that as the rate of spread decreases,the trading price of the digital currency increases.Using Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity models,we find that the impact of the spread of COVID-19 on the price and trading volume of cryptocurrencies varies by currency and region.These findings offer novel insight into the cryptocurrency market and the impact that the viral spread of COVID-19 has on the value of the major cryptocurrencies.展开更多
This study examines the portfolio diversification benefits of alternative currency trading in Bitcoin and foreign exchange markets.The following methods are applied for the analysis:the spillover index method of Diebo...This study examines the portfolio diversification benefits of alternative currency trading in Bitcoin and foreign exchange markets.The following methods are applied for the analysis:the spillover index method of Diebold and Yilmaz(Int J Forecast 28(1):57–66,2012.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijfor ecast.2011.02.006),the spillover asymmetry measures of Barunik et al.(J Int Money Finance 77:39–56,2017.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimon fin.2017.06.003),and the frequency connectedness method of Barunik and Křehlik(J Financ Econom 16(2):271–296,2018.https://doi.org/10.1093/jjfin ec/nby001).The findings identify the presence of low-level integration and asymmetric volatility spillover as well as a dominant role of short horizon spillover among Bitcoin markets and foreign exchange pairs for six major trading currencies(US dollar,euro,Japanese yen,British pound sterling,Australian dollar,and Canadian dollar).Bitcoin is found to provide significant portfolio diversification benefits for alternative currency foreign exchange portfolios.Alternative currency Bitcoin trading in euro is found to provide the most significant portfolio diversification benefits for foreign exchange portfolios consisting of major trading currencies.The findings of the study regarding spillover dynamics and portfolio diversification capabilities of the Bitcoin market for foreign exchange markets of major trading currencies have significant implications for portfolio diversification and risk minimization.展开更多
Central bank digital currencies(CBDCs),which are legal tenders in digital form,are expected to reduce currency issuance and circulation costs and broaden the scope of monetary policy.In addition,these currencies may a...Central bank digital currencies(CBDCs),which are legal tenders in digital form,are expected to reduce currency issuance and circulation costs and broaden the scope of monetary policy.In addition,these currencies may also reduce consumers’need for conventional demand deposits,which,in turn,increases banks’loan provision costs because deposits require higher rates of return.We use a microeconomic banking model to investigate the effects of introducing an economy-wide,account-type CBDC on a bank’s loan supply and its failure risk.Given that a CBDC is expected to lower the cost of liquidity circulation and become a strong substitute for demand deposits,both the loan supply and the bank failure risk increase.These increases are countered by subsequent increases in the rates of return on term deposits and loans,which,in turn,reduce the loan supply and thus bank failure risk.These offsetting forces lead to no significant change in banking,as long as the rate of return on loans is below a certain threshold.However,once the rate is above the threshold,bank failure risk increases,thereby undermining banking stability.The problem is more pronounced when the degree of pass-through of funding costs to the loan rate is high and the profitability of a successful project is low.Our results imply that central banks wishing to introduce an economy-wide,account-type CBDC should first monitor yields on bank loans and consider policy measures that induce banks to maintain adequate liquidity reserve levels.展开更多
This research investigates the appropriateness of the linear specification of the market model for modeling and forecasting the cryptocurrency prices during the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods.Two extensions are off...This research investigates the appropriateness of the linear specification of the market model for modeling and forecasting the cryptocurrency prices during the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods.Two extensions are offered to compare the performance of the linear specification of the market model(LMM),which allows for the measurement of the cryptocurrency price beta risk.The first is the generalized additive model,which permits flexibility in the rigid shape of the linearity of the LMM.The second is the time-varying linearity specification of the LMM(Tv-LMM),which is based on the state space model form via the Kalman filter,allowing for the measurement of the time-varying beta risk of the cryptocurrency price.The analysis is performed using daily data from both time periods on the top 10 cryptocurrencies by adjusted market capitalization,using the Crypto Currency Index 30(CCI30)as a market proxy and 1-day and 7-day forward predictions.Such a comparison of cryptocurrency prices has yet to be undertaken in the literature.The empirical findings favor the Tv-LMM,which outperforms the others in terms of modeling and forecasting performance.This result suggests that the relationship between each cryptocurrency price and the CCI30 index should be locally instead of globally linear,especially during the COVID-19 period.展开更多
DCEP is the Chinese version of Central Bank Digital Currency(CBDC).It is the only legal digital currency in China and meets four conditions:(a)it is issued by the central bank;(b)it is digitized;(c)it is account and w...DCEP is the Chinese version of Central Bank Digital Currency(CBDC).It is the only legal digital currency in China and meets four conditions:(a)it is issued by the central bank;(b)it is digitized;(c)it is account and wallet based;(d)it is oriented towards the general public.As a retail central bank digital currency,it has three main technical features:a“tiered limit arrangement”(small-scale payments can be made anonymously while large-scale payments cannot),a“two-tier operating system”(as with the central bank-commercial bank traditional model),and a“dual offline payment system”(supporting both parties of the transaction).Compared with CBDCs in other countries,China’s DCEP has smaller economic impacts,more obscure strategic goals,and more scarce technical details.But its progress in testing is ahead of central banks of other countries.This article is based on public information and is intended to explain what DCEP is and why and how it was developed.It also offers suggestions for future research.展开更多
Many types of cryptocurrencies,which predominantly utilize blockchain technology,have emerged worldwide.Several issuers plan to circulate their original cryptocurrencies for monetary use.This study investigates whethe...Many types of cryptocurrencies,which predominantly utilize blockchain technology,have emerged worldwide.Several issuers plan to circulate their original cryptocurrencies for monetary use.This study investigates whether issuers can stimulate cryptocurrencies to attain a monetary function.We use a multi-agent model,referred to as the Yasutomi model,which simulates the emergence of money.We analyze two scenarios that may result from the actions taken by the issuer.These scenarios focus on increases in the number of stores that accept cryptocurrency payments and situations whereby the cryptocurrency issuer designs the cryptocurrency to be attractive to people and conducts an airdrop.We find that a cryptocurrency can attain a monetary function in two cases.One such case occurs when 20%of all agents accept the cryptocurrency for payment and 50%of the agents are aware of this fact.The second case occurs when the issuer continuously airdrops a cryptocurrency to a specific person while maintaining the total volume of the cryptocurrency within a range that prevents it from losing its attractiveness.展开更多
In this paper we present an application of fuzzy estimators method to price European call currency option. We make use of fuzzy estimators for the volatility of exchange rate which based on statistical data to obtain ...In this paper we present an application of fuzzy estimators method to price European call currency option. We make use of fuzzy estimators for the volatility of exchange rate which based on statistical data to obtain the fuzzy pattern of G-K model. A numerical example is presented to get the -level closed intervals of the European call currency option fuzzy price.展开更多
The aim of the current research paper is to review what the Government of Egypt (GOE) has done to alleviate hardship conditions facing vulnerable low-income citizens, including its civil servants, during the implement...The aim of the current research paper is to review what the Government of Egypt (GOE) has done to alleviate hardship conditions facing vulnerable low-income citizens, including its civil servants, during the implementation of the recent International Monetary Fund Economic Reform program. The main research questions are: What policies and initiatives has the GOE pursued post its currency devaluation in order to alleviate hardships on the most vulnerable? And to what extent are we now a more “socially equitable” nation? The paper provides a background about the 2016 currency devaluation decision, presents a conceptual framework explaining the relation between different economic ideologies and the impact on the vulnerable groups in society, elaborates on why we should seek social justice in Egypt, and then finally examines and assesses some of the government’s efforts in trying to alleviate hardships, including the Takaful and Karama Program, the Amman certificate, and the impact on the pay scale of government employees. Some of the recommendations made by the paper include: the need to apply true conditionality in the claimed “Conditional Cash Transfer Programs”, to re-consider government employees’ compensation, and to re-allocate national resources to what matters in a more transparent manner.展开更多
To study the approximation of foreign currency option prices when the underlying assets' price dynamics are described by exponential Lévy processes, the convolution representations for option pricing formulas we...To study the approximation of foreign currency option prices when the underlying assets' price dynamics are described by exponential Lévy processes, the convolution representations for option pricing formulas were given, and then the fast Fourier transform (FFT) algorithm was used to get the approximate values of option prices. Finally, a numerical example was given to demonstrate the calculate steps to the option price by FFT.展开更多
Our research amalgamates different technical and economic subjects to support a number of old-new ideas. We present here all our developments in strip out versions. We define the rural region Poverty threshold and tax...Our research amalgamates different technical and economic subjects to support a number of old-new ideas. We present here all our developments in strip out versions. We define the rural region Poverty threshold and taxation benefits to support our barter schema. We defined a number of tools to evaluate the fixed assets like: a database property record, an internal experiment and a property valuation device. With these tools we attempt a country valuation and an ecumenical new local currency backed up with 100% of its value on existing property.展开更多
The contagion aspect of the currency crisis is an important research issue today.In this paper, we set up a dynamic differential model of currency crisis cross contagions between two countries by expanding generalized...The contagion aspect of the currency crisis is an important research issue today.In this paper, we set up a dynamic differential model of currency crisis cross contagions between two countries by expanding generalized logistics model, and analyze all kinds of possible equilibrium conditions. It is probably a new idea of studying currency crisis contagion mechanism.展开更多
Currency is one of indispensable mechanism for the commercial economy development. As the complexity of the British New England commercial economy growing, the urgent need for a stable value currency as a means of pay...Currency is one of indispensable mechanism for the commercial economy development. As the complexity of the British New England commercial economy growing, the urgent need for a stable value currency as a means of payment of daily trading. But the currency was always a problem restricting the development of commercial economy of New England, which was not only related to the economic management function of colonial government itself, but also a political game between colonies and her mother country government.展开更多
基金supported by Support Plan of Scientific and Technological Innovation Team in Universities of Henan Province(20IRTSTHN013)Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Information Communication Network and Security,Xi’an University of Posts&Telecommunications,Xi’an,Shaanxi 710121,China(ICNS202006)The National Natural Science Fund(No.61802117).
文摘With the promotion of digital currency,how to effectively solve the authenticity,privacy and usability of digital currency issuance has been a key problem.Redactable signature scheme(RSS)can provide the verification of the integrity and source of the generated sub-documents and solve the privacy problem in digital currency by removing blocks from the signed documents.Unfortunately,it has not realized the consolidation of signed documents,which can not solve the problem of merging two digital currencies.Now,we introduce the concept of weight based on the threshold secret sharing scheme(TSSS)and present a redactable signature scheme with merge algorithm(RSS-MA)using the quasi-commutative accumulator.Our scheme can reduce the communication overhead by utilizing the merge algorithm when transmitting multiple digital currency signatures.Furthermore,this can effectively hide the scale of users’private monetary assets and the number of transactions between users.While meeting the three properties of digital currency issuance,in order to ensure the availability of digital currency after redacting,editors shall not remove the relevant identification information block form digital currency.Finally,our security proof and the analysis of efficiency show that RSS-MA greatly improves the communication and computation efficiency when transmitting multiple signatures.
基金funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC):Research on Value Co-Creation Mechanisms and Models of Digital Content Production under AIGC Participation(72374171)Xihua University Science and Technology Innovation Competition Project for Postgraduate Students:“Generative Artificial Intelligence(GAI)+Cultural Tourism”Science and Technology Innovation Project(YK20240273).
文摘The MBTI assessment has become a hot topic online and a common method for netizens to identify themselves across China’s social platforms.These netizens generally consider the results of their MBTI assessments as personal emblems suitable for public display,leading to a remarkably widespread cultural phenomenon.Through structured interviews,this study has found that Internet users are experiencing a psychological crisis of identity due to the dual influences of technological embodiment and the meta-media ecology revolution.Moreover,their behavior on social platforms can be regarded as an invisible form of affective labor.To date,researchers have not paid adequate attention to the immense popularity of MBTI assessment in China,and they have not fully investigated whether MBTI assessment is a symbolic representation of the current identity crisis in the context of meta-media and digital labor.This study has two purposes:First,this study aims to explore whether the dynamic interactions of the MBTI assessment are a form of social currency.Second,it aims to construct an MBTI topic production chain to help understand MBTI’s underlying mechanisms regarding the interactions,the reasons behind its popularity,and the reflection on broader social phenomena.
文摘Blockchain technology is a shared database of logs of all consumer transactions which are registered on all machines on a network.Both transactions in the system are carried out by consensus processes and to preserve confidentiality all thefiles contained cannot be changed.Blockchain technology is the fundamental software behind digital currencies like Bitcoin,which is common in the marketplace.Cloud computing is a method of using a network of external machines to store,monitor,and process information,rather than using the local computer or a local personal computer.The software is currently facing multiple problems including lack of data protection,data instability,and reliability.This paper aims to give the highest security for multiple user environments in cloud for storing and accessing the data in blocks.The users who are legitimate are only allowed for storing and accessing the data as like a secured block chain approach.As like the Blockchain which does not require a centralized system for transactions,the proposed system is also independent on centralized network interface.The decentralized system is developed in such a way to avoid counterfeiting.The system enables the fabricator to spend less or null resources to perform the validations for its direct operated stores.This ensures the product fabricator to avoid the circulation of its duplicate products.The customer as an end-user is also ensured to have only the genuine products from the fabricator.The Fabricator(F),Merchant(M)and consumer(C)forms an interconnected triangular structure without allowing any counterfeiting agents in their secured cloud chain.The pro-posed approach provides the stability in the security system of the cloud using the chaining mechanism within different blocks at each node.It takes roughly 4.7,6.2,and 7.5 ms,respectively,to register each node in the proposed system for 5,10,and 15 nodes.The overall registration time for each scenario is 11.9,26.2,and 53.1 ms,despite the fact that each node’s registration time was greatest for 10 nodes.By looking at the data,it’s clear that the number of nodes is a func-tion of time.
文摘This paper is a first pioneering attempt to apply the concept of resilience to the analysis of the public finance systems of local governments, a concept already used and "abused" in various disciplines and fields of science. In particular, it proposes an attempt to estimate the recovery capacity of Italian Municipalities in a crucial period of our country's financial history, between 1992 and 2000, or between the currency crisis and the introduction of the Euro. However, the analysis also involved the subsequent trends, in order to demonstrate that the current vulnerability of the municipal public finance system, in particular of the Municipalities of Southern Italy, depends not only on the economic cycle but also on the continuous and incessant changes in the financing mechanisms of local governments established by the central government. The analysis showed a lower financial resilience of the Municipalities of the Mezzogiorno (island and continental) compared to those of the Center-North. The determinants of this phenomenon were found, for one part, through the analysis of the financial data of the Italian Municipalities - as presented by the SVIMEZ in its annual reports on the economy of the Mezzogiomo - and, for another part, through the critical synthesis of significant economic events which occurred during the period examined.
文摘Echell Mobil is to use third variable in currency system. A criterion for becoming Echell Mobil is trade relations. In Echell Mobil system, Echell Mobil countries print and issue dollar banknote and distribute it to partner country. American Fed implemented Quantity Enlargement Policy during the 2008 crises. Fed directly distributes dollars in quantity enlargement. Echell Mobil is similar to Quantity Enlargement Policy. However, it is different from Quantity Enlargement Policy. There is a third variable in Echell Mobil and this third country issues dollar and distributes to partner country. Iceland may become Echell Mobil of European Union and Jordan may become Echell Mobil of Turkey.
文摘This research explores upside and downside jumps in the dynamic processes of three rates:domestic interest rates,foreign interest rates,and exchange rates.To fill the gap between the asymmetric jump in the currency market and the current models,a correlated asymmetric jump model is proposed to capture the co-movement of the correlated jump risks for the three rates and identify the correlated jump risk premia.The likelihood ratio test results show that the new model performs best in 1-,3-,6-,and 12-month maturities.The in-and out-of-sample test results indicate that the new model can capture more risk factors with relatively small pricing errors.Finally,the risk factors captured by the new model can explain the exchange rate fluctuations for various economic events.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province,Grant No.2023A1515030221.
文摘We construct a sovereign default network by employing high-dimensional vector autoregressions obtained by analyzing connectedness in sovereign credit default swap markets.We develop four measures of centrality,namely,degree,betweenness,closeness,and eigenvector centralities,to detect whether network properties drive the currency risk premia.We observe that closeness and betweenness centralities can negatively drive currency excess returns but do not exhibit a relationship with forward spread.Thus,our developed network centralities are independent of an unconditional carry trade risk factor.Based on our findings,we develop a trading strategy by taking a long position on peripheral countries’currencies and a short position on core coun-tries’currencies.The aforementioned strategy generates a higher Sharpe ratio than the currency momentum strategy.Our proposed strategy is robust to foreign exchange regimes and the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.
文摘The importance of cryptocurrency to the global economy is increasing steadily,which is evidenced by a total market capitalization of over$2.18T as of December 17,2021,according to coinmarketcap.com(Coin,2021).Cryptocurrencies are too confusing for laymen and require more investigation.In this study,we analyze the impact that the effective reproductive rate,an epidemiological indicator of the spread of COVID-19,has on both the price and trading volume of eight of the largest digital currencies—Bitcoin,Ethereum,Tether,Ripple,Litecoin,Bitcoin Cash,Cardano,and Binance.We hypothesize that as the rate of spread decreases,the trading price of the digital currency increases.Using Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity models,we find that the impact of the spread of COVID-19 on the price and trading volume of cryptocurrencies varies by currency and region.These findings offer novel insight into the cryptocurrency market and the impact that the viral spread of COVID-19 has on the value of the major cryptocurrencies.
文摘This study examines the portfolio diversification benefits of alternative currency trading in Bitcoin and foreign exchange markets.The following methods are applied for the analysis:the spillover index method of Diebold and Yilmaz(Int J Forecast 28(1):57–66,2012.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijfor ecast.2011.02.006),the spillover asymmetry measures of Barunik et al.(J Int Money Finance 77:39–56,2017.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimon fin.2017.06.003),and the frequency connectedness method of Barunik and Křehlik(J Financ Econom 16(2):271–296,2018.https://doi.org/10.1093/jjfin ec/nby001).The findings identify the presence of low-level integration and asymmetric volatility spillover as well as a dominant role of short horizon spillover among Bitcoin markets and foreign exchange pairs for six major trading currencies(US dollar,euro,Japanese yen,British pound sterling,Australian dollar,and Canadian dollar).Bitcoin is found to provide significant portfolio diversification benefits for alternative currency foreign exchange portfolios.Alternative currency Bitcoin trading in euro is found to provide the most significant portfolio diversification benefits for foreign exchange portfolios consisting of major trading currencies.The findings of the study regarding spillover dynamics and portfolio diversification capabilities of the Bitcoin market for foreign exchange markets of major trading currencies have significant implications for portfolio diversification and risk minimization.
基金support from the National Research Foundation of Korea funded by the Ministry of Education(NRF-2020S1A5A8044620).
文摘Central bank digital currencies(CBDCs),which are legal tenders in digital form,are expected to reduce currency issuance and circulation costs and broaden the scope of monetary policy.In addition,these currencies may also reduce consumers’need for conventional demand deposits,which,in turn,increases banks’loan provision costs because deposits require higher rates of return.We use a microeconomic banking model to investigate the effects of introducing an economy-wide,account-type CBDC on a bank’s loan supply and its failure risk.Given that a CBDC is expected to lower the cost of liquidity circulation and become a strong substitute for demand deposits,both the loan supply and the bank failure risk increase.These increases are countered by subsequent increases in the rates of return on term deposits and loans,which,in turn,reduce the loan supply and thus bank failure risk.These offsetting forces lead to no significant change in banking,as long as the rate of return on loans is below a certain threshold.However,once the rate is above the threshold,bank failure risk increases,thereby undermining banking stability.The problem is more pronounced when the degree of pass-through of funding costs to the loan rate is high and the profitability of a successful project is low.Our results imply that central banks wishing to introduce an economy-wide,account-type CBDC should first monitor yields on bank loans and consider policy measures that induce banks to maintain adequate liquidity reserve levels.
文摘This research investigates the appropriateness of the linear specification of the market model for modeling and forecasting the cryptocurrency prices during the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods.Two extensions are offered to compare the performance of the linear specification of the market model(LMM),which allows for the measurement of the cryptocurrency price beta risk.The first is the generalized additive model,which permits flexibility in the rigid shape of the linearity of the LMM.The second is the time-varying linearity specification of the LMM(Tv-LMM),which is based on the state space model form via the Kalman filter,allowing for the measurement of the time-varying beta risk of the cryptocurrency price.The analysis is performed using daily data from both time periods on the top 10 cryptocurrencies by adjusted market capitalization,using the Crypto Currency Index 30(CCI30)as a market proxy and 1-day and 7-day forward predictions.Such a comparison of cryptocurrency prices has yet to be undertaken in the literature.The empirical findings favor the Tv-LMM,which outperforms the others in terms of modeling and forecasting performance.This result suggests that the relationship between each cryptocurrency price and the CCI30 index should be locally instead of globally linear,especially during the COVID-19 period.
文摘DCEP is the Chinese version of Central Bank Digital Currency(CBDC).It is the only legal digital currency in China and meets four conditions:(a)it is issued by the central bank;(b)it is digitized;(c)it is account and wallet based;(d)it is oriented towards the general public.As a retail central bank digital currency,it has three main technical features:a“tiered limit arrangement”(small-scale payments can be made anonymously while large-scale payments cannot),a“two-tier operating system”(as with the central bank-commercial bank traditional model),and a“dual offline payment system”(supporting both parties of the transaction).Compared with CBDCs in other countries,China’s DCEP has smaller economic impacts,more obscure strategic goals,and more scarce technical details.But its progress in testing is ahead of central banks of other countries.This article is based on public information and is intended to explain what DCEP is and why and how it was developed.It also offers suggestions for future research.
文摘Many types of cryptocurrencies,which predominantly utilize blockchain technology,have emerged worldwide.Several issuers plan to circulate their original cryptocurrencies for monetary use.This study investigates whether issuers can stimulate cryptocurrencies to attain a monetary function.We use a multi-agent model,referred to as the Yasutomi model,which simulates the emergence of money.We analyze two scenarios that may result from the actions taken by the issuer.These scenarios focus on increases in the number of stores that accept cryptocurrency payments and situations whereby the cryptocurrency issuer designs the cryptocurrency to be attractive to people and conducts an airdrop.We find that a cryptocurrency can attain a monetary function in two cases.One such case occurs when 20%of all agents accept the cryptocurrency for payment and 50%of the agents are aware of this fact.The second case occurs when the issuer continuously airdrops a cryptocurrency to a specific person while maintaining the total volume of the cryptocurrency within a range that prevents it from losing its attractiveness.
文摘In this paper we present an application of fuzzy estimators method to price European call currency option. We make use of fuzzy estimators for the volatility of exchange rate which based on statistical data to obtain the fuzzy pattern of G-K model. A numerical example is presented to get the -level closed intervals of the European call currency option fuzzy price.
文摘The aim of the current research paper is to review what the Government of Egypt (GOE) has done to alleviate hardship conditions facing vulnerable low-income citizens, including its civil servants, during the implementation of the recent International Monetary Fund Economic Reform program. The main research questions are: What policies and initiatives has the GOE pursued post its currency devaluation in order to alleviate hardships on the most vulnerable? And to what extent are we now a more “socially equitable” nation? The paper provides a background about the 2016 currency devaluation decision, presents a conceptual framework explaining the relation between different economic ideologies and the impact on the vulnerable groups in society, elaborates on why we should seek social justice in Egypt, and then finally examines and assesses some of the government’s efforts in trying to alleviate hardships, including the Takaful and Karama Program, the Amman certificate, and the impact on the pay scale of government employees. Some of the recommendations made by the paper include: the need to apply true conditionality in the claimed “Conditional Cash Transfer Programs”, to re-consider government employees’ compensation, and to re-allocate national resources to what matters in a more transparent manner.
基金Foundation item The National Natural Science Foundationof China (No10571065)
文摘To study the approximation of foreign currency option prices when the underlying assets' price dynamics are described by exponential Lévy processes, the convolution representations for option pricing formulas were given, and then the fast Fourier transform (FFT) algorithm was used to get the approximate values of option prices. Finally, a numerical example was given to demonstrate the calculate steps to the option price by FFT.
文摘Our research amalgamates different technical and economic subjects to support a number of old-new ideas. We present here all our developments in strip out versions. We define the rural region Poverty threshold and taxation benefits to support our barter schema. We defined a number of tools to evaluate the fixed assets like: a database property record, an internal experiment and a property valuation device. With these tools we attempt a country valuation and an ecumenical new local currency backed up with 100% of its value on existing property.
文摘The contagion aspect of the currency crisis is an important research issue today.In this paper, we set up a dynamic differential model of currency crisis cross contagions between two countries by expanding generalized logistics model, and analyze all kinds of possible equilibrium conditions. It is probably a new idea of studying currency crisis contagion mechanism.
文摘Currency is one of indispensable mechanism for the commercial economy development. As the complexity of the British New England commercial economy growing, the urgent need for a stable value currency as a means of payment of daily trading. But the currency was always a problem restricting the development of commercial economy of New England, which was not only related to the economic management function of colonial government itself, but also a political game between colonies and her mother country government.