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Application of Dangerous Probability Function in Risk Estimation of Surface Rupture Earthquake: Taking the Lingwu Fault in Ningxia Region as an Example
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作者 ChaiChiazhang ShenXuhui 《Earthquake Research in China》 2002年第1期60-70,共11页
Based on the fitting on paleoearthquake data of intra-plate regions in the northern part of China and giving a statistical model of time interdependence, the potential damage earthquakes in a definite future period an... Based on the fitting on paleoearthquake data of intra-plate regions in the northern part of China and giving a statistical model of time interdependence, the potential damage earthquakes in a definite future period and characteristics of present shocks along the Lingwu fault have been analyzed by using dangerous probability function and some new data concerned. We have inferred that the fault has entered a period that earthquakes will probably occur. There exists a potential danger that a strong earthquake with M\-S7.0~7.5 will occur in 10~100a. 展开更多
关键词 dangerous probability function Earthquake risk estimation The Lingwu fault
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