In the context of rural revitalization and development,meteorological services for agricultural disaster prevention and reduction are facing new opportunities and challenges.It is needed to fully understand the import...In the context of rural revitalization and development,meteorological services for agricultural disaster prevention and reduction are facing new opportunities and challenges.It is needed to fully understand the importance of strengthening meteorological disaster prevention and reduction services,accurately grasp the strategy of rural revitalization,recognize the shortcomings in work,adhere to modern capacity building,improve the meteorological monitoring network,build a meteorological service system for agriculture and meteorological disaster prevention mechanism in line with rural revitalization,enhance the research and development capability of meteorological service products,expand the coverage of meteorological services,and effectively make greater contributions to rural revitalization.展开更多
Based on experience of meteorological service at county-level meteorological station in recent 20 years,status quo of decision-making meteorological service,main influence factors of decision-making meteorological ser...Based on experience of meteorological service at county-level meteorological station in recent 20 years,status quo of decision-making meteorological service,main influence factors of decision-making meteorological service and writing of decision-making meteorological service materials are analyzed,and measures and suggestions of improving decision-making meteorological service level are proposed. The research aims to improve public meteorological service level at grass-roots level,provide scientific decision-making basis for government departments preventing and reducing disaster,and reduce loss of life and property of the country and people caused by meteorological disasters to the maximum extent.展开更多
By 2018, China had conducted 34 scientific explorations in Antarctica spearheaded by the Chinese National Antarctic Research Expedition(CHINARE). Since the first CHINARE over 30 years ago, considerable work has been u...By 2018, China had conducted 34 scientific explorations in Antarctica spearheaded by the Chinese National Antarctic Research Expedition(CHINARE). Since the first CHINARE over 30 years ago, considerable work has been undertaken to promote the development of techniques for the observation of surface and upper-air meteorological elements, and satellite image and data reception systems at Chinese Antarctic stations and onboard Chinese icebreakers have played critical roles in this endeavor. The upgrade of in situ and remote sensing measurement methods and the improvement of weather forecasting skill have enabled forecasters to achieve reliable on-site weather forecasting for the CHINARE. Nowadays, the routing of icebreakers, navigation of aircraft, and activities at Chinese Antarctic stations all benefit from the accurate weather forecasting service. In this paper, a review of the conventional meteorological measurement and operational weather forecasting services of the CHINARE is presented.展开更多
Socialization of meteorological services is important guarantee of servicing national major development strategy,strategic selection of adapting to national reform,urgent need of meeting the development of related ind...Socialization of meteorological services is important guarantee of servicing national major development strategy,strategic selection of adapting to national reform,urgent need of meeting the development of related industries,and necessary way of solving public demand on meticulous,targeted and personalized meteorological services. At present,socialization construction of meteorological services in China still has many problems,such as weak service capability of intelligent weather,inadequate and imbalanced urban-rural and regional development,insufficient sharing and opening of meteorological data,and deficient role of social organization. It should vigorously impel socialization of meteorological services by exploring sharing and opening mechanism of basic meteorological data,establishing policy,regulation and standard system adapting to socialization of meteorological services,establishing operation mechanism for socialization of meteorological services of government dominance combining market,enriching content and means of meteorological socialization service.展开更多
To further improve the marine meteorological service capability of Caofeidian Meteorological Bureau, the staff of Caofeidian Meteorological Observatory recently visited Caofeidian Coal Port Co., Ltd., Jidong Oilfield ...To further improve the marine meteorological service capability of Caofeidian Meteorological Bureau, the staff of Caofeidian Meteorological Observatory recently visited Caofeidian Coal Port Co., Ltd., Jidong Oilfield Zhida Company, Tangshan Caofeidian LNG Degassing Station and other companies and further investigated the needs of professional marine meteorological services.展开更多
Based on the survey data of public meteorological services,differences between users' needs for public meteorological services were analyzed by using Maslow's hierarchy of needs and the principle of informatio...Based on the survey data of public meteorological services,differences between users' needs for public meteorological services were analyzed by using Maslow's hierarchy of needs and the principle of information availability in behavioral economics. The results show that users' needs for meteorological services follow certain laws,and the public's needs for meteorological information are driven by physiological needs firstly and then by safety needs,while they are driven by upper needs finally. Meanwhile,users' needs for meteorological services have particularity.Under special backgrounds,there are certain differences between users' needs and laws of basic needs,and users' needs are inconsistent with the " ideal needs" of meteorological departments. Studying the laws and particularity of differences between users' needs for meteorological services in detail is conducive to a survey of the public's needs for meteorological services and improvement of meteorological service quality.展开更多
In 2017, the No. 1 Document of the Central Committee proposed that "it is necessary to further promote agricultural supply-side structural reform, accelerate the cultivation of new kinetic energy for agricultural...In 2017, the No. 1 Document of the Central Committee proposed that "it is necessary to further promote agricultural supply-side structural reform, accelerate the cultivation of new kinetic energy for agricultural and rural development, and create a new situation in the construction of agricultural modernization". Under the new normal, Zhejiang s agricultural development shows new characteristics and new trends of speed change, structural optimization, and power conversion, and meteorological services for agriculture have stronger demands, higher requirements, and heavier tasks. The socialization of meteorological services is a new type of system arrangement for the provision of meteorological services, and aims to provide high-quality and efficient meteorological service products for the public and promote the equalization of basic meteorological services in urban and rural areas. In this study, through research on the socialization of grassroots meteorological services in a new situation, a new way of the government to provide public weather services is proposed, and a mechanism of the government to purchase public meteorological services is established;social resources and forces are organized and guided to develop the innovation system and mechanism of public weather services, and social resources are fully mobilized to meet the demand for meteorological services in the process of agricultural supply-side structural reform.展开更多
The present situation of meteorological services for ecological tourism in Shaanxi Province was analyzed firstly,and then the problems existing in the meteorological services were analyzed.Finally,corresponding measur...The present situation of meteorological services for ecological tourism in Shaanxi Province was analyzed firstly,and then the problems existing in the meteorological services were analyzed.Finally,corresponding measures were put forward.展开更多
The development course of China's meteorological movie and television was analyzed firstly, and then the improvement strategies of meteorological movie and television services facing public needs were put forward bas...The development course of China's meteorological movie and television was analyzed firstly, and then the improvement strategies of meteorological movie and television services facing public needs were put forward based on the statistical results of a meteorological service questionnaire.展开更多
Hami City is rich in light resources and is a key area for the development of photovoltaic power generation industry in Xinjiang.In the past 11 years,annual sunshine duration in Hami tended to increase,but annual sola...Hami City is rich in light resources and is a key area for the development of photovoltaic power generation industry in Xinjiang.In the past 11 years,annual sunshine duration in Hami tended to increase,but annual solar radiation decreased.Sunshine duration and solar radiation were more in summer and less in winter.They were the most in May and the least in December.Meteorological departments should strengthen the observation of illumination and other elements,do a good job in the assessment of solar energy resources and other professional services,and provide technical support for the development and utilization of light energy resources.展开更多
According to the current situation of modern meteorological services and smart agriculture in Tongliao City,the demand for meteorological services in smart agriculture was analyzed,including accurate meteorological se...According to the current situation of modern meteorological services and smart agriculture in Tongliao City,the demand for meteorological services in smart agriculture was analyzed,including accurate meteorological services,point-to-point meteorological services,improved agro-meteorological disaster prevention system,and a comprehensive platform for agricultural services.Besides,some countermeasures to strengthen meteorological services for smart agriculture were proposed,such as promoting the construction of agro-meteorological big data,jointly carrying out the work of meteorological information into villages and households,promoting the construction of modern agricultural meteorological service demonstration areas,and advancing weather modification capacity construction.展开更多
To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat res...To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources in Liaoning, China were analyzed by using the method of climate diagnosis and analysis. The results show that: the southern coastal area of Liaoning has the most heat resources, the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area the least, and the central plain area in the middle distribution pattern;compared with 1958-1980, 1981-2017 ≥0°C, ≥10°C accumulated temperature, etc. The value line is advanced 100-160km northward. The accumulated temperature of ≥0°C and ≥10°C in Liaoning experienced abrupt changes in climate in 1993 and 1994, and the climate abrupt change in the southern coastal area was earlier than that in the inland. , the increase in the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area is less than that in the central plain area and the southern coastal area. The study on the impact on meteorological services found that the increase or decrease of heat resources has a significant impact on agro-meteorological services, which can prolong the growing season of crops, relatively reduce the damage of frost, improve comprehensive utilization of land, and increase crop yields;at the same time, with the increase of heat resources and the northward expansion of the isoline of accumulated temperature, the area affected by pests and diseases has expanded, which has aggravated the harm to agriculture economic burden.展开更多
It is very important to analyze and evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services for policy decision-making and taking precautions against meteorological disasters.In this study,a model for evaluating the benef i...It is very important to analyze and evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services for policy decision-making and taking precautions against meteorological disasters.In this study,a model for evaluating the benef its of meteorological services for industries is constructed,with the combining method of dose-response and contingency assessment,and also absorbing other countries' experience.According to this model,and referring to the practical value of the contribution of meteorological services to typical enterprises,experts calculated the benef its of meteo-rological services for every industry.By applying this model,and taking the evaluation framework of "to determine which industries are meteorology-sensitive" - "to evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services" - "to get the total benef its of meteorological service",evaluation and analysis on the total benef its of meteorological services was done with case study.According to this study,the annual mean benef its of meteorological services are known as no less than 279.3 billion yuan(cost excluded) in present national economical environment.展开更多
In order to change the distributed status of the meteorological service platform,based on the integration of the self-built service platforms including meteorology,climate,observation and service,National Meteorologic...In order to change the distributed status of the meteorological service platform,based on the integration of the self-built service platforms including meteorology,climate,observation and service,National Meteorological Information Center( NMIC) constructs National Meteorological Service Platform( NMSP). NMSP is a unified national meteorological service platform to provide browsing,searching and displaying of observation,weather forecasting,warning information,historical climate data and network information. NMSP uses the MVC design pattern.For adapting the characteristics of meteorological application,above J2 EE application framework( Struts + Spring + Hibernate),NMSP encapsulates data exchange module which improves flexibility and efficiency of the system development. On March 2015,NMSP( version 2. 0)has been on operational running,which covers six core sections,nearly 100 sub-modules,2000 kinds of service products. It plays an effective supporting role on various types of meteorological service.展开更多
Floods often cause significant crop loss in the United States. Timely and objective information on flood-related crop loss, such as flooded acreage and degree of crop damage, is very important for crop monitoring and ...Floods often cause significant crop loss in the United States. Timely and objective information on flood-related crop loss, such as flooded acreage and degree of crop damage, is very important for crop monitoring and risk management in ag- ricultural and disaster-related decision-making at many concerned agencies. Currently concerned agencies mostly rely on field surveys to obtain crop loss information and compensate farmers' loss claim. Such methods are expensive, labor intensive, and time consumptive, especially for a large flood that affects a large geographic area. The results from such methods suffer from inaccuracy, subjectiveness, untimeliness, and lack of reproducibility. Recent studies have demonstrated that Earth observation (EO) data could be used in post-flood crop loss assessment for a large geographic area objectively, timely, accurately, and cost effectively. However, there is no operational decision support system, which employs such EO-based data and algorithms for operational flood-related crop decision-making. This paper describes the development of an EO-based flood crop loss assessment cyber-service system, RF-CLASS, for supporting flood-related crop statistics and insurance decision-making. Based on the service-orientated architecture, RF-CLASS has been implemented with open interoperability specifications to facilitate the interoperability with EO data systems, particularly the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Earth Observing System Data and Information System (EOSDIS), for automatically fetching the input data from the data systems. Validated EO algorithms have been implemented as web services in the system to operationally produce a set of flood-related products from EO data, such as flood frequency, flooded acreage, and degree of crop damage, for supporting decision-making in flood statistics and flood crop insurance policy. The system leverages recent advances in the remote sensing-based flood monitoring and assessment, the near-real-time availability of EO data, the service-oriented architecture, geospatial interoperability standards, and the standard-based geospatial web service technology. The prototypical system has automatically generated the flood crop loss products and demonstrated the feasibility of using such products to improve the agricultural decision-making. Evaluation of system by the end-user agencies indicates that significant improvement on flood-related crop decision-making has been achieved with the system.展开更多
In order to strengthen the construction of forestry meteorological service capacity and improve the quality of forestry meteorological services,the national forestry meteorological disaster risk survey and service ben...In order to strengthen the construction of forestry meteorological service capacity and improve the quality of forestry meteorological services,the national forestry meteorological disaster risk survey and service benefit assessment were carried out from November 2016 to May2017. A total of 196 risk sites in Guangxi were collected by means of questionnaire survey,expert evaluation and field survey. The results showed that fire,pest and wind hazards are the main types of risk points in Guangxi. The survey showed that there were 77 monitoring stations around the disaster risk sites belonging to the Forestry Sector,which mainly monitor fire hazards,while other disasters had no monitoring point yet. Early warning facilities were still constantly improving. The meteorological disasters that affecting forestry production were drought,gale,and heavy rainfall,and the main meteorological hazard factors were temperature,wind speed,and precipitation. Forest fire prevention,forestry resources development and utilization,forestation and tending demand for meteorological services were relatively large. It was hoped that forestry meteorological service products would be obtained through telephone,SMS and early warning systems. In addition,experts objectivly evaluated the contribution rate of meteorological services in Guangxi. The contribution rate of forest meteorological services in the whole region was8. 41%. The scale of Guangxi's total forestry output value was 31. 478 billion yuan in 2016. According to the calculation of this value,the service benefit value had reached 2. 647 billion yuan. In conclusion,strengthening the cooperation in forestry meteorological monitoring,technology development,and emergency response,and further improving forestry meteorological services and effective reducing forestry disaster losses are the top priorities of the meteorological department.展开更多
In this paper, we present a set of best practices for workflow design and implementation for numerical weather prediction models and meteorological data service, which have been in operation in China Meteorological Ad...In this paper, we present a set of best practices for workflow design and implementation for numerical weather prediction models and meteorological data service, which have been in operation in China Meteorological Administration (CMA) for years and have been proven effective in reliably managing the complexities of large-scale meteorological related workflows. Based on the previous work on the platforms, we argue that a minimum set of guidelines including workflow scheme, module design, implementation standards and maintenance consideration during the whole establishment of the platform are highly recommended, serving to reduce the need for future maintenance and adjustment. A significant gain in performance can be achieved through the workflow-based projects. We believe that a good workflow system plays an important role in the weather forecast service, providing a useful tool for monitoring the whole process, fixing the errors, repairing a workflow, or redesigning an equivalent workflow pattern with new components.展开更多
On the basis of the analysis of main problems existing in current agricultural meteorological service in China,for the purpose of exploring a solution to the "last kilometer" problem in rural meteorological ...On the basis of the analysis of main problems existing in current agricultural meteorological service in China,for the purpose of exploring a solution to the "last kilometer" problem in rural meteorological service,this article designed four short message service products with the business brand name "meteorology for agricultural condition",including "weather prediction for farming season","weather forecast for farming","weather alert",and "meteorological hazards of agriculture".By taking advantage of telecom operators' market,these products have been spread to more than 1 million rural mobile phone users and widely welcomed.They also contributed enormously to disaster prevention and peasants' income growth,and achieved good social and economic benefits.展开更多
Type of meteorological text message is identified,and concept and characteristics of meteorological message and its relationship with the weather forecast are cleared,and editing service technique of meteorological me...Type of meteorological text message is identified,and concept and characteristics of meteorological message and its relationship with the weather forecast are cleared,and editing service technique of meteorological message and key points are analyzed finally.展开更多
Severe soil erosion and drought are the two main factors affecting the ecological security of the Loess Plateau,China.Investigating the influence of drought on soil conservation service is of great importance to regio...Severe soil erosion and drought are the two main factors affecting the ecological security of the Loess Plateau,China.Investigating the influence of drought on soil conservation service is of great importance to regional environmental protection and sustainable development.However,there is little research on the coupling relationship between them.In this study,focusing on the Jinghe River Basin,China as a case study,we conducted a quantitative evaluation on meteorological,hydrological,and agricultural droughts(represented by the Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI),Standardized Runoff Index(SRI),and Standardized Soil Moisture Index(SSMI),respectively)using the Variable Infiltration Capacity(VIC)model,and quantified the soil conservation service using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation(RUSLE)in the historical period(2000-2019)and future period(2026-2060)under two Representative Concentration Pathways(RCPs)(RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).We further examined the influence of the three types of drought on soil conservation service at annual and seasonal scales.The NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections(NEX-GDDP)dataset was used to predict and model the hydrometeorological elements in the future period under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.The results showed that in the historical period,annual-scale meteorological drought exhibited the highest intensity,while seasonal-scale drought was generally weakest in autumn and most severe in summer.Drought intensity of all three types of drought will increase over the next 40 years,with a greater increase under the RCP4.5 scenario than under the RCP8.5 scenario.Furthermore,the intra-annual variation in the drought intensity of the three types of drought becomes smaller under the two future scenarios relative to the historical period(2000-2019).Soil conservation service exhibits a distribution pattern characterized by high levels in the southwest and southeast and lower levels in the north,and this pattern has remained consistent both in the historical and future periods.Over the past 20 years,the intra-annual variation indicated peak soil conservation service in summer and lowest level in winter;the total soil conservation of the Jinghe River Basin displayed an upward trend,with the total soil conservation in 2019 being 1.14 times higher than that in 2000.The most substantial impact on soil conservation service arises from annual-scale meteorological drought,which remains consistent both in the historical and future periods.Additionally,at the seasonal scale,meteorological drought exerts the highest influence on soil conservation service in winter and autumn,particularly under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.Compared to the historical period,the soil conservation service in the Jinghe River Basin will be significantly more affected by drought in the future period in terms of both the affected area and the magnitude of impact.This study conducted beneficial attempts to evaluate and predict the dynamic characteristics of watershed drought and soil conservation service,as well as the response of soil conservation service to different types of drought.Clarifying the interrelationship between the two is the foundation for achieving sustainable development in a relatively arid and severely eroded area such as the Jinghe River Basin.展开更多
文摘In the context of rural revitalization and development,meteorological services for agricultural disaster prevention and reduction are facing new opportunities and challenges.It is needed to fully understand the importance of strengthening meteorological disaster prevention and reduction services,accurately grasp the strategy of rural revitalization,recognize the shortcomings in work,adhere to modern capacity building,improve the meteorological monitoring network,build a meteorological service system for agriculture and meteorological disaster prevention mechanism in line with rural revitalization,enhance the research and development capability of meteorological service products,expand the coverage of meteorological services,and effectively make greater contributions to rural revitalization.
文摘Based on experience of meteorological service at county-level meteorological station in recent 20 years,status quo of decision-making meteorological service,main influence factors of decision-making meteorological service and writing of decision-making meteorological service materials are analyzed,and measures and suggestions of improving decision-making meteorological service level are proposed. The research aims to improve public meteorological service level at grass-roots level,provide scientific decision-making basis for government departments preventing and reducing disaster,and reduce loss of life and property of the country and people caused by meteorological disasters to the maximum extent.
基金supported by the project of National Key R&D Program of China(Grant no.2016YFC1402705)
文摘By 2018, China had conducted 34 scientific explorations in Antarctica spearheaded by the Chinese National Antarctic Research Expedition(CHINARE). Since the first CHINARE over 30 years ago, considerable work has been undertaken to promote the development of techniques for the observation of surface and upper-air meteorological elements, and satellite image and data reception systems at Chinese Antarctic stations and onboard Chinese icebreakers have played critical roles in this endeavor. The upgrade of in situ and remote sensing measurement methods and the improvement of weather forecasting skill have enabled forecasters to achieve reliable on-site weather forecasting for the CHINARE. Nowadays, the routing of icebreakers, navigation of aircraft, and activities at Chinese Antarctic stations all benefit from the accurate weather forecasting service. In this paper, a review of the conventional meteorological measurement and operational weather forecasting services of the CHINARE is presented.
基金Supported by Soft Science Research Project of Hubei Meteorological Bureau in 2018(02)
文摘Socialization of meteorological services is important guarantee of servicing national major development strategy,strategic selection of adapting to national reform,urgent need of meeting the development of related industries,and necessary way of solving public demand on meticulous,targeted and personalized meteorological services. At present,socialization construction of meteorological services in China still has many problems,such as weak service capability of intelligent weather,inadequate and imbalanced urban-rural and regional development,insufficient sharing and opening of meteorological data,and deficient role of social organization. It should vigorously impel socialization of meteorological services by exploring sharing and opening mechanism of basic meteorological data,establishing policy,regulation and standard system adapting to socialization of meteorological services,establishing operation mechanism for socialization of meteorological services of government dominance combining market,enriching content and means of meteorological socialization service.
文摘To further improve the marine meteorological service capability of Caofeidian Meteorological Bureau, the staff of Caofeidian Meteorological Observatory recently visited Caofeidian Coal Port Co., Ltd., Jidong Oilfield Zhida Company, Tangshan Caofeidian LNG Degassing Station and other companies and further investigated the needs of professional marine meteorological services.
基金Supported by the Meteorological Science and Technology Program of Zhejiang Meteorological Bureau(2015YB04)
文摘Based on the survey data of public meteorological services,differences between users' needs for public meteorological services were analyzed by using Maslow's hierarchy of needs and the principle of information availability in behavioral economics. The results show that users' needs for meteorological services follow certain laws,and the public's needs for meteorological information are driven by physiological needs firstly and then by safety needs,while they are driven by upper needs finally. Meanwhile,users' needs for meteorological services have particularity.Under special backgrounds,there are certain differences between users' needs and laws of basic needs,and users' needs are inconsistent with the " ideal needs" of meteorological departments. Studying the laws and particularity of differences between users' needs for meteorological services in detail is conducive to a survey of the public's needs for meteorological services and improvement of meteorological service quality.
基金Supported by the Independent Project for Meteorological Soft Scientific Research of China Meteorological Administration in 2017(2017[18])
文摘In 2017, the No. 1 Document of the Central Committee proposed that "it is necessary to further promote agricultural supply-side structural reform, accelerate the cultivation of new kinetic energy for agricultural and rural development, and create a new situation in the construction of agricultural modernization". Under the new normal, Zhejiang s agricultural development shows new characteristics and new trends of speed change, structural optimization, and power conversion, and meteorological services for agriculture have stronger demands, higher requirements, and heavier tasks. The socialization of meteorological services is a new type of system arrangement for the provision of meteorological services, and aims to provide high-quality and efficient meteorological service products for the public and promote the equalization of basic meteorological services in urban and rural areas. In this study, through research on the socialization of grassroots meteorological services in a new situation, a new way of the government to provide public weather services is proposed, and a mechanism of the government to purchase public meteorological services is established;social resources and forces are organized and guided to develop the innovation system and mechanism of public weather services, and social resources are fully mobilized to meet the demand for meteorological services in the process of agricultural supply-side structural reform.
文摘The present situation of meteorological services for ecological tourism in Shaanxi Province was analyzed firstly,and then the problems existing in the meteorological services were analyzed.Finally,corresponding measures were put forward.
文摘The development course of China's meteorological movie and television was analyzed firstly, and then the improvement strategies of meteorological movie and television services facing public needs were put forward based on the statistical results of a meteorological service questionnaire.
文摘Hami City is rich in light resources and is a key area for the development of photovoltaic power generation industry in Xinjiang.In the past 11 years,annual sunshine duration in Hami tended to increase,but annual solar radiation decreased.Sunshine duration and solar radiation were more in summer and less in winter.They were the most in May and the least in December.Meteorological departments should strengthen the observation of illumination and other elements,do a good job in the assessment of solar energy resources and other professional services,and provide technical support for the development and utilization of light energy resources.
文摘According to the current situation of modern meteorological services and smart agriculture in Tongliao City,the demand for meteorological services in smart agriculture was analyzed,including accurate meteorological services,point-to-point meteorological services,improved agro-meteorological disaster prevention system,and a comprehensive platform for agricultural services.Besides,some countermeasures to strengthen meteorological services for smart agriculture were proposed,such as promoting the construction of agro-meteorological big data,jointly carrying out the work of meteorological information into villages and households,promoting the construction of modern agricultural meteorological service demonstration areas,and advancing weather modification capacity construction.
文摘To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources in Liaoning, China were analyzed by using the method of climate diagnosis and analysis. The results show that: the southern coastal area of Liaoning has the most heat resources, the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area the least, and the central plain area in the middle distribution pattern;compared with 1958-1980, 1981-2017 ≥0°C, ≥10°C accumulated temperature, etc. The value line is advanced 100-160km northward. The accumulated temperature of ≥0°C and ≥10°C in Liaoning experienced abrupt changes in climate in 1993 and 1994, and the climate abrupt change in the southern coastal area was earlier than that in the inland. , the increase in the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area is less than that in the central plain area and the southern coastal area. The study on the impact on meteorological services found that the increase or decrease of heat resources has a significant impact on agro-meteorological services, which can prolong the growing season of crops, relatively reduce the damage of frost, improve comprehensive utilization of land, and increase crop yields;at the same time, with the increase of heat resources and the northward expansion of the isoline of accumulated temperature, the area affected by pests and diseases has expanded, which has aggravated the harm to agriculture economic burden.
文摘It is very important to analyze and evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services for policy decision-making and taking precautions against meteorological disasters.In this study,a model for evaluating the benef its of meteorological services for industries is constructed,with the combining method of dose-response and contingency assessment,and also absorbing other countries' experience.According to this model,and referring to the practical value of the contribution of meteorological services to typical enterprises,experts calculated the benef its of meteo-rological services for every industry.By applying this model,and taking the evaluation framework of "to determine which industries are meteorology-sensitive" - "to evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services" - "to get the total benef its of meteorological service",evaluation and analysis on the total benef its of meteorological services was done with case study.According to this study,the annual mean benef its of meteorological services are known as no less than 279.3 billion yuan(cost excluded) in present national economical environment.
基金Supported by Meteorological Protection Project of China Meteorological Administration for Mountain Flood and Geological Disaster Prevention in 2015
文摘In order to change the distributed status of the meteorological service platform,based on the integration of the self-built service platforms including meteorology,climate,observation and service,National Meteorological Information Center( NMIC) constructs National Meteorological Service Platform( NMSP). NMSP is a unified national meteorological service platform to provide browsing,searching and displaying of observation,weather forecasting,warning information,historical climate data and network information. NMSP uses the MVC design pattern.For adapting the characteristics of meteorological application,above J2 EE application framework( Struts + Spring + Hibernate),NMSP encapsulates data exchange module which improves flexibility and efficiency of the system development. On March 2015,NMSP( version 2. 0)has been on operational running,which covers six core sections,nearly 100 sub-modules,2000 kinds of service products. It plays an effective supporting role on various types of meteorological service.
基金supported by grants from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Applied Science Program,USA (NNX12AQ31G,NNX14AP91G,PI:Dr.Liping Di)
文摘Floods often cause significant crop loss in the United States. Timely and objective information on flood-related crop loss, such as flooded acreage and degree of crop damage, is very important for crop monitoring and risk management in ag- ricultural and disaster-related decision-making at many concerned agencies. Currently concerned agencies mostly rely on field surveys to obtain crop loss information and compensate farmers' loss claim. Such methods are expensive, labor intensive, and time consumptive, especially for a large flood that affects a large geographic area. The results from such methods suffer from inaccuracy, subjectiveness, untimeliness, and lack of reproducibility. Recent studies have demonstrated that Earth observation (EO) data could be used in post-flood crop loss assessment for a large geographic area objectively, timely, accurately, and cost effectively. However, there is no operational decision support system, which employs such EO-based data and algorithms for operational flood-related crop decision-making. This paper describes the development of an EO-based flood crop loss assessment cyber-service system, RF-CLASS, for supporting flood-related crop statistics and insurance decision-making. Based on the service-orientated architecture, RF-CLASS has been implemented with open interoperability specifications to facilitate the interoperability with EO data systems, particularly the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Earth Observing System Data and Information System (EOSDIS), for automatically fetching the input data from the data systems. Validated EO algorithms have been implemented as web services in the system to operationally produce a set of flood-related products from EO data, such as flood frequency, flooded acreage, and degree of crop damage, for supporting decision-making in flood statistics and flood crop insurance policy. The system leverages recent advances in the remote sensing-based flood monitoring and assessment, the near-real-time availability of EO data, the service-oriented architecture, geospatial interoperability standards, and the standard-based geospatial web service technology. The prototypical system has automatically generated the flood crop loss products and demonstrated the feasibility of using such products to improve the agricultural decision-making. Evaluation of system by the end-user agencies indicates that significant improvement on flood-related crop decision-making has been achieved with the system.
基金Supported by Project of National Natural Science Foundation(41575051)
文摘In order to strengthen the construction of forestry meteorological service capacity and improve the quality of forestry meteorological services,the national forestry meteorological disaster risk survey and service benefit assessment were carried out from November 2016 to May2017. A total of 196 risk sites in Guangxi were collected by means of questionnaire survey,expert evaluation and field survey. The results showed that fire,pest and wind hazards are the main types of risk points in Guangxi. The survey showed that there were 77 monitoring stations around the disaster risk sites belonging to the Forestry Sector,which mainly monitor fire hazards,while other disasters had no monitoring point yet. Early warning facilities were still constantly improving. The meteorological disasters that affecting forestry production were drought,gale,and heavy rainfall,and the main meteorological hazard factors were temperature,wind speed,and precipitation. Forest fire prevention,forestry resources development and utilization,forestation and tending demand for meteorological services were relatively large. It was hoped that forestry meteorological service products would be obtained through telephone,SMS and early warning systems. In addition,experts objectivly evaluated the contribution rate of meteorological services in Guangxi. The contribution rate of forest meteorological services in the whole region was8. 41%. The scale of Guangxi's total forestry output value was 31. 478 billion yuan in 2016. According to the calculation of this value,the service benefit value had reached 2. 647 billion yuan. In conclusion,strengthening the cooperation in forestry meteorological monitoring,technology development,and emergency response,and further improving forestry meteorological services and effective reducing forestry disaster losses are the top priorities of the meteorological department.
文摘In this paper, we present a set of best practices for workflow design and implementation for numerical weather prediction models and meteorological data service, which have been in operation in China Meteorological Administration (CMA) for years and have been proven effective in reliably managing the complexities of large-scale meteorological related workflows. Based on the previous work on the platforms, we argue that a minimum set of guidelines including workflow scheme, module design, implementation standards and maintenance consideration during the whole establishment of the platform are highly recommended, serving to reduce the need for future maintenance and adjustment. A significant gain in performance can be achieved through the workflow-based projects. We believe that a good workflow system plays an important role in the weather forecast service, providing a useful tool for monitoring the whole process, fixing the errors, repairing a workflow, or redesigning an equivalent workflow pattern with new components.
文摘On the basis of the analysis of main problems existing in current agricultural meteorological service in China,for the purpose of exploring a solution to the "last kilometer" problem in rural meteorological service,this article designed four short message service products with the business brand name "meteorology for agricultural condition",including "weather prediction for farming season","weather forecast for farming","weather alert",and "meteorological hazards of agriculture".By taking advantage of telecom operators' market,these products have been spread to more than 1 million rural mobile phone users and widely welcomed.They also contributed enormously to disaster prevention and peasants' income growth,and achieved good social and economic benefits.
文摘Type of meteorological text message is identified,and concept and characteristics of meteorological message and its relationship with the weather forecast are cleared,and editing service technique of meteorological message and key points are analyzed finally.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42071285,42371297)the Key R&D Program Projects in Shaanxi Province of China(2022SF-382)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(GK202302002).
文摘Severe soil erosion and drought are the two main factors affecting the ecological security of the Loess Plateau,China.Investigating the influence of drought on soil conservation service is of great importance to regional environmental protection and sustainable development.However,there is little research on the coupling relationship between them.In this study,focusing on the Jinghe River Basin,China as a case study,we conducted a quantitative evaluation on meteorological,hydrological,and agricultural droughts(represented by the Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI),Standardized Runoff Index(SRI),and Standardized Soil Moisture Index(SSMI),respectively)using the Variable Infiltration Capacity(VIC)model,and quantified the soil conservation service using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation(RUSLE)in the historical period(2000-2019)and future period(2026-2060)under two Representative Concentration Pathways(RCPs)(RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).We further examined the influence of the three types of drought on soil conservation service at annual and seasonal scales.The NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections(NEX-GDDP)dataset was used to predict and model the hydrometeorological elements in the future period under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.The results showed that in the historical period,annual-scale meteorological drought exhibited the highest intensity,while seasonal-scale drought was generally weakest in autumn and most severe in summer.Drought intensity of all three types of drought will increase over the next 40 years,with a greater increase under the RCP4.5 scenario than under the RCP8.5 scenario.Furthermore,the intra-annual variation in the drought intensity of the three types of drought becomes smaller under the two future scenarios relative to the historical period(2000-2019).Soil conservation service exhibits a distribution pattern characterized by high levels in the southwest and southeast and lower levels in the north,and this pattern has remained consistent both in the historical and future periods.Over the past 20 years,the intra-annual variation indicated peak soil conservation service in summer and lowest level in winter;the total soil conservation of the Jinghe River Basin displayed an upward trend,with the total soil conservation in 2019 being 1.14 times higher than that in 2000.The most substantial impact on soil conservation service arises from annual-scale meteorological drought,which remains consistent both in the historical and future periods.Additionally,at the seasonal scale,meteorological drought exerts the highest influence on soil conservation service in winter and autumn,particularly under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.Compared to the historical period,the soil conservation service in the Jinghe River Basin will be significantly more affected by drought in the future period in terms of both the affected area and the magnitude of impact.This study conducted beneficial attempts to evaluate and predict the dynamic characteristics of watershed drought and soil conservation service,as well as the response of soil conservation service to different types of drought.Clarifying the interrelationship between the two is the foundation for achieving sustainable development in a relatively arid and severely eroded area such as the Jinghe River Basin.