Short-Term Relay Quality Prediction Algorithm Based on Long and Short-Term Memory

The fraction defective of semi-finished products is predicted to optimize the process of relay production lines, by which production quality and productivity are increased, and the costs are decreased. The process parameters of relay production lines are studied based on the long-and-short-term memory network. Then, the Keras deep learning framework is utilized to build up a short-term relay quality prediction algorithm for the semi-finished product. A simulation model is used to study prediction algorithm. The simulation results show that the average prediction absolute error of the fraction is less than 5%. This work displays great application potential in the relay production lines.

Comparative study on the performance of ConvLSTM and ConvGRU in classification problems-taking early warning of short-duration heavy rainfall as an example

卷积长短期记忆单元ConvLSTM和卷积门控循环单元ConvGRU是两种广泛应用的深度学习单元,通过将循环机制与卷积运算相结合,常常用于时空序列的预测.为了明确上述两种模型的收敛速度和分类能力,需要使用相同的模型架构对相同的分类问题进行预测.本研究将北京短时强降水区级预警问题看作深度学习中的二分类问题,使用京津冀雷达网的组合反射率数据和北京区域内的自动气象站降雨数据进行深度学习模型的训练和评估.结果表明,ConvGRU的收敛速度比ConvLSTM快约25%.ConvLSTM和ConvGRU的预警性能随地区,时间,降雨强度的变化趋势相似,但大部分ConvLSTM的得分较高,少数情况下ConvGRU的得分较高.

Deep Learning Network for Energy Storage Scheduling in Power Market Environment Short-Term Load Forecasting Model

In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits of energy storage in the process of participating in the power market,this paper takes energy storage scheduling as merely one factor affecting short-term power load,which affects short-term load time series along with time-of-use price,holidays,and temperature.A deep learning network is used to predict the short-term load,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to extract the features,and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network is used to learn the temporal characteristics of the load value,which can effectively improve prediction accuracy.Taking the load data of a certain region as an example,the CNN-LSTM prediction model is compared with the single LSTM prediction model.The experimental results show that the CNN-LSTM deep learning network with the participation of energy storage in dispatching can have high prediction accuracy for short-term power load forecasting.

Wind Speed Short-Term Prediction Based on Empirical Wavelet Transform, Recurrent Neural Network and Error Correction

Predicting wind speed accurately is essential to ensure the stability of the wind power system and improve the utilization rate of wind energy.However,owing to the stochastic and intermittent of wind speed,predicting wind speed accurately is difficult.A new hybrid deep learning model based on empirical wavelet transform,recurrent neural network and error correction for short-term wind speed prediction is proposed in this paper.The empirical wavelet transformation is applied to decompose the original wind speed series.The long short term memory network and the Elman neural network are adopted to predict low-frequency and high-frequency wind speed sub-layers respectively to balance the calculation efficiency and prediction accuracy.The error correction strategy based on deep long short term memory network is developed to modify the prediction errors.Four actual wind speed series are utilized to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model.The empirical results indicate that the method proposed in this paper has satisfactory performance in wind speed prediction.

Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Turbofan Engine Using Hybrid Model Based on Autoencoder and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory

Turbofan engine is a critical aircraft component with complex structure and high-reliability requirements. Effectively predicting the remaining useful life(RUL) of turbofan engines has essential significance for developing maintenance strategies and reducing maintenance costs. Considering the characteristics of large sample size and high dimension of monitoring data, a hybrid health condition prediction model integrating the advantages of autoencoder and bidirectional long short-term memory(BLSTM) is proposed to improve the prediction accuracy of RUL. Autoencoder is used as a feature extractor to compress condition monitoring data. BLSTM is designed to capture the bidirectional long-range dependencies of features. A hybrid deep learning prediction model of RUL is constructed. This model has been tested on a benchmark dataset. The results demonstrate that this autoencoder-BLSTM hybrid model has a better prediction accuracy than the existing methods, such as multi-layer perceptron(MLP), support vector regression(SVR), convolutional neural network(CNN) and long short-term memory(LSTM). The proposed model can provide strong support for the health management and maintenance strategy development of turbofan engines.

Cross-Band Spectrum Prediction Based on Deep Transfer Learning

Spectrum prediction is a promising technology to infer future spectrum state by exploiting inherent patterns of historical spectrum data.In practice,for a given spectrum band of interest,when facing relatively scarce historical data,spectrum prediction based on traditional learning methods does not work well.Thus,this paper proposes a cross-band spectrum prediction model based on transfer learning.Firstly,by analysing service activities and computing the distances between various frequency points based on Dynamic Time Warping,the similarity between spectrum bands has been verified.Next,the features,which mainly affect the performance of transfer learning in the crossband spectrum prediction,are explored by leveraging transfer component analysis.Then,the effectiveness of transfer learning for the cross-band spectrum prediction has been demonstrated.Further,experimental results with real-world spectrum data demonstrate that the performance of the proposed model is better than the state-of-theart models when the historical spectrum data is limited.

Deep Learning for Wind Speed Forecasting Using Bi-LSTM with Selected Features

Wind speed forecasting is important for wind energy forecasting.In the modern era,the increase in energy demand can be managed effectively by fore-casting the wind speed accurately.The main objective of this research is to improve the performance of wind speed forecasting by handling uncertainty,the curse of dimensionality,overfitting and non-linearity issues.The curse of dimensionality and overfitting issues are handled by using Boruta feature selec-tion.The uncertainty and the non-linearity issues are addressed by using the deep learning based Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory(Bi-LSTM).In this paper,Bi-LSTM with Boruta feature selection named BFS-Bi-LSTM is proposed to improve the performance of wind speed forecasting.The model identifies relevant features for wind speed forecasting from the meteorological features using Boruta wrapper feature selection(BFS).Followed by Bi-LSTM predicts the wind speed by considering the wind speed from the past and future time steps.The proposed BFS-Bi-LSTM model is compared against Multilayer perceptron(MLP),MLP with Boruta(BFS-MLP),Long Short Term Memory(LSTM),LSTM with Boruta(BFS-LSTM)and Bi-LSTM in terms of Root Mean Square Error(RMSE),Mean Absolute Error(MAE),Mean Square Error(MSE)and R2.The BFS-Bi-LSTM surpassed other models by producing RMSE of 0.784,MAE of 0.530,MSE of 0.615 and R2 of 0.8766.The experimental result shows that the BFS-Bi-LSTM produced better forecasting results compared to others.

Bitcoin Candlestick Prediction with Deep Neural Networks Based on Real Time Data

Currently,Bitcoin is the world’s most popular cryptocurrency.The price of Bitcoin is extremely volatile,which can be described as high-benefit and high-risk.To minimize the risk involved,a means of more accurately predicting the Bitcoin price is required.Most of the existing studies of Bitcoin prediction are based on historical(i.e.,benchmark)data,without considering the real-time(i.e.,live)data.To mitigate the issue of price volatility and achieve more precise outcomes,this study suggests using historical and real-time data to predict the Bitcoin candlestick—or open,high,low,and close(OHLC)—prices.Seeking a better prediction model,the present study proposes time series-based deep learning models.In particular,two deep learning algorithms were applied,namely,long short-term memory(LSTM)and gated recurrent unit(GRU).Using real-time data,the Bitcoin candlesticks were predicted for three intervals:the next 4 h,the next 12 h,and the next 24 h.The results showed that the best-performing model was the LSTM-based model with the 4-h interval.In particular,this model achieved a stellar performance with a mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of 0.63,a root mean square error(RMSE)of 0.0009,a mean square error(MSE)of 9e-07,a mean absolute error(MAE)of 0.0005,and an R-squared coefficient(R2)of 0.994.With these results,the proposed prediction model has demonstrated its efficiency over the models proposed in previous studies.The findings of this study have considerable implications in the business field,as the proposed model can assist investors and traders in precisely identifying Bitcoin sales and buying opportunities.

Deep learning for the internet of things:Potential benefits and use-cases

The massive number of sensors deployed in the Internet of Things(IoT)produce gigantic amounts of data for facilitating a wide range of applications.Deep Learning(DL)would undoubtedly play a role in generating valuable inferences from this massive volume of data and hence will assist in creating smarter IoT.In this regard,exploring the potential of DL for IoT data analytics becomes highly crucial.This paper begins with a concise discussion on the Deep Neural Network(DNN)and its different architectures.The potential benefits that DL will bring to the IoT are also discussed.Then,a detailed review of DL-driven IoT use-cases is presented.Moreover,this paper formulates a DL-based model for Human Activity Recognition(HAR).It carries out a performance comparison of the proposed model with other machine learning techniques to delineate the superiority of the DL model over other techniques.Apart from enlightening the potential of DL in IoT applications,this paper will serve as an impetus to encourage advanced research in the realm of DL-driven IoT applications.

基于改进金豺算法的短期负荷预测

针对电力负荷序列波动性和预测精度不高的问题,提出一种基于变分模态分解、排列熵和改进金豺算法优化双向长短期记忆网络的预测模型。首先,利用变分模态分解重构原始负荷序列,再采用排列熵理论对分解后的子序列进行熵值重组;然后,利用改进金豺算法对双向长短期记忆网络的参数进行优化,并对每个子序列建立预测模型;最后,组合各模型结果得到最终预测值。实验结果表明,本文模型预测精度更高,与真实值拟合度更好。

双向长短期记忆网络的时间序列预测方法

时间序列预测即利用历史时间序列数据,预测未来一段时间内的数据信息,以便提前制定相应策略。目前,时间序列的类别复杂繁多,而现有的时间序列预测模型面对多种类型数据时无法取得稳定预测的结果,进而难以同时满足对现实中多种复杂的时序数据预测的应用需求。针对上述问题,提出了一种基于时间注意力机制双向长短期记忆网络的时间序列预测方法。笔者提出的网络模型采用改进的正向和反向传播机制提取时序信息并通过自适应权重分配策略推理未来的时序信息。具体来说,设计了一个改进的双向长短期记忆网络,通过结合双向长短期记忆和长短期记忆网络提取深度时间序列特征,挖掘上下文的时序依赖关系。在此基础上,融合所提出的时间注意力机制,实现对深度时间序列特征进行自适应加权,提升深度时序特征的显著性表达能力。通过与同类代表性方法在多个不同类别数据集上的客观定量对比,实验结果表明,该方法能够在多种类别的复杂时间序列数据上更优的预测性能。

基于双重分解和双向长短时记忆网络的中长期负荷预测模型

针对中长期电力负荷序列噪声含量高、难以直接提取序列周期规律从而影响预测精度的问题,提出了一种基于完全自适应噪声集合经验模态分解(complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise,CEEMDAN)和奇异谱分析(singular spectrum analysis,SSA)双重分解的双向长短时记忆网络(bidirectional long and short time memory,BiLSTM)预测模型。首先,采用CEEMDAN对历史负荷进行分解,以得到若干个周期规律更为清晰的子序列;再利用多尺度熵(multiscale entropy,MSE)计算所有子序列的复杂程度,根据不同时间尺度上的样本熵值将相似的子序列重构聚合;然后,利用SSA去噪的功能,对高度复杂的新序列进行二次分解,去除序列中的噪声并提取更为主要的规律,从而进一步提高中长序列预测精度;再将得到的最终一组子序列输入BiLSTM进行预测;最后,考虑到天气、节假日等外部因素对电力负荷的影响,提出了一种误差修正技术。选取了巴拿马某地区的用电负荷进行实验,实验结果表明,经过双重分解可以将均方根误差降低87.4%;预测未来一年的负荷序列时,采用的BiLSTM模型将拟合系数最高提高2.5%;所提出的误差修正技术可将均方根误差降低9.7%。

基于自注意力机制和改进的K-BiLSTM的水产养殖水体溶解氧含量预测模型

为精确预测水产养殖水体溶解氧含量,本研究提出一种基于自注意力机制(ATTN)和改进的K-means聚类-基于残差和批标准化(BN)的双向长短期记忆网络(BiLSTM)的水产养殖水体溶解氧含量预测模型。首先,根据环境数据的相似性,使用改进的K-means算法将数据划分成若干个类别;然后,在BiLSTM基础上构建残差连接和加入BN完成高层次特征提取,利用BiLSTM的长期记忆能力保存特征信息;最后,引入自注意力机制突出不同时间节点数据特征的重要性,进一步提升模型的性能。试验结果表明,本研究提出的基于自注意力机制和改进的K-BiLSTM模型的平均绝对误差为0.238、均方根误差为0.322、平均绝对百分比误差为0.035,与单一的BP模型、CNN-LSTM模型、传统的K-means-基于残差和BN的BiLSTM-ATTN等模型相比具有更优的预测性能和泛化能力。

基于VMD-FE-CNN-BiLSTM的短期光伏发电功率预测

为提高光伏功率的预测精度,提出一种变分模态分解(VMD)、模糊熵(FE)、卷积神经网络(CNN)和双向长短期记忆神经网络(BiLSTM)的光伏功率组合预测模型。该方法首先采用VMD将原始光伏序列数据分解成多个子序列,从而减少随机波动分量和噪声干扰对预测模型的影响,通过FE对每个子序列进行重组,使用一维CNN的局部连接及权值共享提取不同分量的特征,将CNN输出的特征融合并输入到BiLSTM模型中;利用BiLSTM模型建立历史数据之间的时间特征关系,得到光伏发电功率预测结果。与BiLSTM、CNN-BiLSTM、EEMD-CNN-BiLSTM、VMD-CNN-BiLSTM这4种模型进行比较,该文提出的VMD-FE-CNN-BiLSTM模型在光伏发电功率预测中具有较高的精确度和稳定性,满足光伏发电短期预测的要求。

基于BERT-BiLSTM-CRF模型的畜禽疫病文本分词研究

针对畜禽疫病文本语料匮乏、文本内包含大量疫病名称及短语等未登录词问题,提出了一种结合词典匹配的BERT-BiLSTM-CRF畜禽疫病文本分词模型。以羊疫病为研究对象,构建了常见疫病文本数据集,将其与通用语料PKU结合,利用BERT(Bidirectional encoder representation from transformers)预训练语言模型进行文本向量化表示;通过双向长短时记忆网络(Bidirectional long short-term memory network,BiLSTM)获取上下文语义特征;由条件随机场(Conditional random field,CRF)输出全局最优标签序列。基于此,在CRF层后加入畜禽疫病领域词典进行分词匹配修正,减少在分词过程中出现的疫病名称及短语等造成的歧义切分,进一步提高了分词准确率。实验结果表明,结合词典匹配的BERT-BiLSTM-CRF模型在羊常见疫病文本数据集上的F1值为96.38%,与jieba分词器、BiLSTM-Softmax模型、BiLSTM-CRF模型、未结合词典匹配的本文模型相比,分别提升11.01、10.62、8.3、0.72个百分点,验证了方法的有效性。与单一语料相比,通用语料PKU和羊常见疫病文本数据集结合的混合语料,能够同时对畜禽疫病专业术语及疫病文本中常用词进行准确切分,在通用语料及疫病文本数据集上F1值都达到95%以上,具有较好的模型泛化能力。该方法可用于畜禽疫病文本分词。

基于改进Q学习算法和组合模型的超短期电力负荷预测

单一模型在进行超短期负荷预测时会因负荷波动而导致预测精度变差,针对此问题,提出一种基于深度学习算法的组合预测模型｡首先,采用变分模态分解对原始负荷序列进行分解,得到一系列的子序列。其次,分别采用双向长短期记忆网络和优化后的深度极限学习机对每个子序列进行预测。然后,利用改进Q学习算法对双向长短期记忆网络的预测结果和深度极限学习机的预测结果进行加权组合,得到每个子序列的预测结果。最后,将各个子序列的预测结果进行求和,得到最终的负荷预测结果。以某地真实负荷数据进行预测实验,结果表明所提预测模型较其他模型在超短期负荷预测中表现更佳,预测精度达到98%以上。

基于RF-BiLSTM模型的河流水质预测

水环境中过量的氮、磷和高锰酸盐会对流域造成严重污染,准确预测这三类指标的含量对流域污染治理具有重要意义。然而,现有的模型预测精度低,输入因子的选择缺乏数理依据。基于此,以邕江为研究区域,提出一种RF-BiLSTM的混合网络模型。该模型具有利用RF算法提取水质指标最优特征和利用BiLSTM模型提取输入数据的时间特征的优势,采用先降维后预测的方式对TN、TP和COD Mn进行预测,并将深度学习中的CNN、LSTM、BiLSTM和RF-LSTM作为基准模型与本研究所提模型作对比研究。研究结果表明,本研究模型预测TN、TP和COD Mn的平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)分别达到了4.330%、6.781%和7.384%,均低于其他基准模型,预测结果具有较高的准确性和实用性,可为水环境的污染治理提供有效的技术支持。

基于BiLSTM-XGBoost混合模型的储层岩性识别

储层岩性分类是地质研究基础,基于数据驱动的机器学习模型虽然能较好地识别储层岩性,但由于测井数据是特殊的序列数据,模型很难有效提取数据的空间相关性,造成模型对储层识别仍存在不足.针对此问题,本文结合双向长短期循环神经网络(bidirectional long short-term memory,BiLSTM)和极端梯度提升决策树(extreme gradient boosting decision tree,XGBoost),提出双向记忆极端梯度提升(BiLSTM-XGBoost,BiXGB)模型预测储层岩性.该模型在传统XGBoost基础上融入了BiLSTM,大大增强了模型对测井数据的特征提取能力.BiXGB模型使用BiLSTM对测井数据进行特征提取,将提取到的特征传递给XGBoost分类模型进行训练和预测.将BiXGB模型应用于储层岩性数据集时,模型预测的总体精度达到了91%.为了进一步验证模型的准确性和稳定性,将模型应用于UCI公开的Occupancy序列数据集,结果显示模型的预测总体精度也高达93%.相较于其他机器学习模型,BiXGB模型能准确地对序列数据进行分类,提高了储层岩性的识别精度,满足了油气勘探的实际需要,为储层岩性识别提供了新的方法.

面向语法加权图文本的方面情感三元组抽取

方面情感三元组抽取包括方面抽取、意见抽取和方面情感分类3项任务,以管道方式解决该任务的研究方法无法利用元素之间的交互信息,同时也会造成错误传播和冗余训练。基于此,提出一种基于门控注意力和加权图文本的方面情感三元组抽取方法。采用双向长短时记忆网络学习句子的序列特征表示;利用门控注意力单元学习单词之间的线性联系;利用语法距离加权图卷积网络增强三元组元素之间的交互;利用网格标记推理策略预测三元组。在4个公开数据集上进行实验,结果表明:所提方法可以有效增强三元组元素之间的交互,提高三元组抽取的准确率;同时,所提方法的F1值分别为57.94%、70.54%、61.95%和67.66%,与基准模型相比均有所提高。

基于VMD-BiLSTM-WOA的短期风电功率预测

风力发电对于解决全球能源短缺问题有重要意义,准确预测风电功率有助于风电并网的合理调度和可靠的电网运行.文章提出了一种基于变分模态分解(Variational Mode Decomposition, VMD)、双向长短期记忆网络(Bidirectional Long Short-term Memory Network, BiLSTM)以及鲸鱼优化算法(Whale Optimization Algorithm, WOA)的混合深度学习模型,以用于短期风电功率预测.首先,VMD将原始风电功率分解为多个子模态,有效减少了序列的波动性;然后对每个子模态分别建立BiLSTM模型,使用WOA对BiLSTM中的参数进行优化,以提高混合模型的效率和预测性能;最后将各个子模型的结果叠加得到最终预测结果.在实验中通过建立不同的比较模型来说明改进策略的有效性和优越性,结果表明所提的混合模型在风电功率预测中具有较高的预测精度.