期刊文献+
共找到6,582篇文章
< 1 2 250 >
每页显示 20 50 100
Stochastic programming based coordinated expansion planning of generation,transmission,demand side resources,and energy storage considering the DC transmission system
1
作者 Liang Lu Mingkui Wei +4 位作者 Yuxuan Tao Qing Wang Yuxiao Yang Chuan He Haonan Zhang 《Global Energy Interconnection》 EI CSCD 2024年第1期25-37,共13页
With the increasing penetration of wind and solar energies,the accompanying uncertainty that propagates in the system places higher requirements on the expansion planning of power systems.A source-grid-load-storage co... With the increasing penetration of wind and solar energies,the accompanying uncertainty that propagates in the system places higher requirements on the expansion planning of power systems.A source-grid-load-storage coordinated expansion planning model based on stochastic programming was proposed to suppress the impact of wind and solar energy fluctuations.Multiple types of system components,including demand response service entities,converter stations,DC transmission systems,cascade hydropower stations,and other traditional components,have been extensively modeled.Moreover,energy storage systems are considered to improve the accommodation level of renewable energy and alleviate the influence of intermittence.Demand-response service entities from the load side are used to reduce and move the demand during peak load periods.The uncertainties in wind,solar energy,and loads were simulated using stochastic programming.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed model is verified through numerical simulations. 展开更多
关键词 Hydro-wind-solar complementary Expansion planning demand response Energy storage system Source-network-demand-storage coordination
下载PDF
Research on Demand Response Potential of Adjustable Loads in Demand Response Scenarios
2
作者 Zhishuo Zhang Xinhui Du +3 位作者 Yaoke Shang Jingshu Zhang Wei Zhao Jia Su 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2024年第6期1577-1605,共29页
To address the issues of limited demand response data,low generalization of demand response potential evaluation,and poor demand response effect,the article proposes a demand response potential feature extraction and ... To address the issues of limited demand response data,low generalization of demand response potential evaluation,and poor demand response effect,the article proposes a demand response potential feature extraction and prediction model based on data mining and a demand response potential assessment model for adjustable loads in demand response scenarios based on subjective and objective weight analysis.Firstly,based on the demand response process and demand response behavior,obtain demand response characteristics that characterize the process and behavior.Secondly,establish a feature extraction and prediction model based on data mining,including similar day clustering,time series decomposition,redundancy processing,and data prediction.The predicted values of each demand response feature on the response day are obtained.Thirdly,the predicted data of various characteristics on the response day are used as demand response potential evaluation indicators to represent different demand response scenarios and adjustable loads,and a demand response potential evaluation model based on subjective and objective weight allocation is established to calculate the demand response potential of different adjustable loads in different demand response scenarios.Finally,the effectiveness of the method proposed in the article is verified through examples,providing a reference for load aggregators to formulate demand response schemes. 展开更多
关键词 demand response potential demand response scenarios data mining adjustable load evaluation system subjective and objective weight allocation
下载PDF
Optimal dispatching strategy for residential demand response considering load participation
3
作者 Xiaoyu Zhou Xiaofeng Liu +2 位作者 Huai Liu Zhenya Ji Feng Li 《Global Energy Interconnection》 EI CSCD 2024年第1期38-47,共10页
To facilitate the coordinated and large-scale participation of residential flexible loads in demand response(DR),a load aggregator(LA)can integrate these loads for scheduling.In this study,a residential DR optimizatio... To facilitate the coordinated and large-scale participation of residential flexible loads in demand response(DR),a load aggregator(LA)can integrate these loads for scheduling.In this study,a residential DR optimization scheduling strategy was formulated considering the participation of flexible loads in DR.First,based on the operational characteristics of flexible loads such as electric vehicles,air conditioners,and dishwashers,their DR participation,the base to calculate the compensation price to users,was determined by considering these loads as virtual energy storage.It was quantified based on the state of virtual energy storage during each time slot.Second,flexible loads were clustered using the K-means algorithm,considering the typical operational and behavioral characteristics as the cluster centroid.Finally,the LA scheduling strategy was implemented by introducing a DR mechanism based on the directrix load.The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed DR approach can effectively reduce peak loads and fill valleys,thereby improving the load management performance. 展开更多
关键词 Residential demand response Flexible loads Load participation Load aggregator
下载PDF
A Novel Defender-Attacker-Defender Model for Resilient Distributed Generator Planning with Network Reconfiguration and Demand Response
4
作者 Wenlu Ji Teng Tu Nan Ma 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2024年第5期1223-1243,共21页
To improve the resilience of a distribution system against extreme weather,a fuel-based distributed generator(DG)allocation model is proposed in this study.In this model,the DGs are placed at the planning stage.When a... To improve the resilience of a distribution system against extreme weather,a fuel-based distributed generator(DG)allocation model is proposed in this study.In this model,the DGs are placed at the planning stage.When an extreme event occurs,the controllable generators form temporary microgrids(MGs)to restore the load maximally.Simultaneously,a demand response program(DRP)mitigates the imbalance between the power supply and demand during extreme events.To cope with the fault uncertainty,a robust optimization(RO)method is applied to reduce the long-term investment and short-term operation costs.The optimization is formulated as a tri-level defenderattacker-defender(DAD)framework.At the first level,decision-makers work out the DG allocation scheme;at the second level,the attacker finds the optimal attack strategy with maximum damage;and at the third level,restoration measures,namely distribution network reconfiguration(DNR)and demand response are performed.The problem is solved by the nested column and constraint generation(NC&CG)method and the model is validated using an IEEE 33-node system.Case studies validate the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed model according to the enhanced resilience and reduced cost. 展开更多
关键词 Distribution system RESILIENCE defender-attacker-defender distributed generator demand response microgrids formation
下载PDF
考虑“响应-碳排放”责任耦合交易的IDR策略研究
5
作者 许刚 郭子轩 《中国电机工程学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期1322-1338,I0007,共18页
综合需求响应(integrated demand response,IDR)作为区域综合能源系统(regional integrated energy system,RIES)维持供需平衡、实现分布式能源就地消纳的重要途径,已成为当下的研究热点。但现有IDR研究存在3个方面不足:综合能源服务商(... 综合需求响应(integrated demand response,IDR)作为区域综合能源系统(regional integrated energy system,RIES)维持供需平衡、实现分布式能源就地消纳的重要途径,已成为当下的研究热点。但现有IDR研究存在3个方面不足:综合能源服务商(integrated energy service provider,IESP)制定激励策略时,未考虑区域内用户的响应疲劳特性;在实施IDR的复杂场景下,未考虑区域IESP间的响应责任交易;忽略响应责任与碳排放责任的耦合关系。为此,首先分析用户响应意愿随响应次数的演化特性,通过引入响应疲劳函数实现对用户响应疲劳特性的有效建模;在此基础上,根据IESP的响应任务类型,设置多个IESP参与IDR的复杂场景。进一步,为实现各IESP参与IDR的经济性与低碳性,在考虑复杂场景下IESP间响应责任交易时的能源转移与碳排放责任转移基础上,建立响应责任-碳排放责任耦合交易机制。最终,采用基于自适应迭代步长的议价方法以确定最优交易价格。通过仿真算例验证所提模型的有效性:考虑用户响应疲劳特性的改进模型使用户的总收益提升27%;所提交易机制不仅使各场景下IESP的总成本分别降低15.8%、9.8%、94.1%,还使典型场景下IESP的碳排放量降低17.8%,提高IESP参与IDR的经济性与低碳性,实现IESP与用户的共赢。 展开更多
关键词 综合需求响应 响应责任 碳排放责任 交易机制 复杂场景
下载PDF
Optimal Operation of Distributed Generations Considering Demand Response in a Microgrid Using GWO Algorithm 被引量:1
6
作者 Hassan Shokouhandeh Mehrdad Ahmadi Kamarposhti +2 位作者 William Holderbaum Ilhami Colak Phatiphat Thounthong 《Computer Systems Science & Engineering》 SCIE EI 2023年第10期809-822,共14页
The widespread penetration of distributed energy sources and the use of load response programs,especially in a microgrid,have caused many power system issues,such as control and operation of these networks,to be affec... The widespread penetration of distributed energy sources and the use of load response programs,especially in a microgrid,have caused many power system issues,such as control and operation of these networks,to be affected.The control and operation of many small-distributed generation units with different performance characteristics create another challenge for the safe and efficient operation of the microgrid.In this paper,the optimum operation of distributed generation resources and heat and power storage in a microgrid,was performed based on real-time pricing through the proposed gray wolf optimization(GWO)algorithm to reduce the energy supply cost with the microgrid.Distributed generation resources such as solar panels,diesel generators with battery storage,and boiler thermal resources with thermal storage were used in the studied microgrid.Also,a combined heat and power(CHP)unit was used to produce thermal and electrical energy simultaneously.In the simulations,in addition to the gray wolf algorithm,some optimization algorithms have also been used.Then the results of 20 runs for each algorithm confirmed the high accuracy of the proposed GWO algorithm.The results of the simulations indicated that the CHP energy resources must be managed to have a minimum cost of energy supply in the microgrid,considering the demand response program. 展开更多
关键词 MICROGRID demand response program cost reduction gray wolf optimization algorithm
下载PDF
Bio-Inspired Optimal Dispatching of Wind Power Consumption Considering Multi-Time Scale Demand Response and High-Energy Load Participation
7
作者 Peng Zhao Yongxin Zhang +2 位作者 Qiaozhi Hua Haipeng Li Zheng Wen 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第2期957-979,共23页
Bio-inspired computer modelling brings solutions fromthe living phenomena or biological systems to engineering domains.To overcome the obstruction problem of large-scale wind power consumption in Northwest China,this ... Bio-inspired computer modelling brings solutions fromthe living phenomena or biological systems to engineering domains.To overcome the obstruction problem of large-scale wind power consumption in Northwest China,this paper constructs a bio-inspired computer model.It is an optimal wind power consumption dispatching model of multi-time scale demand response that takes into account the involved high-energy load.First,the principle of wind power obstruction with the involvement of a high-energy load is examined in this work.In this step,highenergy load model with different regulation characteristics is established.Then,considering the multi-time scale characteristics of high-energy load and other demand-side resources response speed,a multi-time scale model of coordination optimization is built.An improved bio-inspired model incorporating particle swarm optimization is applied to minimize system operation and wind curtailment costs,as well as to find the most optimal energy configurationwithin the system.Lastly,we take an example of regional power grid in Gansu Province for simulation analysis.Results demonstrate that the suggested scheduling strategy can significantly enhance the wind power consumption level and minimize the system’s operational cost. 展开更多
关键词 Biological system multi-time scale wind power consumption demand response bio-inspired computermodelling particle swarm optimization
下载PDF
A robust optimization model for demand response management with source-grid-load collaboration to consume wind-power
8
作者 Xiangfeng Zhou Chunyuan Cai +3 位作者 Yongjian Li Jiekang Wu Yaoguo Zhan Yehua Sun 《Global Energy Interconnection》 EI CSCD 2023年第6期738-750,共13页
To accommodate wind power as safely as possible and deal with the uncertainties of the output power of winddriven generators,a min-max-min two-stage robust optimization model is presented,considering the unit commitme... To accommodate wind power as safely as possible and deal with the uncertainties of the output power of winddriven generators,a min-max-min two-stage robust optimization model is presented,considering the unit commitment,source-network load collaboration,and control of the load demand response.After the constraint functions are linearized,the original problem is decomposed into the main problem and subproblem as a matrix using the strong dual method.The minimum-maximum of the original problem was continuously maximized using the iterative method,and the optimal solution was finally obtained.The constraint conditions expressed by the matrix may reduce the calculation time,and the upper and lower boundaries of the original problem may rapidly converge.The results of the example show that the injected nodes of the wind farms in the power grid should be selected appropriately;otherwise,it is easy to cause excessive accommodation of wind power at some nodes,leading to a surge in reserve costs and the load demand response is continuously optimized to reduce the inverse peak regulation characteristics of wind power.Thus,the most economical optimization scheme for the worst scenario of the output power of the generators is obtained,which proves the economy and reliability of the two-stage robust optimization method. 展开更多
关键词 Renewable power system Optimal dispatching Wind-power consumption Source-grid-load collaboration Load demand response Two-stage robust optimization model
下载PDF
Research on Multi-Objective Optimization Model of Industrial Microgrid Considering Demand Response Technology and User Satisfaction
9
作者 Junhui Li Jinxin Zhong +3 位作者 Kailiang Wang Yu Luo Qian Han Jieren Tan 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2023年第4期869-884,共16页
In the process of wind power,coal power,and energy storage equipment participating in the operation of industrial microgrids,the stable operation of wind-storage industrial microgrids is guaranteed by considering dema... In the process of wind power,coal power,and energy storage equipment participating in the operation of industrial microgrids,the stable operation of wind-storage industrial microgrids is guaranteed by considering demand response technology and user satisfaction.This paper firstly sorts out the status quo of microgrid operation optimization,and determines themain requirements for user satisfaction considering three types of load characteristics,demand response technology,power consumption benefit loss,user balance power purchase price and wind power consumption evaluation indicators in the system.Secondly,the operation architecture of the windstorage industrialmicrogrid is designed,and themulti-objective optimizationmodel of the wind-storage industrial microgrid is established with the comprehensive operating cost and user satisfaction as the target variables,and the corresponding solution method is mentioned.Finally,a typical wind-storage industrial microgrid is selected for simulation analysis,and the results showthat,(1)Considering the demand response technology,the comprehensive operating cost of the wind-storage industrial microgrid per day is 5292.63 yuan,the user satisfaction index is 0.953,and the wind power consumption rate reaches 100%.(2)By setting four scenarios,it highlights that the grid-connected operation mode is superior to the off-grid operation mode.Considering the demand response technology,the load curve can be optimized,and the time-of-use electricity price can be fully used to coordinate the operation of each unit,which enhances the wind power consumption capacity.The compromise solution of the system comprehensive operating cost and user satisfaction under the confidence level of 0.95 is obtained,namely(5343.22,0.94).(3)The frontier curve shows that in the process of model solving,it is impossible to optimize any sub-objective by changing the control variables,which proves that there is a close relationship between the comprehensive operating cost of the system and the confidence level,which can provide effective guidance for the optimal operation of industrial microgrids. 展开更多
关键词 Wind storage industrial microgrid demand response user satisfaction
下载PDF
Two-Stage Low-Carbon Economic Dispatch of Integrated Demand Response-Enabled Integrated Energy System with Ladder-Type Carbon Trading
10
作者 Song Zhang Wensheng Li +3 位作者 Zhao Li Xiaolei Zhang Zhipeng Lu Xiaoning Ge 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2023年第1期181-199,共19页
Driven by the goal of“carbon neutrality”and“emission peak”,effectively controlling system carbon emissions has become significantly important to governments around the world.To this end,a novel two-stage low-carbo... Driven by the goal of“carbon neutrality”and“emission peak”,effectively controlling system carbon emissions has become significantly important to governments around the world.To this end,a novel two-stage low-carbon economic scheduling framework that considers the coordinated optimization of ladder-type carbon trading and integrated demand response(IDR)is proposed in this paper for the integrated energy system(IES),where the first stage determines the energy consumption plan of users by leveraging the price-based electrical-heat IDR.In contrast,the second stage minimizes the system total cost to optimize the outputs of generations with consideration of the uncertainty of renewables.In addition,to fully exploit the system’s emission reduction potential,a carbon trading cost model with segmented CO_(2) emission intervals is built by introducing a reward-penalty ladder-type carbon trading mechanism,and the flexible thermal comfort elasticity of customers is taken into account by putting forward a predicted mean vote index on the load side.The CPLEX optimizer resolves the two-stage model,and the study results on a modified IES situated in North China show the proposed model can effectively reduce carbon emissions and guarantee economical efficiency operation of the system. 展开更多
关键词 Integrated energy system low-carbon economic dispatch integrated demand response ladder-type carbon trading thermal comfort elasticity
下载PDF
Economic Analysis of Demand Response Incorporated Optimal Power Flow
11
作者 Ulagammai Meyyappan S.Joyal Isac 《Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing》 SCIE 2023年第1期399-413,共15页
Demand Response(DR)is one of the most cost-effective and unfailing techniques used by utilities for consumer load shifting.This research paper presents different DR programs in deregulated environments.The description... Demand Response(DR)is one of the most cost-effective and unfailing techniques used by utilities for consumer load shifting.This research paper presents different DR programs in deregulated environments.The description and the classification of DR along with their potential benefits and associated cost components are presented.In addition,most DR measurement indices and their evaluation are also highlighted.Initially,the economic load model incorporated thermal,wind,and energy storage by considering the elasticity market price from its calculated locational marginal pricing(LMP).The various DR programs like direct load control,critical peak pricing,real-time pricing,time of use,and capacity market programs are considered during this study.The effect of demand response in electricity prices is highlighted using a simulated study on IEEE 30 bus system.Simulation is done by the Shuffled Frog Leap Algorithm(SFLA).Comprehensive performance comparison on voltage deviations,losses,and cost with and without considering DR is also presented in this paper. 展开更多
关键词 demand response wind power generation shuffled frog leap algorithm optimal powerflow
下载PDF
Electricity-Carbon Interactive Optimal Dispatch of Multi-Virtual Power Plant Considering Integrated Demand Response
12
作者 Shiwei Su Guangyong Hu +2 位作者 Xianghua Li Xin Li Wei Xiong 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2023年第10期2343-2368,共26页
As new power systems and dual carbon policies develop,virtual power plant cluster(VPPC)provides another reliable way to promote the efficient utilization of energy and solve environmental pollution problems.To solve t... As new power systems and dual carbon policies develop,virtual power plant cluster(VPPC)provides another reliable way to promote the efficient utilization of energy and solve environmental pollution problems.To solve the coordinated optimal operation and low-carbon economic operation problem in multi-virtual power plant,a multi-virtual power plant(VPP)electricity-carbon interaction optimal scheduling model considering integrated demand response(IDR)is proposed.Firstly,a multi-VPP electricity-carbon interaction framework is established.The interaction of electric energy and carbon quotas can realize energy complementarity,reduce energy waste and promote low-carbon operation.Secondly,in order to coordinate the multiple types of energy and load in VPPC to further achieve low-carbon operation,the IDR mechanism based on the user comprehensive satisfaction(UCS)of electricity,heat as well as hydrogen is designed,which can effectively maintain the UCS in the cluster within a relatively high range.Finally,the unit output scheme is formulated to minimize the total cost of VPPC and the model is solved using theCPLEX solver.The simulation results showthat the proposed method effectively promotes the coordinated operation among multi-VPP,increases the consumption rate of renewable energy sources and the economics of VPPC and reduces carbon emissions. 展开更多
关键词 Virtual power plant cluster carbon quota interaction electricity interaction integrated demand response user comprehensive satisfaction coordinated optimal operation
下载PDF
Optimal Bidding Strategies of Microgrid with Demand Side Management for Economic Emission Dispatch Incorporating Uncertainty and Outage of Renewable Energy Sources
13
作者 Mousumi Basu Chitralekha Jena +1 位作者 Baseem Khan Ahmed Ali 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2024年第4期849-867,共19页
In the restructured electricity market,microgrid(MG),with the incorporation of smart grid technologies,distributed energy resources(DERs),a pumped-storage-hydraulic(PSH)unit,and a demand response program(DRP),is a sma... In the restructured electricity market,microgrid(MG),with the incorporation of smart grid technologies,distributed energy resources(DERs),a pumped-storage-hydraulic(PSH)unit,and a demand response program(DRP),is a smarter and more reliable electricity provider.DER consists of gas turbines and renewable energy sources such as photovoltaic systems and wind turbines.Better bidding strategies,prepared by MG operators,decrease the electricity cost and emissions from upstream grid and conventional and renewable energy sources(RES).But it is inefficient due to the very high sporadic characteristics of RES and the very high outage rate.To solve these issues,this study suggests non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm Ⅱ(NSGA-Ⅱ)for an optimal bidding strategy considering pumped hydroelectric energy storage and DRP based on outage conditions and uncertainties of renewable energy sources.The uncertainty related to solar and wind units is modeled using lognormal and Weibull probability distributions.TOU-based DRP is used,especially considering the time of outages along with the time of peak loads and prices,to enhance the reliability of MG and reduce costs and emissions. 展开更多
关键词 MICRO-GRID distributed energy resources demand response program UNCERTAINTY OUTAGE
下载PDF
A Distributionally Robust Optimization Scheduling Model for Regional Integrated Energy Systems Considering Hot Dry Rock Co-Generation
14
作者 Hao Qi Mohamed Sharaf +2 位作者 Andres Annuk Adrian Ilinca Mohamed A.Mohamed 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2024年第8期1387-1404,共18页
Hot dry rock(HDR)is rich in reserve,widely distributed,green,low-carbon,and has broad development potential and prospects.In this paper,a distributionally robust optimization(DRO)scheduling model for a regionally inte... Hot dry rock(HDR)is rich in reserve,widely distributed,green,low-carbon,and has broad development potential and prospects.In this paper,a distributionally robust optimization(DRO)scheduling model for a regionally integrated energy system(RIES)considering HDR co-generation is proposed.First,the HDR-enhanced geothermal system(HDR-EGS)is introduced into the RIES.HDR-EGS realizes the thermoelectric decoupling of combined heat and power(CHP)through coordinated operation with the regional power grid and the regional heat grid,which enhances the system wind power(WP)feed-in space.Secondly,peak-hour loads are shifted using price demand response guidance in the context of time-of-day pricing.Finally,the optimization objective is established to minimize the total cost in the RIES scheduling cycle and construct a DRO scheduling model for RIES with HDR-EGS.By simulating a real small-scale RIES,the results show that HDR-EGS can effectively promote WP consumption and reduce the operating cost of the system. 展开更多
关键词 Energy harvesting integrated energy systems optimum scheduling time-of-use pricing demand response geothermal energy
下载PDF
梯形半云PBDR-VPP源荷协调经济调度
15
作者 吉铭成 范雨顺 +2 位作者 党恩帅 焦娜娜 孙璞玉 《电力系统及其自动化学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期132-140,共9页
针对价格型需求响应虚拟电厂用户响应行为模型精确度不高的问题,提出一种梯形半云价格型需求响应不确定性建模方法。用梯形半云对分时电价下用户的不确定响应行为进行建模,通过正、逆向云变换算法,实现用户响应行为定性概念与定量数据... 针对价格型需求响应虚拟电厂用户响应行为模型精确度不高的问题,提出一种梯形半云价格型需求响应不确定性建模方法。用梯形半云对分时电价下用户的不确定响应行为进行建模,通过正、逆向云变换算法,实现用户响应行为定性概念与定量数据之间的双向转化,用云滴分布形状拟合用户的响应随机行为。将源、荷两侧灵活资源整合,使虚拟电厂综合效益最大化的经济协调调度。算例仿真验证了模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 价格型需求响应虚拟电厂 不确定性 梯形半云 云变换算法 经济调度
下载PDF
Development and Utilization of the World's and China's Bulk Mineral Resources and their Supply and Demand Situation in the Next Twenty Years 被引量:6
16
作者 ZHANG Zhaozhi JIANG Guangyu +1 位作者 WANG Xianwei ZHANG Jianfeng 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第4期1370-1417,共48页
Bulk mineral resources of iron ores, copper ores, bauxite, lead ores, zinc ores and potassium salt play a pivotal role on the world's and China's economic development. This study analyzed and predicted their resourc... Bulk mineral resources of iron ores, copper ores, bauxite, lead ores, zinc ores and potassium salt play a pivotal role on the world's and China's economic development. This study analyzed and predicted their resources base and potential, development and utilization and their world's and China's supply and demand situation in the future 20 years. The supply and demand of these six bulk mineral products are generally balanced, with a slight surplus, which will guarantee the stability of the international mineral commodity market supply. The six mineral resources (especially iron ores and copper ores) are abundant and have a great potential, and their development and utilization scale will gradually increase. Till the end of 2014, the reserve- production ratio of iron, copper, bauxite, lead, zinc ores and potassium salt was 95 years, 42 years, 100 years, 17 years, 37 years and 170 years, respectively. Except lead ores, the other five types all have reserve-production ratio exceeding 20 years, indicative of a high resources guarantee degree. If the utilization of recycled metals is counted in, the supply of the world's six mineral products will exceed the demand in the future twenty years. In 2015-2035, the supply of iron ores, refined copper, primary aluminum, refined lead, zinc and potassium salt will exceed their demand by 0.4-0.7 billion tons (Gt), 5.0-6.0 million tons (Mt), 1.1-8.9 Mt, 1.0-2.0 Mt, 1.2-2.0 Mt and 4.8-5.6 Mt, respectively. It is predicted that there is no problem with the supply side of bulk mineral products such as iron ores, but local or structural shortage may occur because of geopolitics, monopoly control, resources nationalism and trade friction. Affected by China's compressed industrialized development model, the demand of iron ores (crude steel), potassium salt, refined lead, refined copper, bauxite (primary aluminum) and zinc will gradually reach their peak in advance. The demand peak of iron ores (crude steel) will reach around 2015, 2016 for potassium salt, 2020 for refined lead, 2021 for bauxite (primary aluminum), 2022 for refined copper and 2023 for zinc. China's demand for iron ores (crude steel), bauxite (primary aluminum) and zinc in the future 20 years will decline among the world's demand, while that for refined copper, refined lead and potassium salt will slightly increase. The demand for bulk mineral products still remains high. In 2015-2035, China's accumulative demand for iron ores (crude steel) will be 20.313 Gt (13.429 Gt), 0.304 Gt for refined copper, 2.466 Gt (0.616 Gt) of bauxite (primary aluminum), 0.102 Gt of refined lead, 0.138 Gt of zinc and 0.157 Gt of potassium salt, and they account for the world's YOY (YOY) accumulative demand of 35.17%, 51.09%, 48.47%, 46.62%, 43.95% and 21.84%, respectively. This proportion is 49.40%, 102.52%, 87.44%, 105.65%, 93.62% and 106.49% of that in 2014, respectively. From the supply side of China's bulk mineral resources, it is forecasted that the accumulative supply of primary (mine) mineral products in 2015-2035 is 4.046 Gt of iron ores, 0.591 Gt of copper, 1.129 Gt of bauxite, 63.661 Mt of (mine) lead, 0.109 Gt of (mine) zinc and 0.128 Gt of potassium salt, which accounts for 8.82%, 13.92%, 26.67%, 47.09%, 33.04% and 15.56% of the world's predicted YOY production, respectively. With the rapid increase in the smelting capacity of iron and steel and alumina, the rate of capacity utilization for crude steel, refined copper, alumina, primary aluminum and refined lead in 2014 was 72.13%, 83.63%, 74.45%, 70.76% and 72.22%, respectively. During 2000-2014, the rate of capacity utilization for China's crude steel and refined copper showed a generally fluctuating decrease, which leads to an insufficient supply of primary mineral products. It is forecasted that the supply insufficiency of iron ores in 2015-2035 is 17.44 Gt, 0.245 Gt of copper in copper concentrates, 1.337 Gt of bauxite, 38.44 Mt of lead in lead concentrates and 29.19 Mt of zinc in zinc concentrates. China has gradually raised the utilization of recycled metals, which has mitigated the insufficient supply of primary metal products to some extent. It is forecasted that in 2015-2035 the accumulative utilization amount of steel scrap (iron ores) is 3.27 Gt (5.08 Gt), 70.312 Mt of recycled copper, 0.2 Gt of recycled aluminum, 48 Mt of recycled lead and 7.7 Mt of recycled zinc. The analysis on the supply and demand situation of China's bulk mineral resources in 2015-2035 suggests that the supply-demand contradiction for these six types of mineral products will decrease, indicative of a generally declining external dependency. If the use of recycled metal amount is counted in, the external dependency of China's iron, copper, bauxite, lead, zinc and potassium salt will be 79%, 65%, 26%, 8%, 16% and 18% in 2014, respectively. It is predicted that this external dependency will decrease to 62%, 64%, 20%, -0.93%, 16% and 14% in 2020, respectively, showing an overall decreasing trend. We propose the following suggestions correspondingly. (1) The demand peak of China's crude steel and potassium salt will reach during 2015-2023 in succession. Mining transformation should be planned and deployed in advance to deal with the arrival of this demand peak. (2) The supply-demand contradiction of China's bulk mineral resources will mitigate in the future 20 years, and the external dependency will decrease accordingly. It is suggested to adjust the mineral resources management policies according to different minerals and regions, and regulate the exploration and development activities. (3) China should further establish and improve the forced mechanism of resolving the smelting overcapacity of steel, refined copper, primary aluminum, lead and zinc to really achieve the goal of "reducing excess production capacity". (4) In accordance with the national strategic deployment of "One Belt One Road", China should encourage the excess capacity of steel, copper, alumina and primary aluminum enterprises to transfer to those countries or areas with abundant resources, high energy matching degree and relatively excellent infrastructure. Based on the national conditions, mining condition and geopolitics of the resources countries, we will gradually build steel, copper, aluminum and lead-zinc smelting bases, and potash processing and production bases, which will promote the excess capacity to transfer to the overseas orderly. (5) It is proposed to strengthen the planning and management of renewable resources recycling and to construct industrial base of renewable metal recycling. (6) China should promote the comprehensive development and utilization of paragenetic and associated mineral species to further improve the comprehensive utilization of bulk mineral resources. 展开更多
关键词 China bulk scarce mineral resource development and utilization demand prediction supply and demand analysis reducing excess production capacity
下载PDF
Analysis of Water Resources Supply and Demand and Security of Water Resources Development in Irrigation Regions of the Middle Reaches of the Heihe River Basin, Northwest China 被引量:11
17
作者 JI Xi-bin KANG Er-si +3 位作者 CHEN Ren-sheng ZHAO Wen-zhi XlAO Sheng-chun JIN Bo-wen 《Agricultural Sciences in China》 CAS CSCD 2006年第2期130-140,共11页
Based on the data for meteorology, hydrology, soil, planting, vegetation, and socio-economic development of the irrigation region in the middle reaches of the Heihe River basin, Northwest China, the model of balance o... Based on the data for meteorology, hydrology, soil, planting, vegetation, and socio-economic development of the irrigation region in the middle reaches of the Heihe River basin, Northwest China, the model of balance of water supply and demand in the region was established, and the security of water resource was assessed, from which the results that the effects of unified management of water resources in the Heihe River basin between Gansu Province and Inner Mongolia on regional hydrology are significant with a decrease in water supply diverted from Heihe River and an increase in groundwater extracted. In addition, it was found that the groundwater level has been steadily decreasing due to over pumping and decrease in recharges. In present year (2003), the volume of potential groundwater in the irrigation districts is far small because of the groundwater overdraft; even in the particular regions, there is no availability of groundwater resources for use. By 2003, water supply is not sufficient to meet the water demand in the different irrigation districts, the sustainable development and utilization of water resources are not secured, and the water supply crisis occurs in Pingchuan irrigation district. Achieving water security for the sustainable development of society, agriculture, economy, industry, and livelihoods while maintaining or improving the abilities of the management and planning of water resources, determining of the reasonable percentage between water supply and groundwater utilization and water saving in agricultural irrigation are taken into account. If this does not occur, it is feared that the present performance of water development and planning may further aggravate the problem of scarcities of water resources and further damage the fragile ecological system. 展开更多
关键词 middle reaches of Heihe River irrigation region water resources supply and demand balance evaluation of the security of water resources
下载PDF
Non-Cooperative Differential Game Based Energy Consumption Control for Dynamic Demand Response in Smart Grid 被引量:5
18
作者 Manxi Wang Haitao Xu +3 位作者 Shengsong Yang Lifeng Yang Ruifeng Duan Xianwei Zhou 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第8期107-114,共8页
In this paper, we conduct research on the dynamic demand response problem in smart grid to control the energy consumption. The objective of the energy consumption control is constructed based on differential game, as ... In this paper, we conduct research on the dynamic demand response problem in smart grid to control the energy consumption. The objective of the energy consumption control is constructed based on differential game, as the dynamic of each users’ energy state in smart gird can be described based on a differential equation. Concept of electricity sharing is introduced to achieve load shift of main users from the high price hours to the low price hours. Nash equilibrium is given based on the Hamilton equation and the effectiveness of the proposed model is verified based on the numerical simulation results. 展开更多
关键词 energy CONSUMPTION DYNAMIC demand response smart grid differential game NASH EQUILIBRIUM
下载PDF
Finite element modeling assumptions impact on seismic response demands of MRF-buildings 被引量:4
19
作者 Shehata E Abdel Raheem Ahmed K Abdel Zaher Ahmed MA Taha 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第4期821-834,共14页
Recent seismic events have raised concerns over the safety and vulnerability of reinforced concrete moment resisting frame "RC-MRF" buildings. The seismic response of such buildings is greatly dependent on the compu... Recent seismic events have raised concerns over the safety and vulnerability of reinforced concrete moment resisting frame "RC-MRF" buildings. The seismic response of such buildings is greatly dependent on the computational tools used and the inherent assumptions in the modelling process. Thus, it is essential to investigate the sensitivity of the response demands to the corresponding modelling assumption. Many parameters and assumptions are justified to generate effective structural finite element(FE) models of buildings to simulate lateral behaviour and evaluate seismic design demands. As such, the present study focuses on the development of reliable FE models with various levels of refinement. The effects of the FE modelling assumptions on the seismic response demands on the design of buildings are investigated. the predictive ability of a FE model is tied to the accuracy of numerical analysis; a numerical analysis is performed for a series of symmetric buildings in active seismic zones. The results of the seismic response demands are presented in a comparative format to confirm drift and strength limits requirements. A proposed model is formulated based on a simplified modeling approach, where the most refined model is used to calibrate the simplified model. 展开更多
关键词 RC-MRF buildings design codes provisions seismic design finite element modeling modeling assumptions response demands
下载PDF
Station-and-network–coordinated planning of integrated energy system considering integrated demand response 被引量:11
20
作者 Xiaojun Lu Jun Wang +2 位作者 Gang Liu Wei Du Dongmei Yang 《Global Energy Interconnection》 CAS CSCD 2021年第1期39-47,共9页
The integrated energy system(IES)is an important energy supply method for mitigating the energy crisis.A station-and-network–coordinated planning method for the IES,which considers the integrated demand responses(IDR... The integrated energy system(IES)is an important energy supply method for mitigating the energy crisis.A station-and-network–coordinated planning method for the IES,which considers the integrated demand responses(IDRs)of flexible loads,electric vehicles,and energy storage is proposed in this work.First,based on load substitution at the user side,an energy-station model considering the IDR is established.Then,based on the characteristics of the energy network,a collaborative planning model is established for the energy station and energy network of the IES,considering the comprehensive system investment,operation and maintenance,and clean energy shortage penalty costs,to minimize the total cost.This can help optimize the locations of the power lines and natural gas pipelines and the capacities of the equipment in an energy station.Finally,simulations are performed to demonstrate that the proposed planning method can help delay or reduce the construction of new lines and energy-station equipment,thereby reducing the investment required and improving the planning economics of the IES. 展开更多
关键词 Integrated energy system Station-and-network-coordinated planning Integrated demand response Optimization of location and capacity
下载PDF
上一页 1 2 250 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部