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Near-surface wind field characteristics of the desert-oasis transition zone in Dunhuang,China
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作者 PAN Jiapeng ZHANG Kecun +1 位作者 AN Zhishan ZHANG Yu 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第5期654-667,共14页
The desert-oasis transition zone(DOTZ)serves as a buffer area between the desert and oasis.Understanding its wind field characteristics is of great significance for the prevention and control of aeolian disasters in t... The desert-oasis transition zone(DOTZ)serves as a buffer area between the desert and oasis.Understanding its wind field characteristics is of great significance for the prevention and control of aeolian disasters in the oasis.In this study,we used meteorological data during 2013–2019 from the portable meteorological stations at five sites(site A on the edge of the oasis,sites B,C,and D in the DOTZ,and site O in the desert)in Dunhuang,China to analyze the near-surface wind field characteristics and their causes,as well as to reveal the key role of the DOTZ in oasis protection.The results showed that the mean wind speed,frequency of sand-driving wind,and directional variability of wind decreased from west to east within the DOTZ,and wind speed was significantly affected by air temperature.The terrain influenced the prevailing winds in the region,mainly from northeast and southwest.Only some areas adjacent to the oasis were controlled by southeasterly wind.This indicated that the near-surface wind field characteristics of the DOTZ were caused by the combined effects of local terrain and surface hydrothermal difference.At site D,the annual drift potential(DP)was 24.95 vector units(VU),indicating a low wind energy environment,and the resultant drift direction(RDD)showed obvious seasonal differences.Additionally,the DOTZ played an important buffering role between the desert and oasis.Compared with the desert,the mean wind speed in the oasis decreased by 64.98%,and the prevailing wind direction was more concentrated.The results of this study will be useful in interpreting the aeolian activity of the DOTZ in Dunhuang. 展开更多
关键词 desert-oasis transition zone near-surface wind field hydrothermal difference sand-driving wind aeolian environment Dunhuang
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Species diversity and its relation with soil factors under different site conditions in a desert-oasis ecotone
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作者 TingTing Xie PeiXi Su +2 位作者 ZiJuan Zhou ShanJia Li HaiNa Zhang 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 CSCD 2013年第3期331-338,共8页
Vegetation and soil surveys were conducted under different site conditions in 2007-2011 to study species diversity using richness, evenness and diversity indices, in the middle portion of the Heihe River Basin. The re... Vegetation and soil surveys were conducted under different site conditions in 2007-2011 to study species diversity using richness, evenness and diversity indices, in the middle portion of the Heihe River Basin. The relationship between species distribution and soil environmental factors was also studied by Canonical Correspondence Analysis (CCA). Results show that vegetation coverage and species diversity were the highest in the interdune lowland, and the lowest in the mobile dime. Results of the Hill's index (di- versity ordering) shows that species diversity is reduced along decreasing soil water content, and the order of species diversity was interdune lowland, flat slope, fixed dune, semifixed dune and mobile dune. The influence degree of soil factors on vegetation dis- tribution was soil water content 〉 pH 〉 total K 〉 organic matter 〉 available N 〉 total N 〉 available K 〉 total P 〉 saline content 〉 available P. Soil water content and pH were important factors significantly affecting spatial distribution difference of vegetation, the environmental explanation was 98%. 展开更多
关键词 desert-oasis ecotone species diversity soil factor canonical correspondence analysis
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Study on Ecological Landscape Pattern Change of Desert Sewage Discharge Area in Desert-Oasis Ecotone on the Southern Edge of Junggar Basin,Xinjiang
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作者 Xin HAN Li CHEN Shaotang LIU 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2021年第6期7-15,23,共10页
In order to understand the change characteristics of ecological landscape pattern of desert sewage discharge area in the desert-oasis ecotone on the southern edge of Junggar Basin,Xinjiang,based on the remote sensing ... In order to understand the change characteristics of ecological landscape pattern of desert sewage discharge area in the desert-oasis ecotone on the southern edge of Junggar Basin,Xinjiang,based on the remote sensing images of 13 scenes GF1 and GF2 from 2013 to 2019,through image preprocessing,classification interpretation,GIS spatial analysis and landscape pattern index,the conclusions were as follows.From 2013 to 2019,the landscape area of sparse shrub forest land,grassland and saline alkali land increased,while the area of sandy bare land and pond surface increased.The mutual transformation among various types of landscapes was more active,among which the mutual transfer between sandy bare land and sparse shrub forest land was the most frequent.Various landscape dynamics changed significantly with time.All kinds of landscapes and the overall landscape showed the trend of fragmentation,discretization and complexity,and the overall landscape showed the trend of balanced distribution.The above results hoped to provide basic data and technical basis for eco-environmental protection,restoration and treatmen on the southern edge of Junggar Basin,and fill the current research gap. 展开更多
关键词 Landscape pattern index desert-oasis ecotone Desert sewage discharge
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Response of tree-ring growth to climate at treeline ecotones in the Qilian Mountains,northwestern China 被引量:2
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作者 ZhiBin He WenZhi Zhao +2 位作者 LiJie Zhang HU Liu ZhenXing Tang 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 2011年第2期103-109,共7页
Climate constitutes the main limiting factor for tree-ring growth in high-elevation forests, and the relationship between tree-ring growth and climate is complex. Based on tree-ring chronology and meteorological data,... Climate constitutes the main limiting factor for tree-ring growth in high-elevation forests, and the relationship between tree-ring growth and climate is complex. Based on tree-ring chronology and meteorological data, the influence of precipitation, mean temperature and mean minimum temperature at yearly, seasonal and monthly scales on the tree-ring growth of Picea crossifolia was studied at treeline ecotones in the Qilian Mountains, northwestern China. The results show that growing season temperatures of previous and current years are important limiting factors on tree-ring growth, particularly June mean temperature and mean minimum temperature of current year. The precipitations in the previous winter and current spring have a positive correlation, and in the current fall has a negative correlation with tree-ring growth, but these correlations are not significant. Our results suggest that temperature controls tree-ring growth more strongly than precipitation at treeline ecotones in the Qilian Mountains. 展开更多
关键词 Qilian Mountains treeline ecotones CLIMATE tree-ring growth
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Degradation problems of the land/water ecotones in China and their ecological impact to water systems 被引量:1
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作者 Yin Cheng qing, Wang Xing SKLEAC, Research Center for Eco Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 1999年第2期120-124,共5页
Degradation of land/water ecotones in China is a serious problem and it is often neglected by people. The types of ecotone degradation are described and analyzed. The degradation of land/water ecotones enhanced the wa... Degradation of land/water ecotones in China is a serious problem and it is often neglected by people. The types of ecotone degradation are described and analyzed. The degradation of land/water ecotones enhanced the water quality reduction, bank erosion, desasters such as landslide, flood and drought, biodiversity reduction, lost of fertilized lands, decrease of the resource value of water scenic beauty and many others. The paper analyzes how these problems are related with each other. 展开更多
关键词 land/water ecotones DEGRADATION types impact on other systems.
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Biomass distribution patterns of ecotones between forest andswamp in Changbai Mountaion 被引量:3
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作者 牟长城 韩士杰 +1 位作者 罗菊春 王襄平 《Journal of Forestry Research》 CAS CSCD 2000年第3期198-202,共5页
This paper studied the biomass distribution patterns of Lanix olgensis/swamp ecotones and Betula platyphlla/swamp ecotones in Changbai Mountain so as to provide theory foundation for the management of these natur... This paper studied the biomass distribution patterns of Lanix olgensis/swamp ecotones and Betula platyphlla/swamp ecotones in Changbai Mountain so as to provide theory foundation for the management of these nature resources, by setting up sample belts, investigating initial data along the environmental gradients change, and establishing regression models. By means of regression models, the biomass of communities, layers, tree species and organs was calculated. In this system, it was found that the community biomass inreased gradually along the environmental gradients change from swamp to forest in Changbai Mountain. Furthermore, the ecotoneal biomass distributed mainly over tree layer. The tree biomass distributed mainly in two or three dominate tree species. 展开更多
关键词 Biomass distribution patterns ecotones Changbai Mountain
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Mapping the Farming-pastoral Ecotones in China 被引量:2
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作者 ZHANG Jian WEI Jie CHEN Quangon 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2009年第1期78-87,共10页
Conventional farming-pastoral ecotones methods of delineating were not quantitative and could not fully show their spatial distribution. The present paper attempts to develop quantitative methods for mapping farming-... Conventional farming-pastoral ecotones methods of delineating were not quantitative and could not fully show their spatial distribution. The present paper attempts to develop quantitative methods for mapping farming-pastoral ecotones in China. Nine indicators, related to temperature, precipitation and altitude aspects, were selected to quantify ecological susceptibility of vegetation (crops and forage). Methods of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and expert score ranking combined with fuzzy set theory were applied to assign the weight for each indicator and to define the membership functions. The geographic information system (GIS) was used to manage the spatial database and conduct the spatial analysis. According to the spatial calculation of evaluation model integrated with GIS, the ecological susceptibility of vegetation (crops and forage) was mapped. Three different zones, pastoral area, farming-pastoral ecotones and farming area, were classified by spatial cluster analysis and the maximum likelihood classification for the numeric map of vegetation ecological susceptibility by GIS. This map was validated by the economic statistical result based on the ratio of the output value from animal husbandry in total output value of agriculture by the National Bureau of Statistics in China, indicating that the mapping of the farming-pastoral ecotones may be accepted. 展开更多
关键词 AHP Farming-pastoral ecotone Fuzzyset theory GIS
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Contrasting changes in above- and below-ground biomass allocation across treeline ecotones in southeast Tibet 被引量:3
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作者 Liu Xin-sheng Nie Yu-qin +1 位作者 Kong Gao-qiang Luo Tian-xiang 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第11期2036-2045,共10页
Under conditions of a warmer climate,the advance of the alpine treeline into alpine tundra has implications for carbon dynamics in mountain ecosystems.However,the above- and below-ground live biomass allocations among... Under conditions of a warmer climate,the advance of the alpine treeline into alpine tundra has implications for carbon dynamics in mountain ecosystems.However,the above- and below-ground live biomass allocations among different vegetation types within the treeline ecotones are not well investigated.To determine the altitudinal patterns of above-/below-ground carbon allocation,we measured the root biomass and estimated the above-ground biomass(AGB) in a subalpine forest,treeline forest,alpine shrub,and alpine grassland along two elevational transects towards the alpine tundra in southeast Tibet.The AGB strongly declined with increasing elevation,which was associated with a decrease in the leaf area index and a consequent reduction in carbon gain.The fine root biomass(FRB) increased significantly more in the alpine shrub and grassland than in the treeline forest,whereas the coarse root biomass changed little with increasing altitudes,which led to a stable below-ground biomass(BGB) value across altitudes.Warm and infertile soil conditions might explain the large amount of FRB in alpine shrub and grassland.Consequently,the root toshoot biomass ratio increased sharply with altitude,which suggested a remarkable shift of biomass allocation to root systems near the alpine tundra.Our findings demonstrate contrasting changes in AGB and BGB allocations across treeline ecotones,which should be considered when estimating carbon dynamics with shifting treelines. 展开更多
关键词 Treeline ecotone Fine root biomass Above-ground biomass Vegetation type Southeast Tibet
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Spatio-temporal Pattern and Spatial Heterogeneity of Ecotones Based on Land Use Types of Southeastern Da Hinggan Mountains in China 被引量:4
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作者 YU Lingxue ZHANG Shuwen +3 位作者 LIU Tingxiang TANG Junmei BU Kun YANG Jiuchun 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第2期184-197,共14页
Ecotones have received great attention due to its critical function in energy flux, species harbor, global carbon sequestration, and land-atmosphere interaction. This study investigated land use pattern and spatial he... Ecotones have received great attention due to its critical function in energy flux, species harbor, global carbon sequestration, and land-atmosphere interaction. This study investigated land use pattern and spatial heterogeneity of the ecotones among agricultural land, forest land, and grassland of the southeastern Da Hinggan Mountains in the northeastern China. The change of these delineated ecotones under different slopes and aridity conditions was analyzed by two landscape indices, edge density(ED) and core area percentage of landscape(CPL), to explore the inter-linkage between spatial structure of ecotones and socioeconomic development and land management. Specifically, the ecotones such as agriculture-forest(AF) ecotone, forest-grassland(FG) ecotone, and agriculture-forestgrassland(AFG) ecotone moved from the arid southeast to the humid northwest. The flat area with small slope is more edge-fragmented than the steep area since the ED decreases as the slope increases. The AF ecotone mostly found in the humid region is moving to more humid areas while the agriculture-grassland(AG) ecotone mostly found in the dry region is moving towards the drier region. 展开更多
关键词 ecotones core area percentage of landscape(CPL) edge density(ED) modified moving split window land use pattern spatial heterogeneity
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Examples of Ecotones and Paragenese in the Vegetation Cover of the Baikalian Siberia
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作者 Alexander P. Sizykh Svetlana V. Sizykh 《Natural Science》 2014年第15期1197-1209,共13页
Changes in vegetation structure in environments contact community characterize the ecotones and paragenese inside zonal vegetation site or altitude belt as of concrete environments while differences of cenotic structu... Changes in vegetation structure in environments contact community characterize the ecotones and paragenese inside zonal vegetation site or altitude belt as of concrete environments while differences of cenotic structures of communities between zones or between altitude belts as well. The aim of this work was research of structural-dynamic organization of phytocenoses forming under the conditions of environments contact and mountain tundra, forests (zonal taiga) and extrazonal steppes, zonal forest steppes of some areas at the Baikalian Siberia, Eastern Siberia of Russia. 展开更多
关键词 Baikalian Siberia ZONAL and Extrazonal Vegetation COMMUNITIES ALTITUDE BELTS ecotones Paragenese
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Current vegetation dynamics of the “forest-mountain tundra” ecotones of Lake Baikal coastal ranges
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作者 Alexander Sizykh Victor Voronin 《Natural Science》 2013年第2期187-193,共7页
During last decades, new trends appeared in the ecotones of the upper boundary of forests at the ridges surroundingLakeBaikal(Khamar-Daban and Baikal’sky Ridge): ones to advance of wood species (Pinus sibirica Du Tou... During last decades, new trends appeared in the ecotones of the upper boundary of forests at the ridges surroundingLakeBaikal(Khamar-Daban and Baikal’sky Ridge): ones to advance of wood species (Pinus sibirica Du Tour, Abies sibirica Ledeb., Larix sibirica Ledeb., Larix dahurica Lawson) out of timber stands into the area of subgoltsy with Pinus pumila (Pallas) Regel. up to mountain tundras. In average, this is from 100 to 200 - 300 meters (maximum up to500 m) in linear distance from the margin of dense timber stand. A burst of forests renewal occurred in 1989-1995, it resulted probably from a high productivity of the seeds of wood species due to warmer winters in 1980ies-1990ies which favoured the formation of favourable climate-edaphic conditions for the development of forest communities above the forests boundary on the ridges surrounding Lake Baikal. 展开更多
关键词 ecotones “Forest-Mountain Tundra” Sub-Goltsy BELT FOREST Boundary BAIKAL Region
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A size-gradient hypothesis for alpine treeline ecotones
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作者 George P.MALANSON Lynn M.RESLER 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第7期1154-1161,共8页
Research on the stress gradient hypothesis recognizes that positive(i.e. facilitative) and negative(i.e. competitive) plant interactions change in intensity and effect relative to abiotic stress experienced on a gradi... Research on the stress gradient hypothesis recognizes that positive(i.e. facilitative) and negative(i.e. competitive) plant interactions change in intensity and effect relative to abiotic stress experienced on a gradient. Motivated by observations of alpine treeline ecotones, we suggest that this switch in interaction could operate along a gradient of relative size of individual plants. We propose that as neighbors increase in size relative to a focal plant they improve the environment for that plant up to a critical point. After this critical point is surpassed, however, increasing relative size of neighbors will degrade the environment such that the net interaction intensity becomes negative. We developed a conceptual(not site or species specific) individual based model to simulate a single species with recruitment, growth, and mortality dependent on the environment mediated by the relative size of neighbors. Growth and size form a feedback. Simulation results show that the size gradient model produces metrics similar to that of a stress gradient model. Visualizations reveal that the size gradient model produces spatial patterns that are similar to the complex ones observed at alpine treelines. Size-mediated interaction could be a mechanism of the stress gradient hypothesis or it could operate independent of abiotic stress. 展开更多
关键词 Competition ecotone Environmental gradient Plant interaction Stress gradient Facilitation
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陆海统筹生态保护修复的生态学基础、难点问题与对策建议
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作者 陈雪初 孙彦伟 +2 位作者 温泉 王军 叶属峰 《应用海洋学学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期21-28,共8页
如何实现陆海和谐与统筹发展已经成为当前我国生态文明建设中面临的重大问题,沿海城市社会经济发展过程中应当统筹好陆海空间,确保生态安全已经逐渐成为共识。本文从陆海空间生态耦联关系出发,探讨了陆海生态系统连续体和海陆生态交错... 如何实现陆海和谐与统筹发展已经成为当前我国生态文明建设中面临的重大问题,沿海城市社会经济发展过程中应当统筹好陆海空间,确保生态安全已经逐渐成为共识。本文从陆海空间生态耦联关系出发,探讨了陆海生态系统连续体和海陆生态交错带的结构与功能,为陆海统筹生态保护修复提供理论基础;分析认为陆海二元结构所导致的生态系统连续体断裂与生态交错带丧失,是亟待解决的难点问题;进一步提出了保护修复生态系统连续体,恢复陆海生态廊道连通,构建多生境生态缓冲空间,并促进陆海空间协同增效的对策建议,为我国推进面向陆海统筹生态保护修复提供基础参考。 展开更多
关键词 陆海统筹 生态保护修复 生态系统连续体 生态交错带 生态廊道
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生态交错带(Ecotone)理论研究进展 被引量:78
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作者 高洪文 《生态学杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 1994年第1期32-38,共7页
生态交错带(Ecotone)理论研究进展高洪文(东北师范大学草地研究所,长春130024)AdvancementofTbeoreticalResearchinEcotone.¥GaoHongwen(Institute... 生态交错带(Ecotone)理论研究进展高洪文(东北师范大学草地研究所,长春130024)AdvancementofTbeoreticalResearchinEcotone.¥GaoHongwen(InstituteofGrasslandRe-sea... 展开更多
关键词 ecotonE landscape boundary edge effect biodiversity.
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生态环境脆弱带ECOTONE的基础判定 被引量:320
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作者 牛文元 《生态学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 1989年第2期97-105,共9页
ECOTONE为国际生态界最近重新定义的基本概念之一。本文在诠释生态环境脆弱带的定义之后,对其实质及其空间属性作了较全面的逻辑归纳。在进一步研究的基础上,对于生态环境脆弱带作出了独立的函数表达,并且就生态环境脆弱带的宽度指标、... ECOTONE为国际生态界最近重新定义的基本概念之一。本文在诠释生态环境脆弱带的定义之后,对其实质及其空间属性作了较全面的逻辑归纳。在进一步研究的基础上,对于生态环境脆弱带作出了独立的函数表达,并且就生态环境脆弱带的宽度指标、重迭度指标、脆弱度指标、综合性指标,提出了较严格的表述形式。它们吸收了生态界面理论,并把系统生态学中的非稳定性理论,广延为辨识“全球变化”的基本手段,从而在生态学理论与应用两个方面,体现了研究的意义和价值。 展开更多
关键词 生态环境 脆弱带 界面理论
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蒙古栎群落交错带(ecotone)的研究 被引量:13
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作者 于顺利 刘灿然 马克平 《生物多样性》 CAS CSCD 2000年第3期277-283,共7页
通过群落学的样地法对蒙古栎 (Quercusmongolica)群落和核桃楸 (Juglansmandshurica)群落、蒙古栎群落和长白落叶松 (Larixolgensis)群落、蒙古栎群落和杂灌丛群落及其交错带进行了研究 ,分析了在三个地点的几种群落结构和物种组成方面... 通过群落学的样地法对蒙古栎 (Quercusmongolica)群落和核桃楸 (Juglansmandshurica)群落、蒙古栎群落和长白落叶松 (Larixolgensis)群落、蒙古栎群落和杂灌丛群落及其交错带进行了研究 ,分析了在三个地点的几种群落结构和物种组成方面的差异 ,计算了各群落的物种丰富度指数 (dGl)、Simpson物种多样性指数 (D)、Shannon_Weiner物种多样性指数 (H′)及Pielou均匀度指数 (J)。研究发现在通化和大青沟两个地区群落交错带的物种丰富度及Shannnon多样性指数最高 ;而在桦甸群落交错带的物种丰富度和物种多样性指数要比核桃楸群落低 ,比蒙古栎群落高 ,没有表现出特别强烈的边缘效应。本文也分析了群落乔木层、灌木层和草本层盖度之间的关系。 展开更多
关键词 蒙古栎群落 群落交错带 物种多样性 边缘效应
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Current Situation and Development Countermeasures on Grassland Resource in Farming-pasturing Ecotone in West Jilin Province 被引量:6
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作者 尚红梅 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2010年第7期94-98,共5页
Upon the current degradation situation of grassland in west Jilin Province,I analyzed the effects of natural factors and human activities on the degradation of grassland,and further purposefully put forward countermea... Upon the current degradation situation of grassland in west Jilin Province,I analyzed the effects of natural factors and human activities on the degradation of grassland,and further purposefully put forward countermeasures on the remediation and development of grassland.As a conclusion,scientifically utilizing and protecting the grassland resources could suppress grassland degradation,promoting the sustainable development of regional economy. 展开更多
关键词 West Jilin Province Farming-pasturing ecotone Grassland Resource Current situation Development Countermeasures
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Study on Over-urbanization of the Ecotone between Mount Tai and Tai'an City
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作者 赵敬民 刘肖梅 乔晓红 《Journal of Landscape Research》 2010年第11期91-94,99,共5页
By investigating the ecotone between Mount Tai Scenic Area and downtown area of Tai'an City,the characteristics of such an ecotone are analyzed,serious problems brought by the over-urbanization to local natural en... By investigating the ecotone between Mount Tai Scenic Area and downtown area of Tai'an City,the characteristics of such an ecotone are analyzed,serious problems brought by the over-urbanization to local natural environment,such as destruction of eco-environment,aggravated pollution and degradation of mountainous landscape resources are studied.Then countermeasures for the harmonious development of the ecotone are proposed to better promote the coordinated development of cities and mountainous scenic areas. 展开更多
关键词 ecotonE BETWEEN MOUNTAIN and CITY Over-urbanization Problem MOUNT TAI
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Vegetation landscape structure and dynamics in sandy forest-steppe ecotone
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作者 邹春静 韩士杰 +1 位作者 徐文铎 李道棠 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第4期303-306,共4页
Sandy forest-steppe ecotone in Baiyinaobao Natural Reserve of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China is one of the special landscape types in forest-steppe vegetation zone in China. Vegetation landscape types, land... Sandy forest-steppe ecotone in Baiyinaobao Natural Reserve of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China is one of the special landscape types in forest-steppe vegetation zone in China. Vegetation landscape types, landscape patches, and patch size were measured by the field investigation, forest photograph, and airscape. The structure of landscape patches in sandy forest-steppe ecotone, including composition structure, and size structure, was studied and the dynamics and transformation of landscape patches were analyzed. The data obtained in this study could provide theoretical basis for the research on vegetation landscape in forest-steppe ecotones and other vegetation types. 展开更多
关键词 Vegetation landscape STRUCTURE DYNAMICS Sandy forest STEPPE ecotonE
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基于PLUS模型的典型农牧交错带土地利用驱动力分析与多情景模拟
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作者 张启扬 刘仁志 栾朝旭 《水土保持研究》 北大核心 2025年第1期368-378,共11页
[目的]实现农牧交错带地区破碎化土地利用变化的精准预测,为农牧交错带土地利用预测与结构调整提供重要工具。[方法]研究针对性构建了农牧交错带土地利用模拟方法(APE-PLUS),引入土地扩张分析策略(LEAS)、基于多类型随机斑块种子的CA模... [目的]实现农牧交错带地区破碎化土地利用变化的精准预测,为农牧交错带土地利用预测与结构调整提供重要工具。[方法]研究针对性构建了农牧交错带土地利用模拟方法(APE-PLUS),引入土地扩张分析策略(LEAS)、基于多类型随机斑块种子的CA模型(CARS)、Markov模型和土地利用情景设计,解决农牧交错带土地利用模拟中斑块零散、景观破碎、变化机制复杂的问题。采用二调、三调土地利用数据,分析了2014-2020年土地利用变化及其驱动力,模拟了2032年科左后旗自然增长、生态优先、耕地保护和可持续发展情景下的土地利用格局。[结果](1)农牧交错带土地利用模拟方法(APE-PLUS)精度较高,Kappa系数为0.87,总体精度达到0.92;(2)科左后旗2014-2020年土地利用变化显著,全旗47.85%的土地类型发生改变,14.65%的土地由耕地转变为草地,DEM和水资源是这一时期土地利用变化的主要驱动力;(3)2032年多情景预测中,可持续发展情景耕地面积增长1.31%,林地和草地分别减少了0.77%和1.72%,其他用地面积减小28.4%,相比于其他3种情景,土地利用数量结构与空间格局更合理。此情景有助于减缓耕地扩张趋势和草地缩减趋势,有效控制水土流失、土壤沙化问题,提高生态保护与经济发展的协调程度。[结论]农牧交错带土地利用模拟方法(APE-PLUS)对科左后旗的土地利用具有较高的模拟精度,可以对农牧交错带斑块级的土地利用变化进行高精度的预测。 展开更多
关键词 土地利用变化 农牧交错带 PLUS模型 科尔沁左翼后旗 驱动因子
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