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The Relation between Atmospheric Intraseasonal Oscillation and Summer Severe Flood and Drought in the Changjiang-Huaihe River Basin 被引量:25
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作者 杨辉 李崇银 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第4期540-553,共14页
The intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) is studied during the severe flood and drought years of the Changjiang-Huaihe River Basin with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and the precipitation data in China. The results show th... The intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) is studied during the severe flood and drought years of the Changjiang-Huaihe River Basin with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and the precipitation data in China. The results show that the upper-level (200 hPa) ISO pattern for severe flood (drought) is characterized by an anticyclonic (cyclonic) circulation over the southern Tibetan Plateau and a cyclonic (anti-cyclonic) circulation over the northern Tibetan Plateau. The lower-level (850 hPa) ISO pattern is characterized by an anticyclonic (cyclonic) circulation over the area south of the Changjiang River, the South China Sea, and the Western Pacific, and a cyclonic (anticyclonic) circulation from the area north of the Changjiang River to Japan. These low-level ISO circulation patterns are the first modes of the ISO wind field according to the vector EOF expansion with stronger amplitude of the EOF1 time coefficient in severe flood years than in severe drought years. The analyses also reveal that at 500 hPa and 200 hPa, the atmospheric ISO activity over the Changjiang-Huaihe River basin, North China, and the middle-high latitudes north of China is stronger for severe flood than for severe drought. The ISO meridional wind over the middle-high latitude regions can propagate southwards and meet with the northward propagating ISO meridional wind from lower latitude regions over the Changjiang-Huaihe River Basin during severe flood years, but not during severe drought years. 展开更多
关键词 summer severe flood and drought in the Changjiang-Huaihe River Basin intraseasonal oscillation ISO circulation pattern
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DIAGNOSTIC ANALYSIS OF PERSISTENT DROUGHT/FLOOD EVENTS IN SUMMER OVER THE TWO-LAKE REGION OF CHINA 被引量:3
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作者 吴贤云 丁一汇 叶成志 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2013年第3期264-275,共12页
Based on the daily regional mean rainfall,the Z-index method is used to identify persistent flood and drought events lasting for at least 10 days over a region where Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake sit(referred to as th... Based on the daily regional mean rainfall,the Z-index method is used to identify persistent flood and drought events lasting for at least 10 days over a region where Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake sit(referred to as the"two-lake region"hereafter).The National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)reanalysis data are then utilized to perform a preliminary diagnostic analysis on these events.The results indicate that the composite standardized geopotential height at 500 hPa presents two different meridional wave trains from north to south over the East Asian-Pacific region,i.e.,a"-+-"pattern for the droughts and a"+-+"pattern for the floods,respectively.The developing,maintaining and decaying phases in the drought and flood events are closely related to the intensity and location of a subtropical high and an extra-tropical blocking high.It is shown that the East Asian summer monsoon is strong(weak)with the occurrence of persistent drought(flood)events.Droughts(floods)are accompanied by a weak(strong)tropical convergent system and a strong(weak)subtropical convergent system.Furthermore,the persistent drought(flood)events are associated with a divergence(convergence)of vertically integrated water vapor flux.In the vertical profile of water vapor flux,divergence(convergence)in the mid-and lower-levels and convergence(divergence)in the higher levels are evident in the droughts(floods).Both the divergence in the droughts and the convergence in floods are strongest at 850 hPa. 展开更多
关键词 two-lake region drought/flood East-Asian summer MONSOON
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Numerical Study of Ural Blocking High's Effect Upon Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation and East China Flood and Drought 被引量:4
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作者 何金海 周学鸣 叶荣生 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1995年第3期361-370,共10页
In terms of Kuo-Qian pesigma incorporated coordinate five-level primitive equation spheric band (70°N-30°S)model with the Ural high's effect introduced into it as initial and boundary conditions, study i... In terms of Kuo-Qian pesigma incorporated coordinate five-level primitive equation spheric band (70°N-30°S)model with the Ural high's effect introduced into it as initial and boundary conditions, study is made of the high's influence on Asian summer monsoon circulation and dryness / wetness of eastern China based on case contrast andcontrol experiments. Rusults show that as an excitation source, the blocking high produces a SE-NW stationarywavetrain with its upper-air atnicyclonic divergent circulation oust over a lower-level trough zone) precisely over themiddle to lower reaches of the Changjiang River, enhancing East Asian westerly jet, a situation that contributes toPerturbation growth, causing an additional secondary meridional circulation at the jet entrance, which intensifies theupdraft in the monsoon area. As such, the high's presence and its excited steady wavetrain represent the large-scalekey factors and acting mechanisms for the rainstorm over the Changjiang-Huaihe River catchment in the easternpart of the land. 展开更多
关键词 Ural blocking high Asian summer monsoon circulation East China flood and drought
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Studies on the Northern Early Summer Teleconnection Patterns, Their Interannual Variations and Relation to Drought / Flood in China 被引量:10
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作者 施能 朱乾根 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1993年第2期155-168,共14页
By using the one-point correlation method, calculations have been made of the northern early summer 500 hPa teleconnection patterns. Seven teleconnection patterns are revealed, namely, the Western Atlantic (WA), the E... By using the one-point correlation method, calculations have been made of the northern early summer 500 hPa teleconnection patterns. Seven teleconnection patterns are revealed, namely, the Western Atlantic (WA), the Eastern Atlantic (EA), the Eurasian (EU), the Bengal / Northern Pacific (BNP), the Western Pacific (WP), the East Asian / Pacific (EAP), and the Huanghe / East Asian (HEA) patterns. Their centers are determined and their yearly intensity indices (1951-1990) are calculated. On this basis the relationship between their interannual variations and the drought / flood in China is examined. It is noted that the EU, HEA and EAP wave trains are closely related to the drought / flood in China. The HEA and EAP patterns strongly influence the precipitation in eastern China. For example, the fierce floods experienced in 1991 early summer over China are related to the weak EAP and strong HEA patterns. 展开更多
关键词 Their Interannual Variations and Relation to drought flood in China Studies on the Northern Early summer Teleconnection Patterns
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THE RELATIONSHIP OF LARGE VOLCANIC ERUPTION IN THE WORLD AND THE SUMMER DROUGHT/FLOOD IN CHINA
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作者 Zhang Fuguo Zhang Xiangong(Chinese Academy of Moteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081)People’s Republic of China 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 1995年第3期44-54,共11页
Based on data in the last 500 years for strong volwtc aedvity and the sununer drought/flood types available in China, the statistical relatons 0f the volcanic eruptions in seasons and several ropons and the drowtood t... Based on data in the last 500 years for strong volwtc aedvity and the sununer drought/flood types available in China, the statistical relatons 0f the volcanic eruptions in seasons and several ropons and the drowtood types and grade index of main wions in China have ban inveStigned. The possible teleconnection bforan flood in the Yangtze hiver and the Huaihe foveL Valleys in 1991 and the volcanic eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in June of 1991 has bam also exathened. It is found that ehas of volcanic eruption in differen ropons in the worid vary on droguood in diffend edons of China, but in some cases the the is absolutely opposite in respect of the summer drowood. Statshcal test shows that in terms of stud confidence levels of the reation for dividing the volcanic eruptions as several ropons are higher than that for volcanic eruPhon in the worid as Whole. 展开更多
关键词 volcanic eruption summer drouglt/flood statistical reation China
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The 2020 Summer Floods and 2020/21 Winter Extreme Cold Surges in China and the 2020 Typhoon Season in the Western North Pacific 被引量:10
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作者 Chunzai WANG Yulong YAO +2 位作者 Haili WANG Xiubao SUN Jiayu ZHENG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第6期896-904,共9页
China experienced significant flooding in the summer of 2020 and multiple extreme cold surges during the winter of 2020/21.Additionally,the 2020 typhoon season had below average activity with especially quiet activity... China experienced significant flooding in the summer of 2020 and multiple extreme cold surges during the winter of 2020/21.Additionally,the 2020 typhoon season had below average activity with especially quiet activity during the first half of the season in the western North Pacific(WNP).Sea surface temperature changes in the Pacific,Indian,and Atlantic Oceans all contributed to the heavy rainfall in China,but the Atlantic and Indian Oceans seem to have played dominant roles.Enhancement and movement of the Siberian High caused a wavier pattern in the jet stream that allowed cold polar air to reach southward,inducing cold surges in China.Large vertical wind shear and low humidity in the WNP were responsible for fewer typhoons in the first half of the typhoon season.Although it is known that global warming can increase the frequency of extreme weather and climate events,its influences on individual events still need to be quantified.Additionally,the extreme cold surge during 16–18 February 2021 in the United States shares similar mechanisms with the winter 2020/21 extreme cold surges in China. 展开更多
关键词 extreme weather and climate events climate variability climate change summer floods winter cold surge typhoon activity
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Analysis of Causes and Seasonal Prediction of the Severe Floods in Yangtze/Huaihe Basins during Summer 1991 被引量:1
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作者 徐群 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1995年第2期215-224,共10页
The present paper shows that a seasonal prediction for the large scale flooding and waterlogging of the mid-lower Yangtze/ Huaihe River basins in the summer of 1991 made successfully in early April 1991.The seasonal f... The present paper shows that a seasonal prediction for the large scale flooding and waterlogging of the mid-lower Yangtze/ Huaihe River basins in the summer of 1991 made successfully in early April 1991.The seasonal forecasting method and some predictors are also introduced and analyzed herein. Because the extra extent of the abnormally early onset of the plum rain period in 1991 was unexpected,great efforts have been made to find out the causes of this abnormality. These causes are mainly associated with the large scale warming of SST surrounding the south and east part of Asia during the preceding winter,while the ENSO-like pattern of SSTA occurred in the North Pacific.In addition,the possible influence of strong solar proton events is analyzed.In order to improve the seasonal pre4iction the usage of the predicted SOl in following spring/summer is also introduced.The author believes thatthe regional climate anomaly can be correctly predicted for one season ahead only on the basis of physical understanding of the interactions of many preceding factors. 展开更多
关键词 summer flooding in the Yangtze/Huaihe River basins Seasonal prediction Causal analysis
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A Regional Climate Model Simulation of Summer Monsoon over East Asia:A Case Study of 1991 Flood in Yangtzee-Huai River Valley
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作者 魏和林 王维强 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1998年第4期59-79,共21页
The evolution of summer monsoon over East Asia is the result of multi-scale interactions, including the large-scale subtropical high, upper level jet and regional-scale Meiyu front, vortex, and thermal heating. Region... The evolution of summer monsoon over East Asia is the result of multi-scale interactions, including the large-scale subtropical high, upper level jet and regional-scale Meiyu front, vortex, and thermal heating. Regional Climate Models should be a better way to simulate the summer monsoon evolution, because not only they can reflect the large-scale forcing through boundary condition, theirs high resolution can also catch regional-scale forcing in detail. To evaluate the ability of SUNYA-ReCM to simulate the evolution of the summer monsoon over East Asia especially in the extreme climate, a simulation of the East Asian flood that occurred during 1991 summer was performed. This simulation was driven by large-scale atmospheric background derived from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Tropic Ocean Global Atmospheric (TOGA) analysis. The model is capable of reproducing the major features of the monthly mean monsoon circulation, anomalous rainfall in the Yangtze-Huai River Valley and the two northward jumps of rainfall belt as well as the other large-scale components of the monsoon. The changes of the large-scale circulation during the evolution of summer monsoon are also well simulated, which include: (1) the wind direction changes from southeasterly to southwesterly in the South China Sea. (2) The northward shift of the upper westerly over East China and the Tibetan Plateau. (3) The northward shift of the western Pacific subtropic high at 500 hPa. The model also has a good simulation on the evolution of the regional-scale components of the monsoon, including Meiyu front and southwest (SW) vortex in Sichuan Basin. 展开更多
关键词 Regional climate model summer monsoon 1991 flood
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THE EARLY SUMMER FLOOD PERIODS OF SOUTHERN CHINA AND THE SUMMER MONSOON CIRCULATION OF EAST ASIA
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作者 黄士松 汤明敏 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 1996年第1期12-16,14+18-25,共14页
Based on the thermodynamic characteristics of the summer monsoon and foe change of the lower layer wind fields, the relation between the early summer flood periods of southern China, Including the first flood period o... Based on the thermodynamic characteristics of the summer monsoon and foe change of the lower layer wind fields, the relation between the early summer flood periods of southern China, Including the first flood period of South China and the plum rains period of the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River and the activities of the summer monsoon is analysed. The establishment processes of the summer monsoon circulation of East Asia are investigated. It is shown that the beginning and ending of the flood periods are exactly in accordance with the arrival and departure of the fore boundary of the summer monsoon. The establishment process of the circulation from the very beginning of the arrival of the monsoon to the time of great prosperity of development are not the same for each year. They can be classified into four categories. Each category may have four or three stages. Besides, the structure of the summer monsoon regime of East Asia is not unitary. There exist four types of structure model of the monsoon regime of East Asia. 展开更多
关键词 first flood of South China plum rains (Mei-yu ) period summer MONSOON CIRCULATION of EAST ASIA establishment processes of the MONSOON CIRCULATION MONSOON regime structure
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Spatiotemporal Variations of Summer Rainfall over Eastern China during 1880-1999(1) 被引量:12
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作者 李晓东 朱亚芬 钱维宏 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2002年第6期1055-1068,共14页
By applying rotated complex empirical orthogonal function (RCEOF) analysis on 1880-1999 summer rainfall at 28 selected stations over the east part of China, the spatio-temporal variations of China summer rainfall are ... By applying rotated complex empirical orthogonal function (RCEOF) analysis on 1880-1999 summer rainfall at 28 selected stations over the east part of China, the spatio-temporal variations of China summer rainfall are investigated. Six divisions are identified, showing strong temporal variability, the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, the Huaihe River, Southeast China, North China, Southwest China, and Northeast China. The locations of all divisions except Southwest China are in a good agreement with those of the rainband which moves northward from Southeast China to Northeast China from June-August. The phase relationship revealed by the RCEOF analysis suggests that rainfall anomalies in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, Southeast China, and Northeast China are all characterized by a stationary wave, while a traveling wave is more pronounced in the Huaihe River division, North China, and Southwest China. The fourth RCEOF mode indicates that rainfall anomalies can propagate from south of Northeast China across lower reaches of the Huanghe River and the Huaihe River to the lower reaches of the Yangtze River. A 20-25-year oscillation is found at the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, the Huaihe River valley, North China, and Northeast China. The middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and Northeast China also show an approximately-60-year oscillation. Northeast China and the Huaihe River division are dominated by a 36-year and a 70-80-year oscillation, respectively. An 11-year oscillation is also evident in North China, with a periodicity similar to sunspot activity. The interdecadal variability in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, the Huaihe River valley, and North China shows a significant positive correlation with the solar activity. 展开更多
关键词 empirical orthogonal function (EOF) rotated complex EOF (RCEOF) China summer rainfall drought and flood anomaly stationary wave traveling wave interdecadal variability
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Toward Understanding the Extreme Floods over Yangtze River Valley in June−July 2020:Role of Tropical Oceans 被引量:9
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作者 Shaolei TANG Jing-Jia LUO +3 位作者 Jiaying HE Jiye WU Yu ZHOU Wushan YING 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第12期2023-2039,I0009-I0012,共21页
The extreme floods in the Middle/Lower Yangtze River Valley(MLYRV)during June−July 2020 caused more than 170 billion Chinese Yuan direct economic losses.Here,we examine the key features related to this extreme event a... The extreme floods in the Middle/Lower Yangtze River Valley(MLYRV)during June−July 2020 caused more than 170 billion Chinese Yuan direct economic losses.Here,we examine the key features related to this extreme event and explore relative contributions of SST anomalies in different tropical oceans.Our results reveal that the extreme floods over the MLYRV were tightly related to a strong anomalous anticyclone persisting over the western North Pacific,which brought tropical warm moisture northward that converged over the MLYRV.In addition,despite the absence of a strong El Niño in 2019/2020 winter,the mean SST anomaly in the tropical Indian Ocean during June−July 2020 reached its highest value over the last 40 years,and 43%(57%)of it is attributed to the multi-decadal warming trend(interannual variability).Based on the NUIST CFS1.0 model that successfully predicted the wet conditions over the MLYRV in summer 2020 initiated from 1 March 2020(albeit the magnitude of the predicted precipitation was only about one-seventh of the observed),sensitivity experiment results suggest that the warm SST condition in the Indian Ocean played a dominant role in generating the extreme floods,compared to the contributions of SST anomalies in the Maritime Continent,central and eastern equatorial Pacific,and North Atlantic.Furthermore,both the multi-decadal warming trend and the interannual variability of the Indian Ocean SSTs had positive impacts on the extreme floods.Our results imply that the strong multi-decadal warming trend in the Indian Ocean needs to be taken into consideration for the prediction/projection of summer extreme floods over the MLYRV in the future. 展开更多
关键词 summer extreme floods Middle/Lower Yangtze River El Niño Indian Ocean SST decadal warming trend
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Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts for the Yangtze River Basin in the Extreme Summer of 2020 被引量:3
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作者 Philip E.BETT Gill M.MARTIN +3 位作者 Nick DUNSTONE Adam A.SCAIFE Hazel E.THORNTON Chaofan LI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第12期2212-2220,I0013,共9页
Seasonal forecasts for Yangtze River basin rainfall in June,May–June–July(MJJ),and June–July–August(JJA)2020 are presented,based on the Met Office GloSea5 system.The three-month forecasts are based on dynamical pr... Seasonal forecasts for Yangtze River basin rainfall in June,May–June–July(MJJ),and June–July–August(JJA)2020 are presented,based on the Met Office GloSea5 system.The three-month forecasts are based on dynamical predictions of an East Asian Summer Monsoon(EASM)index,which is transformed into regional-mean rainfall through linear regression.The June rainfall forecasts for the middle/lower Yangtze River basin are based on linear regression of precipitation.The forecasts verify well in terms of giving strong,consistent predictions of above-average rainfall at lead times of at least three months.However,the Yangtze region was subject to exceptionally heavy rainfall throughout the summer period,leading to observed values that lie outside the 95%prediction intervals of the three-month forecasts.The forecasts presented here are consistent with other studies of the 2020 EASM rainfall,whereby the enhanced mei-yu front in early summer is skillfully forecast,but the impact of midlatitude drivers enhancing the rainfall in later summer is not captured.This case study demonstrates both the utility of probabilistic seasonal forecasts for the Yangtze region and the potential limitations in anticipating complex extreme events driven by a combination of coincident factors. 展开更多
关键词 seasonal forecasting flood forecasting Yangtze basin rainfall East Asian summer Monsoon
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THE DIRECT EFFECTS OF AEROSOLS AND DECADAL VARIATION OF GLOBAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ON THE EAST ASIAN SUMMER PRECIPITATION IN CAM3.0 被引量:2
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作者 刘超 胡海波 +1 位作者 张媛 杨修群 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2017年第2期217-228,共12页
Using the CAM3.0 model, we investigated the respective effects of aerosol concentration increasing and decadal variation of global sea surface temperature(SST) around year 1976/77 on the East Asian precipitation in bo... Using the CAM3.0 model, we investigated the respective effects of aerosol concentration increasing and decadal variation of global sea surface temperature(SST) around year 1976/77 on the East Asian precipitation in boreal summer. By doubling the concentration of the sulfate aerosol and black carbon aerosol separately and synchronously in East Asia(100-150 °E, 20-50 °N), the climate effects of these aerosols are specifically investigated. The results show that both the decadal SST changing and aerosol concentration increasing could lead to rainfall decreasing in the center of East Asia, but increasing in the regions along southeast coast areas of China. However, the different patterns of rainfall over ocean and lower wind field over Asian continent between aerosol experiments and SST experiments in CAM3.0 indicate the presence of different mechanisms. In the increased aerosol concentration experiments, scattering effect is the main climate effect for both sulfate and black carbon aerosols in the Eastern Asian summer. Especially in the increased sulfate aerosol concentration experiment, the climate scattering effect of aerosol leads to the most significant temperature decreasing, sinking convection anomalies and decreased rainfall in the troposphere over the central part of East Asia. However, in an increased black carbon aerosol concentration experiment, weakened sinking convection anomalies exist at the southerly position. This weakened sinking and its compensating rising convection anomalies in the south lead to the heavy rainfall over southeast coast areas of China. When concentrations of both sulfate and black carbon aerosols increase synchronously, the anomalous rainfall distribution is somewhat like that in the increased black carbon concentration aerosol experiment but with less intensity. 展开更多
关键词 black carbon aerosol sulfate aerosol global decadal change of SST East Asian summer monsoon precipitation southern flood and northern drought
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Skilful Forecasts of Summer Rainfall in the Yangtze River Basin from November 被引量:2
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作者 Philip E.BETT Nick DUNSTONE +2 位作者 Nicola GOLDING Doug SMITH Chaofan LI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第11期2082-2091,共10页
Variability in the East Asian summer monsoon(EASM)brings the risk of heavy flooding or drought to the Yangtze River basin,with potentially devastating impacts.Early forecasts of the likelihood of enhanced or reduced m... Variability in the East Asian summer monsoon(EASM)brings the risk of heavy flooding or drought to the Yangtze River basin,with potentially devastating impacts.Early forecasts of the likelihood of enhanced or reduced monsoon rainfall can enable better management of water and hydropower resources by decision-makers,supporting livelihoods and major economic and population centres across eastern China.This paper demonstrates that the EASM is predictable in a dynamical forecast model from the preceding November,and that this allows skilful forecasts of summer mean rainfall in the Yangtze River basin at a lead time of six months.The skill for May–June–July rainfall is of a similar magnitude to seasonal forecasts initialised in spring,although the skill in June–July–August is much weaker and not consistently significant.However,there is some evidence for enhanced skill following El Niño events.The potential for decadal-scale variability in forecast skill is also examined,although we find no evidence for significant variation. 展开更多
关键词 seasonal forecasting interannual forecasting flood forecasting Yangtze basin rainfall East Asian summer monsoon
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Magnitude,Scale,and Dynamics of the 2020 Mei-yu Rains and Floods over China 被引量:2
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作者 Ambrogio VOLONTÉ Mark MUETZELFELDT +2 位作者 Reinhard SCHIEMANN Andrew GTURNER Nicholas KLINGAMAN 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第12期2082-2096,共15页
Large parts of East and South Asia were affected by heavy precipitation and flooding during early summer 2020.This study provides both a statistical and dynamical characterization of rains and floods affecting the Yan... Large parts of East and South Asia were affected by heavy precipitation and flooding during early summer 2020.This study provides both a statistical and dynamical characterization of rains and floods affecting the Yangtze River Basin(YRB).By aggregating daily and monthly precipitation over river basins across Asia,it is shown that the YRB is one of the areas that was particularly affected.June and July 2020 rainfall was higher than in the previous 20 years,and the YRB experienced anomalously high rainfall across most of its sub-basins.YRB discharge also attained levels not seen since 1998/1999.An automated method detecting the daily position of the East Asian Summer Monsoon Front(EASMF)is applied to show that the anomalously high YRB precipitation was associated with a halted northward progression of the EASMF and prolonged mei-yu conditions over the YRB lasting more than one month.Two 5-day heavy-precipitation episodes(12−16 June and 4−8 July 2020)are selected from this period for dynamical characterization,including Lagrangian trajectory analysis.Particular attention is devoted to the dynamics of the airstreams converging at the EASMF.Both episodes display heavy precipitation and convergence of monsoonal and subtropical air masses.However,clear differences are identified in the upper-level flow pattern,substantially affecting the balance of airmass advection towards the EASMF.This study contextualizes heavy precipitation in Asia in summer 2020 and showcases several analysis tools developed by the authors for the study of such events. 展开更多
关键词 East Asian summer monsoon 2020 China floods Yangtze River basin mei-yu front extreme precipitation
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Comparative Analysis on Flood Cause in the Nenjiang Basin between 2013 and 1998 被引量:1
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作者 Li Yongsheng Xu Yongqing Wang Ying 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2014年第3期16-21,25,共7页
[Objective]The research aimed to analyze and contrast flood cause in Nenjiang Basin between 2013 and 1998.[Method]Based on meteorological and hydrological data in and around Nenjiang Basin,geographic information syste... [Objective]The research aimed to analyze and contrast flood cause in Nenjiang Basin between 2013 and 1998.[Method]Based on meteorological and hydrological data in and around Nenjiang Basin,geographic information system as data processing platform,statistical methods such as synthesis analysis and correlation analysis were combined to contrast and analyze the flood cause in the Nenjiang Basin between 2013 and1998.[Result]The similarities of two floods in Nenjiang Basin were that rainstorm frequency and summer precipitation were more,and many large and medium-sized reservoirs which undertook the flood control task were running above flood level.In order to protect the safety of reservoir dam,flood discharge volume increased.And the difference was external forcing factor which caused atmospheric circulation abnormality,thus the impact factors of summer more rainfall were not the same.The main reason for more precipitation in Nenjiang Basin in summer of 2013:The northeast cold vortex activity was frequent,and the path was by north;water vapor transport was sufficient at 850 hPa;at 500 hPa,the Eurasian zonal circulation was weak,the West Pacific subtropical high pressure abnormally moved northward,blocking high of the Sea of Okhotsk was obvious,and Heilongjiang region was controlled by negative anomaly in midsummer;East Asian westerly jet location was abnormal at 200 hPa,and East Asian summer monsoon was strong.[Conclusion]The research had very important significance for understanding occurrence rule of flood and improving disaster prevention and mitigation capabilities in Nenjiang Basin. 展开更多
关键词 Nenjiang Basin summer flood Cause analysis China
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Relation among Summer Rainfall in South Shandong and High Pressure in South Asia and Atmospheric Circulation 被引量:1
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作者 GAO An-chun,SHEN Pei-lu,LI Bing-wen,HU Yan,YU Yan-min,ZHU Yi-qing Linyi Meteorological Bureau of Shandong Province,Linyi 276004,China 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2011年第7期41-46,共6页
[Objective] The aim was to study the relation among summer rainfall in south Shandong and high pressure in South Asia and atmospheric circulation.[Method] Taking the precipitation in south Shandong along the Yellow Ri... [Objective] The aim was to study the relation among summer rainfall in south Shandong and high pressure in South Asia and atmospheric circulation.[Method] Taking the precipitation in south Shandong along the Yellow River and Huaihe River,using the NCEP/NCAR data and summer rainfall data in south Shandong in summer from 1961 to 2005,the characteristics of high pressure in South Asia and atmospheric circulation in drought year and flood year in summer in south Shandong Province were expounded.The mechanism of 100 hPa pressure in South Asian influencing precipitation in south Shandong Province was discussed.The interaction of different equipment,different altitude and different system of atmosphere circulation in low and high layer was expounded.[Results] The first mode of EOF decomposition of precipitation in summer in south Shandong Province explained above 63% variances and reflected universal form of precipitation.The difference of central position of the central position of height field of high pressure in South Asia in drought and flood year was small.But the wind field center was inconsistent.As the area of SAH was smaller and its eastern ridge line stretched to the Western Pacific between the middle of south Shandong and Changjiang Estuary,flood summer occurred when there was an unusual cyclone lied in the east of 90° E and south of Lake Baikal.The area of SAH was larger and its eastern ridge line stretching to the Western Pacific over Changjiang Estuary,drought summer occurred,when there was an unusual anticyclone lied in the east of 90° E and south of Lake Baikal.SAH and summer rainfall also had close relationship with Tele-connection Patterns over the Eurasia continent and EAP Tele-connection.When the height anomaly was in '+-+' form in the north of the Caspian Sea,around Lake Baikal and Kamchatka,and when the height anomaly in East Asia-West Pacific area was in '-+' form from low altitude to high altitude,there was much precipitation in summer;and conversely,it was drought in summer in south Shandong.[Conclusion] It provided the oretical basis for summer rainfall in south Shandong. 展开更多
关键词 summer rainfall in the south of Shandong Province drought and flood High pressure in South Asia Atmospheric circulation China
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海温异常对长江流域夏季典型旱涝的影响研究 被引量:1
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作者 张灵 熊开国 +1 位作者 郭广芬 张俊 《人民长江》 北大核心 2024年第4期118-124,共7页
为研究长江流域夏季旱涝特征及其与海温异常之间的关联性,基于中国326个气象站降水量、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料等,采用合成分析、EOF分解等方法,分析了长江流域夏季典型旱涝年的降水分布、同期大气环流及前期海温特征,并以2018年为例,初步... 为研究长江流域夏季旱涝特征及其与海温异常之间的关联性,基于中国326个气象站降水量、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料等,采用合成分析、EOF分解等方法,分析了长江流域夏季典型旱涝年的降水分布、同期大气环流及前期海温特征,并以2018年为例,初步揭示了2018年前期海温异常对大气环流的可能影响。结果表明:①长江流域夏季典型旱年,仅嘉陵江和岷沱江会表现出局部偏涝,全国为典型的Ⅰ类雨型,多雨区位于黄河流域及以北地区。前期冬季赤道太平洋表现出类拉尼娜的东冷西暖分布,同时黑潮区海温偏低,西风漂流区海温偏暖。受多海域协同作用,同期欧亚环流场上自西北向东南呈现出“+-+”三极型分布,东亚地区为自北向南“-+-”的EAP负位相。长江流域典型涝年,全国多为典型的Ⅱ类和Ⅲ类雨型,环流及海温呈现出相反特征。②2018年为典型的长江中下游偏旱年,仅在岷沱江降水偏多近3成,为历史第4多,与长江流域夏季降水的主模态正位相类似,解释方差达24%。③2018年前冬出现弱拉尼娜、春末夏初西风漂流区异常偏暖、NAT异常正位相,三者共同作用,使得东亚副热带西风急流偏北,东亚沿岸出现EAP负位相,大陆热低压明显偏强,东亚夏季风为1961年以来最强,同时副高脊线最北,造成夏季降水主雨带北推至华北、西北地区,岷沱江、嘉陵江异常多,而长江中下游异常少,为典型的Ⅰ类雨型。研究成果可为长江流域旱涝预测、水资源调度提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 夏季典型旱涝 海温异常 Ⅰ类雨型 拉尼娜 西风漂流区 长江流域
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汉江流域2021年伏秋连汛降水季内差异特征及成因分析
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作者 肖莺 高雅琦 +1 位作者 杜良敏 任永建 《干旱气象》 2024年第4期563-575,共13页
汉江流域是中国重要的调水水源区,研究其降水特征对防涝抗旱具有重要意义。基于汉江流域62个国家气象站降水资料及美国国家环境预报中心/国家大气研究中心(National Center for Envi⁃ronmental Prediction/National Center for Atmosphe... 汉江流域是中国重要的调水水源区,研究其降水特征对防涝抗旱具有重要意义。基于汉江流域62个国家气象站降水资料及美国国家环境预报中心/国家大气研究中心(National Center for Envi⁃ronmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research,NCEP/NCAR)再分析资料,通过百分位数、相关分析和T-N波作用通量,探讨了2021年伏秋(8—10月)连汛期间汉江降水的季内差异特征及其与大气环流和海温的关系。结果表明:2021年伏秋期间,汉江上游流域出现破纪录降水,极端性强、总量大。降水在伏夏和秋季两个时段均偏多,但秋季的多雨区位置更偏北。伏夏期间,北大西洋经西伯利亚向东频散的Rossby波使得欧亚上空维持“两槽两脊”,冷空气较强,同时西太平洋副热带高压(简称“副高”)强势西伸,通过西南和偏东两支通道向北输送暖湿水汽;冷暖空气在高空急流南侧对峙并辐合上升,导致降水异常偏多。秋季,北太平洋频散的Rossby波使得欧亚上空维持“两槽一脊”,冷空气较弱;副高断裂导致水汽通道偏南,高空急流北抬使冷暖空气辐合上升位置偏北,造成雨区偏北。2021年汉江流域伏夏降水异常受热带东大西洋海温正异常影响,秋季受赤道中太平洋冷海温影响。 展开更多
关键词 伏秋连汛 季内差异 T-N波作用通量 热带海温
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Interdecadal variation of East Asian summer monsoon and drought/flood distribution over eastern China in the last 159 years 被引量:5
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作者 LI Qian WEI Fengying LI Dongliang 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第4期579-593,共15页
Based on the drought/flood grades of 90 meterological stations over eastern China and summer average sea-level pressure (SLP) during 1850-2008 and BPCCA statistical methods, the coupling relationship between the dro... Based on the drought/flood grades of 90 meterological stations over eastern China and summer average sea-level pressure (SLP) during 1850-2008 and BPCCA statistical methods, the coupling relationship between the drought/flood grades and the East Asian summer SLP is analyzed. The East Asian summer monsoon index which is closely related with interdecadal variation of drought/flood distribution over eastern China is defined by using the key areas of SLP. The impact of the interdecadal variation of the East Asian summer monsoon on the distribution of drought/flood over eastern China in the last 159 years is researched. The results show that there are four typical drought and flood spatial distribution patterns in eastern China, i.e. the distribution of drought/flood in southern China is contrary to the other regions, the distribution of drought/flood along the Huanghe River–Huaihe River Valley is contrary to the Yangtze River Valley and regions south of it, the distribution of drought/flood along the Yangtze River Valley and Huaihe River Valley is contrary to the other regions, the distribution of drought/flood in eastern China is contrary to the western. The main distribution pattern of SLP in summer is that the strength of SLP is opposite in Asian continent and West Pacific. It has close relationship between the interdecadal variation of drought/flood distribution patterns over eastern China and the interdecadal variation of the East Asian summer monsoon which was defined in this paper, but the correlation is not stable and it has a significant difference in changes of interdecadal phase. When the East Asian summer monsoon was stronger (weaker), regions north of the Yangtze River Valley was more susceptible to drought (flood), the Yangtze River Valley and regions south of it were more susceptible to flood (drought) before the 1920s; when the East Asian summer monsoon was stronger (weaker), the regions north of the Yangtze River Valley was prone to flood (drought), the Yangtze River Valley and regions south of it were prone to drought (flood) after the 1920s. It is indicated that by using the data of the longer period could get much richer results than by using the data of the last 50–60 years. The differences in the interdecadal phase between the East Asian summer monsoon and the drought/flood distributions in eastern China may be associated with the nonlinear feedback, which is the East Asian summer monsoon for the extrinsic forcing of solar activity. 展开更多
关键词 eastern China drought/flood distribution East Asian summer monsoon interdecadal variation
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