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Dynamic adaptive spatio-temporal graph network for COVID-19 forecasting
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作者 Xiaojun Pu Jiaqi Zhu +3 位作者 Yunkun Wu Chang Leng Zitong Bo Hongan Wang 《CAAI Transactions on Intelligence Technology》 SCIE EI 2024年第3期769-786,共18页
Appropriately characterising the mixed space-time relations of the contagion process caused by hybrid space and time factors remains the primary challenge in COVID-19 forecasting.However,in previous deep learning mode... Appropriately characterising the mixed space-time relations of the contagion process caused by hybrid space and time factors remains the primary challenge in COVID-19 forecasting.However,in previous deep learning models for epidemic forecasting,spatial and temporal variations are captured separately.A unified model is developed to cover all spatio-temporal relations.However,this measure is insufficient for modelling the complex spatio-temporal relations of infectious disease transmission.A dynamic adaptive spatio-temporal graph network(DASTGN)is proposed based on attention mechanisms to improve prediction accuracy.In DASTGN,complex spatio-temporal relations are depicted by adaptively fusing the mixed space-time effects and dynamic space-time dependency structure.This dual-scale model considers the time-specific,space-specific,and direct effects of the propagation process at the fine-grained level.Furthermore,the model characterises impacts from various space-time neighbour blocks under time-varying interventions at the coarse-grained level.The performance comparisons on the three COVID-19 datasets reveal that DASTGN achieves state-of-the-art results with a maximum improvement of 17.092%in the root mean-square error and 11.563%in the mean absolute error.Experimental results indicate that the mechanisms of designing DASTGN can effectively detect some spreading characteristics of COVID-19.The spatio-temporal weight matrices learned in each proposed module reveal diffusion patterns in various scenarios.In conclusion,DASTGN has successfully captured the dynamic spatio-temporal variations of COVID-19,and considering multiple dynamic space-time relationships is essential in epidemic forecasting. 展开更多
关键词 ADAPTIVE COVID-19 forecasting dynamic INTERVENTION spatio-temporal graph neural networks
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Research on the Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Driving Forces of Green Spaces in the Central Urban Area of Zunyi City
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作者 Juan Du 《Journal of Architectural Research and Development》 2024年第4期8-16,共9页
Green space,as a medium for carrying out urban functions and guiding urban development,is becoming a scarce resource along with the urbanization process and the intensification of environmental problems.In the face of... Green space,as a medium for carrying out urban functions and guiding urban development,is becoming a scarce resource along with the urbanization process and the intensification of environmental problems.In the face of the spatial mismatch between high demand and low supply,it is of great significance to clarify the evolution mechanism of green space to undertake national spatial planning,protect the natural strategic resources in the urban fringe area,and promote the sustainable development of the“three living spaces.”The study focuses on the Zunyi City Center,selecting the 20 years of rapid development following its establishment as a city as the study period.It explores the dynamic evolution of green space and the main driving forces during different periods using remote-sensing image data.The study shows that from 2003 to 2023,the total scale of green space has an obvious decreasing trend along with the expansion of the urban built-up area.A large amount of arable land is being converted to construction land,resulting in a sudden decrease in arable land area.In the past 10 years,the comprehensive land use dynamics have accelerated.Still,the spatial difference has gradually narrowed,indicating that the overall development intensity of Zunyi City’s central urban area has increased.There is a gradual spread of the trend to the hilly areas.The limiting effect of the mountainous natural environment on the city’s development has gradually diminished under the superposition of external factors,such as economic development,industrial technological upgrading,and policy orientation so the importance of the effective protection and rational utilization of urban green space has become more prominent. 展开更多
关键词 Green space spatio-temporal evolution Driving force Zunyi city center
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Modified Differential Evolution Algorithm for Solving Dynamic Optimization with Existence of Infeasible Environments
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作者 Mohamed A.Meselhi Saber M.Elsayed +1 位作者 Daryl L.Essam Ruhul A.Sarker 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第1期1-17,共17页
Dynamic constrained optimization is a challenging research topic in which the objective function and/or constraints change over time.In such problems,it is commonly assumed that all problem instances are feasible.In r... Dynamic constrained optimization is a challenging research topic in which the objective function and/or constraints change over time.In such problems,it is commonly assumed that all problem instances are feasible.In reality some instances can be infeasible due to various practical issues,such as a sudden change in resource requirements or a big change in the availability of resources.Decision-makers have to determine whether a particular instance is feasible or not,as infeasible instances cannot be solved as there are no solutions to implement.In this case,locating the nearest feasible solution would be valuable information for the decision-makers.In this paper,a differential evolution algorithm is proposed for solving dynamic constrained problems that learns from past environments and transfers important knowledge from them to use in solving the current instance and includes a mechanism for suggesting a good feasible solution when an instance is infeasible.To judge the performance of the proposed algorithm,13 well-known dynamic test problems were solved.The results indicate that the proposed algorithm outperforms existing recent algorithms with a margin of 79.40%over all the environments and it can also find a good,but infeasible solution,when an instance is infeasible. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic optimization constrained optimization DISRUPTION differential evolution
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Regional difference and dynamic evolution of development quality of power industry in China
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作者 Sha Yu Yongjian Pu +2 位作者 Lefeng Shi Hao Yu Yixiang Huang 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2023年第1期1-12,共12页
To achieve the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality and maintain high-quality economic growth,China is currently striving to improve the quality of development of its power sector.In this regard,revealing the... To achieve the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality and maintain high-quality economic growth,China is currently striving to improve the quality of development of its power sector.In this regard,revealing the regional differences and evolutionary trends in the development quality of China’power sector has a high value to inspire the next improvement direction toward how to integrate regional power recourses to an overall optimization level.Motived by this purpose,this paper uses the entropy method to evaluate the com‐prehensive and subsystem indices of the development quality of the power industry,and reveals their re‐gional differences and evolutionary trends with the help of the Dagum Gini coefficient and Kernel density es‐timation methods.The findings show that:There are obvious regional differences in the development quality of China’s power industry,and the differences are steadily declining in all regions except the West.Regional differences are mainly derived from inter-regional differences,with the largest inter-regional differences in the East-Northeast region.Intra-regional differences show a distribution pattern of East>West>North‐east>Center. 展开更多
关键词 Development quality of power industry Regional difference The Dagum Gini dynamic evolution Kernel density
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Flow softening behavior and microstructure evolution of Al-5Zn-2Mg aluminum alloy during dynamic recovery 被引量:13
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作者 李落星 王冠 +1 位作者 刘杰 姚再起 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第1期42-48,共7页
The flow stress behavior and microstructure development of Al-5Zn-2Mg (7005) aluminum alloy were studied by hot compression tests at deformation temperatures between 300-500 &#176;C and strain rates between 0.05-50... The flow stress behavior and microstructure development of Al-5Zn-2Mg (7005) aluminum alloy were studied by hot compression tests at deformation temperatures between 300-500 &#176;C and strain rates between 0.05-50 s-1. The deformed structures of the samples were observed by optical microscopy (OM), transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and electron backscattering diffraction (EBSD) analysis. The calculated activation energy is 147 kJ/mol, which is very close to the activation energy for lattice self-diffusion in aluminum (142 kJ/mol). Dynamic recovery is the dominant restoration mechanism during the deformation. At high strain rate of 50 s-1, temperature rise due to deformation heating leads to a significant flow softening. Microstructure observations indicated that the remaining softening after deformation heating correction at high strain rate and the softening observed at high temperature are associated with grain coarsening induced by grain boundary migration during dynamic recovery process. 展开更多
关键词 7005 aluminum alloy DEFORMATION dynamic recovery flow softening microstructure evolution
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Dynamic Development Characteristics and Driving Factors of High Quality Development Level in China’s Five Major Urban Agglomerations
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作者 ZOU Weiyong XU Lingli 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第5期777-790,共14页
High-quality development is the primary task of comprehensively building a socialist,modern country,as well as the primary task of building urban agglomerations in China.Based on the five development concepts,this pap... High-quality development is the primary task of comprehensively building a socialist,modern country,as well as the primary task of building urban agglomerations in China.Based on the five development concepts,this paper used the entropy method to measure the High Quality Development Index(HQDI)of the five major urban agglomerations.The results showed that the HQDI of the five major urban agglomerations shows a fluctuating upward trend.First,using the Dagum Gini coefficient to explore the sources of HQDI development differences in urban agglomerations,we found that the main source of HQDI differences in urban agglomerations was inter-regional differences,while intra-regional differences were not important.Second,kernel density estimation was used to test the dynamic evolution trend of HQDI within urban agglomerations.There was a polarisation phenomenon in the HQDI of urban agglomerations,such as the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration and the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration.But overall,the degree of imbalance had decreased.Third,using geographic detectors to examine the driving factors of HQDI in urban agglomerations,we found that the main driving forces for improving HQDI in urban agglomerations were economic growth,artificial intelligence technology and fiscal decentralisation.All the interaction factors had greater explanatory power for the spatial differentiation of HQDI,which can be divided into two types:two-factor improvement and non-linear improvement.This study is conducive to improving and enriching the theoretical system for evaluating the high quality development of urban agglomerations,and provides policy references for promoting the high quality development of urban agglomerations. 展开更多
关键词 urban agglomeration High Quality Development Index(HQDI) spatio-temporal evolution driving factors
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Effect of Gd Addition on Hot Deformation Behavior and Microstructure Evolution of 7075 Aluminum Alloy
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作者 LI Yajie FAN Xuran +2 位作者 QIN Fengming ZHAO Xiaodong CAO Kefan 《Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Materials Science)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第6期1595-1612,共18页
In order to clarify the effect of rare earth Gd on the microstructure evolution and deformation behavior of 7075 aluminum alloy during hot compression,uniaxial compression tests of Al-Zn-Mg-Cu-0.5%Gd were conducted at... In order to clarify the effect of rare earth Gd on the microstructure evolution and deformation behavior of 7075 aluminum alloy during hot compression,uniaxial compression tests of Al-Zn-Mg-Cu-0.5%Gd were conducted at strain rates of 0.001,0.01,0.1,and 1 s^(-1)with the temperatures ranging from 350 to 450℃.The microstructural evolution during deformation was characterized using optical microscopy and electron backscatter diffraction(EBSD)techniques.The experimental results indicate that the addition of the rare earth element Gd significantly increases the peak flow stress and thermal activation energy of the alloy.Due to the pinning effect of rare earth phases,dislocation movement is hindered,leading to an increased level of work hardening in the alloy.However,the dynamic recrystallization of the alloy is complicated.At a high Z(Zener-Hollomon parameter)values,recrystallization occurs in the form of DDRX(Discontinuous Dynamic Recrystallization),making it easier to nucleate at grain boundaries.As the Z value decreases gradually,the recrystallization mechanism transitions from discontinuous dynamic recrystallization(DDRX)to continuous dynamic recrystallization(CDRX).At a low Z values with the strain rate of 0.001 s^(-1),the inhibitory effect of rare earths weakens,resulting in a comparable recrystallization ratio between Al-Zn-Mg-Cu-Gd alloy and 7075 aluminum alloy.Moreover,the average grain size of the aluminum alloy with Gd addition is only half that of 7075 aluminum.The addition of Gd provides Orowan and substructure strengthening for the alloy,which greatly improves the work-hardening of the alloy compared with 7075 aluminum alloy and improves the strength of the alloy. 展开更多
关键词 Al-Zn-Mg-Cu-Gd hot deformation behavior constitutive model dynamic recrystallization microstructure evolution
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Dynamic in situ reconstruction of NiSe_(2) promoted by interfacial Ce_(2)(CO_(3))_(2)O for enhanced water oxidation
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作者 Fengli Wei Jinghao Shen +6 位作者 Jiayin Xie Zuyang Luo Luyan Shi Tayirjan Taylor Isimjan Xiulin Yang Jieshan Qiu Bin Wu 《Journal of Energy Chemistry》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第11期472-480,共9页
Understanding and manipulating the structural evolution of water oxidation electrocatalysts lays the foundation to finetune their catalytic activity.Herein,we present a synthesis of NiSe_(2)-Ce_(2)(CO_(3))_(2)O hetero... Understanding and manipulating the structural evolution of water oxidation electrocatalysts lays the foundation to finetune their catalytic activity.Herein,we present a synthesis of NiSe_(2)-Ce_(2)(CO_(3))_(2)O heterostructure and demonstrate the efficacy of interfacial Ce_(2)(CO_(3))2O in promoting the formation of catalytically active centers to improve oxygen evolution activity.In-situ Raman spectroscopy shows that incorporation of Ce_(2)(CO_(3))2O into NiSe_(2) causes a cathodic shift of the Ni^(2+)→Ni~(3+) transition potential.Operando electrochemical impedance spectroscopy reveals that strong electronic coupling at heterogeneous interface accelerates charge transfer process.Furthermore,density functional theory calculations suggest that actual catalytic active species of NiOOH transformed from NiSe_(2),which is coupled with Ce_(2)(CO_(3))_(2)O,can optimize electronic structure and decrease the free energy barriers toward fast oxygen evolution reaction(OER) kinetics.Consequently,the resultant NiSe_(2)-Ce_(2)(CO_(3))_(2)O electrode exhibits remarkable electrocatalytic performance with low overpotentials(268/304 mV@50/100 mA cm^(-2)) and excellent stability(50 mA cm^(-2) for 120 h) in the alkaline electrolyte.This work emphasizes the significance of modulating the dynamic changes in developing efficient electrocatalyst. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic reconstruction Oxygen evolution reaction HETEROSTRUCTURE In situ characterization Density functional theory
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Uncertainty quantification of mechanism motion based on coupled mechanism—motor dynamic model for ammunition delivery system
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作者 Jinsong Tang Linfang Qian +3 位作者 Longmiao Chen Guangsong Chen Mingming Wang Guangzu Zhou 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第3期125-133,共9页
In this paper,a dynamic modeling method of motor driven electromechanical system is presented,and the uncertainty quantification of mechanism motion is investigated based on this method.The main contribution is to pro... In this paper,a dynamic modeling method of motor driven electromechanical system is presented,and the uncertainty quantification of mechanism motion is investigated based on this method.The main contribution is to propose a novel mechanism-motor coupling dynamic modeling method,in which the relationship between mechanism motion and motor rotation is established according to the geometric coordination of the system.The advantages of this include establishing intuitive coupling between the mechanism and motor,facilitating the discussion for the influence of both mechanical and electrical parameters on the mechanism,and enabling dynamic simulation with controller to take the randomness of the electric load into account.Dynamic simulation considering feedback control of ammunition delivery system is carried out,and the feasibility of the model is verified experimentally.Based on probability density evolution theory,we comprehensively discuss the effects of system parameters on mechanism motion from the perspective of uncertainty quantization.Our work can not only provide guidance for engineering design of ammunition delivery mechanism,but also provide theoretical support for modeling and uncertainty quantification research of mechatronics system. 展开更多
关键词 Ammunition delivery system Electromechanical coupling dynamics Uncertainty quantification Generalized probability density evolution
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Interfacial coordination bonds accelerate charge separation for unprecedented hydrogen evolution over S-scheme heterojunction
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作者 Chunxue Li Hao Lu +4 位作者 Guixiang Ding Tianyi Ma Shiyong Liu Li Zhang Guangfu Liao 《Chinese Journal of Catalysis》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第10期174-184,共11页
Inspired by natural photosynthesis,fabricating high-performance S-scheme heterojunction is regarded as a successful tactic to address energy and environmental issues.Herein,NH_(2)-MIL-125(Ti)/Zn_(0.5)Cd_(0.5)S/NiS(NMT... Inspired by natural photosynthesis,fabricating high-performance S-scheme heterojunction is regarded as a successful tactic to address energy and environmental issues.Herein,NH_(2)-MIL-125(Ti)/Zn_(0.5)Cd_(0.5)S/NiS(NMT/ZCS/NiS)S-scheme heterojunction with interfacial coordination bonds is successfully synthesized through in-situ solvothermal strategy.Notably,the optimal NMT/ZCS/NiS S-scheme heterojunction exhibits comparable photocatalytic H_(2)evolution(PHE)rate of about 14876.7μmol h^(−1)g^(−1)with apparent quantum yield of 24.2%at 420 nm,which is significantly higher than that of recently reported MOFs-based photocatalysts.The interfacial coordination bonds(Zn–N,Cd–N,and Ni–N bonds)accelerate the separation and transfer of photogenerated charges,and the NiS as cocatalyst can provide more catalytically active sites,which synergistically improve the photocatalytic performance.Moreover,theoretical calculation results display that the construction of NMT/ZCS/NiS S-scheme heterojunction also optimize the binding energy of active site-adsorbed hydrogen atoms to enable fast adsorption and desorption.Photoassisted Kelvin probe force microscopy,in-situ irradiation X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy,femtosecond transient absorption spectroscopy,and theoretical calculations provide sufficient evidence of the S-scheme charge migration mechanism.This work offers unique viewpoints for simultaneously accelerating the charge dynamics and optimizing the binding strength between the active sites and hydrogen adsorbates over S-scheme heterojunction. 展开更多
关键词 Interfacial coordination bond S-schemeheterojunction Photocatalytic H_(2)evolution Charge dynamics Free energy barrier
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Effect of TiB_(2)Nanoparticles on Microstructure and Mechanical Properties of Ni_(60)Cr_(21)Fe_(19)Alloy in Rapid Directional Solidification Process:Molecular Dynamics Study
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作者 WANG Jin JIANG Wugui HU Chenxi 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2024年第5期575-588,共14页
Molecular dynamics(MD)simulations are employed to delve into the multifaceted effects of TiB2 nanoparticles on the intricate grain refinement mechanism,microstructural evolution,and tensile performance of Inconel 718 ... Molecular dynamics(MD)simulations are employed to delve into the multifaceted effects of TiB2 nanoparticles on the intricate grain refinement mechanism,microstructural evolution,and tensile performance of Inconel 718 superalloys during the rapid directional solidification.Specifically,the study focuses on elucidating the role of TiB2 nanoparticles in augmenting the nucleation rate during the rapid directional solidification process of Ni60Cr21Fe19 alloy system.Furthermore,subsequent tensile simulations are conducted to comprehensively evaluate the anisotropic behavior of tensile properties within the solidified microstructures.The MD results reveal that the incorporation of TiB₂nanoparticles during the rapid directional solidification of the Ni_(60)Cr_(21)Fe_(19)significantly enhances the average nucleation rate,escalating it from 1.27×10^(34)m^(-3)·s^(-1)to 2.55×10^(34)m^(-3)·s^(-1).Notably,within the face centered cube(FCC)structure,Ni atoms exhibit pronounced compositional segregation,and the solidified alloy maintains an exceptionally high dislocation density reaching up to 10^(16)m^(-2).Crucially,the rapid directional solidification process imparts a distinct microstructural anisotropy,leading to a notable disparity in tensile strength.Specifically,the tensile strength along the solidification direction is markedly superior to that perpendicular to it.This disparity arises from different deformation mechanisms under varying loading orientations.Tensile stress perpendicular to the solidification direction encourages the formation of smooth and organized mechanical twins.These twins act as slip planes,enhancing dislocation mobility and thereby improving stress relaxation and dispersion.Moreover,the results underscore the profound strengthening effect of TiB2 nanoparticles,particularly in enhancing the tensile strength along the rapid directional solidification direction. 展开更多
关键词 TiB_(2)nanoparticle rapid directional solidification microstructure evolution molecular dynamics
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A novel refined dynamic model of high-speed maglev train-bridge coupled system for random vibration and running safety assessment
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作者 MAO Jian-feng LI Dao-hang +3 位作者 YU Zhi-wu CAI Wen-feng GUO Wei ZHANG Guang-wen 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第7期2532-2544,共13页
Running safety assessment and tracking irregularity parametric sensitivity analysis of high-speed maglev train-bridge system are of great concern,especially need perfect refinement models in which all properties can b... Running safety assessment and tracking irregularity parametric sensitivity analysis of high-speed maglev train-bridge system are of great concern,especially need perfect refinement models in which all properties can be well characterized based on various stochastic excitations.A three-dimensional refined spatial random vibration analysis model of high-speed maglev train-bridge coupled system is established in this paper,in which multi-source uncertainty excitation can be considered simultaneously,and the probability density evolution method(PDEM)is adopted to reveal the system-specific uncertainty dynamic characteristic.The motion equation of the maglev vehicle model is composed of multi-rigid bodies with a total 210-degrees of freedom for each vehicle,and a refined electromagnetic force-air gap model is used to account for the interaction and coupling effect between the moving train and track beam bridges,which are directly established by using finite element method.The model is proven to be applicable by comparing with Monte Carlo simulation.By applying the proposed stochastic framework to the high maglev line,the random dynamic responses of maglev vehicles running on the bridges are studied for running safety and stability assessment.Moreover,the effects of track irregularity wavelength range under different amplitude and running speeds on the coupled system are investigated.The results show that the augmentation of train speed will move backward the sensitive wavelength interval,and track irregularity amplitude influences the response remarkably in the sensitive interval. 展开更多
关键词 maglev train-bridge interaction electromagnetic force-air gap model stochastic dynamic analysis running safety assessment probability density evolution method
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EVOLUTION OF DYNAMIC GAMES AND BACKWARD INDUCTION 被引量:1
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作者 史剑新 韩文秀 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2001年第1期61-63,共3页
As an efficient method of solving subgame-perfect Nash equilibrium,the backward induction is analyzed from an evolutionary point of view in this paper,replacing a player with a population and turning a game into a pop... As an efficient method of solving subgame-perfect Nash equilibrium,the backward induction is analyzed from an evolutionary point of view in this paper,replacing a player with a population and turning a game into a population game,which shows that equilibrium of a perfect information game is the unique evolutionarily stable outcome for dynamic models in the limit. 展开更多
关键词 backward induction dynamic games of perfect information subgame-perfect Nash equilibrium evolution
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Experimental investigation on failure process and spatio-temporal evolution of rockburst in granite with a prefabricated circular hole 被引量:13
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作者 LIU Chong-yan ZHAO Guang-ming +4 位作者 XU Wen-song MENG Xiang-rui HUANG Shun-jie ZHOU Jun WANG Yun-kun 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第10期2930-2944,共15页
To study the mechanism of rockburst and its spatio-temporal evolution criterion,a rockburst simulation experiment was performed on granite specimens,each with a prefabricated circular hole,under different lateral load... To study the mechanism of rockburst and its spatio-temporal evolution criterion,a rockburst simulation experiment was performed on granite specimens,each with a prefabricated circular hole,under different lateral loads.Using micro camera,acoustic emission(AE)system,and infrared thermal imager,the AE characteristics and thermal radiation temperature migration were studied during the rockburst process.Then,the failure mode and damage evolution of the surrounding rock were analyzed.The results demonstrate that increasing the lateral load can first increase and then reduce the bearing capacity of the hole.In this experiment,the hole failure process could be divided into four periods:quiet,particle ejection,stability failure and collapse.Correspondingly,the AE signals evolved from a calm stage,to have intermittent appearance;then,they were continuous with a sudden increase,and finally increased dramatically.The failure of the surrounding rock was mainly tensile failure,while shear failure tended to first increase and then decrease.Meanwhile,damage to the hole increased gradually during the particle ejection period,whereas damage to the rockburst mainly occurred in the stability failure period.The thermal radiation temperature migration exhibited warming in shallow parts,inward expansion,cooling in the shallow parts with free surface heating,inward expansion,a sudden rise in temperature of the rockburst pits,and finally specimen failure.The initial reinforcement support should fully contribute to surface support.Furthermore,an appropriate tensile capacity and good energy absorption capacity should be established in support systems for high-stress roadways. 展开更多
关键词 ROCKBURST acoustic emission spatio-temporal evolution thermal imaging
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Distributional dynamic and trend evolution of China's agricultural carbon emissions-an analysis on panel data of 31 provinces from 2002 to 2011 被引量:7
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作者 Yun Tian Junbiao Zhang Qiqi Chen 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2015年第3期206-214,共9页
Researching the dynamic distribution characteristics and trend evolution of agricultural carbon emissions is of considerable significance in formulating an effective agricultural carbon reduction policy.Based on measu... Researching the dynamic distribution characteristics and trend evolution of agricultural carbon emissions is of considerable significance in formulating an effective agricultural carbon reduction policy.Based on measurement of agricultural carbon emissions of 31 provinces over the period 2002-2011,the study observed regional differences and the dynamic evolution of distribution of agricultural carbon emissions using agricultural carbon intensity as the indicator,accompanied by Gini coefficients and the kernel density estimation method.The results demonstrate first that agricultural carbon emissions for China show an obvious nonequilibrium nature in regard to spatial distribution.According to the differences in agricultural carbon emissions dynamic trends,we divided the 31 regions into four types- continuous decline,fluctuating decline,continuous increase,and fluctuating increase.Further,agricultural carbon emissions intensity showed a downward trend with significant differences in the research areas.Second,the gap in spatial distribution of national agricultural carbon emissions is gradually expanding based on the results calculated by Gini coefficient.From the perception of regional differences in agricultural carbon emissions,the eastern region showed an average level,the gap was more obvious in the central region,while western region showed a trend of fluctuating downward.Third,according to estimation by kernel density,the regional disparity in agricultural carbon emissions had a downward,but limited,trend.In regard to agricultural carbon emissions over the three areas,the regional gap not only tended to decrease but also showed a "four way" differentiation phenomenon in the eastern region.The difference in the central region difference was narrower.On the whole,the gap for the western region reduced steadily over a small range. 展开更多
关键词 China agricultural carbon emissions distributional dynamic TREND evolution KERNEL density
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GLOBAL VIEW OF MICROSTRUCTURAL EVOLUTION:ENERGETICS,KINETICS AND DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS 被引量:4
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作者 杨卫 锁志钢 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 1996年第2期144-157,共14页
An evolving material structure is in a non-equilibrium state, with free energy expressed by the generalized coordinates. A global approach leads to robust computations for the generalized thermodynamic forces. Those f... An evolving material structure is in a non-equilibrium state, with free energy expressed by the generalized coordinates. A global approach leads to robust computations for the generalized thermodynamic forces. Those forces drive various kinetic processes, causing dissipation at spots, along curves, surfaces and interfaces, and within volumetric regions. The actual evolution path, and therefore the final equilibrium state, is determined by the energetics and kinetics. A virtual work principle Links the free energy landscape and the kinetic processes, and assigns a viscous environment to every point on the landscape. The approach leads to a dynamical system that governs the evolution of generalized coordinates. The microstructural evolution is globally characterized by a basin map in the coordinate space; and by a diversity map and a variety map in the parameter space. The control of basin boundaries raises the issue of energetic and kinetic bifurcations. The variation of basin boundaries under different sets of controlling parameters provides an analytical way to plot the diversity maps of structural evolution. 展开更多
关键词 microstructural evolution ENERGETICS KINETICS dynamic system
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Dynamical characteristics of geomorphologic evolution of the basins covered by Pisha-sandstone in the eastern wing of the Ordos Plateau, China 被引量:4
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作者 GU Zhen-kui SHI Chang-xing 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第5期1046-1056,共11页
There are several basins with high sediment yield in the Pisha-sandstone covering area of the east wing of the Ordos Plateau. Due to the lack of targeted research on the dynamical characteristics of geomorphic evoluti... There are several basins with high sediment yield in the Pisha-sandstone covering area of the east wing of the Ordos Plateau. Due to the lack of targeted research on the dynamical characteristics of geomorphic evolution that plays an important role in the sand production, this paper analyzed the tectonic activity intensity and erosion characteristics of the area. The results show that the intensity of tectonic activities in the area is generally moderateweak and shows an unconspicuous increase from north to south. Tectonic activity is manifested mainly in the form of uplift. The uplift rate in the lower reaches of each basin is greater than the erosion rate,which is prominent in the Kuyehe and the Tuweihe rivers. During the uplift of the regional topography,the most serious parts under erosion are generally concentrated in the upstream and midstream of basins. All longitudinal profiles of the basins have a shape close to an exponential function, which indicates that they are in the early stage of erosion evolution. The mechanisms of geomorphologic evolution of these basins have a great similarity. The conservative estimate of historical average erosion rate was less than 182–520 t/(km^2·yr), much less than that of the modern times. The average stream power values are typically distributed between 4 and102 W/m, with the larger being in the Kuyehe and the Tuweihe rivers and the smallest being in the Qinshuihe River. The maximum stream power value appears in the downstream reach, which should be the main reason for the particles being directly injected into the Yellow River. From the perspective of geomorphological evolution, the current soil and water conservation measures can hardly cure the erosion of these basins in the long run. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic characteristics Geomorphologic evolution ORDOS PLATEAU Tectonicactivity Stream power Geomorphological parameter
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Spatio-temporal Evolution of Marine Fishery Industry Ecosystem Vulnerability in the Bohai Rim Region 被引量:5
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作者 LI Bo JIN Xiaoming 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第6期1052-1064,共13页
The building of the ocean power strategy and the implementation of the blue agriculture plan urgently need to strengthen the sustainable development of marine fishery.Taking vulnerability as the starting point, this p... The building of the ocean power strategy and the implementation of the blue agriculture plan urgently need to strengthen the sustainable development of marine fishery.Taking vulnerability as the starting point, this paper constructs the vulnerability index system of marine fishery industry ecosystem from the aspects of sensitivity and response capacity, and combines the entropy method with the Topsis to comprehensively analyze the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of vulnerability of marine fishery industry ecosystem in the Bohai Rim Region from 2001 to 2015.The results show that: 1) In the time dimension, from 2001 to 2015, the vulnerability of the marine fishery industry ecosystem in the Bohai Rim Region shows a fluctuant and degressive trend;2) In the spatial dimension, the spatial distribution of the marine fishery industry ecosystem vulnerability in the Bohai Rim Region presents the gradient characteristics which shows high vulnerability in the east and low vulnerability in the west.According to the evolution track of the system’s vulnerability level, the vulnerability of the marine fishery industry ecosystem is divided into ‘declining’ and ‘stable’ types of evolutionary structures;3) The development of marine fishery in the Bohai Rim Region needs to be derived from the marine fishery’s ecological environment and the industrial development mode and structure, which can improve the marine environment remediation efforts, optimize the marine fishery industry structure, vigorously focus on pelagic fishery, and enhance the introduction of marine fishery’s science and technology talents, etc.Then, the marine fishery’s development in the Bohai Rim Region will be moving in the green, circular and sustainable direction. 展开更多
关键词 MARINE FISHERY MARINE INDUSTRY ecosystem vulnerability spatio-temporal evolution Bohai RIM Region
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Spatio-temporal evolution of ecologically-sustainable land use in China's Loess Plateau and detection of its influencing factors 被引量:5
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作者 QU Lu-lu LIU Yan-sui CHEN Zong-feng 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第5期1065-1074,共10页
Ecological land(Eco-land) is a basic resource for human beings to survive, and eco-land use is a strategy, a way to manage the land resource. So, ecologically-sustainable land use is essential for human beings to surv... Ecological land(Eco-land) is a basic resource for human beings to survive, and eco-land use is a strategy, a way to manage the land resource. So, ecologically-sustainable land use is essential for human beings to survive. This paper investigates the spatiotemporal characteristics and mechanisms of urban-rural eco-land using a new and innovative integration way based on eco-land change data in China's Loess Plateau(LP) prefecture level cities and explores factors of eco-land change. The spatial difference characteristic of eco-land among different level cities in the LP is that: small cities > big cities > middle cities. From 2009 to 2016, the eco-land in the LP from the perspective of urban-rural areas has changed significantly. Significant differences of urban-rural eco-land were identified among various urban growth types, and all the cities in the LP were further classified into four types based on eco-land change trend, with type A and B cities identified as the vital zone and major zone. Taking the eco-fragile region Loess Plateau(LP) as an example, our results demonstrated that the migrants to cities in LP could relieve ecological pressures and promote restoration of ecological vegetation. We have demonstrated that urbanization and the influence of government policy can be discerned through the quantification of the spatial-temporal change of eco-land and suggest that combining both urban and rural eco-land can support more effective land use decisions and provide theoretical basis for the practical application of urban planning, policy-making and sustainable development. What's more, governments should strive to population mobility and restore vegetation to sustain this fragile ecological environment. 展开更多
关键词 Ecologically-sustainable LAND use spatio-temporal evolution influencing factor Population migration LOESS PLATEAU
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Spatio-temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of the High-quality Development of Provincial Tourism in China 被引量:8
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作者 WANG Xinyue WANG Mengmeng +3 位作者 LU Xuejing GUO Lizhen ZHAO Ruixin JI Ranran 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第5期896-914,共19页
Accelerating the promotion of high-quality development of tourism(HQDT) is of great significance to the sustainable development of tourism. This paper defined the concept of HQDT, and then built an evaluation system f... Accelerating the promotion of high-quality development of tourism(HQDT) is of great significance to the sustainable development of tourism. This paper defined the concept of HQDT, and then built an evaluation system for HQDT measurement to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of China’s HQDT based on provincial panel data from 2010 to 2019, using Geodetector to explore the similarities and differences between driving factors of HQDT and tourism development scale(TDS). The results show that:1) Taking the development concepts of innovation, coordination, green, openness and sharing as the guidance, and considering the organic unity of quantity and quality, the evaluation index system of the HQDT consists of six dimensions of economic stability, innovation driving, coordination and linkage, green and sustainability, openness and cooperation, and sharing and harmony, which respectively represent the basis, momentum, means, orientation, direction and purpose of the HQDT;2) The level of China’s HQDT shows an upward trend, presenting the characteristics of eastern region > central region > western region > northeastern region in 2019. The regional differences in China’s HQDT show a downward trend, and the intra-regional differences have replaced the inter-regional differences as the main source of regional differences;3) China’s HQDT shows the characteristics of higher in the east and lower in the west along the Hu line, while the improvement speed of HQDT shows the characteristics of faster in the west and slower in the east, making the decline of east-west differentiation of China’s HQDT and the movement of the gravity center towards southwest;4) Both HQDT and TDS are obviously driven by tourism capital investment and regional consumption. In terms of differences, the HQDT is more driven by government guidance, innovation driving force, and opening up, while the main driving factors of TDS are more biased toward capital elements and hardware facilities, including informatization, tourism resource, traffic, and eco-environment. 展开更多
关键词 high-quality development of tourism(HQDT) spatio-temporal evolution Geodetector tourism development scale(TDS)
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