In summer, water vapor over the eastern China monsoon region (ECMR) comes mainly from low latitudes and is modu- lated by tropical cyclone (TC) activity in East Asia (EA). This study examines the variability of ...In summer, water vapor over the eastern China monsoon region (ECMR) comes mainly from low latitudes and is modu- lated by tropical cyclone (TC) activity in East Asia (EA). This study examines the variability of water vapor transport over the ECMR, especially of the moisture inflow via the southern and eastern boundaries. The results of composite and correlation analyses, using data from 1979 to 2010, reveal significant differences in moisture budgets along the boundaries between TC days and non-TC days. Almost 80% of the water vapor transport via the eastern boundary occurs during TC days, while at the southern boundary most inflow occurs on non-TC days. The ratio of the total water vapor transport between TC and non-TC days is about 4:6. In addition, the E1 Nifio-Southem Oscillation (ENSO) exhibits a remarkable influence on moisture trans- port over EA and the contributions of moisture inflow on TC days increase (reduce) in E1 Nifio (La Nifia) years. Moreover, different types of TCs, based on their tracks, have different effects on the moisture budgets along the southern and eastern boundaries. When TCs enter EA (but not the ECMR), they favor the moisture inflow via the eastern boundary and hinder the moisture inflow via the southern boundary. After TCs enter the ECMR, the inhibition of moisture inflow via the southern boundary will be weakened, and more water vapor can be brought into the ECMR. For some recurring TCs with an increase in TC activity in the midlatitudes, the influence is uncertain in different cases. The results herein suggest that TC activity is an important factor that influences the boundary moisture budgets in the ECMR.展开更多
The authors investigate possible changes of monsoon rainfall and associated seasonal (June-JulyAugust) anomaly patterns over eastern China in the late 21st century under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (...The authors investigate possible changes of monsoon rainfall and associated seasonal (June-JulyAugust) anomaly patterns over eastern China in the late 21st century under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) A2 emission scenario as simulated by a high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM3) nested in a general circulation model (FvGCM/CCM3).Two sets of multi-decadal simulations are performed at 20-km grid spacing for present day and future climate conditions.Results show that the RegCM3 reproduces the mean rainfall distribution;however the evolution of the monsoon rain belt from South China to North China is not well simulated.Concerning the rain pattern classifications,RegCM3 overestimates the occurrence of Pattern 1 (excessive rainfall in northern China) and underestimates that of Pattern 2 (increased rainfall over the Huai River basin).Under future climate conditions,RegCM3 projects less occurrence of Pattern 1,more of Pattern 2,and little change of Pattern 3 (rainfall increase along the Yangtze River).These results indicate that there might be increased rainfall over the Huai-Yellow River area and reduced rainfall over North China in the future,while rainfall over the lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin is not modified significantly.Uncertainties exist in the present study are also discussed.展开更多
Based on the geological records, the palaeomonsoon in eastern desert region of China is divided into three major evolution stages, i.e. summer monsoon prevailing stage of last interglacial period (130-70kaB.P.), winte...Based on the geological records, the palaeomonsoon in eastern desert region of China is divided into three major evolution stages, i.e. summer monsoon prevailing stage of last interglacial period (130-70kaB.P.), winter monsoon prevailing stage of last glacial period (70-10 kaB.P.), and unstable summer monsoon prevailing stage of postglacial period (10 kaB.P. to present) and further divided into several substages. The conversion between summer monsoon and winter monsoon in the region is dominated by the sudden change process. The north limit of summer monsoon in the region retreated to the north limit of sandy loess zone of the Loess Plateau in the last glacial period from the Mazong Mts.-Ulan Bator of last interglacial period, then it entered Shandan-Yabrai region in the optimum period of the Holocene, and finally it retreated to the present extended line from north piedmont of the Yinshan Mts to Hulun Buir. This shows that the summer monsoon caused by East Asian monsoon circulation tends to be weakened fluctuationally. However, the factors affecting the monsoon vicissitudes are complex, so special attention should be paid to the study of the short-period climatic fluctuations of the Holocene.展开更多
利用ECMWF最新发布的Interim再分析资料,计算了东亚季风区Hadley环流质量流函数,并使用EOF分解、相关分析及合成分析等统计方法,分析了夏季东亚季风区Hadley环流上升支结构的异常特征及其对我国长江流域降水的影响。发现夏季东亚季风区H...利用ECMWF最新发布的Interim再分析资料,计算了东亚季风区Hadley环流质量流函数,并使用EOF分解、相关分析及合成分析等统计方法,分析了夏季东亚季风区Hadley环流上升支结构的异常特征及其对我国长江流域降水的影响。发现夏季东亚季风区Hadley环流上升支具有独特的双上升中心结构,两上升中心的位置分别对应东亚夏季风系统中的两条辐合带——热带季风槽及梅雨锋。上升支的主要异常模态表现为两个上升中心"跷跷板"型的反相异常。与梅雨锋对应的副热带上升中心强度与长江流域降水呈正相关关系,即当其偏强时,长江流域降水偏多,反之亦然。副热带支偏强时,低层西太平洋副热带高压偏南导致气流在长江流域异常辐合,其异常西南风水汽输送使得长江流域有异常水汽辐合,高层气流在长江流域异常辐散。同时鄂霍次克海附近阻塞活动偏强,东亚沿海地区500 h Pa高度场出现"+-+"的经向异常型。这些异常型均有利于长江流域的降水。展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Basic Research and Development Projects of China (Grant Nos. 2016YFA0600601 and 2014CB953901)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41375096)
文摘In summer, water vapor over the eastern China monsoon region (ECMR) comes mainly from low latitudes and is modu- lated by tropical cyclone (TC) activity in East Asia (EA). This study examines the variability of water vapor transport over the ECMR, especially of the moisture inflow via the southern and eastern boundaries. The results of composite and correlation analyses, using data from 1979 to 2010, reveal significant differences in moisture budgets along the boundaries between TC days and non-TC days. Almost 80% of the water vapor transport via the eastern boundary occurs during TC days, while at the southern boundary most inflow occurs on non-TC days. The ratio of the total water vapor transport between TC and non-TC days is about 4:6. In addition, the E1 Nifio-Southem Oscillation (ENSO) exhibits a remarkable influence on moisture trans- port over EA and the contributions of moisture inflow on TC days increase (reduce) in E1 Nifio (La Nifia) years. Moreover, different types of TCs, based on their tracks, have different effects on the moisture budgets along the southern and eastern boundaries. When TCs enter EA (but not the ECMR), they favor the moisture inflow via the eastern boundary and hinder the moisture inflow via the southern boundary. After TCs enter the ECMR, the inhibition of moisture inflow via the southern boundary will be weakened, and more water vapor can be brought into the ECMR. For some recurring TCs with an increase in TC activity in the midlatitudes, the influence is uncertain in different cases. The results herein suggest that TC activity is an important factor that influences the boundary moisture budgets in the ECMR.
基金jointly supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No.2009CB421407) the R&D Special Fund for Public Welfare Industry (meteorology) (GYHY200806010)
文摘The authors investigate possible changes of monsoon rainfall and associated seasonal (June-JulyAugust) anomaly patterns over eastern China in the late 21st century under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) A2 emission scenario as simulated by a high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM3) nested in a general circulation model (FvGCM/CCM3).Two sets of multi-decadal simulations are performed at 20-km grid spacing for present day and future climate conditions.Results show that the RegCM3 reproduces the mean rainfall distribution;however the evolution of the monsoon rain belt from South China to North China is not well simulated.Concerning the rain pattern classifications,RegCM3 overestimates the occurrence of Pattern 1 (excessive rainfall in northern China) and underestimates that of Pattern 2 (increased rainfall over the Huai River basin).Under future climate conditions,RegCM3 projects less occurrence of Pattern 1,more of Pattern 2,and little change of Pattern 3 (rainfall increase along the Yangtze River).These results indicate that there might be increased rainfall over the Huai-Yellow River area and reduced rainfall over North China in the future,while rainfall over the lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin is not modified significantly.Uncertainties exist in the present study are also discussed.
文摘Based on the geological records, the palaeomonsoon in eastern desert region of China is divided into three major evolution stages, i.e. summer monsoon prevailing stage of last interglacial period (130-70kaB.P.), winter monsoon prevailing stage of last glacial period (70-10 kaB.P.), and unstable summer monsoon prevailing stage of postglacial period (10 kaB.P. to present) and further divided into several substages. The conversion between summer monsoon and winter monsoon in the region is dominated by the sudden change process. The north limit of summer monsoon in the region retreated to the north limit of sandy loess zone of the Loess Plateau in the last glacial period from the Mazong Mts.-Ulan Bator of last interglacial period, then it entered Shandan-Yabrai region in the optimum period of the Holocene, and finally it retreated to the present extended line from north piedmont of the Yinshan Mts to Hulun Buir. This shows that the summer monsoon caused by East Asian monsoon circulation tends to be weakened fluctuationally. However, the factors affecting the monsoon vicissitudes are complex, so special attention should be paid to the study of the short-period climatic fluctuations of the Holocene.
文摘利用ECMWF最新发布的Interim再分析资料,计算了东亚季风区Hadley环流质量流函数,并使用EOF分解、相关分析及合成分析等统计方法,分析了夏季东亚季风区Hadley环流上升支结构的异常特征及其对我国长江流域降水的影响。发现夏季东亚季风区Hadley环流上升支具有独特的双上升中心结构,两上升中心的位置分别对应东亚夏季风系统中的两条辐合带——热带季风槽及梅雨锋。上升支的主要异常模态表现为两个上升中心"跷跷板"型的反相异常。与梅雨锋对应的副热带上升中心强度与长江流域降水呈正相关关系,即当其偏强时,长江流域降水偏多,反之亦然。副热带支偏强时,低层西太平洋副热带高压偏南导致气流在长江流域异常辐合,其异常西南风水汽输送使得长江流域有异常水汽辐合,高层气流在长江流域异常辐散。同时鄂霍次克海附近阻塞活动偏强,东亚沿海地区500 h Pa高度场出现"+-+"的经向异常型。这些异常型均有利于长江流域的降水。