The mathematic theory of Brownian passage-time model and its difference from other recurrence models such as Poisson, lognormal, gamma and Weibull, were introduced. We assessed and analyzed the earthquake probabiliti...The mathematic theory of Brownian passage-time model and its difference from other recurrence models such as Poisson, lognormal, gamma and Weibull, were introduced. We assessed and analyzed the earthquake probabilities of the major faults with the elapsed time much greater than the recurrence interval in the northwest region of Bei- jing (China) in 100-year by using both Brownian passage-time model and Poisson model, and concluded that the calculated results obtained from Brownian passage-time model is more reasonable.展开更多
The situation of mine development in coal industry of China and the method of shaft freezing in the type of double ring freezing pipe used for shaft sinking under thick alluvium condition are briefly reviewed. The equ...The situation of mine development in coal industry of China and the method of shaft freezing in the type of double ring freezing pipe used for shaft sinking under thick alluvium condition are briefly reviewed. The equations of heat conduction are numerically solved for two kinds of artificial shaft freezing-sin-gle and double ring freezing pipe pattern. A two-dimensional finite difference model simulating the temperature field is developed. The paper introduces a way to calculate the harmonic mean of heat conductivety used when dealing with heterogeneous material, The theoretically derived temperature distributions in frozen soil are given and the comparison is made between two types of freezing pipe arrangement. The optimization technique of a general simulation is discussed, and that is in use to improve the thermal system in shaft freezing.展开更多
基金Joint Seismological Science Foundation of China (103034) and Key Project ″Assessment of Seismic Safety″ from China Earthquake Administration during the tenth Five-year Plan.
文摘The mathematic theory of Brownian passage-time model and its difference from other recurrence models such as Poisson, lognormal, gamma and Weibull, were introduced. We assessed and analyzed the earthquake probabilities of the major faults with the elapsed time much greater than the recurrence interval in the northwest region of Bei- jing (China) in 100-year by using both Brownian passage-time model and Poisson model, and concluded that the calculated results obtained from Brownian passage-time model is more reasonable.
文摘The situation of mine development in coal industry of China and the method of shaft freezing in the type of double ring freezing pipe used for shaft sinking under thick alluvium condition are briefly reviewed. The equations of heat conduction are numerically solved for two kinds of artificial shaft freezing-sin-gle and double ring freezing pipe pattern. A two-dimensional finite difference model simulating the temperature field is developed. The paper introduces a way to calculate the harmonic mean of heat conductivety used when dealing with heterogeneous material, The theoretically derived temperature distributions in frozen soil are given and the comparison is made between two types of freezing pipe arrangement. The optimization technique of a general simulation is discussed, and that is in use to improve the thermal system in shaft freezing.
