A Generative Adversarial Network with an Attention Spatiotemporal Mechanism for Tropical Cyclone Forecasts

Tropical cyclones(TCs)are complex and powerful weather systems,and accurately forecasting their path,structure,and intensity remains a critical focus and challenge in meteorological research.In this paper,we propose an Attention Spatio-Temporal predictive Generative Adversarial Network(AST-GAN)model for predicting the temporal and spatial distribution of TCs.The model forecasts the spatial distribution of TC wind speeds for the next 15 hours at 3-hour intervals,emphasizing the cyclone's center,high wind-speed areas,and its asymmetric structure.To effectively capture spatiotemporal feature transfer at different time steps,we employ a channel attention mechanism for feature selection,enhancing model performance and reducing parameter redundancy.We utilized High-Resolution Weather Research and Forecasting(HWRF)data to train our model,allowing it to assimilate a wide range of TC motion patterns.The model is versatile and can be applied to various complex scenarios,such as multiple TCs moving simultaneously or TCs approaching landfall.Our proposed model demonstrates superior forecasting performance,achieving a root-mean-square error(RMSE)of 0.71 m s^(-1)for overall wind speed and 2.74 m s^(-1)for maximum wind speed when benchmarked against ground truth data from HWRF.Furthermore,the model underwent optimization and independent testing using ERA5reanalysis data,showcasing its stability and scalability.After fine-tuning on the ERA5 dataset,the model achieved an RMSE of 1.33 m s^(-1)for wind speed and 1.75 m s^(-1)for maximum wind speed.The AST-GAN model outperforms other state-of-the-art models in RMSE on both the HWRF and ERA5 datasets,maintaining its superior performance and demonstrating its effectiveness for spatiotemporal prediction of TCs.

Unveiling the adaptation strategies of woody plants in remnant forest patches to spatiotemporal urban expansion through leaf trait networks

Background:With the expansion of urban areas,the remnants of forested areas play a crucial role in preserving biodiversity in urban environments.This study aimed to explore the impact of spatiotemporal urban expansion on the networks of leaf traits in woody plants within remnant forest patches,thereby enhancing our understanding of plant adaptive strategies and contributing to the conservation of urban biodiversity.Methods:Our study examined woody plants within 120 sample plots across 15 remnant forest patches in Guiyang,China.We constructed leaf trait networks (LTNs) based on 26 anatomical,structural,and compositional leaf traits and assessed the effects of the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban expansion on these LTNs.Results and conclusions:Our results indicate that shrubs within these patches have greater average path lengths and diameters than trees.With increasing urban expansion intensity,we observed a rise in the edge density of the LTN-shrubs.Additionally,modularity within the networks of shrubs decreased as road density and urban expansion intensity increased,and increases in the average path length and average clustering coefficient for shrubs were observed with a rise in the composite terrain complexity index.Notably,patches subjected to‘leapfrog’expansion exhibited greater average patch length and diameter than those experiencing edge growth.Stomatal traits were found to have high degree centrality within these networks,signifying their substantial contribution to multiple functions.In urban remnant forests,shrubs bolster their resilience to variable environmental pressures by augmenting the complexity of their leaf trait networks.

The signal synchronization transmission of a spatiotemporal chaos network constituted by a laser phase-conjugate wave

The signal synchronization transmission of a spatiotemporal chaos network is investigated. The structure of the coupling function between connected nodes of the complex network and the value range of the linear term coefficient of the separated configuration in state equation of the node are obtained through constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function. Each node of the complex network is a laser spatiotemporal chaos model in which the phase-conjugate wave and the unilateral coupled map lattice are taken as a local function and a spatially extended system, respectively. The simulation results show the effectiveness of the signal synchronization transmission principle of the network.

Spatiotemporal evolution of land transportation networks and accessibility in inland mountainous areas 1917-2017:A case study of Southwest China

Located in the western hinterland,Southwest China is a typical mountainous area covered by plateaus,mountains and hills.Its ruggedness hinders regional internal and external connections,and its poor transportation infrastructure has long constrained the socioeconomic development of Southwest China.Based on the GIS transportation database,this paper explored the spatiotemporal evolution and characteristics of the land transportation networks and the accessibility of Southwest China from 1917 to 2017.Regional accessibility in Southwest China has significantly improved,and transportation infrastructure has gradually integrated the transportation circles of the52 central cities.The transportation network has followed an evolutionary process from a"hub-spoke pattern"to a"network pattern",while the construction of a high-speed railway(HSR)has brought about significant spatial polarization.We argue that innovation in transportation technology is one of the most effective factors for promoting a significant change in regional accessibility.In addition,the spatial distribution and evolution of accessibility in Southwest China presents a verticalcharacteristic that distinguishes it from the plains,as the spillover effects of new transportation infrastructure on accessibility improvement are partly offset by the mountainous terrain.Additionally,in Southwest China,there is significant"path dependence"in the evolution of the transportation network,since a large portion of the population is concentrated along transportation corridors in mountainous areas.

GCN-LSTM spatiotemporal-network-based method for post-disturbance frequency prediction of power systems

Owing to the expansion of the grid interconnection scale,the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the frequency response of power systems after the occurrence of disturbances have become increasingly important.These characteristics can provide effective support in coordinated security control.However,traditional model-based frequencyprediction methods cannot satisfactorily meet the requirements of online applications owing to the long calculation time and accurate power-system models.Therefore,this study presents a rolling frequency-prediction model based on a graph convolutional network(GCN)and a long short-term memory(LSTM)spatiotemporal network and named as STGCN-LSTM.In the proposed method,the measurement data from phasor measurement units after the occurrence of disturbances are used to construct the spatiotemporal input.An improved GCN embedded with topology information is used to extract the spatial features,while the LSTM network is used to extract the temporal features.The spatiotemporal-network-regression model is further trained,and asynchronous-frequency-sequence prediction is realized by utilizing the rolling update of measurement information.The proposed spatiotemporal-network-based prediction model can achieve accurate frequency prediction by considering the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the frequency response.The noise immunity and robustness of the proposed method are verified on the IEEE 39-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems.

An Approach for Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation Based on Spatiotemporal Network

Radar quantitative precipitation estimation(QPE)is a key and challenging task for many designs and applications with meteorological purposes.Since the Z-R relation between radar and rain has a number of parameters on different areas,and the rainfall varies with seasons,the traditional methods are incapable of achieving high spatial and temporal resolution and thus difficult to obtain a refined rainfall estimation.This paper proposes a radar quantitative precipitation estimation algorithm based on the spatiotemporal network model(ST-QPE),which designs a convolutional time-series network QPE-Net8 and a multi-scale feature fusion time-series network QPE-Net22 to address these limitations.We report on our investigation into contrast reversal experiments with radar echo and rainfall data collected by the Hunan Meteorological Observatory.Experimental results are verified and analyzed by using statistical and meteorological methods,and show that the ST-QPE model can inverse the rainfall information corresponding to the radar echo at a given moment,which provides practical guidance for accurate short-range precipitation nowcasting to prevent and mitigate disasters efficiently.

Sensory Data Prediction Using Spatiotemporal Correlation and LSTM Recurrent Neural Network

The Wireless Sensor Networks(WSNs)are widely utilized in various industrial and environmental monitoring applications.The process of data gathering within the WSN is significant in terms of reporting the environmental data.However,it might occur that certain sensor node malfunctions due to the energy draining out or unexpected damage.Therefore,the collected data may become inaccurate or incomplete.Focusing on the spatiotemporal correlation among sensor nodes,this paper proposes a novel algorithm to predict the value of the missing or inaccurate data and predict the future data in replacement of certain nonfunctional sensor nodes.The Long-Short-Term-Memory Recurrent Neural Network(LSTM RNN)helps to more accurately derive the time-series data corresponding to the sets of past collected data,making the prediction results more reliable.It is observed from the simulation results that the proposed algorithm provides an outstanding data gathering efficiency while ensuring the data accuracy.

Synchronization of spatiotemporal chaos in a class of complex dynamical networks

This paper studies the synchronization of complex dynamical networks constructed by spatiotemporal chaotic systems with unknown parameters. The state variables in the systems with uncertain parameters are used to construct the parameter recognizers, and the unknown parameters are identified. Uncertain spatiotemporal chaotic systems are taken as the nodes of complex dynamical networks, connection among the nodes of all the spatiotemporal chaotic systems is of nonlinear coupling. The structure of the coupling functions between the connected nodes and the control gain are obtained based on Lyapunov stability theory. It is seen that stable chaos synchronization exists in the whole network when the control gain is in a certain range. The Gray-Scott models which have spatiotemporal chaotic behaviour are taken as examples for simulation and the results show that the method is very effective.

Elimination of spiral waves and spatiotemporal chaos by the synchronization transmission technology of network signals

A method to eliminate spiral waves and spatiotemporal chaos by using the synchronization transmission technology of network signals is proposed in this paper. The character of the spiral waves and the spatiotemporal chaos in the Fitzhugh-Nagumo model is presented. The network error evolution equation with spatiotemporal variables and the corresponding eigenvalue equation are determined based on the stability theory, and the global synchronization condition is obtained. Simulations are made in a complex network with Fitzhugh-Nagumo models as the nodes to verify the effectiveness of the synchronization transmission principle of the network signal.

Synchronization of spatiotemporal chaos in complex networks via backstepping

A backstepping approach is proposed for the synchronization of chain networks of multi-spatiotemporal chaotic systems with topologically equivalent structures. The synchronization of multi-spatiotemporal chaotic systems is imple- merited by adding the control only to a terminal node, and the controller is designed via a corresponding update law. The control law is applied to spatiotemporal Gray-Scott systems. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness and the feasibility of the proposed approach.

Projective synchronization of spatiotemporal chaos in a weighted complex network

Projective synchronization of a weighted complex network is studied in which nodes are spatiotemporal chaos systems and all nodes are coupled not with the nonlinear terms of the system but through a weighted connection. The range of the linear coefficient matrix of separated configuration, when the synchronization is implemented, is determined according to Lyapunov stability theory. It is found that projective synchronization can be realized for unidirectional star-connection even if the coupling strength between the nodes is a given arbitrary weight value. The Gray-Scott models having spatiotemporal Chaos behaviours are taken as nodes in the weighted complex network, and simulation results of spatiotemporal synchronization show the effectiveness of the method.

Spatiotemporal chaos synchronization of an uncertain network based on sliding mode control

The sliding mode control method is used to study spatiotemporal chaos synchronization of an uncertain network.The method is extended from synchronization between two chaotic systems to the synchronization of complex network composed of N spatiotemporal chaotic systems.The sliding surface of the network and the control input are designed.Furthermore,the effectiveness of the method is analysed based on the stability theory.The Burgers equation with spatiotemporal chaos behavior is taken as an example to simulate the experiment.It is found that the synchronization performance of the network is very stable.

The deep spatiotemporal network with dual-flow fusion for video-oriented facial expression recognition

The video-oriented facial expression recognition has always been an important issue in emotion perception.At present,the key challenge in most existing methods is how to effectively extract robust features to characterize facial appearance and geometry changes caused by facial motions.On this basis,the video in this paper is divided into multiple segments,each of which is simultaneously described by optical flow and facial landmark trajectory.To deeply delve the emotional information of these two representations,we propose a Deep Spatiotemporal Network with Dual-flow Fusion(defined as DSN-DF),which highlights the region and strength of expressions by spatiotemporal appearance features and the speed of change by spatiotemporal geometry features.Finally,experiments are implemented on CKþand MMI datasets to demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method.

Identification of Key Links in Electric Power Operation Based-Spatiotemporal Mixing Convolution Neural Network

As the scale of the power system continues to expand,the environment for power operations becomes more and more complex.Existing risk management and control methods for power operations can only set the same risk detection standard and conduct the risk detection for any scenario indiscriminately.Therefore,more reliable and accurate security control methods are urgently needed.In order to improve the accuracy and reliability of the operation risk management and control method,this paper proposes a method for identifying the key links in the whole process of electric power operation based on the spatiotemporal hybrid convolutional neural network.To provide early warning and control of targeted risks,first,the video stream is framed adaptively according to the pixel changes in the video stream.Then,the optimized MobileNet is used to extract the feature map of the video stream,which contains both time-series and static spatial scene information.The feature maps are combined and non-linearly mapped to realize the identification of dynamic operating scenes.Finally,training samples and test samples are produced by using the whole process image of a power company in Xinjiang as a case study,and the proposed algorithm is compared with the unimproved MobileNet.The experimental results demonstrated that the method proposed in this paper can accurately identify the type and start and end time of each operation link in the whole process of electric power operation,and has good real-time performance.The average accuracy of the algorithm can reach 87.8%,and the frame rate is 61 frames/s,which is of great significance for improving the reliability and accuracy of security control methods.

A Nonlinear Spatiotemporal Optimization Method of Hypergraph Convolution Networks for Traffic Prediction

Traffic prediction is a necessary function in intelligent transporta-tion systems to alleviate traffic congestion.Graph learning methods mainly focus on the spatiotemporal dimension,but ignore the nonlinear movement of traffic prediction and the high-order relationships among various kinds of road segments.There exist two issues:1)deep integration of the spatiotempo-ral information and 2)global spatial dependencies for structural properties.To address these issues,we propose a nonlinear spatiotemporal optimization method,which introduces hypergraph convolution networks(HGCN).The method utilizes the higher-order spatial features of the road network captured by HGCN,and dynamically integrates them with the historical data to weigh the influence of spatiotemporal dependencies.On this basis,an extended Kalman filter is used to improve the accuracy of traffic prediction.In this study,a set of experiments were conducted on the real-world dataset in Chengdu,China.The result showed that the proposed method is feasible and accurate by two different time steps.Especially at the 15-minute time step,compared with the second-best method,the proposed method achieved 3.0%,11.7%,and 9.0%improvements in RMSE,MAE,and MAPE,respectively.

Improved Weather Radar Echo Extrapolation Through Wind Speed Data Fusion Using a New Spatiotemporal Neural Network Model

Weather radar echo extrapolation plays a crucial role in weather forecasting.However,traditional weather radar echo extrapolation methods are not very accurate and do not make full use of historical data.Deep learning algorithms based on Recurrent Neural Networks also have the problem of accumulating errors.Moreover,it is difficult to obtain higher accuracy by relying on a single historical radar echo observation.Therefore,in this study,we constructed the Fusion GRU module,which leverages a cascade structure to effectively combine radar echo data and mean wind data.We also designed the Top Connection so that the model can capture the global spatial relationship to construct constraints on the predictions.Based on the Jiangsu Province dataset,we compared some models.The results show that our proposed model,Cascade Fusion Spatiotemporal Network(CFSN),improved the critical success index(CSI)by 10.7%over the baseline at the threshold of 30 dBZ.Ablation experiments further validated the effectiveness of our model.Similarly,the CSI of the complete CFSN was 0.004 higher than the suboptimal solution without the cross-attention module at the threshold of 30 dBZ.

MSSTNet:Multi-scale facial videos pulse extraction network based on separable spatiotemporal convolution and dimension separable attention

Background The use of remote photoplethysmography(rPPG)to estimate blood volume pulse in a noncontact manner has been an active research topic in recent years.Existing methods are primarily based on a singlescale region of interest(ROI).However,some noise signals that are not easily separated in a single-scale space can be easily separated in a multi-scale space.Also,existing spatiotemporal networks mainly focus on local spatiotemporal information and do not emphasize temporal information,which is crucial in pulse extraction problems,resulting in insufficient spatiotemporal feature modelling.Methods Here,we propose a multi-scale facial video pulse extraction network based on separable spatiotemporal convolution(SSTC)and dimension separable attention(DSAT).First,to solve the problem of a single-scale ROI,we constructed a multi-scale feature space for initial signal separation.Second,SSTC and DSAT were designed for efficient spatiotemporal correlation modeling,which increased the information interaction between the long-span time and space dimensions;this placed more emphasis on temporal features.Results The signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)of the proposed network reached 9.58dB on the PURE dataset and 6.77dB on the UBFC-rPPG dataset,outperforming state-of-the-art algorithms.Conclusions The results showed that fusing multi-scale signals yielded better results than methods based on only single-scale signals.The proposed SSTC and dimension-separable attention mechanism will contribute to more accurate pulse signal extraction.

Enhanced Multi-Object Dwarf Mongoose Algorithm for Optimization Stochastic Data Fusion Wireless Sensor Network Deployment

Wireless sensor network deployment optimization is a classic NP-hard problem and a popular topic in academic research.However,the current research on wireless sensor network deployment problems uses overly simplistic models,and there is a significant gap between the research results and actual wireless sensor networks.Some scholars have now modeled data fusion networks to make them more suitable for practical applications.This paper will explore the deployment problem of a stochastic data fusion wireless sensor network(SDFWSN),a model that reflects the randomness of environmental monitoring and uses data fusion techniques widely used in actual sensor networks for information collection.The deployment problem of SDFWSN is modeled as a multi-objective optimization problem.The network life cycle,spatiotemporal coverage,detection rate,and false alarm rate of SDFWSN are used as optimization objectives to optimize the deployment of network nodes.This paper proposes an enhanced multi-objective mongoose optimization algorithm(EMODMOA)to solve the deployment problem of SDFWSN.First,to overcome the shortcomings of the DMOA algorithm,such as its low convergence and tendency to get stuck in a local optimum,an encircling and hunting strategy is introduced into the original algorithm to propose the EDMOA algorithm.The EDMOA algorithm is designed as the EMODMOA algorithm by selecting reference points using the K-Nearest Neighbor(KNN)algorithm.To verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm,the EMODMOA algorithm was tested at CEC 2020 and achieved good results.In the SDFWSN deployment problem,the algorithm was compared with the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II(NSGAII),Multiple Objective Particle Swarm Optimization(MOPSO),Multi-Objective Evolutionary Algorithm based on Decomposition(MOEA/D),and Multi-Objective Grey Wolf Optimizer(MOGWO).By comparing and analyzing the performance evaluation metrics and optimization results of the objective functions of the multi-objective algorithms,the algorithm outperforms the other algorithms in the SDFWSN deployment results.To better demonstrate the superiority of the algorithm,simulations of diverse test cases were also performed,and good results were obtained.

Investigation of spatiotemporal distribution and formation mechanisms of ozone pollution in eastern Chinese cities applying convolutional neural network

Severe ground-level ozone(O_(3))pollution over major Chinese cities has become one of the most challenging problems,which have deleterious effects on human health and the sustainability of society.This study explored the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of ground-level O_(3) and its precursors based on conventional pollutant and meteorological monitoring data in Zhejiang Province from 2016 to 2021.Then,a high-performance convolutional neural network(CNN)model was established by expanding the moment and the concentration variations to general factors.Finally,the response mechanism of O_(3) to the variation with crucial influencing factors is explored by controlling variables and interpolating target variables.The results indicated that the annual average MDA8-90th concentrations in Zhejiang Province are higher in the northern and lower in the southern.When the wind direction(WD)ranges from east to southwest and the wind speed(WS)ranges between 2 and 3 m/sec,higher O_(3) concentration prone to occur.At different temperatures(T),the O_(3) concentration showed a trend of first increasing and subsequently decreasing with increasing NO_(2) concentration,peaks at the NO_(2) concentration around 0.02mg/m^(3).The sensitivity of NO_(2) to O_(3) formation is not easily affected by temperature,barometric pressure and dew point temperature.Additionally,there is a minimum IRNO_(2) at each temperature when the NO_(2) concentration is 0.03 mg/m^(3),and this minimum IRNO_(2) decreases with increasing temperature.The study explores the response mechanism of O_(3) with the change of driving variables,which can provide a scientific foundation and methodological support for the targeted management of O_(3) pollution.

藏东南植被碳利用效率的时空变化与生态网络构建

碳循环在全球生态系统中起着至关重要的作用,碳循环的反馈效应将对未来的气候变化具有重要影响。本研究以西藏地区东南部(林芝市和昌都市)为研究区域,以相应月份和年份MOD17A2HGF GPP,MOD17A2HGF PSN_(net)数据为主要数据源,探讨时空变化格局,并结合气象数据对藏东南植被CUE进行相应系统分析,还建立一个生态网络来研究CUE变化对生态系统稳定性的影响。研究结果表明:月尺度上,区域CUE随生长季变化明显,变异规律在不同植被类型中有所差异。年尺度上,CUE整体呈现不显著的上升趋势,但2019-2022年CUE波动幅度加大。藏东南CUE随温度和降水变化,且温度对CUE变化更显著,相关性较强。气温和降水对藏东南区域CUE变化趋势呈现相反的现象。藏东南地区生态节点和廊道的数量逐年减少,需要添加生态垫脚石增加生态源地,减少生态廊道提高藏东南生态系统稳定。藏东南生态源区CUE的变化对整个生态系统的影响尤为显著。