Using China Urban Household Survey data from 2005 to 2012, this paper examines the changing pattern of China's urban unemployment rates. The paper shows that the annual urban unemployment rates during 2005-2012 avera...Using China Urban Household Survey data from 2005 to 2012, this paper examines the changing pattern of China's urban unemployment rates. The paper shows that the annual urban unemployment rates during 2005-2012 averaged approximately 8.5 percent, as opposed to the official figure of approximately 4.1 percent, and despite the significant slowdown of GDP growth since 2008, the urban unemployment rates still exhibit a downward trend. This paper finds that continuous job creation in both the tertiary and the non-state sectors helps explain the decreasing trend in unemployment rates. Meanwhile, the downward trend of the unemployment rates could also be explained by the fact that both the secondary industry and the state-owned sector have destructed fewer jobs because of the execution of macroeconomic stimulus policies since 2008.展开更多
基金The authors thank all the participants at the workshop on the "Middle Income Trap in Asia and PRC's Economic New Normal" for helpful comments. They also thank the National Natural Science Foundation of China for financial support through research grant No. 71333002 and the National Social Science Foundation of China for support through research grant No. 15ZDA008.
文摘Using China Urban Household Survey data from 2005 to 2012, this paper examines the changing pattern of China's urban unemployment rates. The paper shows that the annual urban unemployment rates during 2005-2012 averaged approximately 8.5 percent, as opposed to the official figure of approximately 4.1 percent, and despite the significant slowdown of GDP growth since 2008, the urban unemployment rates still exhibit a downward trend. This paper finds that continuous job creation in both the tertiary and the non-state sectors helps explain the decreasing trend in unemployment rates. Meanwhile, the downward trend of the unemployment rates could also be explained by the fact that both the secondary industry and the state-owned sector have destructed fewer jobs because of the execution of macroeconomic stimulus policies since 2008.
基金河北省社科规划基金项目"京津冀劳动力市场一体化实现路径与保障机制研究"(HB16GL011)阶段性成果欧盟让·莫内教授项目"European Union Labor Market Policy and Its Implication for China"(574322-EPP-1-2016-1-CN-EPPJMO-CHAIR)阶段性成果河北省高校高层次人才工程项目的阶段成果。