This paper applies time series methodologies to examine the causal relationship among electricity demand, real per capita GDP and total labor force for Italy from 1970 to 2009. After a brief introduction, a survey of ...This paper applies time series methodologies to examine the causal relationship among electricity demand, real per capita GDP and total labor force for Italy from 1970 to 2009. After a brief introduction, a survey of the economic literature on this issue is reported, before discussing the data and introducing the econometric techniques used. The results of estimation indicate that one cointegrating relationship exists among these variables. This equilibrium relation implies that, in the long-run, GDP and labor force are correlated negatively, as well as GDP and electricity. Moreover, there is a bi-directional Granger causality flow between real per capita GDP and electricity demand; while labor force does not Granger- cause neither real per capita GDP nor electricity demand. This implies that electricity demand and economic growth are jointly determined at the same time for the Italian case. The forecast error variance decomposition shows that forecast errors in real per capita GDP are mainly caused by the uncertainty in GDP itself, while forecast errors in labor force are mainly resulted from the labor force itself, although aggregate income and electricity are important, too.展开更多
A day-ahead optimal scheduling method for a grid-connected microgrid based on energy storage(ES)control strategy is proposed in this paper.The proposed method optimally schedules ES devices to minimize the total opera...A day-ahead optimal scheduling method for a grid-connected microgrid based on energy storage(ES)control strategy is proposed in this paper.The proposed method optimally schedules ES devices to minimize the total operating costs while satisfying the load requirements of cold,heat,and electricity in microgrids.By modeling the operating cost function of each stage,the proposed method is able to adapt to different types of electricity markets and pricing mechanisms.The technical characteristics of ES,such as self-discharge and round-trip efficiency,are considered in the control strategy with a multistage process model.An improved dynamic programing method is used to solve the optimization model.Finally,case studies are provided to illustrate the application process and verify the proposed method.展开更多
文摘This paper applies time series methodologies to examine the causal relationship among electricity demand, real per capita GDP and total labor force for Italy from 1970 to 2009. After a brief introduction, a survey of the economic literature on this issue is reported, before discussing the data and introducing the econometric techniques used. The results of estimation indicate that one cointegrating relationship exists among these variables. This equilibrium relation implies that, in the long-run, GDP and labor force are correlated negatively, as well as GDP and electricity. Moreover, there is a bi-directional Granger causality flow between real per capita GDP and electricity demand; while labor force does not Granger- cause neither real per capita GDP nor electricity demand. This implies that electricity demand and economic growth are jointly determined at the same time for the Italian case. The forecast error variance decomposition shows that forecast errors in real per capita GDP are mainly caused by the uncertainty in GDP itself, while forecast errors in labor force are mainly resulted from the labor force itself, although aggregate income and electricity are important, too.
基金supported by the National key research and development program of China(2016YFB0901102)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51377119)
文摘A day-ahead optimal scheduling method for a grid-connected microgrid based on energy storage(ES)control strategy is proposed in this paper.The proposed method optimally schedules ES devices to minimize the total operating costs while satisfying the load requirements of cold,heat,and electricity in microgrids.By modeling the operating cost function of each stage,the proposed method is able to adapt to different types of electricity markets and pricing mechanisms.The technical characteristics of ES,such as self-discharge and round-trip efficiency,are considered in the control strategy with a multistage process model.An improved dynamic programing method is used to solve the optimization model.Finally,case studies are provided to illustrate the application process and verify the proposed method.
