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The Study of Model About Enterprise Crisis Early-warning Based on Fuzzy Classification and
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《Journal of Systems Science and Information》 2006年第2期239-248,共10页
Toward the problem of judgement of enterprise crisis degree, the paper adopts fuzzy classification and fuzzy recognition method, forms enterprise character objective function in fuzzy condition, and brings forward to ... Toward the problem of judgement of enterprise crisis degree, the paper adopts fuzzy classification and fuzzy recognition method, forms enterprise character objective function in fuzzy condition, and brings forward to solve approach of optimal fuzzy classification center matrix, optimal fuzzy recognition matrix and optimal index weight under different crisis degree. By using the method in enterprise crisis early-warning example, it can distinguish enterprise crisis degree effectively. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy classification fuzzy recognition crisis early-warning
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The Effect of the 2007/2008 Financial Crisis on Enterprise Risk Management Disclosure of Top US Banks 被引量:2
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作者 Daniel Zeghal Meriem El Aoun 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2016年第1期28-51,共24页
We document the effect of the 2007/2008 financial crisis on the volume and the quality of enterprise risk management (ERM) disclosure in the annual reports of the largest US banks, and analyze its determinants. Usin... We document the effect of the 2007/2008 financial crisis on the volume and the quality of enterprise risk management (ERM) disclosure in the annual reports of the largest US banks, and analyze its determinants. Using a content analysis approach of the annual reports form 10-K for the years 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009, we find that the ERM disclosure is significantly and positively associated with the crisis, bank size, board independence, duality and significantly and negatively associated with profitability, leverage, and board size. This paper seeks to fill a gap in the literature by investigating the effect of the crisis on ERM disclosure in the US banking sector context, and gives an insight into the factors affecting risk disclosure practices during the financial crisis. 展开更多
关键词 enterprise risk management (ERM) financial crisis risk disclosure content analysis US banks
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Financial crisis early-warning model of listed companies based on predicted value
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作者 Liu Yanwen Zhao Chunyang(School of Management, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China) 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2008年第S1期160-163,共4页
To establish a financial early-warning model with high accuracy of discrimination and achieve the aim of long-term prediction, principal component analysis (PCA), Fisher discriminant, together with grey forecasting mo... To establish a financial early-warning model with high accuracy of discrimination and achieve the aim of long-term prediction, principal component analysis (PCA), Fisher discriminant, together with grey forecasting models are used at the same time. 110 A-share companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchange are selected as research samples. And 10 extractive factors with 89.746% of all the original information are determined by applying PCA, which obtains the goal of dimension reduction without information loss. Based on the index system, the early-warning model is constructed according to the Fisher rules. And then the GM(1,1) is adopted to predict financial ratios in 2004, according to 40 testing samples from 2000 to 2003. Finally, two different methods, a self-validated and a forecasting-validated, are used to test the validity of the financial crisis warning model. The empirical results show that the model has better predictability and feasibility, and GM(1,1) contributes to the ability to make long-term predictions. 展开更多
关键词 financial crisis early-warning Fisher discriminant GM(1 1) model
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How Should Generation Enterprises Deal with Crisis?
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作者 Zhang Changyuan Director of Department of Policy Research,China Datang Corporation 《Electricity》 2009年第2期20-21,16,共3页
Since October 2008,China's social consumption of electricity had,for the first time,grown negatively compared to the same period of the previous year,and in November the negative growth range further expanded. The... Since October 2008,China's social consumption of electricity had,for the first time,grown negatively compared to the same period of the previous year,and in November the negative growth range further expanded. The major pressure faced by the electricity industry has now turned from the contradiction between coal and electricity to electricity quantity. This is undoubtedly a true and new test to electricity enterprises which get used to high growth but are now suffering great losses. The reform of electricity system has already been in great difficulties and now is getting into a more serious situation. In order to help readers improve their knowledge and understanding of the current tough situation faced by the electricity industry and discuss how to alleviate and get through the difficulty resulted from the economic crisis "encountered once every one hundred years" by joint efforts of all parties concerned,a Seminar on Crisis and Countermeasures for Electricity Industry was held on November 20,2008. Here are some extracts from the speeches of four experts. 展开更多
关键词 TIME How Should Generation enterprises Deal with crisis
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Countermeasures against Crisis by Generation Enterprises
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作者 Chen Zongfa Director of the Office of System Reform of China Huadian Corporation Zhang Sufang 《Electricity》 2009年第2期22-24,16,共4页
Since October 2008,China's social consumption of electricity had,for the first time,grown negatively compared to the same period of the previous year,and in November the negative growth range further expanded. The... Since October 2008,China's social consumption of electricity had,for the first time,grown negatively compared to the same period of the previous year,and in November the negative growth range further expanded. The major pressure faced by the electricity industry has now turned from the contradiction between coal and electricity to electricity quantity. This is undoubtedly a true and new test to electricity enterprises which get used to high growth but are now suffering great losses. The reform of electricity system has already been in great difficulties and now is getting into a more serious situation. In order to help readers improve their knowledge and understanding of the current tough situation faced by the electricity industry and discuss how to alleviate and get through the difficulty resulted from the economic crisis "encountered once every one hundred years" by joint efforts of all parties concerned,a Seminar on Crisis and Countermeasures for Electricity Industry was held on November 20,2008. Here are some extracts from the speeches of four experts. 展开更多
关键词 Countermeasures against crisis by Generation enterprises
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Research on Technology Early-Warning System Based on Dynamic Information Monitoring
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作者 汪雪锋 朱东华 +1 位作者 刘嵩 刘佳 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第1期121-126,共6页
Relying on the advanced information technologies, such as information monitoring, data mining, natural language processing etc., the dynamic technology early-warning system is constructed. The system consists of techn... Relying on the advanced information technologies, such as information monitoring, data mining, natural language processing etc., the dynamic technology early-warning system is constructed. The system consists of technology information automatic retrieval, technology information monitoring, technology threat evaluation, and crisis response and management subsystem, which implements uninterrupted dynamic monitoring, trace and crisis early-warning to the specific technology. Empirical study testifies that the system improves the accuracy, timeliness and reliability of technology early-warning. 展开更多
关键词 technology early-warning system information monitoring dynamic retrieval technology threatevaluation crisis response and management
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Development of Crisis Management Models Combined with Cloud Computing
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作者 刘奕 王雪娅 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2016年第3期483-489,共7页
Three monitor models of enterprise crisis were introduced,i.e.,the monitoring model of enterprise crisis based on intelligent Meta search,the enterprise crisis management model based on artificial neural network and t... Three monitor models of enterprise crisis were introduced,i.e.,the monitoring model of enterprise crisis based on intelligent Meta search,the enterprise crisis management model based on artificial neural network and the combined early-warning model.Combined with the advantages of cloud computing,the prominent crisis management models are improved and more efficient,comprehensive and accurate in enterprise crisis management.Through the empirical study of the models,cloud computing makes the early warning structures of enterprise crisis tend to be more simple and efficient,cloud computing can effectively enhance the recognition ability and learning ability of the crisis management,and cloud computing can keep data information updating and realize the dynamic management of enterprise joint early-warning.At the same time,according to the comparative analysis and the experimental result,the crisis management models based on cloud computing also need some improvements. 展开更多
关键词 cloud computing intelligent metasearch artificial neural network(ANN) joint early-warning model crisis management models
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Research on the corporate crisis early warning factors based on the GRA
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作者 GONG Wei-guo LUO Yong-heng 《Chinese Business Review》 2008年第9期53-57,共5页
By decomposing complex issues into factors at all levels, Grey Relativity Analysis (GRA) can effectively calculate the degree the main factors affect the goal value, and overcome the problems that the traditional ... By decomposing complex issues into factors at all levels, Grey Relativity Analysis (GRA) can effectively calculate the degree the main factors affect the goal value, and overcome the problems that the traditional mathematical statistics have such as big samples, heavy computation, and inconsistency between quantitative results and qualitative analysis. So it becomes one kind of simple, convenient and distinctive systematic analysis method. GRA is applied to corporate crisis early warning analysis. The paper through the GRA the half of this quantitative approach, explores the correlation degree among the corporate crisis early warning factors, in order to find the importance sequence of instance enterprise early warning crisis factors by calculation so as to provide a theoretical foundation for the prevention and decrease of the instance enterprise crisis. 展开更多
关键词 GRA enterprise crisis early warning
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Trade Credit in the Crisis: Selling or Financing?
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作者 Candida Bussoli Claudio Giannotti 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2014年第8期853-864,共12页
The work investigates the use of trade credit in Italy for reasons of a financial nature. The analysis considers Italian small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and investigates, over the years of 2009-2011: the ... The work investigates the use of trade credit in Italy for reasons of a financial nature. The analysis considers Italian small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and investigates, over the years of 2009-2011: the existence of functional relationships between the incidence of trade receivables and payables and corporate profitability; the existence of interdependencies between trade credit policy and trade debt policy; and the coexistence of interchangeable and complementary conditions between trade debts and bank loans and other sources of funding. To verify the research hypotheses, linear regression models on a yearly basis are used and these models are put under observation over the years of 2009-2011. We can conclude that there are interdependencies between trade credit policy and trade debt policy and that trade credit is a source of flexible way of financing, also available in periods of crisis, which has a positive effect on the profitability of SMEs and can be utilized as a complementary and substitute source of financing to bank loans. 展开更多
关键词 bank-firm relationship financial crisis small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) trade debt trade credit
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The digitalization and public crisis responses of small and medium enterprises:Implications from a COVID-19 survey 被引量:2
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作者 Hai Guo Zhuen Yang +1 位作者 Ran Hua Anqi Guo 《Frontiers of Business Research in China》 2020年第3期278-302,共25页
The 2019 novel coronavirus disease(COVID-19)outbreak is a global crisis that has placed small and medium enterprises(SMEs)under huge pressure to survive,requiring them to respond effectively to the crisis.SMEs have ad... The 2019 novel coronavirus disease(COVID-19)outbreak is a global crisis that has placed small and medium enterprises(SMEs)under huge pressure to survive,requiring them to respond effectively to the crisis.SMEs have adopted various digital tech no logies to cope with this crisis.Using a data set from a survey with 518 Chin ese SMEs,the study examines the relati on ship between SMEs'digitalizatio n and their public crisis responses.The empirical results show that digitalization has enabled SMEs to respond effectively to the public crisis by making use of their dynamic capabilities.In addition,digitalization can help improve SMEs'performance.We propose a theoretical framework ofdigitalization and crisis respohses for SMEs and present three avenues for future research. 展开更多
关键词 2019 novel coronavirus disease(COVID-19) DIGITALIZATION Dynamic capabilities Public crisis Small and medium enterprises(SMEs)
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在线风暴情境下多元参与主体对用户生成内容的影响 被引量:1
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作者 张敏 韩枫 李怡纬 《系统管理学报》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期771-781,共11页
基于微博企业危机事件话题下的用户发帖数据,探究在线风暴中多元参与主体对负面用户生成内容(UGC)的影响。运用回归模型与灰色关联分析法研究发现,在由企业危机事件引发的在线风暴中,中心企业回应前公众意见中负向帖子的比例与普通用户... 基于微博企业危机事件话题下的用户发帖数据,探究在线风暴中多元参与主体对负面用户生成内容(UGC)的影响。运用回归模型与灰色关联分析法研究发现,在由企业危机事件引发的在线风暴中,中心企业回应前公众意见中负向帖子的比例与普通用户的负向UGC比例呈显著正相关。中心企业回应发帖的情感效价越正向,普通用户的负向UGC比例越低,而中心企业回应发帖的数量与其没有显著相关性。中心企业回应后,意见领袖和在线新闻媒体的负面发帖比例与普通用户的负向UGC比例呈显著正相关,政府机关的负面发帖比例与普通用户的负向UGC比例呈显著负相关。此外,各参与主体对普通用户负面发帖的影响程度从强到弱分别为意见领袖、公众意见、在线新闻媒体和政府机关。 展开更多
关键词 在线风暴 危机利益相关者 用户生成内容 负面信息扩散 企业回应
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论产品品牌建设的信用制度根基
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作者 林钧跃 《征信》 北大核心 2024年第9期1-13,共13页
在产品品牌面临的多种风险因素中,人为失信违规因素是首要的风险因素,而控制这类风险恰恰是质量管理制度的弱项。即使企业建立了质量管理制度,并获得了ISO9001质量认证,仍无法避免因产品质量问题造成产品品牌受损。为弥补质量管理制度... 在产品品牌面临的多种风险因素中,人为失信违规因素是首要的风险因素,而控制这类风险恰恰是质量管理制度的弱项。即使企业建立了质量管理制度,并获得了ISO9001质量认证,仍无法避免因产品质量问题造成产品品牌受损。为弥补质量管理制度的不足,企业可在产品品牌建设和运维中发挥信用管理制度和诚信自律制度的作用,从根本上改进质量管理制度的诚信制度环境,并积极应对政府监管的质量信用制度措施和利用相关国家政策增强产品品牌传播力。基于此,给出了四项制度融合应用的逻辑和基本方法。 展开更多
关键词 产品品牌 品牌建设 品牌运维 品牌危机管理 质量管理制度 质量信用制度 企业信用管理制度 企业诚信自律制度
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中小微白酒企业危机管理与规避策略
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作者 徐刚 Xu Gang 《酒.饮料技术装备》 2024年第4期88-91,共4页
中小微白酒企业在面临市场波动、竞争加剧等危机时,如何构建有效的危机管理机制和规避策略成为当前一大难题。本文通过分析中小微白酒企业常见的危机类型及成因,并针对性地提出了危机预警、危机应对和危机恢复等管理策略。研究结果表明... 中小微白酒企业在面临市场波动、竞争加剧等危机时,如何构建有效的危机管理机制和规避策略成为当前一大难题。本文通过分析中小微白酒企业常见的危机类型及成因,并针对性地提出了危机预警、危机应对和危机恢复等管理策略。研究结果表明,建立科学的危机管理体系、加强内部沟通与协作、提升品牌影响力和市场竞争力,是中小微白酒企业有效应对和规避危机的关键,从而有助于白酒企业实现可持续发展。 展开更多
关键词 白酒企业 规避策略 企业危机管理
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大数据混合结构的电炉企业公共突发事件危机预警系统
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作者 吴思瑾 《工业加热》 CAS 2024年第1期66-70,共5页
为解决电炉企业公共突发事件危机预警系统的分类能力差、预警误报累积分布比例高的问题,研究大数据混合结构的电炉企业公共突发事件危机预警系统。采用C/S结构、B/S结构和大数据数据库相结合的大数据混合结构,构建新的系统结构,从而设... 为解决电炉企业公共突发事件危机预警系统的分类能力差、预警误报累积分布比例高的问题,研究大数据混合结构的电炉企业公共突发事件危机预警系统。采用C/S结构、B/S结构和大数据数据库相结合的大数据混合结构,构建新的系统结构,从而设计系统功能模块,通过决策树算法分类事件,实现电炉企业公共突发事件危机预警。结果表明,该方法准确分类了事件样本,并且预警误报累积分布比例数值在2.0%以下,数值未发生较大波动,证实了其提高了事件分类能力和降低了预警误报累积分布比例,从而提高了危机预警性能,具备更高的应用价值。 展开更多
关键词 大数据混合结构 电炉企业公共突发事件 危机预警系统 决策树 信息增益
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危机传播管理企业影响评估与防范实证研究
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作者 刘瑞 李海 黎幸瑜 《市场周刊》 2024年第11期9-11,110,共4页
当今社会竞争激烈,企业应对危机和风险的情景愈发复杂。为了维护合伙人、客户、股东、消费者等多种复杂关系,有效避免信息错误、误会、不对等,使企业在公共环境中平稳有序地运营,维护企业的合法利益和形象,将舆情、谣言等负面影响降到最... 当今社会竞争激烈,企业应对危机和风险的情景愈发复杂。为了维护合伙人、客户、股东、消费者等多种复杂关系,有效避免信息错误、误会、不对等,使企业在公共环境中平稳有序地运营,维护企业的合法利益和形象,将舆情、谣言等负面影响降到最低,进一步提升企业形象,实施品牌管理,危机传播管理势在必行。 展开更多
关键词 企业 危机传播 影响评估与防范
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企业危机及企业危机管理 被引量:16
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作者 贺正楚 李自如 全裕吉 《湖南师范大学社会科学学报》 北大核心 2003年第3期67-71,共5页
企业危机严重影响企业的发展,甚至生存。企业可能遭受各种类型的企业危机。企业只有加强危机管理,才会立于不败之地。企业危机管理包括危机防范、监测、预控、决策、处理和总结等过程。
关键词 企业 企业危机 企业危机管理
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现代企业危机的本质 被引量:18
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作者 梁嘉骅 李常洪 宫丽华 《中国软科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2004年第9期89-94,共6页
对危机及危机管理的研究已经历了二十多年,但企业危机非但没有减少,并越来越高发,越来越严重,究其原因是未能对危机的本质进行深入的研究。本文从现代企业与企业生态关系的层面上对企业危机本质进行研究,认为现代企业危机的本质在于企... 对危机及危机管理的研究已经历了二十多年,但企业危机非但没有减少,并越来越高发,越来越严重,究其原因是未能对危机的本质进行深入的研究。本文从现代企业与企业生态关系的层面上对企业危机本质进行研究,认为现代企业危机的本质在于企业制度体系的根本缺陷。 展开更多
关键词 企业危机 企业生态 危机管理 企业制度体系
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智能财务危机预警与原因诊断方法研究——基于自适应贝叶斯网络模型SABNM的探析 被引量:15
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作者 叶焕倬 杨青 汪勇华 《审计与经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第3期74-82,共9页
随着经济环境的复杂化和信息化水平的提高,企业对财务危机预警和诊断的有效性和智能化也越来越受到重视。基于SABNM的财务预警与诊断模型利用遗传算法搜索最优贝叶斯网络,利用其正向推理进行财务危机预警,利用逆向推理进行财务危机原因... 随着经济环境的复杂化和信息化水平的提高,企业对财务危机预警和诊断的有效性和智能化也越来越受到重视。基于SABNM的财务预警与诊断模型利用遗传算法搜索最优贝叶斯网络,利用其正向推理进行财务危机预警,利用逆向推理进行财务危机原因诊断,避免了统计方法的局限性和人工神经网络的不足。实验表明,SABNM预测模型准确率较高,且短期预测能力明显强于中长期预测能力,而SABNM诊断模型的原因诊断结果与实际资料也基本相符。 展开更多
关键词 财务危机原因 企业财务预警 企业财务诊断 财务危机预警 贝叶斯网络模型 SABNM
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基于和谐管理理论的企业危机管理研究 被引量:14
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作者 刘静静 席酉民 王亚刚 《科学学与科学技术管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2009年第1期138-142,共5页
随着经营环境的复杂多变,企业危机已成为一种常态,危机管理已成为企业及理论界最关注的热门话题之一。现有的危机管理理论众多,从危机的预防到各职能危机的应对应有尽有,但这些理论关注的往往只是危机管理的某一方面,对企业危机管理的... 随着经营环境的复杂多变,企业危机已成为一种常态,危机管理已成为企业及理论界最关注的热门话题之一。现有的危机管理理论众多,从危机的预防到各职能危机的应对应有尽有,但这些理论关注的往往只是危机管理的某一方面,对企业危机管理的动态性和整体性把握不够,难以为复杂多变的实际问题提供系统可行的指导。针对这一现状,结合企业危机的基本特点,引入致力于多变环境下复杂管理问题求解的和谐管理理论,对企业危机管理的内在机理进行了深入系统的分析。在和谐管理理论系统指导的基础上,给出了解决企业危机问题的一般框架,为企业危机管理提供了一条新思路。 展开更多
关键词 企业危机管理 危机预防 和谐管理理论
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基于情景分析法的企业危机发展预测 被引量:10
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作者 王知津 周鹏 韩正彪 《图书馆论坛》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第6期299-302,共4页
在对情景分析法原理和企业危机动态性比较的基础上,认为二者具有一个契合点——未来不确定性。首先分析了情景分析法应用于企业危机发展预测的可行性;其次分析了应用于企业危机发展预测的情景分析法的步骤和内容,包括企业危机发展关键... 在对情景分析法原理和企业危机动态性比较的基础上,认为二者具有一个契合点——未来不确定性。首先分析了情景分析法应用于企业危机发展预测的可行性;其次分析了应用于企业危机发展预测的情景分析法的步骤和内容,包括企业危机发展关键影响因素的识别,企业危机发展情景描述,企业危机发展敏感度分析,企业危机发展路径分析等。 展开更多
关键词 情景分析 企业危机 预测
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