Marine structures operating in natural ocean environment are subjected to various stochastic loads. For design of the marine structures, the most important task is to determine environmental load design criterion. Thi...Marine structures operating in natural ocean environment are subjected to various stochastic loads. For design of the marine structures, the most important task is to determine environmental load design criterion. This paper presents a method to determine the optimum environmental load design criterion for marine structures. This method is based on the investment and benefit analysis and it can reach the design purpose of decreasing total costs during the service life of the structures and increasing economic benefits.展开更多
With rapid economy growth,building energy consumption in China has been gradually increased.The energy consumption and indoor environmental quality of 51 office buildings in Hainan Province,a hot and humid area,were s...With rapid economy growth,building energy consumption in China has been gradually increased.The energy consumption and indoor environmental quality of 51 office buildings in Hainan Province,a hot and humid area,were studied through collection of verified data in site visits and field tests.The result revealed that,electricity accounted for 99.79% of the total energy consumption,natural gas 0.17%,and diesel 0.04%.The air conditioning dominated the energy use with a share of 43.18%,equipment in the particular areas 26.90%,equipment in the office rooms 11.95%,lighting system 8.67%,general service system 7.57%,and miscellaneous items 1.73%.Statistical method including six indicators obtained the energy consumption benchmark with upper limit of 98.31 kW-h/m2 and lower limit of 55.26 kW-h/m2.According to ASHRAE standard(comfortable standard) and GB/T 18883-2002(acceptable standard),the indoor environmental quality of 51 sampled office buildings was classified into three ranks:good,normal and bad.With benchmark of building energy consumption combined with indoor environmental quality,it was found that only 3.92% of sampled buildings can be identified as the best performance buildings with low energy consumption and advanced indoor environmental quality,and the buildings classified into normal level accounted for the maximum ratio.展开更多
Karst collapse, caused by natural or artificial abstraction of groundwater, has been a focus of environmental geological problems for its ever-increasing hazardousness. The potential erosion theory and vacuum suction ...Karst collapse, caused by natural or artificial abstraction of groundwater, has been a focus of environmental geological problems for its ever-increasing hazardousness. The potential erosion theory and vacuum suction erosion theory, which reveal the origin of karst collapse macroscopically, are popularly accepted. However, a mathematic prediction criterion for karst collapse cannot be established only by these two theories. From a new perspective, this paper attempts to explain the microcosmic mechanism of karst collapse on the basis of these two theories. When the shear stress surpasses the shear strength of soil, a certain point or a certain plane in the unconsolidated soil covering karst caves will fail under the mechanical effects of water and air as well as its load-pressure, and with the increase of damaged points, a breaking plane appears and the soil on karst caves is completely damaged; as a result, the karst ground collapses. On the basis of the Mohr-Coulomb failure theory and previous studies, the paper presents a prediction criterion of karst collapse. Finally, by taking, for example, nine typical cases of collapse caused by pumping tests in Guizhou, the paper gives the calculation process of the model and proves its reliability.展开更多
目的比较BIC估计法与MCMC近似法两种后验概率法在贝叶斯基准剂量估计中的稳健性,并为山西省洪洞县儿童羟基代谢物可接受剂量的制定提供参考建议。方法首先介绍基于BIC估计法和MCMC近似法计算后验权重的原理,模拟研究选用Integrated Risk...目的比较BIC估计法与MCMC近似法两种后验概率法在贝叶斯基准剂量估计中的稳健性,并为山西省洪洞县儿童羟基代谢物可接受剂量的制定提供参考建议。方法首先介绍基于BIC估计法和MCMC近似法计算后验权重的原理,模拟研究选用Integrated Risk Information System数据库中不同剂量-反应数据集共30个,分析比较两种方法的优劣,并在实例研究中采用权重法进行数据整合。结果模拟研究结果显示在所研究的30个数据集中BIC估计法在BMR为0.01时有4个数据集出现BMDL预测失败的情况,在BMR为0.001时有1个数据集出现BMD预测失败的情况,以及6个数据集出现BMDL预测失败的情况。MCMC近似法计算的BMD/BMDL在每一种模型都有70%以上的数据集高于BIC估计法得到的BMD/BMDL。实例分析表明符合洪洞县儿童体内羟基代谢物剂量-反应关系的模型有linear(P=0.13,β=14.3%)、logistic(P=0.06,β=9.5%)、Weibull(P=0.14,β=10.6%)、multistage(P=0.15,β=31.1%)、Hill(P=0.21,β=34.6%)。在BMR为0.001的情况下,洪洞县儿童体内八种羟基代谢物(2-OHN、1-OHN、9-OHF、2-OHF、2-OHphe、1-OHphe、1-OHBaP、3-OHBaP)的可接受剂量(μmol/mol)依次为0.577μmol/mol、1.546μmol/mol、8.135μmol/mol、0.359μmol/mol、0.120μmol/mol、0.098μmol/mol、0.044μmol/mol、0.003μmol/mol。结论MCMC近似法在BMD估计中具有较好的稳定性和鲁棒性。展开更多
In this paper, we studied the relationship between environmental factors and disastrousearthquakes of Xinjiang based on the characteristics of time--space distribution of disastrousearthquakes. Through a great deal of...In this paper, we studied the relationship between environmental factors and disastrousearthquakes of Xinjiang based on the characteristics of time--space distribution of disastrousearthquakes. Through a great deal of data handling and several statistic correlation analyses,the method has passed the correlation test on the confidence level of α= 0.01 or 0. 05, whichshows a certain relation between environmental factors and disastrous earthquakes, thus theprediction criterion for disastrous earthquakes with different scales in different time inter-vals is put forward.展开更多
文摘Marine structures operating in natural ocean environment are subjected to various stochastic loads. For design of the marine structures, the most important task is to determine environmental load design criterion. This paper presents a method to determine the optimum environmental load design criterion for marine structures. This method is based on the investment and benefit analysis and it can reach the design purpose of decreasing total costs during the service life of the structures and increasing economic benefits.
基金Project(2011BAJ01B05) supported by the National Science and Technology Pillar Program during the Twelfth Five-year Plan Period of China
文摘With rapid economy growth,building energy consumption in China has been gradually increased.The energy consumption and indoor environmental quality of 51 office buildings in Hainan Province,a hot and humid area,were studied through collection of verified data in site visits and field tests.The result revealed that,electricity accounted for 99.79% of the total energy consumption,natural gas 0.17%,and diesel 0.04%.The air conditioning dominated the energy use with a share of 43.18%,equipment in the particular areas 26.90%,equipment in the office rooms 11.95%,lighting system 8.67%,general service system 7.57%,and miscellaneous items 1.73%.Statistical method including six indicators obtained the energy consumption benchmark with upper limit of 98.31 kW-h/m2 and lower limit of 55.26 kW-h/m2.According to ASHRAE standard(comfortable standard) and GB/T 18883-2002(acceptable standard),the indoor environmental quality of 51 sampled office buildings was classified into three ranks:good,normal and bad.With benchmark of building energy consumption combined with indoor environmental quality,it was found that only 3.92% of sampled buildings can be identified as the best performance buildings with low energy consumption and advanced indoor environmental quality,and the buildings classified into normal level accounted for the maximum ratio.
文摘Karst collapse, caused by natural or artificial abstraction of groundwater, has been a focus of environmental geological problems for its ever-increasing hazardousness. The potential erosion theory and vacuum suction erosion theory, which reveal the origin of karst collapse macroscopically, are popularly accepted. However, a mathematic prediction criterion for karst collapse cannot be established only by these two theories. From a new perspective, this paper attempts to explain the microcosmic mechanism of karst collapse on the basis of these two theories. When the shear stress surpasses the shear strength of soil, a certain point or a certain plane in the unconsolidated soil covering karst caves will fail under the mechanical effects of water and air as well as its load-pressure, and with the increase of damaged points, a breaking plane appears and the soil on karst caves is completely damaged; as a result, the karst ground collapses. On the basis of the Mohr-Coulomb failure theory and previous studies, the paper presents a prediction criterion of karst collapse. Finally, by taking, for example, nine typical cases of collapse caused by pumping tests in Guizhou, the paper gives the calculation process of the model and proves its reliability.
文摘目的比较BIC估计法与MCMC近似法两种后验概率法在贝叶斯基准剂量估计中的稳健性,并为山西省洪洞县儿童羟基代谢物可接受剂量的制定提供参考建议。方法首先介绍基于BIC估计法和MCMC近似法计算后验权重的原理,模拟研究选用Integrated Risk Information System数据库中不同剂量-反应数据集共30个,分析比较两种方法的优劣,并在实例研究中采用权重法进行数据整合。结果模拟研究结果显示在所研究的30个数据集中BIC估计法在BMR为0.01时有4个数据集出现BMDL预测失败的情况,在BMR为0.001时有1个数据集出现BMD预测失败的情况,以及6个数据集出现BMDL预测失败的情况。MCMC近似法计算的BMD/BMDL在每一种模型都有70%以上的数据集高于BIC估计法得到的BMD/BMDL。实例分析表明符合洪洞县儿童体内羟基代谢物剂量-反应关系的模型有linear(P=0.13,β=14.3%)、logistic(P=0.06,β=9.5%)、Weibull(P=0.14,β=10.6%)、multistage(P=0.15,β=31.1%)、Hill(P=0.21,β=34.6%)。在BMR为0.001的情况下,洪洞县儿童体内八种羟基代谢物(2-OHN、1-OHN、9-OHF、2-OHF、2-OHphe、1-OHphe、1-OHBaP、3-OHBaP)的可接受剂量(μmol/mol)依次为0.577μmol/mol、1.546μmol/mol、8.135μmol/mol、0.359μmol/mol、0.120μmol/mol、0.098μmol/mol、0.044μmol/mol、0.003μmol/mol。结论MCMC近似法在BMD估计中具有较好的稳定性和鲁棒性。
文摘In this paper, we studied the relationship between environmental factors and disastrousearthquakes of Xinjiang based on the characteristics of time--space distribution of disastrousearthquakes. Through a great deal of data handling and several statistic correlation analyses,the method has passed the correlation test on the confidence level of α= 0.01 or 0. 05, whichshows a certain relation between environmental factors and disastrous earthquakes, thus theprediction criterion for disastrous earthquakes with different scales in different time inter-vals is put forward.
