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A Goal-Oriented Adaptive Finite Element Method for 3D Resistivity Modeling Using Dual-Error Weighting Approach 被引量:3
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作者 Yixin Ye Xiangyun Hu Dong Xu 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第6期821-826,共6页
A goal-oriented adaptive finite element(FE) method for solving 3D direct current(DC) resistivity modeling problem is presented. The model domain is subdivided into unstructured tetrahedral elements that allow for ... A goal-oriented adaptive finite element(FE) method for solving 3D direct current(DC) resistivity modeling problem is presented. The model domain is subdivided into unstructured tetrahedral elements that allow for efficient local mesh refinement and flexible description of complex models. The elements that affect the solution at each receiver location are adaptively refined according to a goal-oriented posteriori error estimator using dual-error weighting approach. The FE method with adapting mesh can easily handle such structures at almost any level of complexity. The method is demonstrated on two synthetic resistivity models with analytical solutions and available results from integral equation method, so the errors can be quantified. The applicability of the numerical method is illustrated on a resistivity model with a topographic ridge. Numerical examples show that this method is flexible and accurate for geometrically complex situations. 展开更多
关键词 adaptive finite element dual-error weighting approach unstructured mesh 3D resistivity.
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THE LAW OF THE ITERATED LOGARITHM OF RANDOM WEIGHTING APPROXIMATION FOR MEAN ERROR──NON.I.I.D.SITUATION
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作者 王炳章 彭建平 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 1996年第8期741-750,共10页
For the dislribulion if mean error under independent but not identicallydislribuled conditions. its approximating dislribution whose precision reachO is obtained.
关键词 mean error random weight APPROXIMATION
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Estimating the Parameters Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) with Measurement Error
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作者 Ida Mariati Hutabarat Asep Saefuddin +1 位作者 Anik Djuraidah I Wayan Mangku 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2013年第6期417-421,共5页
Geographically weighted regression models with the measurement error are a modeling method that combines the global regression models with the measurement error and the weighted regression model. The assumptions used ... Geographically weighted regression models with the measurement error are a modeling method that combines the global regression models with the measurement error and the weighted regression model. The assumptions used in this model are a normally distributed error with that the expectation value is zero and the variance is constant. The purpose of this study is to estimate the parameters of the model and find the properties of these estimators. Estimation is done by using the Weighted Least Squares (WLS) which gives different weighting to each location. The variance of the measurement error is known. Estimators obtained are . The properties of the estimator are unbiased and have a minimum variance. 展开更多
关键词 GEOGRAPHICAL weightED Regression Measurement error INSTRUMENTAL Variable weightED Least SQUARES
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Burst Error Correction Method Based on Arithmetic Weighted Checksums
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作者 Saleh Al-Omar Atef Obeidat 《Engineering(科研)》 2012年第11期768-773,共6页
In this paper a new approach for increasing the performance of burst error correction that occurs during data transmission in low-frequency channels with pulse-code modulation is proposed. The specific technique is ba... In this paper a new approach for increasing the performance of burst error correction that occurs during data transmission in low-frequency channels with pulse-code modulation is proposed. The specific technique is based on the weighted checksum which is computed with arithmetic operations. It is shown that the solution proposed not only guarantees the correction of any single error burst but it also lowers the computational complexity so that procedure correction time does not depend on controlled data block length. Finally, the use of the algorithm is illustrated via the thorough presentation of an example of erroneous data transmission. 展开更多
关键词 Burst-errors REED SOLOMON ARITHMETIC weightED CHECKSUM
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ERROR ANALYSIS IN DIFFERENTIAL QUADRATURE METHOD 被引量:3
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作者 He Beiqing(College of Science,NUAA 29 Yudao Street,Nanjing 210016,P.R.China)Wang Xinwei(Department of Aircraft Engineering ,NUAA 29 Yudao Street,Nanjing 210016,P.R.China) 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 1994年第2期194-200,共7页
Error estimation for the differential quadrature (DQ)with various sets of grid spacing is presented. A general formula is given to compute the weighting coefficients directly. It is found that the maximum error of the... Error estimation for the differential quadrature (DQ)with various sets of grid spacing is presented. A general formula is given to compute the weighting coefficients directly. It is found that the maximum error of the Do method with roots of Chebyshev polynomials including two end POints (-1 and + 1 ) is the smallest among the several sets of grid spacing investigated herein. 展开更多
关键词 error ESTIMATE weight grid SPACERS DIFFERENTIAL QUADRATURE HARMONIC DIFFERENTIAL QUADRATURE
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Characterizing prediction errors of a new tree height model for cut-to-length Pinus radiata stems through the Burr TypeⅫdistribution
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作者 Xinyu Cao Huiquan Bi +1 位作者 Duncan Watt Yun Li 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第6期1899-1914,共16页
Unlike height-diameter equations for standing trees commonly used in forest resources modelling,tree height models for cut-to-length(CTL)stems tend to produce prediction errors whose distributions are not conditionall... Unlike height-diameter equations for standing trees commonly used in forest resources modelling,tree height models for cut-to-length(CTL)stems tend to produce prediction errors whose distributions are not conditionally normal but are rather leptokurtic and heavy-tailed.This feature was merely noticed in previous studies but never thoroughly investigated.This study characterized the prediction error distribution of a newly developed such tree height model for Pin us radiata(D.Don)through the three-parameter Burr TypeⅫ(BⅫ)distribution.The model’s prediction errors(ε)exhibited heteroskedasticity conditional mainly on the small end relative diameter of the top log and also on DBH to a minor extent.Structured serial correlations were also present in the data.A total of 14 candidate weighting functions were compared to select the best two for weightingεin order to reduce its conditional heteroskedasticity.The weighted prediction errors(εw)were shifted by a constant to the positive range supported by the BXII distribution.Then the distribution of weighted and shifted prediction errors(εw+)was characterized by the BⅫdistribution using maximum likelihood estimation through 1000 times of repeated random sampling,fitting and goodness-of-fit testing,each time by randomly taking only one observation from each tree to circumvent the potential adverse impact of serial correlation in the data on parameter estimation and inferences.The nonparametric two sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov(KS)goodness-of-fit test and its closely related Kuiper’s(KU)test showed the fitted BⅫdistributions provided a good fit to the highly leptokurtic and heavy-tailed distribution ofε.Random samples generated from the fitted BⅫdistributions ofεw+derived from using the best two weighting functions,when back-shifted and unweighted,exhibited distributions that were,in about97 and 95%of the 1000 cases respectively,not statistically different from the distribution ofε.Our results for cut-tolength P.radiata stems represented the first case of any tree species where a non-normal error distribution in tree height prediction was described by an underlying probability distribution.The fitted BXII prediction error distribution will help to unlock the full potential of the new tree height model in forest resources modelling of P.radiata plantations,particularly when uncertainty assessments,statistical inferences and error propagations are needed in research and practical applications through harvester data analytics. 展开更多
关键词 Conditional heteroskedasticity Leptokurtic error distribution Skedactic function Nonlinear quantile regression weighted prediction errors Serial correlation Random sampling and fitting Nonparametric goodnessof-fit tests
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CHANNEL ERROR CORRECTION FOR WIDEBAND SAR-A JOINT MULTIPLE SUBPULSES PROCESSING METHOD 被引量:3
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作者 Chen Shuxuan Jiang Limin Xiang Maosheng 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2011年第1期134-140,共7页
A novel method,referred to as joint multiple subpulses processing,is developed to calibrate the nonideal transfer function of radio frequency front-end and I/Q imbalance in quadrature modulate/demodulate systems simul... A novel method,referred to as joint multiple subpulses processing,is developed to calibrate the nonideal transfer function of radio frequency front-end and I/Q imbalance in quadrature modulate/demodulate systems simultaneously,which frequently occur in wideband Synthetic Aperture Radar(SAR) systems.Based on the time-frequency relation of the chirp signal and the analyses of the channel errors in wideband SAR,joint multiple subpulses processing method is adopted to separate the image frequency component due to the I/Q channel error.Then,the complete description of the channel error is acquired for building the correction function,which is used to correct the radar raw echo in frequency domain.The validity and capability of this method are demonstrated by the experiments of the channel error correction on the high resolution SAR system with the effective bandwidth of 500 MHz. 展开更多
关键词 Wideband Synthetic Aperture Radar(SAR) Channel error Joint multiple subpulses processing weighted least squares Correction function
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融合IMR-WGAN的时序数据修复方法 被引量:1
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作者 孟祥福 马荣国 《小型微型计算机系统》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期641-650,共10页
工业数据由于技术故障和人为因素通常导致数据异常,现有基于约束的方法因约束阈值设置的过于宽松或严格会导致修复错误,基于统计的方法因平滑修复机制导致对时间步长较远的异常值修复准确度较低.针对上述问题,提出了基于奖励机制的最小... 工业数据由于技术故障和人为因素通常导致数据异常,现有基于约束的方法因约束阈值设置的过于宽松或严格会导致修复错误,基于统计的方法因平滑修复机制导致对时间步长较远的异常值修复准确度较低.针对上述问题,提出了基于奖励机制的最小迭代修复和改进WGAN混合模型的时序数据修复方法.首先,在预处理阶段,保留异常数据,进行信息标注等处理,从而充分挖掘异常值与真实值之间的特征约束.其次,在噪声模块提出了近邻参数裁剪规则,用于修正最小迭代修复公式生成的噪声向量.将其传递至模拟分布模块的生成器中,同时设计了一个动态时间注意力网络层,用于提取时序特征权重并与门控循环单元串联组合捕捉不同步长的特征依赖,并引入递归多步预测原理共同提升模型的表达能力;在判别器中设计了Abnormal and Truth奖励机制和Weighted Mean Square Error损失函数共同反向优化生成器修复数据的细节和质量.最后,在公开数据集和真实数据集上的实验结果表明,该方法的修复准确度与模型稳定性显著优于现有方法. 展开更多
关键词 数据修复 改进Wasserstein生成对抗网络 Abnormal and Truth奖励机制 动态时间注意力机制 weighted Mean Square error损失函数
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The Average Errors for Linear Combinations of Bernstein Operators on the Wiener Space
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作者 Yanjie Jiang Ziqing Zhang 《Journal of Data Analysis and Information Processing》 2013年第4期85-89,共5页
In this paper, we discuss the average errors of function approximation by linear combinations of Bernstein operators. The strongly asymptotic orders for the average errors of the combinations of Bernstein operators se... In this paper, we discuss the average errors of function approximation by linear combinations of Bernstein operators. The strongly asymptotic orders for the average errors of the combinations of Bernstein operators sequence are determined on the Wiener space. 展开更多
关键词 Linear COMBINATIONS BERNSTEIN OPERATORS weighted -Norm AVERAGE error WIENER Space
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GPS时间序列共模误差提取方法及对比分析
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作者 孔祥瑞 李梦莹 +1 位作者 翟丽娜 王喜龙 《工程勘察》 2024年第9期77-82,共6页
区域GPS网中,各个测站坐标时间序列会存在共模误差(CME),该误差会对GPS测站坐标精度产生一定影响,因此去除共模误差对提高站点观测精度具有重要意义。本文在叠加滤波方法的基础上,以各个GPS站点相关性大小为权重进行加权,利用相关加权... 区域GPS网中,各个测站坐标时间序列会存在共模误差(CME),该误差会对GPS测站坐标精度产生一定影响,因此去除共模误差对提高站点观测精度具有重要意义。本文在叠加滤波方法的基础上,以各个GPS站点相关性大小为权重进行加权,利用相关加权滤波方法对辽宁及周边省份GPS观测数据进行处理分析,提取共模误差向量,并与叠加滤波的结果进行对比和分析。结果表明,两者均能在一定程度上提取共模误差向量,相关加权叠加滤波法比叠加滤波法具有更好的适用性,均方根提升更为明显,能够更好地提取共模误差。 展开更多
关键词 GPS坐标时间序列 共模误差 相关加权叠加滤波
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Enoxaparin dosing errors in the emergency department
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作者 Samantha P.Jellinek-Cohen May Li Gregg Husk 《World Journal of Emergency Medicine》 SCIE CAS 2018年第3期195-202,共8页
BACKGROUND:The study aimed to determine the frequency of enoxaparin dosing errors for patients who had a measured emergency department(ED)weight compared to those who did not have a measured ED weight,and to determine... BACKGROUND:The study aimed to determine the frequency of enoxaparin dosing errors for patients who had a measured emergency department(ED)weight compared to those who did not have a measured ED weight,and to determine if demographic variables(e.g.,weight,height,age,Englishspeaking,race)impact the likelihood of receiving an inappropriate dose.METHODS:This is a retrospective,electronic chart review of patients who received a dose of enoxaparin in the ED between January 1,2008 and July 1,2013.We identified all patients>18 years who received a dose of enoxaparin while in the ED,were admitted,and had at least one inpatient weight within the first four days of hospitalization.Patients were excluded if they received enoxaparin for prophylaxis or a dose of more than 1.25mg/kg.RESULTS:A total of 1,944 patients were included.Patients were more likely to experience an error if they did not have a measured ED weight.Over-doses of>10mg were more likely to occur in patients without a measured ED weight.Patients with no documented ED weight or with a staffestimated ED weight were more likely to experience a dosing error than those with a patient-stated weight.Patients were more likely to experience an error if their first inpatient weight was more than 96kg,they were more than 175-cm tall,or were English speaking.CONCLUSION:Dosing errors are more likely to occur when patients are not weighed in the ED.Modifications to current workflows to incorporate weighing those patients who receive weightdosed medications may be warranted. 展开更多
关键词 ENOXAPARIN weight-based DOSING EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT DOSING errorS
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基于组合赋权的压裂作业人因失误概率研究
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作者 陈波 庞茜月 +2 位作者 樊春明 邓丽 戴启平 《西南石油大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期135-144,共10页
压裂作业强度大,环境恶劣,长时间枯燥的作业容易诱发人因失误,造成事故,分析压裂现场人因可靠性对于提升压裂作业的安全和效率具有重要意义。在考虑压裂现场情境因素影响基础上,提出了一种组合赋权模糊人因可靠性分析方法,用以评估压裂... 压裂作业强度大,环境恶劣,长时间枯燥的作业容易诱发人因失误,造成事故,分析压裂现场人因可靠性对于提升压裂作业的安全和效率具有重要意义。在考虑压裂现场情境因素影响基础上,提出了一种组合赋权模糊人因可靠性分析方法,用以评估压裂现场人因失误概率。首先,通过对压裂现场的调研分析,结合压裂作业情境环境特点,基于认知可靠性与失误分析方法(CREAM)建立了适用于评估压裂作业的一级共同绩效条件CPC 8个,二级CPC因子评估指标36个。其次,根据实际工况中各CPC对人的绩效可靠性的影响程度不同,提出以差异系数法确定线性组合系数,基于序关系法与熵权法对各项评估指标进行主客观线性组合赋权。最后,利用本文方法分析四川某页岩气压裂作业现场人因失误概率,结果表明,较一般模糊CREAM方法,在不同情境环境下,随着情境环境水平的下降,组合赋权模糊CREAM方法对CPC评价数据敏感度更高,人因失误概率增加,并且变化速率加快,这与现场实际工况一致,为压裂现场的人因可靠性分析和人因失误概率量化结果优化提供了参考。 展开更多
关键词 压裂作业 人因失误 CREAM 模糊理论 组合赋权
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基于加权预测误差的低复杂度去混响
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作者 狄金海 戴天池 《电子器件》 CAS 2024年第3期667-671,共5页
在音视频会议以及人机交互等应用场景下,设备所采集到的音频信号往往会受到室内混响的干扰,从而降低语音的清晰度与可懂度。基于加权预测误差的自适应去混响算法是目前较为主流的盲去混响算法,该算法能够实时有效地去除混响,然而往往具... 在音视频会议以及人机交互等应用场景下,设备所采集到的音频信号往往会受到室内混响的干扰,从而降低语音的清晰度与可懂度。基于加权预测误差的自适应去混响算法是目前较为主流的盲去混响算法,该算法能够实时有效地去除混响,然而往往具有较高的计算复杂度。为降低算法的复杂度,通过分块对角矩阵简化原算法中相关的矩阵运算,实验证明,所设计的算法在确保语音质量的同时,降低了原算法的计算开销。 展开更多
关键词 去混响 加权预测误差 语音增强
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Problem of the reference height of the projectile trajectory as a reduced meteo-ballistic weighting factor 被引量:1
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作者 Vladimir CECH Ludek JEDLICKA Jiri JEVICKY 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第2期131-140,共10页
This paper deals with the issue of preparation of the aiming angles with the use of tabular firing tables and needed determination of the ballistic elements μ_B(ballistic wind w_B,w_(xB),w_(ZB),ballistic(virtual) tem... This paper deals with the issue of preparation of the aiming angles with the use of tabular firing tables and needed determination of the ballistic elements μ_B(ballistic wind w_B,w_(xB),w_(ZB),ballistic(virtual) temperature τ_B.ballistic density p_B) from the standardized met messages.The weighting factors are used for the calculation of ballistic elements μ_B that are incorporated into the trajectory calculations characteristics of weapon and ammunition.Two different methodologies practically used in the praxis are analysed and compared.For the comparison of the two methodologies the reference height of trajectory determined from the weighting factor functions is employed.On the basis of the analyses conducted,the potential for further increase in accuracy of these aiming angles preparation methods is pointed out. 展开更多
关键词 加权因子 弹道风 基准 气象 弹丸 制备方法 瞄准角 道密度
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全空间相关矩阵广义加权预测误差算法去混响研究
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作者 吴礼福 陈晨 +1 位作者 王绍博 葛文昌 《声学技术》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期726-733,共8页
广义加权预测误差(generalized weighted prediction error, GWPE)算法是一种有效的多通道语音去混响算法,但在麦克风间距较近时去混响效果变差。文章分析了GWPE算法在小间距麦克风阵列下的局限性,即未充分考虑麦克风信号间的空间相关... 广义加权预测误差(generalized weighted prediction error, GWPE)算法是一种有效的多通道语音去混响算法,但在麦克风间距较近时去混响效果变差。文章分析了GWPE算法在小间距麦克风阵列下的局限性,即未充分考虑麦克风信号间的空间相关性。据此,研究了全空间相关矩阵的广义加权预测误差(generalized weighted prediction error of full-space correlation matrix, GWPE-FCM)算法,该算法考虑了不同输入通道之间的空间相关性,计算复杂度比GWPE算法略增加。仿真结果表明,GWPE-FCM算法与GWPE算法相比在整体去混响方面效果更好,特别是在麦克风距离较近的情况下。全空间相关矩阵能够更准确地估计输入信号的相关性,使得GWPE-FCM算法在去混响效果上表现更出色。 展开更多
关键词 去混响 加权预测误差 全空间相关 麦克风阵列
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The Digital Fingerprinting Method for Static Images Based on Weighted Hamming Metric and on Weighted Container Model
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作者 Sergey Bezzateev Natalia Voloshina 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2014年第9期121-126,共6页
The algorithm of fingerprint constructing for still images based on weighted image structure model is proposed. The error correcting codes that are perfect in weighted Hamming metric are used as a base for fingerprint... The algorithm of fingerprint constructing for still images based on weighted image structure model is proposed. The error correcting codes that are perfect in weighted Hamming metric are used as a base for fingerprint constructing. 展开更多
关键词 Fingerprinting error CORRECTING CODES Perfect CODES in weightED Hamming METRIC weightED Container Model Digital RIGHTS Management
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采用改进MPC提高储能系统电压暂态特性研究 被引量:1
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作者 鲍建 杨沛豪 《电源学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期242-249,共8页
储能系统通过换流器实现并网运行,常规换流器因为其开关频率低,在采样、计算环节存在延时导致储能系统暂态特性差,甚至引起整个电网不稳定。本文采用模型预测控制MPC(model predictive control)来实现储能系统功率快速响应,避免延时影... 储能系统通过换流器实现并网运行,常规换流器因为其开关频率低,在采样、计算环节存在延时导致储能系统暂态特性差,甚至引起整个电网不稳定。本文采用模型预测控制MPC(model predictive control)来实现储能系统功率快速响应,避免延时影响。引入功率权重价值函数在有功、无功MPC控制中,计算储能换流器输出电压最优值。针对因为滤波电感参数偏移导致的MPC模型不准确问题,本文采用电感误差补偿控制来提高模型精度。通过Matlab/Simulink仿真和实验来验证本文所提方案可提高储能系统暂态特性,有效消除误差对MPC控制性能的影响。 展开更多
关键词 储能系统 暂态特性 模型预测控制 功率权重价值函数 电感误差电压补偿
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基于MLE的靶场光电经纬仪高精度定位方法研究
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作者 韩先平 《测控技术》 2024年第6期69-74,共6页
为解决靶场光电经纬仪现用交会定位解算模型作用范围小、与目标实际位置偏差大等问题,提高目标航迹解算精度和模型的适应范围,根据目标跟踪距离和测角误差分量关系,建立了经纬仪空间测量误差模型,优化了异面交会定位加权系数。基于最大... 为解决靶场光电经纬仪现用交会定位解算模型作用范围小、与目标实际位置偏差大等问题,提高目标航迹解算精度和模型的适应范围,根据目标跟踪距离和测角误差分量关系,建立了经纬仪空间测量误差模型,优化了异面交会定位加权系数。基于最大似然估计(Maximum Likelihood Estimate,MLE)理论,提出了一种新的更高精度的定位方法,并推导了精度估算公式。详细分析了交会角度、跟踪距离和测角精度对定位误差的影响。试验证明,该方法较现用定位方法适用测量区域增加一倍以上,定位精度提高20%,更适合多测站、不等精度、远距离跟踪等工程场景,具有推广价值。 展开更多
关键词 最大似然估计 光电经纬仪 异面交会 加权系数 定位误差
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水声网络不等差错保护的避环ROFC-LF码算法与分析
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作者 柳秀秀 杜秀娟 韩多亮 《电子学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第8期2591-2606,共16页
随着智慧海洋的发展,水声网络多媒体数据的传输受到学者关注.水声网络高度动态的拓扑导致相邻节点数据传输不完整,压缩的水下图像或视频等数据对重建数据的质量有不同影响,因此水声网络需要具有不等差错保护(Unequal Error Protection,U... 随着智慧海洋的发展,水声网络多媒体数据的传输受到学者关注.水声网络高度动态的拓扑导致相邻节点数据传输不完整,压缩的水下图像或视频等数据对重建数据的质量有不同影响,因此水声网络需要具有不等差错保护(Unequal Error Protection,UEP)的编码机制来编解码重要性不等的多媒体数据.递归与限制反馈的在线喷泉码(Recursive Online Fountain Code with Limited Feedback,ROFC-LF)具有开销低、反馈少及编译码简单等特点,因此适用于水声网络.本文针对水声信道带宽窄、延时长及能量受限等特点,系统地分析了ROFC-LF编码机制建立阶段存在的环问题.针对ROFC-LF编码存在的环和无法提供UEP功能这两个问题,本文提出了两个优化目标.此外,还提出了具有不等差错保护的避环ROFC-LF编码机制.该编码机制减少了由于建立阶段最大组件存在环引起的无用编码包的数量,进而降低了网络能耗.不等差错保护的避环ROFC-LF编码机制在建立阶段和完成阶段分别采用权重策略和数据优先级策略来实现UEP特性,并利用随机图理论对该编码机制进行理论分析,理论结果和仿真实验结果一致.结果表明:该编码机制能够快速的恢复重要数据的同时,降低了编码包的数量,适用于网络拓扑结构动态变化的水声网络传输重要性不等的多媒体数据. 展开更多
关键词 水声网络 ROFC-LF 不等差错保护 避环 权重 数据优先级
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基于考虑误差修正的非线性自适应权重组合模型的光伏发电功率预测 被引量:2
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作者 陈德余 张玮 王辉 《济南大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第2期250-256,共7页
为了提高光伏电站光伏发电功率预测精度,解决极限梯度提升模型、长短期记忆模型2种传统单一模型及传统组合模型极限梯度提升-长短期记忆模型的光伏发电功率预测结果滞后、预测效果易突变、预测误差较大、线性拟合性较差等不足,基于极限... 为了提高光伏电站光伏发电功率预测精度,解决极限梯度提升模型、长短期记忆模型2种传统单一模型及传统组合模型极限梯度提升-长短期记忆模型的光伏发电功率预测结果滞后、预测效果易突变、预测误差较大、线性拟合性较差等不足,基于极限梯度提升算法、长短期记忆算法和线性自适应权重,提出一种考虑误差修正的非线性自适应权重极限梯度提升-长短期记忆模型进行光伏发电功率预测;分别使用极限梯度提升算法和长短期记忆算法训练得到2种单一模型,将2种单一模型的初步预测值和真实值组成新的训练数据集,利用神经网络算法训练所提出的模型,对2种单一模型的初步预测值分配自适应权重系数,并根据训练时所提出模型的预测值大小分段统计预测误差的分布,预测时根据所提出模型的预测值在预测结果的基础上累加误差均值从而进行误差修正,进一步提高所提出模型的预测精度;利用Python语言分别对所提出的模型、传统组合模型和2种传统单一模型在晴天、阴天和雨天的光伏发电功率预测性能进行仿真。结果表明:与极限梯度提升-长短期记忆模型、极限梯度提升模型、长短期记忆模型相比,所提出模型的均方根误差分别减小28.57%、 39.39%、 49.79%,平均绝对误差分别减小44.25%、 53.33%、 64.8%,决定系数分别增大1.43%、 2.38%、 3.34%,所提出的模型更有效地减小了传统单一模型的光伏发电功率预测误差,优化了传统组合模型的权重系数;3种天气条件下所提出模型的光伏发电功率预测误差相对最小且稳健性最强,验证了所提出模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 光伏发电 功率预测 自适应权重 误差修正 极限梯度提升算法 长短期记忆算法
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