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基于Nataf逆变换的概率潮流三点估计法 被引量:37
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作者 张立波 程浩忠 +2 位作者 曾平良 姚良忠 Masoud Bazargan 《电工技术学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2016年第6期187-194,共8页
随着风电接入容量的增加,不仅需要考虑大规模风电出力随机性和间歇性对电力系统的影响,还需考虑由不同风电场的风速相关性导致的风电场出力相关性给电力系统带来的影响。利用Nataf变换及逆变换建立多维标准正态空间与多维非正态空间的关... 随着风电接入容量的增加,不仅需要考虑大规模风电出力随机性和间歇性对电力系统的影响,还需考虑由不同风电场的风速相关性导致的风电场出力相关性给电力系统带来的影响。利用Nataf变换及逆变换建立多维标准正态空间与多维非正态空间的关系,通过Nataf逆变换可以将独立标准正态空间的采样点转换到相关的非正态变量空间中。通过引入Nataf逆变换,提出可以处理非正态分布随机变量相关性的概率潮流三点估计法。IEEE RTS 24节点系统和IEEE 118节点系统的算例表明算法计算速度快,可以精确地给出输出变量的期望值和标准差。 展开更多
关键词 概率潮流 Nataf逆变换 相关性 三点估计法
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Modified fuzzy point estimate method and its application to slope reliability analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Wenhui Tan, Meifeng Cai, and Rudi ZhouCivil and Environmental Engineering School, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing100083, China 《Journal of University of Science and Technology Beijing》 CSCD 2003年第6期5-10,共6页
A slope engineering system is a complex system, in which many uncertaintiesexist, including random uncertainties and fuzzy uncertainties. Traditionally, random uncertaintieswere often considered, while fuzzy uncertain... A slope engineering system is a complex system, in which many uncertaintiesexist, including random uncertainties and fuzzy uncertainties. Traditionally, random uncertaintieswere often considered, while fuzzy uncertainties were ignored. Therefore, fuzzy-random methodsshould he proposed. A fuzzy point estimate method was proposed by Dodagoudar, that is, consideringthe effect of fuzzy-random factors, the fuzzy-random limit state function of slopes is changed torandom interval limit state function by the lambda level cutting, then the moments of the functioncan be obtained by the Rosenblueth's method, and the stability state of slopes can be evaluated bysynthesizing a group of moments. But in Dodagoudar's method, Rosenblueth's state function iscomposed of only two kinds of combinations of parameters rather than 2~n kinds of combinations. So amodified fuzzy point estimate method is proposed by the authors, and it is used in a slopereliability analysis. 展开更多
关键词 slope reliability fuzzy-random uncertainties modified fuzzy point estimatemethod
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