The Extreme Machine Learning Actuarial Intelligent Agricultural Insurance Based Automated Underwriting Model

The paper presents an innovative approach towards agricultural insurance underwriting and risk pricing through the development of an Extreme Machine Learning (ELM) Actuarial Intelligent Model. This model integrates diverse datasets, including climate change scenarios, crop types, farm sizes, and various risk factors, to automate underwriting decisions and estimate loss reserves in agricultural insurance. The study conducts extensive exploratory data analysis, model building, feature engineering, and validation to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. Additionally, the paper discusses the application of robust tests, stress tests, and scenario tests to assess the model’s resilience and adaptability to changing market conditions. Overall, the research contributes to advancing actuarial science in agricultural insurance by leveraging advanced machine learning techniques for enhanced risk management and decision-making.

Dynamic model for predicting nitrogen oxide concentration at outlet of selective catalytic reduction denitrification system based on kernel extreme learning machine

To solve the increasing model complexity due to several input variables and large correlations under variable load conditions,a dynamic modeling method combining a kernel extreme learning machine(KELM)and principal component analysis(PCA)was proposed and applied to the prediction of nitrogen oxide(NO_(x))concentration at the outlet of a selective catalytic reduction(SCR)denitrification system.First,PCA is applied to the feature information extraction of input data,and the current and previous sequence values of the extracted information are used as the inputs of the KELM model to reflect the dynamic characteristics of the NO_(x)concentration at the SCR outlet.Then,the model takes the historical data of the NO_(x)concentration at the SCR outlet as the model input to improve its accuracy.Finally,an optimization algorithm is used to determine the optimal parameters of the model.Compared with the Gaussian process regression,long short-term memory,and convolutional neural network models,the prediction errors are reduced by approximately 78.4%,67.6%,and 59.3%,respectively.The results indicate that the proposed dynamic model structure is reliable and can accurately predict NO_(x)concentrations at the outlet of the SCR system.

Modelling of a post-combustion CO2 capture process using extreme learning machine

This paper presents modelling of a post-combustion CO2 capture process using bootstrap aggregated extreme learning machine （ELM）. ELM randomly assigns the weights between input and hidden layers and obtains the weights between the hidden layer and output layer using regression type approach in one step. This feature allows an ELM model being developed very quickly. This paper proposes using principal component regression to obtain the weights between the hidden and output layers to address the collinearity issue among hidden neuron outputs. Due to the weights between input and hidden layers are randomly assigned, ELM models could have variations in performance. This paper proposes combining multiple ELM models to enhance model prediction accuracy and reliability. To predict the CO2 production rate and CO2 capture level, eight parameters in the process were utilized as model input variables： inlet gas flow rate, CO2 concentration in inlet flow gas, inlet gas temperature, inlet gas pressure, lean solvent flow rate, Jean solvent temperature, lean loading and reboiler duty. The bootstrap re-sampling of training data was applied for building each single ELM and then the individual ELMs are stacked, thereby enhancing the model accuracy and reliability. The bootstrap aggregated extreme learning machine can provide fast learning speed and good generalization performance, which will be used to optimize the CO2 capture process.

Swarm-Based Extreme Learning Machine Models for Global Optimization

Extreme Learning Machine(ELM)is popular in batch learning,sequential learning,and progressive learning,due to its speed,easy integration,and generalization ability.While,Traditional ELM cannot train massive data rapidly and efficiently due to its memory residence,high time and space complexity.In ELM,the hidden layer typically necessitates a huge number of nodes.Furthermore,there is no certainty that the arrangement of weights and biases within the hidden layer is optimal.To solve this problem,the traditional ELM has been hybridized with swarm intelligence optimization techniques.This paper displays five proposed hybrid Algorithms“Salp Swarm Algorithm(SSA-ELM),Grasshopper Algorithm(GOA-ELM),Grey Wolf Algorithm(GWO-ELM),Whale optimizationAlgorithm(WOA-ELM)andMoth Flame Optimization(MFO-ELM)”.These five optimizers are hybridized with standard ELM methodology for resolving the tumor type classification using gene expression data.The proposed models applied to the predication of electricity loading data,that describes the energy use of a single residence over a fouryear period.In the hidden layer,Swarm algorithms are used to pick a smaller number of nodes to speed up the execution of ELM.The best weights and preferences were calculated by these algorithms for the hidden layer.Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed MFO-ELM achieved 98.13%accuracy and this is the highest model in accuracy in tumor type classification gene expression data.While in predication,the proposed GOA-ELM achieved 0.397which is least RMSE compared to the other models.

Fast cross validation for regularized extreme learning machine

A method for fast 1-fold cross validation is proposed for the regularized extreme learning machine （RELM）. The computational time of fast l-fold cross validation increases as the fold number decreases, which is opposite to that of naive 1-fold cross validation. As opposed to naive l-fold cross validation, fast l-fold cross validation takes the advantage in terms of computational time, especially for the large fold number such as l 〉 20. To corroborate the efficacy and feasibility of fast l-fold cross validation, experiments on five benchmark regression data sets are evaluated.

Prediction of length-of-day using extreme learning machine

Traditional artificial neural networks （ANN） such as back-propagation neural networks （BPNN） provide good predictions of length-of-day （LOD）. However, the determination of network topology is difficult and time consuming. Therefore, we propose a new type of neural network, extreme learning machine （ELM）, to improve the efficiency of LOD predictions. Earth orientation parameters （EOP） C04 time-series provides daily values from International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service （IERS）, which serves as our database. First, the known predictable effects that can be described by functional models-such as the effects of solid earth, ocean tides, or seasonal atmospheric variations--are removed a priori from the C04 time-series. Only the residuals after the subtraction of a priori model from the observed LOD data （i.e., the irregular and quasi-periodic variations） are employed for training and predictions. The predicted LOD is the sum of a prior extrapolation model and the ELM predictions of the residuals. Different input patterns are discussed and compared to optimize the network solution. The prediction results are analyzed and compared with those obtained by other machine learning-based prediction methods, including BPNN, generalization regression neural networks （GRNN）, and adaptive network-based fuzzy inference systems （ANFIS）. It is shown that while achieving similar prediction accuracy, the developed method uses much less training time than other methods. Furthermore, to conduct a direct comparison with the existing prediction tech- niques, the mean-absolute-error （MAE） from the proposed method is compared with that from the EOP prediction comparison campaign （EOP PCC）. The results indicate that the accuracy of the proposed method is comparable with that of the former techniques. The implementation of the proposed method is simple.

A new approach for epileptic seizure detection: sample entropy based feature extraction and extreme learning machine

The electroencephalogram (EEG) signal plays a key role in the diagnosis of epilepsy. Substantial data is generated by the EEG recordings of ambulatory recording systems, and detection of epileptic activity requires a time-consuming analysis of the complete length of the EEG time series data by a neurology expert. A variety of automatic epilepsy detection systems have been developed during the last ten years. In this paper, we investigate the potential of a recently-proposed statistical measure parameter regarded as Sample Entropy (SampEn), as a method of feature extraction to the task of classifying three different kinds of EEG signals (normal, interictal and ictal) and detecting epileptic seizures. It is known that the value of the SampEn falls suddenly during an epileptic seizure and this fact is utilized in the proposed diagnosis system. Two different kinds of classification models, back-propagation neural network (BPNN) and the recently-developed extreme learning machine (ELM) are tested in this study. Results show that the proposed automatic epilepsy detection system which uses sample entropy (SampEn) as the only input feature, together with extreme learning machine (ELM) classification model, not only achieves high classification accuracy (95.67%) but also very fast speed.

Constrained voting extreme learning machine and its application

Extreme learning machine(ELM)has been proved to be an effective pattern classification and regression learning mechanism by researchers.However,its good performance is based on a large number of hidden layer nodes.With the increase of the nodes in the hidden layers,the computation cost is greatly increased.In this paper,we propose a novel algorithm,named constrained voting extreme learning machine(CV-ELM).Compared with the traditional ELM,the CV-ELM determines the input weight and bias based on the differences of between-class samples.At the same time,to improve the accuracy of the proposed method,the voting selection is introduced.The proposed method is evaluated on public benchmark datasets.The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm is superior to the original ELM algorithm.Further,we apply the CV-ELM to the classification of superheat degree(SD)state in the aluminum electrolysis industry,and the recognition accuracy rate reaches87.4%,and the experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method is more robust than the existing state-of-the-art identification methods.

Modeling of Total Dissolved Solids (TDS) and Sodium Absorption Ratio (SAR) in the Edwards-Trinity Plateau and Ogallala Aquifers in the Midland-Odessa Region Using Random Forest Regression and eXtreme Gradient Boosting

Efficient water quality monitoring and ensuring the safety of drinking water by government agencies in areas where the resource is constantly depleted due to anthropogenic or natural factors cannot be overemphasized. The above statement holds for West Texas, Midland, and Odessa Precisely. Two machine learning regression algorithms (Random Forest and XGBoost) were employed to develop models for the prediction of total dissolved solids (TDS) and sodium absorption ratio (SAR) for efficient water quality monitoring of two vital aquifers: Edward-Trinity (plateau), and Ogallala aquifers. These two aquifers have contributed immensely to providing water for different uses ranging from domestic, agricultural, industrial, etc. The data was obtained from the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB). The XGBoost and Random Forest models used in this study gave an accurate prediction of observed data (TDS and SAR) for both the Edward-Trinity (plateau) and Ogallala aquifers with the R2 values consistently greater than 0.83. The Random Forest model gave a better prediction of TDS and SAR concentration with an average R, MAE, RMSE and MSE of 0.977, 0.015, 0.029 and 0.00, respectively. For the XGBoost, an average R, MAE, RMSE, and MSE of 0.953, 0.016, 0.037 and 0.00, respectively, were achieved. The overall performance of the models produced was impressive. From this study, we can clearly understand that Random Forest and XGBoost are appropriate for water quality prediction and monitoring in an area of high hydrocarbon activities like Midland and Odessa and West Texas at large.

Assessment of glaucoma using extreme learning machine and fractal feature analysis

Dear Sir,Iam Dr.Kavitha S,from the Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering,Nandha Engineering College,Erode,Tamil Nadu,India.I write to present the detection of glaucoma using extreme learning machine(ELM)and fractal feature analysis.Glaucoma is the second most frequent cause of permanent blindness in industrial

Misfire identification of automobile engines based on wavelet packet and extreme learning machine

Due to non-stationary characteristics of the vibration signal acquired from cylinder head,a misfire fault diagnosis system of automobile engines based on correlation coefficient gained by wavelet packet and extreme learning machine(ELM)is proposed.Firstly,the original signal is decomposed by wavelet packet,and correlation coefficients between the reconstructed signal of each sub-band and the original signal as well as the energy entropy of each sample are obtained.Then,the eigenvectors established by the correlation coefficients method and the energy entropy method fused with kurtosis are inputted to the four kinds of classifiers including BP neural network,KNN classifier,support vector machine and ELM respectively for training and testing.Experimental results show that the method proposed in this paper can effectively reflect the differences that the fault produces and identify the single-cylinder misfire accurately,which has the advantages of higher accuracy and shorter training time.

基于FSSA-ELM的模拟电路故障诊断方法

在大规模电路中,模拟电路的故障率高达80%。针对模拟电路故障诊断方法准确率低、耗时长的问题,提出了一种分数阶麻雀搜索算法结合极限学习机(FSSA-ELM)的模拟电路故障诊断方法。利用核主成分分析与局部线性嵌入(KPCA-LLE)联合方式对电路故障数据进行特征提取,通过分数阶与麻雀搜索算法(SSA)相融合,对极限学习机(ELM)的权重和阈值进行寻优,将提取后的特征数据输入到FSSA-ELM模型中进行训练和测试。T型反馈网络反相比例运算电路诊断实例表明,FSSA-ELM的故障诊断用时相较于SSA-ELM缩短了891 s,单故障诊断准确率可达972%,比SSA-ELM和ELM分别提高了19%和28%;双故障诊断准确率可达95%,分别提高了04%和10%。该故障诊断方法准确率高、耗时短,具有较强的模拟电路故障检测能力。

基于PSO−ELM的综采工作面液压支架姿态监测方法

针对基于惯性测量单元的液压支架姿态解算方法会产生累计误差、校正结果不准确的问题,提出一种基于粒子群优化(PSO)−极限学习机(ELM)的综采工作面液压支架姿态监测方法。以液压支架顶梁俯仰角为监测对象,采用倾角传感器和陀螺仪采集液压支架顶梁支护姿态实时信息,对采集到的数据进行预处理,将处理后的数据输入PSO−ELM误差补偿模型中,得到解算误差预测值;同时通过卡尔曼滤波融合进行液压支架姿态解算,得到解算值;再用误差预测值对解算值进行误差补偿,从而求得更加准确的顶梁支护姿态数据。该方法只考虑加速度和角速度数据与解算误差的关系,不依赖具体的物理模型,可有效降低姿态解算累计误差。实验结果表明:液压支架顶梁俯仰角平均绝对误差由补偿前的1.4208°减少到0.0580°,且误差曲线具有良好的收敛性,验证了所提方法可持续稳定地监测液压支架的支护姿态。

一种基于PSO-ELM的低渗透砂岩水淹层测井识别方法

水淹层测井识别对油田开发方案部署及提高采收率有着重要意义。新疆陆梁油田作业区某区块油层水淹类型主要为污水水淹,测井响应特征复杂多变,传统识别图版方法难以对水淹层有效识别。文中基于测井、地质、试油等资料,在水淹层测井响应特征分析基础上,提出了一种利用改进粒子群优化算法(Particle Swarm Optimization,PSO)及极限学习机(Extreme Learning Machine,ELM)的水淹层识别方法。首先,利用相关系数优选6个主控因素:RD,RS,GR,SP,DEN,AC。其次,采用改进粒子群算法对极限学习机模型进行参数寻优;最后,利用优化后的模型对研究区水淹层进行预测。结果表明,利用PSO-ELM模型识别水淹层,识别符合率达到91.7%,应用效果优于ELM模型及传统识别图版,为水淹层测井识别提供了新思路。

基于RCMFME和AO-ELM的齿轮箱损伤识别策略

针对模糊熵只考虑信号的局部特征而忽略信号的全局特征,导致齿轮箱故障识别的准确率不佳的问题,提出了一种基于精细复合多尺度模糊测度熵(RCMFME)、天鹰优化器(AO)优化极限学习机(ELM)的齿轮箱故障诊断方法。首先,在精细复合多尺度模糊熵的基础上,对矢量的构造方式进行了改进,提出了能够同时考虑时间序列局部特征和全局特征的RCMFME方法;随后,利用RCMFME指标提取了齿轮箱振动信号的熵值,组建了故障特征向量;接着,利用AO算法对极限学习机的参数进行了自适应搜索,生成了参数最优的多类别分类器;最后,将训练样本的故障特征向量输入至AO-ELM分类模型中进行了模型训练,以构造性能最优的分类器,并实现了对齿轮箱测试样本的故障识别目的;利用两种齿轮箱振动数据集进行了实验,在识别准确率和识别稳定性方面,与相关的特征提取方法进行了对比。研究结果表明:采用基于RCMFME和AO-ELM的故障诊断方法能够分别取得100%和98%的分类准确率,平均识别准确率分别达到了100%和98%,优于精细复合多尺度全局模糊熵(RCMGFE)、精细复合多尺度模糊熵(RCMFE)、精细复合多尺度样本熵(RCMSE)。该方法具有显著的应用潜力。

基于ELM神经网络的高速公路隧道运营风险评估模型

为克服传统高速公路隧道运营安全风险评估方法计算过程繁琐、运算效率低及泛化能力差等问题,采用极限学习机(Extreme Learning Machine,ELM)神经网络模型对高速公路隧道运营风险进行评估。首先,基于系统工程理论,分析了高速公路隧道运营风险影响因素,构建了运营风险评估指标体系。然后,以全国126个隧道典型运营事故数据为样本集,基于ELM神经网络算法,对比不同激活函数模型的分类准确率和测试时间指标,选定Sigmoid作为激活函数,训练得到高速公路隧道运营风险评估模型。最后,以该模型为核心算法开发了隧道运营风险评估系统,并依托广东省某高速公路隧道路段开展了工程应用。结果表明,所构建的风险评估模型简化了人工计算过程,可提升高速公路隧道运营风险评估的及时性和有效性。

基于PCA-PSO-ELM模型预测地震死亡人数研究

筛选42个历史地震震例,对地震震级、震源深度、震中烈度、抗震设防烈度、震中烈度与抗震设防烈度之差(ΔL)、人口密度以及发震时刻7个影响指标进行主成分分析(principal components analysis,PCA),构建粒子群优化(particle swarm optimization,PSO)极限学习机(extreme learning machine,ELM)地震死亡人数预测模型。将37个震例数据进行预处理和训练,并使用5个震例数据来检验模型的预测精度。实验结果表明,该PCA-PSO-ELM组合模型的平均误差率为10.87%,相比于PCA-ELM模型和ELM模型,其平均误差率分别降低8.70个百分点和18.38个百分点。因此,采用PCA-PSO-ELM组合模型预测地震死亡人数具有一定的可行性。

Landslide susceptibility assessment in Western Henan Province based on a comparison of conventional and ensemble machine learning

Landslide is a serious natural disaster next only to earthquake and flood,which will cause a great threat to people’s lives and property safety.The traditional research of landslide disaster based on experience-driven or statistical model and its assessment results are subjective,difficult to quantify,and no pertinence.As a new research method for landslide susceptibility assessment,machine learning can greatly improve the landslide susceptibility model’s accuracy by constructing statistical models.Taking Western Henan for example,the study selected 16 landslide influencing factors such as topography,geological environment,hydrological conditions,and human activities,and 11 landslide factors with the most significant influence on the landslide were selected by the recursive feature elimination(RFE)method.Five machine learning methods[Support Vector Machines(SVM),Logistic Regression(LR),Random Forest(RF),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Linear Discriminant Analysis(LDA)]were used to construct the spatial distribution model of landslide susceptibility.The models were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve and statistical index.After analysis and comparison,the XGBoost model(AUC 0.8759)performed the best and was suitable for dealing with regression problems.The model had a high adaptability to landslide data.According to the landslide susceptibility map of the five models,the overall distribution can be observed.The extremely high and high susceptibility areas are distributed in the Funiu Mountain range in the southwest,the Xiaoshan Mountain range in the west,and the Yellow River Basin in the north.These areas have large terrain fluctuations,complicated geological structural environments and frequent human engineering activities.The extremely high and highly prone areas were 12043.3 km^(2)and 3087.45 km^(2),accounting for 47.61%and 12.20%of the total area of the study area,respectively.Our study reflects the distribution of landslide susceptibility in western Henan Province,which provides a scientific basis for regional disaster warning,prediction,and resource protection.The study has important practical significance for subsequent landslide disaster management.

A Transfer Learning-Enabled Optimized Extreme Deep Learning Paradigm for Diagnosis of COVID-19

Many respiratory infections around the world have been caused by coronaviruses.COVID-19 is one of the most serious coronaviruses due to its rapid spread between people and the lowest survival rate.There is a high need for computer-assisted diagnostics(CAD)in the area of artificial intelligence to help doctors and radiologists identify COVID-19 patients in cloud systems.Machine learning(ML)has been used to examine chest X-ray frames.In this paper,a new transfer learning-based optimized extreme deep learning paradigm is proposed to identify the chest X-ray picture into three classes,a pneumonia patient,a COVID-19 patient,or a normal person.First,three different pre-trainedConvolutionalNeuralNetwork(CNN)models(resnet18,resnet25,densenet201)are employed for deep feature extraction.Second,each feature vector is passed through the binary Butterfly optimization algorithm(bBOA)to reduce the redundant features and extract the most representative ones,and enhance the performance of the CNN models.These selective features are then passed to an improved Extreme learning machine(ELM)using a BOA to classify the chest X-ray images.The proposed paradigm achieves a 99.48%accuracy in detecting covid-19 cases.

基于PSO-ELM的变压器油纸绝缘状态无损评估方法

油浸式电力变压器作为电网的重要组成部分,其可靠运行至关重要。针对变压器长期运行后无法定量评估其绝缘状态的问题,文中开展了油纸绝缘模型的加速老化及受潮试验,探究了油纸绝缘老化及受潮程度对其回复电压曲线的影响规律,并提出采用粒子群优化-极限学习机(particle swarm optimization-extreme learning machine,PSO-ELM)算法的参数预测方法,实现了基于回复电压曲线特征参量的油纸绝缘老化与受潮状态量化评估。由油纸绝缘模型理化性能分析的对比结果可知,基于PSO-ELM方法的预测值精度远高于传统ELM方法,油纸绝缘内含水率及纸板聚合度预测的绝对误差范围分别小于±0.4%、±30。