STABILITY OF TRANSONIC SHOCKS TO THE EULER-POISSON SYSTEM WITH VARYING BACKGROUND CHARGES

This paper is devoted to studying the stability of transonic shock solutions to the Euler-Poisson system in a one-dimensional nozzle of finite length.The background charge in the Poisson equation is a piecewise constant function.The structural stability of the steady transonic shock solution is obtained by the monotonicity argument.Furthermore,this transonic shock is proved to be dynamically and exponentially stable with respect to small perturbations of the initial data.One of the crucial ingredients of the analysis is to establish the global well-posedness of a free boundary problem for a quasilinear second order equation with nonlinear boundary conditions.

Probabilistic Global Maximum Power Point Tracking Algorithm for Continuously Varying Partial Shading Conditions on Autonomous PV Systems

A photovoltaic (PV) string with multiple modules with bypass diodes frequently deployed on a variety of autonomous PV systems may present multiple power peaks under uneven shading. For optimal solar harvesting, there is a need for a control schema to force the PV string to operate at global maximum power point (GMPP). While a lot of tracking methods have been proposed in the literature, they are usually complex and do not fully take advantage of the available characteristics of the PV array. This work highlights how the voltage at operating point and the forward voltage of the bypass diode are considered to design a global maximum power point tracking (GMPPT) algorithm with a very limited global search phase called Fast GMPPT. This algorithm successfully tracks GMPP between 94% and 98% of the time under a theoretical evaluation. It is then compared against Perturb and Observe, Deterministic Particle Swarm Optimization, and Grey Wolf Optimization under a sequence of irradiance steps as well as a power-over-voltage characteristics profile that mimics the electrical characteristics of a PV string under varying partial shading conditions. Overall, the simulation with the sequence of irradiance steps shows that while Fast GMPPT does not have the best convergence time, it has an excellent convergence rate as well as causes the least amount of power loss during the global search phase. Experimental test under varying partial shading conditions shows that while the GMPPT proposal is simple and lightweight, it is very performant under a wide range of dynamically varying partial shading conditions and boasts the best energy efficiency (94.74%) out of the 4 tested algorithms.

Time-variant fragility analysis of the bridge system considering time-varying dependence among typical component seismic demands

This paper presents a copula technique to develop time-variant seismic fragility curves for corroded bridges at the system level and considers the realistic time-varying dependence among component seismic demands. Based on material deterioration mechanisms and incremental dynamic analysis, the time-evolving seismic demands of components were obtained in the form of marginal probability distributions. The time-varying dependences among bridge components were then captured with the best fitting copula function, which was selected from the commonly used copula classes by the empirical distribution based analysis method. The system time-variant fragility curves at different damage states were developed and the effects of time-varying dependences among components on the bridge system fragility were investigated. The results indicate the time-varying dependence among components significantly affects the time-variant fragility of the bridge system. The copula technique captures the nonlinear dependence among component seismic demands accurately and easily by separating the marginal distributions and the dependence among them.

VARI工艺制备碳纤维/环氧树脂复合材料的耐腐蚀性能及断口形貌分析

研究了用真空辅助树脂灌注(VARI)成型工艺制备碳纤维复合材料的耐腐蚀性能,并对采用VARI工艺制备的碳纤维复合材料制件进行了断口形貌分析。结果表明:碳纤维树脂基复合材料的拉伸强度是395.93 MPa,弯曲强度是568.44 MPa,模拟海水中浸泡70天后拉伸性能和弯曲性能的保持率仍能保持在80%以上;腐蚀前环氧树脂与碳纤维编织布总体浸润充分,拉拔孔洞少,腐蚀后树脂对纤维包裹性变差,孔洞变多,但仍保持材料的大部分优良性能。

GENERAL DECAY FOR A VISCOELASTIC EQUATION OF VARIABLE COEFFICIENTS WITH A TIME-VARYING DELAY IN THE BOUNDARY FEEDBACK AND ACOUSTIC BOUNDARY CONDITIONS

A variable coefficient viscoelastic equation with a time-varying delay in the boundary feedback and acoustic boundary conditions and nonlinear source term is considered.Under suitable assumptions, general decay results of the energy are established via suitable Lyapunov functionals and some properties of the convex functions. Our result is obtained without imposing any restrictive growth assumption on the damping term and the elements of the matrix A and the kernel function g.

Variance Estimation for High-Dimensional Varying Index Coefficient Models

This paper studies the re-adjusted cross-validation method and a semiparametric regression model called the varying index coefficient model. We use the profile spline modal estimator method to estimate the coefficients of the parameter part of the Varying Index Coefficient Model (VICM), while the unknown function part uses the B-spline to expand. Moreover, we combine the above two estimation methods under the assumption of high-dimensional data. The results of data simulation and empirical analysis show that for the varying index coefficient model, the re-adjusted cross-validation method is better in terms of accuracy and stability than traditional methods based on ordinary least squares.

Modes of multi-mechanistic gas diffusion in shale matrix at varied effective stresses:Observations and analysis

Gas diffusion in the shale matrix has a dominant effect on late-stage production from shale gas reservoirs.However,adequate research on the mechanisms and contributions of gas diffusion for varied pore size populations in shale matrix under recreated in situ stress is lacking.We report gas-diffusion measurements under constant in situ stress but variable gas pressures for contrasting non-adsorbent(helium(He))and adsorbed(methane(CH_(4)))gases to investigate the impact of effective stress on the evolution of dominant mechanisms of diffusion.An intact sample replicates true pore-network topology and diffusion paths.An integrated diffusion model is proposed that combines the effects of slip flow,Knudsen flow,and surface diffusion to constrain the evolution of these flow regimes and their respective contributions to the observational data.Finally,a probability density function(PDF)is employed to separate the gas content distributions of macropores and micropores from the total gas content and to investigate gas contributions in various pores.The results reveal that the diffusion coefficients of both He and CH_(4) in macropores and micropores increase with gas pressure but decrease with increasing effective stress.The diffusion coefficients of He and CH_(4) are different in macropores but remain nearly the same in micropores.The diffusion coefficients of slip flow and surface diffusion increase with decreasing effective stress except for CH_(4) diffusion in the micropores,while the evolution of Knudsen diffusion shows the opposite trend.Slip flow plays a dominant role in He and CH_(4) diffusion within macropores(pore size 45 nm).Knudsen diffusion gradually becomes significant for He diffusion in the micropores(pore size 4 nm),conversely,for CH_(4) diffusion in the micropores,surface diffusion becomes significant.Related to gas production from reservoirs,the contributions of the micropores will increase gradually with the duration of gas recovery,indicating the significant role of gas diffusion in micropores to steady supply during latestage production.

Adaptive Variable Structure Control of MIMO Nonlinear Systems with Time-varying Delays and Unknown Dead-zones

In this paper, adaptive variable structure neural control is presented for a class of uncertain multi-input multi-output （MIMO） nonlinear systems with state time-varying delays and unknown nonlinear dead-zones. The unknown time-varying delay uncer- tainties are compensated for using appropriate Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals in the design. The approach removes the assumption of linear function outside the deadband without necessarily constructing a dead-zone inverse as an added contribution. By utilizing the integral-type Lyapunov function and introducing an adaptive compensation term for the upper bound of the residual and optimal approximation error as well as the dead-zone disturbance, the closed-loop control system is proved to be semi-globally uniformly ultimately bounded. In addition, a modified adaptive control algorithm is given in order to avoid the high-frequency chattering phenomenon. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach.

Imputed Empirical Likelihood for Varying Coefficient Models with Missing Covariates

The empirical likelihood-based inference for varying coefficient models with missing covariates is investigated. An imputed empirical likelihood ratio function for the coefficient functions is proposed, and it is shown that iis limiting distribution is standard chi-squared. Then the corresponding confidence intervals for the regression coefficients are constructed. Some simulations show that the proposed procedure can attenuate the effect of the missing data, and performs well for the finite sample.

高密肋结构整体壁板VARI成型技术研究

高密肋壁板结构可采用真空辅助树脂渗透工艺(VARI)整体一次成型,但成型过程中存在加筋区预定型困难、树脂流动控制复杂等问题,导致制件尺寸精度和孔隙缺陷难以保证。为此,本文根据高密肋壁板多特征区域的特点,采用压实实验和注胶仿真模拟分析方法,优化预定型工艺参数、分区注胶方案。结果表明,选择定型剂浓度4%、温度120℃、压力0.1 MPa、保压时间60 min的压实参数,可有效保证纤维体积分数;采用线注射、线冒口与筋条点冒口结合的分级注胶方案,可实现壁板结构的有效浸润。优化设计的工艺方案与工装成功应用于某型号高密肋整体壁板VARI成型制造,验证了本文分析方法的有效性,研究结果对壁板类结构低成本整体成型技术在军民飞机上的应用与发展具有重要参考价值。

Investigations on Fluid Resonance Within A Narrow Gap Formed by Two Fixed Bodies with Varying Breadth Ratios

The resonant motion of the fluid inside a narrow gap between two fixed boxes induced by incident regular waves with various wave heights is investigated by adopting a two-dimensional numerical wave flume based on an opensourced CFD package,OpenFOAM.The two boxes have identical draft and height,but the upstream box has a variable breadth.This article focuses on the influences of the breadth ratio,defined as the ratio of the breadth of the upstream box to that of the downstream box,on the following three aspects of hydrodynamic characteristics of gap resonance:(1)the wave height amplifications inside the gap,and in front and at the rear of the structure system,(2)the reflection,transmission,and energy loss coefficients of the structure system,and(3)the response and damping time of the fluid resonance.It is found that the fluid resonant frequency,the amplification factor of the resonant wave height inside the gap and the maximum energy loss coefficient of the structure system are shown to gradually decrease with the increase of the breadth ratio.The response time of gap resonance is shown to first increase and then decrease with the breadth ratio overall,regardless of the incident wave height,and the configuration that the two boxes have the same breadth would bring the largest response time of gap resonance.

A Simulation Study on Comparing General Class of Semiparametric Transformation Models for Survival Outcome with Time-Varying Coefficients and Covariates

The consideration of the time-varying covariate and time-varying coefficient effect in survival models are plausible and robust techniques. Such kind of analysis can be carried out with a general class of semiparametric transformation models. The aim of this article is to develop modified estimating equations under semiparametric transformation models of survival time with time-varying coefficient effect and time-varying continuous covariates. For this, it is important to organize the data in a counting process style and transform the time with standard transformation classes which shall be applied in this article. In the situation when the effect of coefficient and covariates change over time, the widely used maximum likelihood estimation method becomes more complex and burdensome in estimating consistent estimates. To overcome this problem, alternatively, the modified estimating equations were applied to estimate the unknown parameters and unspecified monotone transformation functions. The estimating equations were modified to incorporate the time-varying effect in both coefficient and covariates. The performance of the proposed methods is tested through a simulation study. To sum up the study, the effect of possibly time-varying covariates and time-varying coefficients was evaluated in some special cases of semiparametric transformation models. Finally, the results have shown that the role of the time-varying covariate in the semiparametric transformation models was plausible and credible.

Invariant operator theory for the single-photon energy in time-varying media

After the birth of quantum mechanics, the notion in physics that the frequency of light is the only factor that determines the energy of a single photon has played a fundamental role. However, under the assumption that the theory of Lewis-Riesenfeld invariants is applicable in quantum optics, it is shown in the present work that this widely accepted notion is valid only for light described by a time-independent Hamiltonian, i.e., for light in media satisfying the conditions, ε（t） = ε（0）, u（t） = u（0）, and σ（t） = 0 simultaneously. The use of the Lewis Riesenfeld invariant operator method in quantum optics leads to a marvelous result： the energy of a single photon propagating through time-varying linear media exhibits nontrivial time dependence without a change of frequency.

Sufficient conditions of the various stabilities of the linear time-varying delayed differential equations

Due to the appearance and the study of the ornithopter and flexible-wing micro air vehicles, etc., the time-varying systems become more and more important and ubiquitous in the study of the mechanics. In this letter, the sufficient conditions of the uniform asymptotic stability are first presented for the delayed time-varying linear differential equations with any time delay by employing the Dini derivative, Lozinskii measure and the generalized scalar Halanay delayed differential inequality. They are especially based on the estimation of the arbitrary solutions but not the fundamental solution matrix since their solutions＇ space is infinite-dimensional. Then some sufficient conditions of the stability, asymptotic stability and uniform asymptotic stability of the delayed time-varying linear system with a sufficiently small time delay are reported by employing Taylor expansion and Dini derivative. It implies that these stabilities can be guaranteed by the Lozinskii measure of the matrix composing of the time delay and the coefficient matrices of the system.

Properties of Time-Varying Causality Tests in the Presence of Multivariate Stochastic Volatility

This paper compares the statistical properties of time-varying causality tests when errors of variables have multivariate stochastic volatility (SV). The time-varying causal-ity tests in this paper are based on a logistic smooth transition autoregressive model. The compared time-varying causality tests include asymptotic tests, heteroskedasticity-robust tests, and tests using wild bootstrap. Our simulation results show that asymptotic tests and heteroskedasticity-robust counterparts have size distortions under multivariate SV, whereas tests using wild bootstrap have better size properties regardless of type of error. In particular, the time-varying causality test with first-order Taylor approximation using wild bootstrap has better statistical properties.

变化环境下渭河流域土壤水储量模拟及影响因素

[目的]随着气候变化和人类活动影响加剧,流域气候和下垫面条件发生改变,为准确模拟土壤水分变化过程并分析其影响因素对于地区的水资源管理和植被建设的重要意义。[方法]以黄土高原地区渭河流域为研究对象,基于ABCD水文模型,采用EFAST法分析模型参数敏感性,构建常参数和时变参数模型,比较不同参数模型的径流深和土壤水储量模拟精度,探讨气候变化和植被恢复对渭河流域土壤水储量变化的影响,明确土壤水储量变化的主导因素。[结果]土壤水层补给地下水的比例参数c最为敏感,地下水储放系数d、流域实际蒸散发量与土壤蓄水量之和的上限参数b次之,表征土壤完全饱和前径流的倾向性参数a最不敏感;与ABCD常参数模型相比,时变参数模型将率定期径流深模拟结果的NSE、KGE、R^(2)分别提高19%,10%,19%,验证期的NSE、KGE、R^(2)分别提高7%,7%,9%,时变参数模型显著改善径流深模拟效果;基于时变参数模型模拟的渭河流域土壤水储量与ERA5-Land 0—100 cm土层土壤水储量的相关关系最强,二者的变化过程基本相同;不同影响因素对渭河流域土壤水储量变化的影响程度由强到弱依次为潜在蒸散发>降水>NDVI。[结论]研究成果为该地区水资源规划和管理、植被建设提供科学依据,也为其他类似地区的土壤水储量研究提供参考。

Partial Time-Varying Coefficient Regression and Autoregressive Mixed Model

Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.

Partial Time-Varying Coefficient Regression and Autoregressive Mixed Model

Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.

滚动轴承局部故障时变刚度系统动力学分析

针对滚动轴承局部故障动力学建模问题,通过分析各滚动体在进入、退出载荷区和陷入故障时的变化情况,基于Hertz接触理论,定义了接触变形保留因子,提出了滚动轴承等效时变刚度函数,建立了局部故障滚动轴承单自由度时变刚度动力学模型,并进行了理论分析和试验研究。研究结果表明:当滚动体进入或退出载荷区时,载荷区中承载滚动体数量增加或减少,引起系统等效时变刚度的小幅增加或减小;当滚动体陷入故障时,因接触变形保留因子的不同使得其有效接触刚度不同程度降低而导致系统等效时变刚度的减小。系统等效时变刚度的变化引起载荷区中其他滚动体的接触变形和接触力产生不同幅度的变化,从而平衡外部径向载荷,对载荷区中心附近的滚动体的影响较为明显,但不影响各滚动体的有效接触刚度。系统等效时变刚度发生突变,导致系统振动。当外环故障时,等效时变刚度等幅变化;当内环故障时,等效时变刚度的变化受到内环旋转的调制而幅值不同。提出的单自由度时变刚度动力学模型与实际更加吻合。

基于ICEEMDAN和时变权重集成预测模型的变压器油中溶解气体含量预测

为了实现对变压器油中溶解气体体积分数的精确预测,同时克服仅使用单一预测模型导致预测精度及泛化能力不足的局限,提出了一种基于改进完全自适应噪声集合经验模态分解(improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition,ICEEMDAN)和灰色关联系数时变权重集成预测模型的变压器油中溶解气体预测方法。首先将溶解气体含量序列模态分解为一系列具有不同时间尺度的子序列。然后,使用门控循环神经网络和麻雀搜索算法优化支持向量机对各子序列进行训练,组合为一个集成预测模型;并比较不同预测方法的预测精度,计算灰色关联系数时变权重,形成各子系列的预测结果。最后将各子序列的预测结果叠加重构,得到最终预测结果。算例分析结果显示:该方法单步预测的均方根误差、平均绝对误差和相关系数分别为0.593、0.422和0.768,相比其他算法在预测精度上有明显提升,同时具有很强的泛化性能,可以为油浸式变压器内部状态监测提供依据。