Milling Fault Detection Method Based on Fault Tree Analysis and Hierarchical Belief Rule Base

Expert knowledge is the key to modeling milling fault detection systems based on the belief rule base.The construction of an initial expert knowledge base seriously affects the accuracy and interpretability of the milling fault detection model.However,due to the complexity of the milling system structure and the uncertainty of the milling failure index,it is often impossible to construct model expert knowledge effectively.Therefore,a milling system fault detection method based on fault tree analysis and hierarchical BRB(FTBRB)is proposed.Firstly,the proposed method uses a fault tree and hierarchical BRB modeling.Through fault tree analysis(FTA),the logical correspondence between FTA and BRB is sorted out.This can effectively embed the FTA mechanism into the BRB expert knowledge base.The hierarchical BRB model is used to solve the problem of excessive indexes and avoid combinatorial explosion.Secondly,evidence reasoning(ER)is used to ensure the transparency of the model reasoning process.Thirdly,the projection covariance matrix adaptation evolutionary strategies(P-CMA-ES)is used to optimize the model.Finally,this paper verifies the validity model and the method’s feasibility techniques for milling data sets.

Fault Tree Analysis:Investigation of Epidemic Hemorrhagic Fever Infection Acquired in Animal Laboratories in China

流行出血性的发烧是对涉及动物照顾和使用的实验室人员的进行中的威胁。尽管为实验室 biosafety 的标准和规定在中国被发出了，升级，并且实现，实验室传播和严重感染发生在过去的二十年。因此，有迫切需要识别风险因素并且寻求能在实验室人员之中限制流行出血性的发烧的发生的有效预防措施。在现在的学习，我们考察了文学与从 1995 ～ 2015 报导，并且分析了使用的这些发生的获得实验室的出血性的发烧感染指责的动物相关树分析(FTA ) 。数据分析的结果显示出那购买合格动物并且提防能确认的野生的老鼠没有 hantaviruses 的实验室动物，是基本措施阻止感染。在每日的管理，个人保护的知觉和个人保护的能力的过程期间需要进一步被改善。无疑种痘是最直接、有效的方法，当它在感染以后起作用时。那么避免感染斜面完全依靠种痘。

Interval Fault Tree Analysis of Excavator VariableFrequency Speed Control System

In consideration of the uncertainty of basic events failure rate and lack of probability statistical information in fault tree analysis( FTA) of excavator variable-frequency speed control system, the interval theory was employed and combined with conventional FTA method. The basic events failure probabilities were described by interval numbers,and the interval operators of logical gates in FTA were deduced based on interval theory. Finally,the reliability assessment of excavator variable-frequency speed control system was done by interval FTA method. The result shows that the interval FTA method is suitable for the complex system with insufficient failure data.

Fault Tree Analysis of CNC Machine Tool Based on BDD Technology

CNC machine tool is a large complex system which contains both mechanical and electrical components.As one of these components,the spindle is crucial for the performance of CNC machine tool.To improve the quality of CNC machine,the reliability of spindle was evaluated in this paper using a fault tree analysis(FTA)method.The FTA method is a set of calculation methods based on Boolean algebra.However,it is difficult to analyze a large and complex fault tree with inaccurate results and low efficiency as well as the complexity of time and space.Both of them will result in the so-called "combinatorial explosion".To overcome this problem,the analysis method based on binary decision diagram(BDD)was introduced in our works,and a sorting method about bottom events was also recommended which can reduce the size of the BDD effectively.

Analysis and Control Measures of Hazardous Chemical Explosions Based on Fault Tree Analysis

In view of the environmental and safety risks of hazardous chemical explosions in chemical enterprises,the fault tree analysis was used to establish a fault tree model of hazardous chemical explosions and comprehensively analyze the possibility of the explosions.The 34 basic events that caused hazardous chemical explosions were expounded,and the minimum cut and path sets were obtained.The structure importance of basic events were calculated.According to the minimum path sets,the basic events when the accident does not occur were determined,and combined with the sequence of structure importance,the preventive measures for hazardous chemical explosion accidents were proposed.The fault tree model intuitively clarified the correlation between the direct causes of hazardous chemical explosion accidents,and proposed directions for effectively reducing the probability of hazardous chemical explosion accidents in the chemical industry.

Fuzzy fault tree analysis of oil and gas leakage in subsea production systems

This paper presents a probabilistic failure analysis of leakage of the oil and gas in a subsea production system using fault tree analysis(FTA).A fault tree was constructed by considering four major areas where the leakages can be initiated.These are:gas and oil wells,pipelines,key facilities and third party damage.Conventional FTA requires precise values for the probability of failure of the basic events.However,since the failure data are uncertain,a fuzzy approach to these data is taken which leads to the so-called fuzzy fault tree analysis(FFTA),a method that employs expert elicitation and fuzzy set theories to calculate the failure probabilities of the intermediate events and the top event through identification of the minimal cut sets of the fault tree.A number of importance measures for minimal cut sets and the basic events have been obtained which helps to identify the nature of dependence of the top event on the basic events and thereby can identify the weakest links that may cause leakage in the subsea production system.

Revised Fault Free Analysis Method for Reliability Evaluation of Smart Grids

Smart grid was proposed as a practical form of future power distribution system. Evaluating the reliability of smart grids was of great importance and significance. A revised fault tree model was proposed to distinguish and separate grid-connected operation mode and islanded operation mode of smart grids,focusing on the perspective of the consumers. A hierarchical Monte Carlo simulation method for reliability evaluation was also proposed based on the proposed fault tree model. A case of reliability evaluation for the future renewable electric energy delivery and management( FREEDM) system was carried out and analyzed. The proposed methods can be applicable to other forms of smart grids.

RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF THE PRIMARY CYLINDER OF THE 10MN HYDRAULIC PRESS

According to the demand of high reliability of the primary cylinder of the hydraulic press, the reliability model of the primary cylinder is built after its reliability analysis. The stress of the primary cylinder is analyzed by finite element software—MARC, and the structure reliability of the cylinder based on stress strength model is predicted, which would provide the reference to the design.

Design and implementation of an expert system for remote fault diagnosis in ship lift

In this paper an expert system for remote fault diagnosis in the ship lift was developed by analysis of the fault tree and combination with VPN. The fault tree was constructed based on the operation condition of the ship lift. The diagnosis model was constructed by hierarchical classification of the fault tree structure, and the inference mechanism was given. Logical structure of the fault diagnosis in the ship lift was proposed. The implementation of the expert system for remote fault diagnosis in the ship lift was discussed, and the expert system developed was realized on the VPN virtual network. The system was applied to the Gaobaozhou ship lift project, and it ran successfully.

Reliability Analysis of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Flight Control System Based on Reliability Analysis Technologies

The unmanned aerial vehicles( UAV) has been becoming more and more important in the aviation industry.Despite the superior performance and advanced technology,major accident of UAV happens frequently due to the impact of their systems,long distance of remote control and skill of manipulator technology.According to the application of engineering application,failure mode effects and criticality analysis( FMECA),failure reporting analysis and corrective action comprehensive analysis systems( FRACAS)and fault tree analysis( FTA)( 3 F) were combined.And also a set of user-friendly,more time,more efficient and accurate reliability analysis system were explored.

Application of FTA based on SDG-HAZOP for production of polypropylene

The SDG-HAZOP(Signed Directed Graph,Hazard and Operability Analysis) is a qualitative safety assessment method,which is comprehensive,systematic and complete.However the result is tedious and large.Fault tree analysis(FTA) is a logical and diagrammatic method,which is proved to be a useful quantitative analysis tool to evaluate the safety and reliability of complex systems.So a FTA based on SDG-HAZOP quantitative method was proposed in this paper.Firstly,the SDG-HAZOP and the FTA were established on the background of polypropylene production devices in the Sinopec Wuhan Branch.Secondly,the probability of top event was calculated by reliable data from the probability of basic events.Finally,the targeted measures were proposed to prevent fatal potential dangerous situations by probability calculation.

New Approach to Calculate the Unavailability of Identical Spares in Cold Spare Configuration

Cold spare is the most common configuration amongst the three types of configuration for systems used on board and for power generation systems. A new approach to calculate the unavailability of systems composed of identical spares in cold spare configuration was proposed in this study. Instead of using the spare gate of dynamic fault tree( DFT) and the Markov analysis,AND gate of static fault tree used for calculating the unavailability of cold spare systems was proposed in this paper. By using this approach,unavailability of identical cold spare systems composed of nonrepairable spare components can be calculated exactly and systems composed of both repairable and nonreparable identical spare components can be estimated without building large Markov state diagram.

Optimal Allocation of Fleet's Spare Parts for System Reliability

Allocation of fleet's spare parts is rarely studied due to its complexity. However, this task is extremely important because the warship's service level highly relies on the maintenance logistics' level. In this study, the readiness ratio is proposed as a critical index in measuring the system's reliability. A well-established mathematical model adopting the optimization method of spare part allocation is also introduced. The objective is to minimize the number of each spare part while satisfying the fleet's system reliability. The fault tree analysis(FTA) is applied to analyze the system's failure logic and stratify the units on ship. As a result, the strategy of spare part sharing can be introduced in detail. The solution algorithm is developed, and the simulation experiments to obtain the key parameters are conducted. The proposed model and algorithm are applied to an actual fleet of two warships, and results show that the method above is feasible and can be directly applied into practice.