Future Expectation for China’s Nuclear Power

China: the future of nuclear powerWang Yonggan: In terms of the highlighted issue ofenergy security, oil is of paramount importance, coal isthe foundation and electricity is the pivot according

The Best Way for China's Future

Lu:The situation China will face in the future will become moreand more complicated.We have more and more tasks to do,just as theChinese poem goes“As one enters the circle of thousands of mountains,one faces another mountain after passing by one of them.”Lookingfrom the international scene,none of the two issues of peace and devel-opment has been solved.Economic security and military security

Bright Future for China Human Rights

We are here at the China University of Political Science and Law to discuss human rights construction and reform, which is very important. The China University of Political Science and Law was the first higher learning institution in China to set up a human rights major and is also one of the nation＇s educa- tion and training bases for human rights. In recent years, the university has achieved a lot in popularizing human rights education and serv- ing society, pushing forward human rights research and development, and enhancing human rights exchange and cooperation, I congratulate you on this.

NORTHEAST ASIA'S FUTURE AND CHINA'S ROLE

Since the end of the Cold War,the rest of the world has moved out of hypertension whereas Northeast Asia remains full of the Cold War atmosphere featuring of confrontation,especially marked by the tension of the Korean Peninsula,the Kuril Islands dispute between Russia and Japan。

Bush' s China Policy and the Future of Sino-U.S.Relations

The past two years have witnessed great fluctuations ininternational oil prices,and diplomatic efforts,both above andunder the table,by major powers around this issue.The currenttension in the war-threatened Iraq has added more uncertainties to thefuture world oil situation.Will the world oil supply and demand change?What impact would this exert on big powers’ oil strategy choices,geopolitics as well as world economy?What should China do in such asituation?To find the answers to these questions,at the invitation of theeditor of the Contemporary International Relations,seven experts fromChina Institute of Contemporary International Relations gathered to have adiscussion in early February this year.Naturally,they have differentviews over many issues.Still,we hope our readers would find theirdiscussion interesting.Following is the list of participants.

China's Futures Market

Since the 1990s, futures trading with its particular economic form and functions, has interested domestic enterprises. To support the development of the futures market in a standard way, the State Council has authorized the State Supervisory and Administrative Commission for Securities Trading

The Status and Future of Titanium Application in China

Through 40 years development Ti hasbecame an important military and civil in-dustry material called "Air"—"Land"—"Ocean"metal.Ti is an ideal structurematerial and corrosion resistant material,which has bright future in the developmentof modern technology.

Development and Future of South China Sea Issue

Since 2010,the South China Sea issue has gone through complicated developments.The yearslong relative stability of the South China Sea has been broken by the advancement of US AsiaPacific rebalance strategy.Due to the

Mr. Du Points out China's Textile Future at ITMA Forum

Mr. Du Yuzhou, President of China National Textile and Apparel Council, a national confederation of textile organizations in China, is expected to give an impressive and insightful speech

Present Situation and Future Trends of River-Basin Cascade Hydropower Dispatch in China

Hydropower resources in river basins are typically developed in a cascade manner. The cascade hydropower stations use water from the same river; in a sense, they form a cluster of hydropower stations which are linked together by the river stream. The dispatch and management of the cascade hydropower stations in a river basin differ from those of an ordinary single hydropower station. Without doubt, unified dispatch can facilitate the full harnessing of hydraulic resources and is in a better position to fulfill the objectives in the development of river basin. As a result, more and more river-basin cascade power stations around the world implement unif ied dispatching.

The Achievements and the Future of the Development of China's Space Technology

China’s space cause is based on the development of missile technology. In the 1950s, new China, which was just founded, decided to keep pace with the jet technology times, to begin developing missile and rocket science and technology, and to establish China’s new space scientific and technological industry.

Zhao Qizheng: I'm Fully Confident of China's Human Rights Conditions in Future

Following is a summary of an interview given by Zhao Qizheng, director-general of the State Council Information Office (SCIO), to mark the launching of this magazine. In the interview, Zhao elaborated on the current human rights conditions in China and their developments, why there are differences between the East and West regarding human rights, and China's stand on the issue.

Statistical Downscaling of Summer Temperature Extremes in Northern China

Two approaches of statistical downscaling were applied to indices of temperature extremes based on percentiles of daily maximum and minimum temperature observations at Beijing station in summer during 1960-2008. One was to downscale daily maximum and minimum temperatures by using EOF analysis and stepwise linear regression at first, then to calculate the indices of extremes; the other was to directly downseale the percentile-based indices by using seasonal large-scale temperature and geo-potential height records. The cross-validation results showed that the latter approach has a better performance than the former. Then, the latter approach was applied to 48 meteorological stations in northern China. The cross- validation results for all 48 stations showed close correlation between the percentile-based indices and the seasonal large-scale variables. Finally, future scenarios of indices of temperature extremes in northern China were projected by applying the statistical downsealing to Hadley Centre Coupled Model Version 3 （HadCM3） simulations under the Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 （RCP 4.5） scenario of the Fifth Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project （CMIP5）. The results showed that the 90th percentile of daily maximum temperatures will increase by about 1.5℃, and the 10th of daily minimum temperatures will increase by about 2℃ during the period 2011- 35 relative to 1980-99.

Projecting the Summer Climate of China's Mainland in the Middle 21st Century: Will the Droughts in North China Persist?

Since no consensus has been reached in previous studies about how the summer climate in China will evolve in the first half of the 21st century, this issue is addressed here through sensitivity experiments by forcing an atmospheric general circulation model （AGCM）, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory （GFDL）＇s Atmospheric Model Version 2.0 （AM2） with projected sea surface temperature （SST） trend. A total of two SST trends from the Intergovernmental Panels on Climate Change （IPCC） Special Report on Emissions Scenario （SRES） AlB are used. The two trends are from two coupled climate system models, the National Center for Atmospheric Research （NCAR） Community Climate System Model Version 3.0 （CCSM3） and the GFDL Climate Model Version 2.0 （CM2）, respectively. Results consistently suggest a substantial warming and drying trend over much of China, with a surface air temperature increase of 1.0-2.0℃ and a 10%-20% decrease in rainfall. Exceptions are the areas from northwestern China to western North China as well as the southern Tibetan Plateau, which are projected to be wetter with a rainfall anomaly percentage increase of 10%-50%. The drying in eastern North China has not been documented to date but appears to be reasonable. Physically, it is attributed to anomalous northeasterly winds at the rear of a low-level cyclone over the South China Sea, the Philippines and the subtropical western North Pacific. These conditions, which govern the climate of eastern China, are forced by the northward shift of convection over warm waters due to additional warming.

Aerosol pollution in China:Present and future impact on environment

With its dense population, rapid economic growth and dramatic rate of urbanization, China is experiencing extreme air pollution problems. This is particularly the case in Central-Eastern China （CEC）, where the two major cities of Beijing and Tianjin are located, in the Yangtze-River Delta （YRD） with the city of Shanghai, and in the Pearl-River Delta （PRD） with the mega-city of Gnangzhou. Space observations show that the atmospheric aerosol load in these three regions is considerably higher than, for example, in the urbanized regions of Europe and North America. The high aerosol concentrations in these regions have raised many environmental problems, such as impact on human health, visibility, and climate changes. In this paper, several crucial issues regarding aerosol pollution in these highly populated regions （CEC, YRD, and PRD） are discussed, including （1） when the aerosol load starts to rapidly increase in these regions; （2） how the high aerosol concentrations affects the environment; and （3） what the potential consequences are under possible low aerosol load in these regions. Discussion on these crucial issues might lead to some insight for better understanding of the characterizations of aerosol pollution due to the rapid economical development in China.

The effect of nighttime-trading of futures markets on information flows:Evidence from China

In the past couple of years,China’s futures exchanges have launched nighttime trading sessions.We use daily data from 23 commodity futures to investigate the impact of this important policy change.Our findings suggest that the launching of nighttime trading effectively improved the efficiency of futures prices and reduced the volatility of prices.The normality of returns improves during the post-nighttime trading period.As documented in the literature,the interactions between trading activities(i.e.,trading volume and open interest)and volatility conform better to the observed patterns in developed markets.This study provides sound evidence that China has taken steady steps toward its goal of establishing price-setting power in key commodities on world financial markets.