The forecast on price of agricultural futures is studied in this paper. We use the ARIMA model to estimate the price trends of agricultural futures,which can help the investors to optimize their investing plans. The s...The forecast on price of agricultural futures is studied in this paper. We use the ARIMA model to estimate the price trends of agricultural futures,which can help the investors to optimize their investing plans. The soybean future contracts are taken as an example to simulate the forecast based on the auto-regression coefficient(p),differential times(d) and moving average coefficient(q). The results show that ARIMA model is better to simulate and forecast the trend of closing prices of soybean futures contract,and it is applicable to forecasting the price of agricultural futures.展开更多
Since the implementation of pilot program on futures price insurance of agricultural products in 2015,it has achieved good results.This paper summarizes the practice on futures price insurance of agricultural products...Since the implementation of pilot program on futures price insurance of agricultural products in 2015,it has achieved good results.This paper summarizes the practice on futures price insurance of agricultural products and brings forward the following recommendations: expanding the scale,speeding up the coming of new options and futures varieties into the market,strengthening supervision,controlling risk,and actively exploring income insurance.展开更多
文摘The forecast on price of agricultural futures is studied in this paper. We use the ARIMA model to estimate the price trends of agricultural futures,which can help the investors to optimize their investing plans. The soybean future contracts are taken as an example to simulate the forecast based on the auto-regression coefficient(p),differential times(d) and moving average coefficient(q). The results show that ARIMA model is better to simulate and forecast the trend of closing prices of soybean futures contract,and it is applicable to forecasting the price of agricultural futures.
文摘Since the implementation of pilot program on futures price insurance of agricultural products in 2015,it has achieved good results.This paper summarizes the practice on futures price insurance of agricultural products and brings forward the following recommendations: expanding the scale,speeding up the coming of new options and futures varieties into the market,strengthening supervision,controlling risk,and actively exploring income insurance.
