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Pseudo-Semi-Overlap Functions-Based Fuzzy Rough Sets Applied to Image Edge Extraction
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作者 Ran Yin Minge Chen +2 位作者 Yu Liu Yafei Zhao Jianwei Li 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2024年第7期2347-2366,共20页
As an extension of overlap functions, pseudo-semi-overlap functions are a crucial class of aggregation functions. Therefore, (I, PSO)-fuzzy rough sets are introduced, utilizing pseudo-semi-overlap functions, and furth... As an extension of overlap functions, pseudo-semi-overlap functions are a crucial class of aggregation functions. Therefore, (I, PSO)-fuzzy rough sets are introduced, utilizing pseudo-semi-overlap functions, and further extended for applications in image edge extraction. Firstly, a new clustering function, the pseudo-semi-overlap function, is introduced by eliminating the symmetry and right continuity present in the overlap function. The relaxed nature of this function enhances its applicability in image edge extraction. Secondly, the definitions of (I, PSO)-fuzzy rough sets are provided, using (I, PSO)-fuzzy rough sets, a pair of new fuzzy mathematical morphological operators (IPSOFMM operators) is proposed. Finally, by combining the fuzzy C-means algorithm and IPSOFMM operators, a novel image edge extraction algorithm (FCM-IPSO algorithm) is proposed and implemented. Compared to existing algorithms, the FCM-IPSO algorithm exhibits more image edges and a 73.81% decrease in the noise introduction rate. The outstanding performance of (I, PSO)-fuzzy rough sets in image edge extraction demonstrates their practical application value. 展开更多
关键词 Pseudo-Semi-Overlap Functions fuzzy Rough Set fuzzy Mathematical Morphology Image Edge Extraction
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Multi-Granularity Neighborhood Fuzzy Rough Set Model on Two Universes
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作者 Ju Wang Xinghu Ai Li Fu 《Journal of Intelligent Learning Systems and Applications》 2024年第2期91-106,共16页
The two universes multi-granularity fuzzy rough set model is an effective tool for handling uncertainty problems between two domains with the help of binary fuzzy relations. This article applies the idea of neighborho... The two universes multi-granularity fuzzy rough set model is an effective tool for handling uncertainty problems between two domains with the help of binary fuzzy relations. This article applies the idea of neighborhood rough sets to two universes multi-granularity fuzzy rough sets, and discusses the two-universes multi-granularity neighborhood fuzzy rough set model. Firstly, the upper and lower approximation operators are defined in the two universes multi-granularity neighborhood fuzzy rough set model. Secondly, the properties of the upper and lower approximation operators are discussed. Finally, the properties of the two universes multi-granularity neighborhood fuzzy rough set model are verified through case studies. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy Set Two Universes Multi-Granularity Rough Set Multi-Granularity Neighborhood fuzzy Rough Set
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Intuitionistic Fuzzy Rough Sets Based on Two Intuitionistic Fuzzy Implicators 被引量:2
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作者 WU Wei-Zhi 《浙江海洋学院学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2010年第5期515-525,共11页
This paper presents a general framework for the study of relation-based intuitionistic fuzzy rough sets determined by two intuitionistic fuzzy implicators.By employing two intuitionistic fuzzy implicators I and J,I -l... This paper presents a general framework for the study of relation-based intuitionistic fuzzy rough sets determined by two intuitionistic fuzzy implicators.By employing two intuitionistic fuzzy implicators I and J,I -lower and J-upper approximations of intuitionistic fuzzy sets with respect to an intuitionistic fuzzy approximation space are first defined.Properties of(I,J) -intuitionistic fuzzy rough approximation operators are then examined.The connections between special types of intuitionistic fuzzy relations and properties of (I,J)-intuitionistic fuzzy approximation operators are also established. 展开更多
关键词 Approximation operators Intuitionistic fuzzy logical connectives Intuitionistic fuzzy rough sets Intuitionistic fuzzy sets Rough sets
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On uniqueness of (fuzzy) relation in some generalized rough set model 被引量:1
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作者 PEI Dao-wu 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第3期253-264,共12页
In rough set theory, crisp and/or fuzzy binary relations play an important role in both constructive and axiomatic considerations of various generalized rough sets. This paper considers the uniqueness problem of the ... In rough set theory, crisp and/or fuzzy binary relations play an important role in both constructive and axiomatic considerations of various generalized rough sets. This paper considers the uniqueness problem of the (fuzzy) relation in some generalized rough set model. Our results show that by using the axiomatic approach, the (fuzzy) relation determined by (fuzzy) approximation operators is unique in some (fuzzy) double-universe model. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy relation rough set fuzzy rough set lower approximation operator upper approximationoperator.
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Transformation and entropy for fuzzy rough sets 被引量:1
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作者 Zhang Chengyi Li Dongya +1 位作者 Fu Haiyan Chen Guohui 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2008年第1期94-98,共5页
A new method for translating a fuzzy rough set to a fuzzy set is introduced and the fuzzy approximation of a fuzzy rough set is given. The properties of the fuzzy approximation of a fuzzy rough set are studied and a f... A new method for translating a fuzzy rough set to a fuzzy set is introduced and the fuzzy approximation of a fuzzy rough set is given. The properties of the fuzzy approximation of a fuzzy rough set are studied and a fuzzy entropy measure for fuzzy rough sets is proposed. This measure is consistent with similar considerations for ordinary fuzzy sets and is the result of the fuzzy approximation of fuzzy rough sets. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy approximation fuzzy rough set fuzzy entropy
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Emergency Decision-Making Based on q-Rung Orthopair Fuzzy Rough Aggregation Information 被引量:1
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作者 Ahmed B.Khoshaim Saleem Abdullah +1 位作者 Shahzaib Ashraf Muhammad Naeem 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2021年第12期4077-4094,共18页
With the frequent occurrences of emergency events,emergency decision making(EDM)plays an increasingly significant role in coping with such situations and has become an important and challenging research area in recent... With the frequent occurrences of emergency events,emergency decision making(EDM)plays an increasingly significant role in coping with such situations and has become an important and challenging research area in recent times.It is essential for decision makers to make reliable and reasonable emergency decisions within a short span of time,since inappropriate decisions may result in enormous economic losses and social disorder.To handle emergency effectively and quickly,this paper proposes a new EDM method based on the novel concept of q-rung orthopair fuzzy rough(q-ROPR)set.A novel list of q-ROFR aggregation information,detailed description of the fundamental characteristics of the developed aggregation operators and the q-ROFR entropy measure that determine the unknown weight information of decision makers as well as the criteria weights are specified.Further an algorithm is given to tackle the uncertain scenario in emergency to give reliable and reasonable emergency decisions.By using proposed list of q-ROFR aggregation information all emergency alternatives are ranked to get the optimal one.Besides this,the q-ROFR entropy measure method is used to determine criteria and experts’weights objectively in the EDM process.Finally,through an illustrative example of COVID-19 analysis is compared with existing EDM methods.The results verify the effectiveness and practicability of the proposed methodology. 展开更多
关键词 q-rung orthopair fuzzy rough set q-ROFR entropy measure aggregation information emergency decision making
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THRFuzzy:Tangential holoentropy-enabled rough fuzzy classifier to classification of evolving data streams 被引量:1
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作者 Jagannath E.Nalavade T.Senthil Murugan 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第8期1789-1800,共12页
The rapid developments in the fields of telecommunication, sensor data, financial applications, analyzing of data streams, and so on, increase the rate of data arrival, among which the data mining technique is conside... The rapid developments in the fields of telecommunication, sensor data, financial applications, analyzing of data streams, and so on, increase the rate of data arrival, among which the data mining technique is considered a vital process. The data analysis process consists of different tasks, among which the data stream classification approaches face more challenges than the other commonly used techniques. Even though the classification is a continuous process, it requires a design that can adapt the classification model so as to adjust the concept change or the boundary change between the classes. Hence, we design a novel fuzzy classifier known as THRFuzzy to classify new incoming data streams. Rough set theory along with tangential holoentropy function helps in the designing the dynamic classification model. The classification approach uses kernel fuzzy c-means(FCM) clustering for the generation of the rules and tangential holoentropy function to update the membership function. The performance of the proposed THRFuzzy method is verified using three datasets, namely skin segmentation, localization, and breast cancer datasets, and the evaluated metrics, accuracy and time, comparing its performance with HRFuzzy and adaptive k-NN classifiers. The experimental results conclude that THRFuzzy classifier shows better classification results providing a maximum accuracy consuming a minimal time than the existing classifiers. 展开更多
关键词 data stream classification fuzzy rough set tangential holoentropy concept change
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Representation Theorem of Fuzzy Rough Set 被引量:3
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作者 舒兰 赵磊 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology of China》 2004年第4期76-78,共3页
This paper gives the definition of λ-cut sets and studies the structure of fuzzy rough sets. Based on the concept of rough sets, this paper proposes the representation theorem of fuzzy rough sets.
关键词 rough set fuzzy sets fuzzy rough sets λ-cut sets representation theorem
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Fuzzy rough sets in Sostak sense
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作者 Ismail Ibedou S.E.Abbas 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第4期563-582,共20页
In this paper,we defined the fuzzy operator Φ_(λ) in a fuzzy ideal approximation space(X,R,I)associated with a fuzzy rough set λ in Sostak sense.Associated with Φ_(λ),there are fuzzy ideal interior and closure op... In this paper,we defined the fuzzy operator Φ_(λ) in a fuzzy ideal approximation space(X,R,I)associated with a fuzzy rough set λ in Sostak sense.Associated with Φ_(λ),there are fuzzy ideal interior and closure operators int_(Φ)^(λ) and cl_(Φ)^(λ),respectively.r-fuzzy separation axioms,r-fuzzy connectedness and r-fuzzy compactness in fuzzy ideal approximation spaces are defined and compared with the relative notions in r-fuzzy approximation spaces.There are many differences when studying these notions related with a fuzzy ideal different from studying these notions in usual fuzzy approximation spaces.Lastly,using a fuzzy grill,we will get the same results given during the context. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy rough set fuzzy approximation space fuzzy ideal approximation space r-fuzzy separation axioms r-fuzzy connectedness r-fuzzy compactness
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Understanding the financial innovation priorities for renewable energy investors via QFD-based picture fuzzy and rough numbers
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作者 Wei Li Serhat Yüksel Hasan Dinçer 《Financial Innovation》 2022年第1期1834-1863,共30页
This study evaluates financial innovation priorities for renewable energy investors by generating a novel hybrid fuzzy decision-making model.First,SERVQUAL-based customer needs for financial innovation are weighted wi... This study evaluates financial innovation priorities for renewable energy investors by generating a novel hybrid fuzzy decision-making model.First,SERVQUAL-based customer needs for financial innovation are weighted with decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory based on picture fuzzy sets.Second,the financial innovation priorities are ranked by technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solutions based on picture fuzzy rough sets.In this process,Theory of the solution of inventive problems-based technical characteristics for financial services,the process for innovative services,and competencies for financial innovation are considered using quality function deployment phases.In addition,the Vise Kriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje method is also considered for an alternative ranking.Similarly,sensitivity analysis is also performed by considering five different cases.It is determined that the ranking priorities based on the proposed model are almost identical,demonstrating the proposed model’s validity and reliability.Assurance is the most crucial factor for the customer needs regarding the financial innovation priorities for renewable energy investors.Concerning the financial innovation priorities,the product is the essential priority for financial innovation;hence,it is recommended that companies engage qualified employees to effectively design the financial innovation for renewable energy investors.Additionally,necessary training should be given to the employees who currently work in the company,which can increase the renewable energy investors’trust in the innovative financial products.Companies should mainly focus on the product to provide better financial innovation to attract renewable energy investors.An effectively designed financial innovation product can help solve the financing problem of renewable energy investors. 展开更多
关键词 Financial innovation Investment QFD fuzzy sets fuzzy rough numbers DEMATEL TOPSIS Renewable energy
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Diabetic Retinopathy Diagnosis Using ResNet with Fuzzy Rough C-Means Clustering
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作者 R.S.Rajkumar A.Grace Selvarani 《Computer Systems Science & Engineering》 SCIE EI 2022年第8期509-521,共13页
Diabetic Retinopathy(DR)is a vision disease due to the long-term prevalenceof Diabetes Mellitus.It affects the retina of the eye and causes severedamage to the vision.If not treated on time it may lead to permanent vi... Diabetic Retinopathy(DR)is a vision disease due to the long-term prevalenceof Diabetes Mellitus.It affects the retina of the eye and causes severedamage to the vision.If not treated on time it may lead to permanent vision lossin diabetic patients.Today’s development in science has no medication to cureDiabetic Retinopathy.However,if diagnosed at an early stage it can be controlledand permanent vision loss can be avoided.Compared to the diabetic population,experts to diagnose Diabetic Retinopathy are very less in particular to local areas.Hence an automatic computer-aided diagnosis for DR detection is necessary.Inthis paper,we propose an unsupervised clustering technique to automatically clusterthe DR into one of its five development stages.The deep learning based unsupervisedclustering is made to improve itself with the help of fuzzy rough c-meansclustering where cluster centers are updated by fuzzy rough c-means clusteringalgorithm during the forward pass and the deep learning model representationsare updated by Stochastic Gradient Descent during the backward pass of training.The proposed method was implemented using python and the results were takenon DGX server with Tesla V100 GPU cards.An experimental result on the publicallyavailable Kaggle dataset shows an overall accuracy of 88.7%.The proposedmodel improves the accuracy of DR diagnosis compared to the existingunsupervised algorithms like k-means,FCM,auto-encoder,and FRCM withalexnet. 展开更多
关键词 Diabetic retinopathy detection diabetic retinopathy diagnosis fuzzy rough c-means clustering unsupervised CNN CLUSTERING
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Interval-Valued Intuitionistic Fuzzy-Rough Sets
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作者 WU Yan-hua LI Ke-dian 《浙江海洋学院学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2010年第5期496-506,共11页
This paper combines interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and rough sets.It studies rougheness in interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and proposes one kind of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy-rough sets ... This paper combines interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and rough sets.It studies rougheness in interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and proposes one kind of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy-rough sets models under the equivalence relation in crisp sets.That extends the classical rough set defined by Pawlak. 展开更多
关键词 Interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets Interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy rough sets Hamming distance Approximation roughness
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Rough similarity degree and rough close degree in rough fuzzy sets and the applications
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作者 Li Jian Xu Xiaojing Shi Kaiquan 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2008年第5期945-951,共7页
Based on rough similarity degree of rough sets and close degree of fuzzy sets, the definitions of rough similarity degree and rough close degree of rough fuzzy sets are given, which can be used to measure the similar ... Based on rough similarity degree of rough sets and close degree of fuzzy sets, the definitions of rough similarity degree and rough close degree of rough fuzzy sets are given, which can be used to measure the similar degree between two rough fuzzy sets. The properties and theorems are listed. Using the two new measures, the method of clustering in the rough fuzzy system can be obtained. After clustering, the new fuzzy sample can be recognized by the principle of maximal similarity degree. 展开更多
关键词 rough fuzzy set rough similarity degree rough close degree CLUSTERING recognition of rough pattern maximal similarity degree principle.
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On Rough Intuitionistic Fuzzy Ideals(Filters) in Lattices
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作者 HE Peng-fei YANG Yong-wei XIN Xiao-long 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 2014年第3期381-391,共11页
In this paper, we introduce a new algebraic structure, called a rough intuitionistic fuzzy ideal(filter) which is a generalized intuitionistic fuzzy ideal(filter) of a lattice and study some related properties of such... In this paper, we introduce a new algebraic structure, called a rough intuitionistic fuzzy ideal(filter) which is a generalized intuitionistic fuzzy ideal(filter) of a lattice and study some related properties of such ideals(filters). 展开更多
关键词 LATTICE rough intuitionistic fuzzy ideal(filter) HOMOMORPHISM
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Rough Set Theory over Fuzzy Lattices
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作者 Guilong Liu 《南昌工程学院学报》 CAS 2006年第2期51-51,共1页
Rough set theory, proposed by Pawlak in 1982, is a tool for dealing with uncertainty and vagueness aspects of knowledge model. The main idea of rough sets corresponds to the lower and upper approximations based on equ... Rough set theory, proposed by Pawlak in 1982, is a tool for dealing with uncertainty and vagueness aspects of knowledge model. The main idea of rough sets corresponds to the lower and upper approximations based on equivalence relations. This paper studies the rough set and its extension. In our talk, we present a linear algebra approach to rough set and its extension, give an equivalent definition of the lower and upper approximations of rough set based on the characteristic function of sets, and then we explain the lower and upper approximations as the colinear map and linear map of sets, respectively. Finally, we define the rough sets over fuzzy lattices, which cover the rough set and fuzzy rough set,and the independent axiomatic systems are constructed to characterize the lower and upper approximations of rough set over fuzzy lattices,respectively,based on inner and outer products. The axiomatic systems unify the axiomization of Pawlak’s rough sets and fuzzy rough sets. 展开更多
关键词 OVER Rough Set Theory over fuzzy Lattices
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Game Theory-Based Dynamic Weighted Ensemble for Retinal Disease Classification
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作者 Kanupriya Mittal V.Mary Anita Rajam 《Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing》 SCIE 2023年第2期1907-1921,共15页
An automated retinal disease detection system has long been in exis-tence and it provides a safe,no-contact and cost-effective solution for detecting this disease.This paper presents a game theory-based dynamic weight... An automated retinal disease detection system has long been in exis-tence and it provides a safe,no-contact and cost-effective solution for detecting this disease.This paper presents a game theory-based dynamic weighted ensem-ble of a feature extraction-based machine learning model and a deep transfer learning model for automatic retinal disease detection.The feature extraction-based machine learning model uses Gaussian kernel-based fuzzy rough sets for reduction of features,and XGBoost classifier for the classification.The transfer learning model uses VGG16 or ResNet50 or Inception-ResNet-v2.A novel ensemble classifier based on the game theory approach is proposed for the fusion of the outputs of the transfer learning model and the XGBoost classifier model.The ensemble approach significantly improves the accuracy of retinal disease pre-diction and results in an excellent performance when compared to the individual deep learning and feature-based models. 展开更多
关键词 Game theory weighted ensemble fuzzy rough sets retinal disease
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Multi-Span and Multiple Relevant Time Series Prediction Based on Neighborhood Rough Set 被引量:1
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作者 Xiaoli Li Shuailing Zhou +1 位作者 Zixu An Zhenlong Du 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2021年第6期3765-3780,共16页
Rough set theory has been widely researched for time series prediction problems such as rainfall runoff.Accurate forecasting of rainfall runoff is a long standing but still mostly signicant problem for water resource ... Rough set theory has been widely researched for time series prediction problems such as rainfall runoff.Accurate forecasting of rainfall runoff is a long standing but still mostly signicant problem for water resource planning and management,reservoir and river regulation.Most research is focused on constructing the better model for improving prediction accuracy.In this paper,a rainfall runoff forecast model based on the variable-precision fuzzy neighborhood rough set(VPFNRS)is constructed to predict Watershed runoff value.Fuzzy neighborhood rough set dene the fuzzy decision of a sample by using the concept of fuzzy neighborhood.The fuzzy neighborhood rough set model with variable-precision can reduce the redundant attributes,and the essential equivalent data can improve the predictive capabilities of model.Meanwhile VFPFNRS can handle the numerical data,while it also deals well with the noise data.In the discussed approach,VPFNRS is used to reduce superuous attributes of the original data,the compact data are employed for predicting the rainfall runoff.The proposed method is examined utilizing data in the Luo River Basin located in Guangdong,China.The prediction accuracy is compared with that of support vector machines and long shortterm memory(LSTM).The experiments show that the method put forward achieves a higher predictive performance. 展开更多
关键词 Rainfall and runoff variable precision fuzzy neighborhood rough set LSTM MULTI-SPAN
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Identifying the key factors of subsidiary supervision and management using an innovative hybrid architecture in a big data environment 被引量:1
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作者 Kuang‑Hua Hu Ming‑Fu Hsu +1 位作者 Fu‑Hsiang Chen Mu‑Ziyun Liu 《Financial Innovation》 2021年第1期206-232,共27页
In a highly intertwined and connected business environment,globalized layout planning can be an effective way for enterprises to expand their market.Nevertheless,conflicts and contradictions always exist between paren... In a highly intertwined and connected business environment,globalized layout planning can be an effective way for enterprises to expand their market.Nevertheless,conflicts and contradictions always exist between parent and subsidiary enterprises;if they are in different countries,these conflicts can become especially problematic.Internal control systems for subsidiary supervision and management seem to be particularly important when aiming to align subsidiaries’decisions with parent enterprises’strategic intentions,and such systems undoubtedly involve numerous criteria/dimensions.An effective tool is urgently needed to clarify the relevant issues and discern the cause-and-effect relationships among them in these conflicts.Traditional statistical approaches cannot fully explain these situations due to the complexity and invisibility of the criteria/dimensions;thus,the fuzzy rough set theory(FRST),with its superior data exploration ability and impreciseness tolerance,can be considered to adequately address the complexities.Motivated by efficient integrated systems,aggregating multiple dissimilar systems’outputs and converting them into a consensus result can be useful for realizing outstanding performances.Based on this concept,we insert selected criteria/dimensions via FRST into DEMATEL to identify and analyze the dependency and feedback relations among variables of parent/subsidiary gaps and conflicts.The results present the improvement priorities based on their magnitude of impact,in the following order:organizational control structure,business and financial information system management,major financial management,business strategy management,construction of a management system,and integrated audit management.Managers can consider the potential implications herein when formulating future targeted policies to improve subsidiary supervision and strengthen overall corporate governance. 展开更多
关键词 Decision making Swarm intelligence Internal audit fuzzy rough set theory
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Definability and Textural Rough Set Algebras
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作者 DIKER Murat 《浙江海洋学院学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2010年第5期428-439,共12页
In this paper,a counterpart of definability is studied in texture spaces.The concept of textural complete field is defined and the relations with textural definable sets are investigated.If a texture is discrete,then ... In this paper,a counterpart of definability is studied in texture spaces.The concept of textural complete field is defined and the relations with textural definable sets are investigated.If a texture is discrete,then textural definability coincides with definability.Using this fact,we obtain some basic results for definability in rough set algebras.Further,we discuss on definability for fuzzy rough sets considering textural fuzzy direlations. 展开更多
关键词 Approximation operator complete field of sets DEFINABILITY direlation fuzzy rough set rough set textural complete field of sets textural rough set texture space
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Knowledge modeling based on interval-valued fuzzy rough set and similarity inference: prediction of welding distortion 被引量:5
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作者 Zhi-qiang FENG Cun-gen LIU Hu HUANG 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science C(Computers and Electronics)》 SCIE EI 2014年第8期636-650,共15页
Knowledge-based modeling is a trend in complex system modeling technology. To extract the process knowledge from an information system, an approach of knowledge modeling based on interval-valued fuzzy rough set is pre... Knowledge-based modeling is a trend in complex system modeling technology. To extract the process knowledge from an information system, an approach of knowledge modeling based on interval-valued fuzzy rough set is presented in this paper, in which attribute reduction is a key to obtain the simplified knowledge model. Through defining dependency and inclusion functions, algorithms for attribute reduction and rule extraction are obtained. The approximation inference plays an important role in the development of the fuzzy system. To improve the inference mechanism, we provide a method of similaritybased inference in an interval-valued fuzzy environment. Combining the conventional compositional rule of inference with similarity based approximate reasoning, an inference result is deduced via rule translation, similarity matching, relation modification, and projection operation. This approach is applied to the problem of predicting welding distortion in marine structures, and the experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed methods of knowledge modeling and similarity-based inference. 展开更多
关键词 Knowledge modeling Interval-valued fuzzy rough set Similarity-based inference Welding distortion prediction
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