Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation for Decision Making of Water Saving Irrigation System

A model of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation for water saving irrigation system (WSIS) decision making is proposed based on establishing an index system affected by six kinds of basic factors including qualitative and quantitative indexes. The object function of WSIS is set up by using the concept of fuzzy membership degree, it is to transform characteristic vector matrix into unify membership matrix and extending the least square method to the least of weighted distance square. The optimum weighted membership degree and the inferior weighted membership degree are used to solve the object function. This method effective solves the problem of classify for fuzzy attributive indexes and the problem of optimum for the set of different attributive indexes. A case study shows that the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is reasonable and effective in decision making for water saving irrigation system planning.

FUZZY DECISION MAKING FOR SELECTION OF INFORMATION SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT APPROACH

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Research on Maintainability Evaluation Model Based on Fuzzy Theory

Maintainability influencing attributes are analyzed, their weight and value calculating methods are given, and the maintainability fuzzy evaluation method is proposed based on the relative closeness. According to the maintenance task simulation operated in virtual environment, the maintainability virtual evaluation model is built by analyzing the maintenance task for each replaceable unit of product. At last, a case study is given based upon the main landing gear system of a certain type civil aircraft, and the result indicates that the model is suitable for maintainability qualitative evaluation and can support maintainability concurrent design.

Fuzzy Decision Method Applied in Action of Reactive Power Compensation Devices in Wind System

Frequent occurrence of large-scale cascading trip-off of wind turbine raises the concern about the decision process of ordered control of reactive power compensation devices. The theory of fuzzy multi-attribute decision making is adopted to ascertain the action sequence of reactive power compensation devices. First, a set of evaluation indexes including control sensitivity, regulation margin, response time, response level and cost is set up, and fuzziness of the proposed qualitative indexes is introduced to make them comparable to the proposed quantitative indexes. Then a method to calculate fuzzy weight of each index is put forward for evaluating relative importance of the proposed indexes. Finally, the action sequence of reactive power compensation devices is determined through the theory of fuzzy compromise decision making. The case study shows that the proposed method is effective to obtain the action sequence of reactive power compensation device which correspond to experience.

基于Fuzzy综合评判多级模型的农业资源评估系统

介绍了我们近期开发研制的农业资源综合评估系统 :Agri System 1.0 .该系统基于 Fuzzy综合评判的多级模型 ,采用加权平均算法 ,借助智能信息处理技术 ,实现对种质资源、土壤资源、气候资源、农产品质量等农业资源的多目标或多因素的综合评估、优化和决策 .其中着重阐述了系统的结构、功能以及使用方法 .实例验证表明 ,该系统所作出的评估结论是正确。

Generalized ordered weighted averaging operators based methods for MADM in intuitionistic fuzzy set setting

Multiattribute decision making（MADM） problems, in which the weights and ratings of alternatives are expressed with intuitionistic fuzzy（IF） sets, are investigated.Firstly, the relative degrees of membership and the relative degrees of non-membership are formulated as IF sets, the weights and values of alternatives on both qualitative and quantitative attributes may be expressed as IF sets in a unified way.Then a MADM method based on generalized ordered weighted averaging operators is proposed.The proposed method is illustrated with a numerical example.

一种Fuzzy多属性决策模型

实际中的决策问题常常具有许多不确定性。本文建立了一种具有模糊权及模糊属性值的多属性决策模型。在模糊数的排序方法及线性运算法则的基础上，本文给出了该模型的求解方法。各方案的排序是依据其到模糊理想解的模糊距离大小进行的。

基于Fuzzy数序的多属性决策与综合评判模型

本文讨论了在多属性决策与综合评判问题中存在的Ｆｕｚｚｙ不确定性，并给出了Ｆｕｚｚｙ数的排序方法及有关线性运算法则。在此基础上提出了考虑Ｆｕｚｚｙ不确定性的多属性决策及综合评判模型。

Manufacturing Process Oriented Environmental Friendly Assessment with Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution

Green manufacturing is a mode to realize environmental friendliness by considering the environmental impact and energy consumption in manufacturing process.In order to make an environmental friendly assessment for manufacturing process,a multi-criteria decision making( MCDM) model combined with fuzzy analytic hierarchy process( FAHP) and fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution( FTOPSIS) is proposed in this work.The environmental and resource criteria and manufacturing process objects are identified as the first step.Then,the weights of the criteria are calculated by FAHP.Finally,based on experts' evaluation using fuzzy words,the manufacturing process objects are ranked by FTOPSIS.The proposed methodology is applied to a gear shaft manufacturing.The sensitivity analysis and comparisons are implemented to prove its robustness and effectiveness for the ecofriendly assessment for process objects.

Three-way group decision making with linguistic evaluations

Based on linguistic evaluations, a linguistic threeway decision method is proposed. First, the alternatives are rated in linguistic forms and divided into acceptance, rejection and uncertainty regions. Secondly, the linguistic three-way group decision steps are provided. Specifically, the experts determine the lower bound and upper bound of the uncertainty region, respectively. When the evaluation is superior to the upper bound, the corresponding alternative is put into the acceptance region directly. Similarly, when the evaluation is inferior to the lower bound, the corresponding alternative is put into the rejection region directly, and the remaining alternatives are put into the uncertain region. Moreover, the objects in the uncertainty region are especially discussed. The linguistic terms are transformed into fuzzy numbers and then aggregated. Finally, a recommendation example is provided to illustrate the practicality and validity of the proposed method.

Improved Fuzzification Method for Multi-Objective Decision-Making and Its Application in Evaluation of Highway Planning

A new fuzzification method for multi-objective decision-making and selective sorting is proposed on the basis of the fuzzy consistent relation, and the specific algorithm is presented. The method is applied to the evaluation of highway planning of Zhanjiang city. To decrease the subjectivity in the process of decision-making, the LOWA operator is introduced, and a discussion on how to select appropriate weights involved in multi-objective sorting is made. It is concluded that it is feasible to apply the fuzzy consistent relation to multi-objective decision-making analysis, and the improved fuzzication method is workable.

Application of TOPSIS Method in Support of Decisions Made in Staff Management Issues

Evaluation model was proposed which refers to fuzzy formalism of the personnel management issues taking account their specific characteristics. Application of TOPSIS （technique for order Performance by similarity to ideal solution） method for evaluation and regulation of alternatives based on hierarchically structured criteria of qualitative character by multiple experts to intellectually support decisions made in staff management issues is reviewed in the article. Candidate selection experiment based on criteria system formed using TOPSIS method for evaluation of candidates during solution of hiring problems reviewed and obtained results were compared with results obtained using Matlab program package.

Study on effectiveness evaluation of weapon systems based on grey relational analysis and TOPSIS

To evaluate the effectiveness of weapon systems, the advantages and disadvantages of grey relational analysis and TOPSIS for multiattribute decision-making is pointed out, and an effectiveness evaluation model of weapon systems by combining grey relational analysis and TOPSIS is proposed. The model aggregates the grey relational grade and the distance to a new integrated closeness and reflects not only the trend but also the situation of the alternative. The example illuminates that the model is effective for the effectiveness evaluation of weapon systems.

DEMATEL和模糊认知图在地铁深基坑施工安全风险动态评估中的应用

为探究地铁深基坑施工安全风险因素动态作用规律,科学预防施工安全事故,针对目前缺乏因素系统识别、因果关系量化和动态推理分析等共性问题,提出一种基于决策试验和评估实验室(Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory DEMATEL)与模糊认知图(Fuzzy Cognitive Map,FCM)的地铁深基坑施工安全风险分析方法。首先,通过理论分析与文献梳理,采用扎根理论识别风险因素;其次,结合专家调研与量化分析,利用DEMATEL方法分析风险因素的因果关系;再次,将DEMATAL决策矩阵转化为FCM模型的交互作用矩阵,展开风险因素的预测与诊断推理分析;最后,选取案例进行实证,验证模型方法的可用性与有效性。结果显示:因素X_(1)(人员安全风险意识)对其他因素的影响程度最高;因素X_(1)(人员安全风险意识)、X_(8)(安全施工组织设计方案)和X_(7)(施工安全风险管理措施)是排名前3的关键风险因素;完善安全施工组织设计方案是最有效的管控对策。

砖木结构古建筑火灾风险影响因子评估研究

提出模糊DEMATEL-ISM的方法,在建立古建筑火灾评价指标体系的基础上,对归属于4大类风险因素的25个潜在风险因子进行关联性分析,得出因子的因果属性及因子间的逻辑层次结构关系,从而对古建筑火灾风险进行评估。利用模糊DEMATEL-ISM法对华阴市西岳庙灏灵殿进行实例分析,结果表明:疏散与扑救条件、电器设备隐患的原因度较大,需要对其予以控制;耐火等级、火灾荷载的结果度大,为事故发生的主要原因;疏散与扑救条件、易燃易爆危险品、电器设备隐患、安全责任制、灭火应急预案和演练为古建筑火灾事故的关键风险因子,可为古建筑火灾风险管控工作提供相应参考。

基于组合赋权云模型的塔台管制系统运行安全评估

随着我国民航业的迅猛发展,空中交通流量不断攀升,机场塔台管制系统的运行安全面临严峻考验,因此,正确识别和评估风险成为有效提高塔台管制系统运行安全水平的重要前提。为精准且有效地完成对塔台管制系统运行的安全评估,构建了基于模糊决策实验室分析法(Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory,DEMATEL)网络层次分析法(Analytic Network Process,ANP)熵权法云模型的塔台管制系统运行安全评估模型。首先,通过流程图法并结合人机环管的思想建立塔台管制系统运行安全评估指标体系,并采用模糊DEMATEL法确定评估指标间的相互影响关系,绘制评估指标之间的网络结构图;然后,通过ANP法确定各评估指标的主观权重,采用熵权法确定各评估指标的客观权重,并通过博弈论方法计算评估指标的综合权重;最后,将权重结果与评语层云模型结合使用对各级安全评估指标进行安全评估,通过MATLAB软件完成算例的仿真分析。结果表明:该塔台管制系统运行安全等级在一般和良好之间,仍需采取有效措施对某些风险因素进行控制;同时验证了该模型在塔台管制系统运行安全评估中具有可行性和准确性,对塔台管制系统安全评估具有指导意义。

基于模糊DEMATEL-超效率DEA的可再生能源发电技术综合效益评估方法

“双碳”目标下,各类可再生能源发电技术发展迅速,综合权衡不同可再生能源发电方案的综合效益对可再生能源的优化设计具有重要意义。综合考虑经济效益、环境效益、能源效益和社会效益4个层面,提出了一种基于模糊决策试验和评价实验(decision making trial and evaluation laboratory,DEMATEL)与超效率数据包络分析(data envelopment analysis,DEA)模型的可再生能源发电技术综合效益评估方法。该方法分为投入-产出指标体系构建和综合评估2个阶段。首先,利用三角直觉模糊数处理模糊评价信息,将其与DEMATEL相结合量化各指标之间相互影响关系,基于指标间逻辑分析结果建立投入-产出评估指标体系。然后,基于超效率DEA模型对各可再生能源发电方案进行评估排序,结合投入冗余和产出不足分析结果给出各方案的针对性改善建议,以期为进一步选择和确定可再生能源产业发展战略提供参考。最后以某省10类可再生能源发电单元为研究对象,基于所提研究方法进行综合评估和分析,并与多准则妥协解排序法和熵权法进行对比分析,验证了所提方法的有效性。

基于改进DEMATEL-ISM的钢桁梁桥施工风险影响因素研究

为提高钢桁梁桥施工过程中的安全管理,对钢桁梁桥施工中的风险因素进行分析,提出了一种基于改进DEMATEL-ISM的评价方法,首先引入三角模糊数对DEMATEL法中的直接影响矩阵进行改进,从而去模糊化以减少专家评价的主观性,再通过DEMATEL法分析各影响因素的影响度、被影响度、中心度与原因度并加以排序,对得到的主要影响因素进行初步分析,利用ISM法对筛选出的影响因素进行层次划分,得到直接层影响因素、过渡层影响因素与本质影响因素,并针对分析得到的5个本质影响因素提出深入的预防预警措施,可为钢桁梁桥施工方向的安全管理提供针对性措施,为事故预防提供一定的参考依据。

雄安新区高端人才集聚竞争力预测分析

规划和建设雄安新区是国家大事、千年大计,具有重要的历史性和战略性意义。区域人才竞争力水平对于集聚高端人才有着决定性的影响。通过构建雄安新区高端人才集聚的竞争力指标体系,采用群决策AHP模糊综合评价法预测雄安新区高端人才集聚的竞争力。结果表明,雄安新区高端人才集聚竞争力处于中等偏上水平,其中发展定位和社会保障指标的竞争力较强,而人才管理体系和宜居环境指标的竞争力相对较弱。据此提出在高端人才管理机制、高端人才安居政策、高端人才结构以及生态环境等层面的相关建议。

基于改进STPA-DEMATEL的智能航电系统致因要素分析

针对智能航电系统在非线性耦合运行场景下产生的预期功能安全(safety of the intended functionality,SOTIF)问题,提出一种将系统理论过程分析(systematic theory process analysis,STPA)与决策试验与评价实验法(decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory,DEMATEL)相结合的致因分析框架。首先,在定义系统级危险的基础上构建安全控制结构,识别其不安全控制行为并提取与智能化缺陷相关的STPA致因要素。接下来,引入毕达哥拉斯模糊加权平均算子和闵可夫斯基距离对传统DEMATEL方法进行优化,专家根据控制反馈回路对致因要素进行评价并计算其中心度与原因度。最后,分析STPA致因要素与SOTIF致因属性之间的映射关系,给出关键致因要素的风险减缓措施。以单一飞行员驾驶(single-pilot operation,SPO)模式下的虚拟驾驶员助理系统为例说明了所提方法的可行性与有效性。研究结果表明,改进的STPA-DEMATEL方法可以有效识别关键致因要素,且能够克服专家评价的模糊性与不确定性,为智能航电系统的安全性设计提供了参考依据。