Mortality rate of gastric cancer is about 20.93/100000 which is the highest malignancy in China. The scientist of our country are at present interested in studying the postoperative survival model by multivariate anal...Mortality rate of gastric cancer is about 20.93/100000 which is the highest malignancy in China. The scientist of our country are at present interested in studying the postoperative survival model by multivariate analysis method just as stepwise regression model. The proportional hazard model initiated by Cox (1972) is more advanced than other regression method which is unneccessary to suppose the distribution of survival time and easy to analyse censoring data (the latter is difficult). This paper presented the first time application of Cox model in survival analysis of gastric cancer in China. The survival analysis system (SAS-Ⅰ) software complied by the author includes multivariate anlysis by Cox model, PV analysis and estimation of survival function which could provide useful information to surgeon for treatment of cancer patients.展开更多
AIM:To investigate the efficiency of Cox proportional hazard model in detecting prognostic factors for gastric cancer.METHODS:We used the log-normal regression model to evaluate prognostic factors in gastric cancer an...AIM:To investigate the efficiency of Cox proportional hazard model in detecting prognostic factors for gastric cancer.METHODS:We used the log-normal regression model to evaluate prognostic factors in gastric cancer and compared it with the Cox model.Three thousand and eighteen gastric cancer patients who received a gastrectomy between 1980 and 2004 were retrospectively evaluated.Clinic-pathological factors were included in a log-normal model as well as Cox model.The akaike information criterion (AIC) was employed to compare the efficiency of both models.Univariate analysis indicated that age at diagnosis,past history,cancer location,distant metastasis status,surgical curative degree,combined other organ resection,Borrmann type,Lauren's classification,pT stage,total dissected nodes and pN stage were prognostic factors in both log-normal and Cox models.RESULTS:In the final multivariate model,age at diagnosis,past history,surgical curative degree,Borrmann type,Lauren's classification,pT stage,and pN stage were significant prognostic factors in both log-normal and Cox models.However,cancer location,distant metastasis status,and histology types were found to be significant prognostic factors in log-normal results alone.According to AIC,the log-normal model performed better than the Cox proportional hazard model (AIC value:2534.72 vs 1693.56).CONCLUSION:It is suggested that the log-normal regression model can be a useful statistical model to evaluate prognostic factors instead of the Cox proportional hazard model.展开更多
Background:Few studies of breast cancer surgery outcomes have used longitudinal data for more than 2 years.This study aimed to validate the use of the artificial neural network(ANN)model to predict the 5?year mortalit...Background:Few studies of breast cancer surgery outcomes have used longitudinal data for more than 2 years.This study aimed to validate the use of the artificial neural network(ANN)model to predict the 5?year mortality of breast cancer patients after surgery and compare predictive accuracy between the ANN model,multiple logistic regression(MLR)model,and Cox regression model.Methods:This study compared the MLR,Cox,and ANN models based on clinical data of 3632 breast cancer patients who underwent surgery between 1996 and 2010.An estimation dataset was used to train the model,and a validation dataset was used to evaluate model performance.The sensitivity analysis was also used to assess the relative signifi?cance of input variables in the prediction model.Results:The ANN model significantly outperformed the MLR and Cox models in predicting 5?year mortality,with higher overall performance indices.The results indicated that the 5?year postoperative mortality of breast cancer patients was significantly associated with age,Charlson comorbidity index(CCI),chemotherapy,radiotherapy,hormone therapy,and breast cancer surgery volumes of hospital and surgeon(all P<0.05).Breast cancer surgery volume of surgeon was the most influential(sensitive)variable affecting 5?year mortality,followed by breast cancer surgery volume of hospital,age,and CCI.Conclusions:Compared with the conventional MLR and Cox models,the ANN model was more accurate in predict?ing 5?year mortality of breast cancer patients who underwent surgery.The mortality predictors identified in this study can also be used to educate candidates for breast cancer surgery with respect to the course of recovery and health outcomes.展开更多
Background: The Center of Molecular Immunology (CIM) is a center in Cuba devoted to the research, development and manufacturing of biotechnological products. CIMAvax?EGF is a vaccine for the treatment of non-small cel...Background: The Center of Molecular Immunology (CIM) is a center in Cuba devoted to the research, development and manufacturing of biotechnological products. CIMAvax?EGF is a vaccine for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer patients (NSCL). Purpose: The aim of this work is to evaluate the effects of some potential prognostic factors on the overall survival of patients treated with CIMAvax?EGF vaccine, based on data collected in a phase II and a phase III clinical trials. Methods: The stratified Cox regression model is used to evaluate the effects of these prognostic factors, based on separate analysis for each trial, and on the combined data from both trials. Results: Patients with Performance status 0 or 1, with IV stage of tumor and male under 60 years obtain more benefit in terms of overall survival if they receive CIMAvax?EGF. Conclusions: Vaccinated group has a better performance if patients have a performance status 0 or 1, stage IV and age under 60 years. These prognostic factors influence overall survival in a positive way for those patients that received CIMAvax?EGF.展开更多
文摘Mortality rate of gastric cancer is about 20.93/100000 which is the highest malignancy in China. The scientist of our country are at present interested in studying the postoperative survival model by multivariate analysis method just as stepwise regression model. The proportional hazard model initiated by Cox (1972) is more advanced than other regression method which is unneccessary to suppose the distribution of survival time and easy to analyse censoring data (the latter is difficult). This paper presented the first time application of Cox model in survival analysis of gastric cancer in China. The survival analysis system (SAS-Ⅰ) software complied by the author includes multivariate anlysis by Cox model, PV analysis and estimation of survival function which could provide useful information to surgeon for treatment of cancer patients.
基金Supported by the Gastric Cancer Laboratory and Pathology Department of Chinese Medical University,Shenyang,Chinathe Science and Technology Program of Shenyang,No. 1081232-1-00
文摘AIM:To investigate the efficiency of Cox proportional hazard model in detecting prognostic factors for gastric cancer.METHODS:We used the log-normal regression model to evaluate prognostic factors in gastric cancer and compared it with the Cox model.Three thousand and eighteen gastric cancer patients who received a gastrectomy between 1980 and 2004 were retrospectively evaluated.Clinic-pathological factors were included in a log-normal model as well as Cox model.The akaike information criterion (AIC) was employed to compare the efficiency of both models.Univariate analysis indicated that age at diagnosis,past history,cancer location,distant metastasis status,surgical curative degree,combined other organ resection,Borrmann type,Lauren's classification,pT stage,total dissected nodes and pN stage were prognostic factors in both log-normal and Cox models.RESULTS:In the final multivariate model,age at diagnosis,past history,surgical curative degree,Borrmann type,Lauren's classification,pT stage,and pN stage were significant prognostic factors in both log-normal and Cox models.However,cancer location,distant metastasis status,and histology types were found to be significant prognostic factors in log-normal results alone.According to AIC,the log-normal model performed better than the Cox proportional hazard model (AIC value:2534.72 vs 1693.56).CONCLUSION:It is suggested that the log-normal regression model can be a useful statistical model to evaluate prognostic factors instead of the Cox proportional hazard model.
基金supported by funding from“the Ministry of Science and Technology”in Taiwan,China(MOST 102-2314-B-037-043)
文摘Background:Few studies of breast cancer surgery outcomes have used longitudinal data for more than 2 years.This study aimed to validate the use of the artificial neural network(ANN)model to predict the 5?year mortality of breast cancer patients after surgery and compare predictive accuracy between the ANN model,multiple logistic regression(MLR)model,and Cox regression model.Methods:This study compared the MLR,Cox,and ANN models based on clinical data of 3632 breast cancer patients who underwent surgery between 1996 and 2010.An estimation dataset was used to train the model,and a validation dataset was used to evaluate model performance.The sensitivity analysis was also used to assess the relative signifi?cance of input variables in the prediction model.Results:The ANN model significantly outperformed the MLR and Cox models in predicting 5?year mortality,with higher overall performance indices.The results indicated that the 5?year postoperative mortality of breast cancer patients was significantly associated with age,Charlson comorbidity index(CCI),chemotherapy,radiotherapy,hormone therapy,and breast cancer surgery volumes of hospital and surgeon(all P<0.05).Breast cancer surgery volume of surgeon was the most influential(sensitive)variable affecting 5?year mortality,followed by breast cancer surgery volume of hospital,age,and CCI.Conclusions:Compared with the conventional MLR and Cox models,the ANN model was more accurate in predict?ing 5?year mortality of breast cancer patients who underwent surgery.The mortality predictors identified in this study can also be used to educate candidates for breast cancer surgery with respect to the course of recovery and health outcomes.
基金supported by a UICC International Cancer Technology Transfer Fellowship.
文摘Background: The Center of Molecular Immunology (CIM) is a center in Cuba devoted to the research, development and manufacturing of biotechnological products. CIMAvax?EGF is a vaccine for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer patients (NSCL). Purpose: The aim of this work is to evaluate the effects of some potential prognostic factors on the overall survival of patients treated with CIMAvax?EGF vaccine, based on data collected in a phase II and a phase III clinical trials. Methods: The stratified Cox regression model is used to evaluate the effects of these prognostic factors, based on separate analysis for each trial, and on the combined data from both trials. Results: Patients with Performance status 0 or 1, with IV stage of tumor and male under 60 years obtain more benefit in terms of overall survival if they receive CIMAvax?EGF. Conclusions: Vaccinated group has a better performance if patients have a performance status 0 or 1, stage IV and age under 60 years. These prognostic factors influence overall survival in a positive way for those patients that received CIMAvax?EGF.
