The study on scientific analysis and prediction of China’s future carbon emissions is conducive to balancing the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in the new era,and actively responding t...The study on scientific analysis and prediction of China’s future carbon emissions is conducive to balancing the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in the new era,and actively responding to climate change policy.Through the analysis of the application of the generalized regression neural network(GRNN)in prediction,this paper improved the prediction method of GRNN.Genetic algorithm(GA)was adopted to search the optimal smooth factor as the only factor of GRNN,which was then used for prediction in GRNN.During the prediction of carbon dioxide emissions using the improved method,the increments of data were taken into account.The target values were obtained after the calculation of the predicted results.Finally,compared with the results of GRNN,the improved method realized higher prediction accuracy.It thus offers a new way of predicting total carbon dioxide emissions,and the prediction results can provide macroscopic guidance and decision-making reference for China’s environmental protection and trading of carbon emissions.展开更多
Since practical mathematical model for the design optimization of switched reluctance motor(SRM)is difficult to derive because of the strong nonlinearity,precise prediction of electromagnetic characteristics is of gre...Since practical mathematical model for the design optimization of switched reluctance motor(SRM)is difficult to derive because of the strong nonlinearity,precise prediction of electromagnetic characteristics is of great importance during the optimization procedure.In this paper,an improved generalized regression neural network(GRNN)optimized by fruit fly optimization algorithm(FOA)is proposed for the modeling of SRM that represent the relationship of torque ripple and efficiency with the optimization variables,stator pole arc,rotor pole arc and rotor yoke height.Finite element parametric analysis technology is used to obtain the sample data for GRNN training and verification.Comprehensive comparisons and analysis among back propagation neural network(BPNN),radial basis function neural network(RBFNN),extreme learning machine(ELM)and GRNN is made to test the effectiveness and superiority of FOA-GRNN.展开更多
As a useful alternative of Shewhart control chart, exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chat has been applied widely to quality control, process monitoring, forecast, etc. In this paper, a method was i...As a useful alternative of Shewhart control chart, exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chat has been applied widely to quality control, process monitoring, forecast, etc. In this paper, a method was introduced for optimal design of EWMA and multivariate EWMA (MEWMA) control charts, in which the optimal parameter pair ( λ ,k) or ( λ ,h) was searched by using the generalized regression neural network (GRNN). The results indicate that the optimal parameter pair can be obtained effectively by the proposed strategy for a given in-control average running length (ARL0) and shift to detect under any conditions, removing the drawback of incompleteness existing in the tables that had been reported.展开更多
Short-term load forecasting of regional distribution network is the key to the economic operation of smart distribution systems,which not only requires high accuracy and fast calculation speed,but also has a diversity...Short-term load forecasting of regional distribution network is the key to the economic operation of smart distribution systems,which not only requires high accuracy and fast calculation speed,but also has a diversity of influential factors and strong randomness.This paper proposes a short-term load forecasting model for regional distribution network combining the maximum information coefficient,factor analysis,gray wolf optimization,and generalized regression neural network(MIC-FA-GWO-GRNN).To screen and decrease the dimension of the multiple-input features of the short-term load forecasting model,MIC is first used to quantify the non-linear correlation between the load and input features,and to eliminate the ineffective features,and then FA is used to reduce the dimension of the screened input features on the premise of preserving the main information of input features.After that the high-precision short-term丨oad forecasting based on GWO-GRNN model is realized.GRNN is used to regressively analyze the input features after screening and dimension reduction,and the parameter of GRNN is optimized by using the GWO,which has strong global searching ability and fast convergence.Finally a case study of a regional distribution network in Tianjin,China verifies the accuracy and applicability of the proposed forecasting model.展开更多
Renewable energy technologies are central to emissions reduction and essential to achieve net-zero emission.Segmented thermoelectric generators(STEG)facilitate more efficient thermal energy recovery over a large tempe...Renewable energy technologies are central to emissions reduction and essential to achieve net-zero emission.Segmented thermoelectric generators(STEG)facilitate more efficient thermal energy recovery over a large temperature gradient.However,the additional design complexity has introduced challenges in the modelling and optimization of its performance.In this work,an artificial neural network(ANN)has been applied to build accurate and fast forward modelling of the STEG.More importantly,we adopt an iterative method in the ANN training process to improve accuracy without increasing the dataset size.This approach strengthens the proportion of the high-power performance in the STEG training dataset.Without increasing the size of the training dataset,the relative prediction error over high-power STEG designs decreases from 0.06 to 0.02,representing a threefold improvement.Coupling with a genetic algorithm,the trained artificial neural networks can perform design optimization within 10 s for each operating condition.It is over 5,000 times faster than the optimization performed by the conventional finite element method.Such an accurate and fast modeller also allows mapping of the STEG power against different parameters.The modelling approach demonstrated in this work indicates its future application in designing and optimizing complex energy harvesting technologies.展开更多
A neural statistical approach to the reconstruction of novel viewpoint image us ing general regression neural networks(GRNN) is presented. Different color value will be obtained by watching the same surface point of a...A neural statistical approach to the reconstruction of novel viewpoint image us ing general regression neural networks(GRNN) is presented. Different color value will be obtained by watching the same surface point of an object from different viewpoints due to specular reflection, and the difference is related to the pos ition of viewpoint. The relationship between the position of viewpoint and the c olor of image is non linear, neural network is introduced to make curve fitting , where the inputs of neural network are only a few calibrated images with obvio us specular reflection. By training the neural network, network model is obtaine d. By inputing an arbitrary virtual viewpoint to the model, the image of the vir tual viewpoint can be computed. By using the method presented here, novel viewpo int image with photo realistic property can be obtained, especially images with obvious specular reflection can accurately be generated. The method is an image based rendering method, geometric model of the scene and position of lighting are not needed.展开更多
文摘The study on scientific analysis and prediction of China’s future carbon emissions is conducive to balancing the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in the new era,and actively responding to climate change policy.Through the analysis of the application of the generalized regression neural network(GRNN)in prediction,this paper improved the prediction method of GRNN.Genetic algorithm(GA)was adopted to search the optimal smooth factor as the only factor of GRNN,which was then used for prediction in GRNN.During the prediction of carbon dioxide emissions using the improved method,the increments of data were taken into account.The target values were obtained after the calculation of the predicted results.Finally,compared with the results of GRNN,the improved method realized higher prediction accuracy.It thus offers a new way of predicting total carbon dioxide emissions,and the prediction results can provide macroscopic guidance and decision-making reference for China’s environmental protection and trading of carbon emissions.
基金This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant61503132 and Grant51477047the Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant2015JJ5029.
文摘Since practical mathematical model for the design optimization of switched reluctance motor(SRM)is difficult to derive because of the strong nonlinearity,precise prediction of electromagnetic characteristics is of great importance during the optimization procedure.In this paper,an improved generalized regression neural network(GRNN)optimized by fruit fly optimization algorithm(FOA)is proposed for the modeling of SRM that represent the relationship of torque ripple and efficiency with the optimization variables,stator pole arc,rotor pole arc and rotor yoke height.Finite element parametric analysis technology is used to obtain the sample data for GRNN training and verification.Comprehensive comparisons and analysis among back propagation neural network(BPNN),radial basis function neural network(RBFNN),extreme learning machine(ELM)and GRNN is made to test the effectiveness and superiority of FOA-GRNN.
基金Funded by the National Key Technologies R&D Programs of China (No.2002BA105C)
文摘As a useful alternative of Shewhart control chart, exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chat has been applied widely to quality control, process monitoring, forecast, etc. In this paper, a method was introduced for optimal design of EWMA and multivariate EWMA (MEWMA) control charts, in which the optimal parameter pair ( λ ,k) or ( λ ,h) was searched by using the generalized regression neural network (GRNN). The results indicate that the optimal parameter pair can be obtained effectively by the proposed strategy for a given in-control average running length (ARL0) and shift to detect under any conditions, removing the drawback of incompleteness existing in the tables that had been reported.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YFB0903300)Research Program of State Grid Corporation of China(SGTYHT/16-JS-198)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51807134).
文摘Short-term load forecasting of regional distribution network is the key to the economic operation of smart distribution systems,which not only requires high accuracy and fast calculation speed,but also has a diversity of influential factors and strong randomness.This paper proposes a short-term load forecasting model for regional distribution network combining the maximum information coefficient,factor analysis,gray wolf optimization,and generalized regression neural network(MIC-FA-GWO-GRNN).To screen and decrease the dimension of the multiple-input features of the short-term load forecasting model,MIC is first used to quantify the non-linear correlation between the load and input features,and to eliminate the ineffective features,and then FA is used to reduce the dimension of the screened input features on the premise of preserving the main information of input features.After that the high-precision short-term丨oad forecasting based on GWO-GRNN model is realized.GRNN is used to regressively analyze the input features after screening and dimension reduction,and the parameter of GRNN is optimized by using the GWO,which has strong global searching ability and fast convergence.Finally a case study of a regional distribution network in Tianjin,China verifies the accuracy and applicability of the proposed forecasting model.
基金supported by an EPSRC IAA funding.The authors acknowledge using the IRIDIS High-Performance Computing Facility and associated support services at the University of Southampton to complete this work.All data supporting this study are available from the University of Southampton repository at DOI:https://doi.org/10.5258/SOTON/D2454.
文摘Renewable energy technologies are central to emissions reduction and essential to achieve net-zero emission.Segmented thermoelectric generators(STEG)facilitate more efficient thermal energy recovery over a large temperature gradient.However,the additional design complexity has introduced challenges in the modelling and optimization of its performance.In this work,an artificial neural network(ANN)has been applied to build accurate and fast forward modelling of the STEG.More importantly,we adopt an iterative method in the ANN training process to improve accuracy without increasing the dataset size.This approach strengthens the proportion of the high-power performance in the STEG training dataset.Without increasing the size of the training dataset,the relative prediction error over high-power STEG designs decreases from 0.06 to 0.02,representing a threefold improvement.Coupling with a genetic algorithm,the trained artificial neural networks can perform design optimization within 10 s for each operating condition.It is over 5,000 times faster than the optimization performed by the conventional finite element method.Such an accurate and fast modeller also allows mapping of the STEG power against different parameters.The modelling approach demonstrated in this work indicates its future application in designing and optimizing complex energy harvesting technologies.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （60774079）, the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China （2006AA04Z184）, and Sinopec Science ＆ Technology Development Project of China （205073）.
文摘A neural statistical approach to the reconstruction of novel viewpoint image us ing general regression neural networks(GRNN) is presented. Different color value will be obtained by watching the same surface point of an object from different viewpoints due to specular reflection, and the difference is related to the pos ition of viewpoint. The relationship between the position of viewpoint and the c olor of image is non linear, neural network is introduced to make curve fitting , where the inputs of neural network are only a few calibrated images with obvio us specular reflection. By training the neural network, network model is obtaine d. By inputing an arbitrary virtual viewpoint to the model, the image of the vir tual viewpoint can be computed. By using the method presented here, novel viewpo int image with photo realistic property can be obtained, especially images with obvious specular reflection can accurately be generated. The method is an image based rendering method, geometric model of the scene and position of lighting are not needed.
