Risk based security assessment of power system using generalized regression neural network with feature extraction

A comprehensive risk based security assessment which includes low voltage, line overload and voltage collapse was presented using a relatively new neural network technique called as the generalized regression neural network (GRNN) with incorporation of feature extraction method using principle component analysis. In the risk based security assessment formulation, the failure rate associated to weather condition of each line was used to compute the probability of line outage for a given weather condition and the extent of security violation was represented by a severity function. For low voltage and line overload, continuous severity function was considered due to its ability to zoom in into the effect of near violating contingency. New severity function for voltage collapse using the voltage collapse prediction index was proposed. To reduce the computational burden, a new contingency screening method was proposed using the risk factor so as to select the critical line outages. The risk based security assessment method using GRNN was implemented on a large scale 87-bus power system and the results show that the risk prediction results obtained using GRNN with the incorporation of principal component analysis give better performance in terms of accuracy.

Performance Prediction of Switched Reluctance Motor using Improved Generalized Regression Neural Networks for Design Optimization

Since practical mathematical model for the design optimization of switched reluctance motor(SRM)is difficult to derive because of the strong nonlinearity,precise prediction of electromagnetic characteristics is of great importance during the optimization procedure.In this paper,an improved generalized regression neural network(GRNN)optimized by fruit fly optimization algorithm(FOA)is proposed for the modeling of SRM that represent the relationship of torque ripple and efficiency with the optimization variables,stator pole arc,rotor pole arc and rotor yoke height.Finite element parametric analysis technology is used to obtain the sample data for GRNN training and verification.Comprehensive comparisons and analysis among back propagation neural network(BPNN),radial basis function neural network(RBFNN),extreme learning machine(ELM)and GRNN is made to test the effectiveness and superiority of FOA-GRNN.

An Approach to Carbon Emissions Prediction Using Generalized Regression Neural Network Improved by Genetic Algorithm

The study on scientific analysis and prediction of China’s future carbon emissions is conducive to balancing the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in the new era,and actively responding to climate change policy.Through the analysis of the application of the generalized regression neural network(GRNN)in prediction,this paper improved the prediction method of GRNN.Genetic algorithm(GA)was adopted to search the optimal smooth factor as the only factor of GRNN,which was then used for prediction in GRNN.During the prediction of carbon dioxide emissions using the improved method,the increments of data were taken into account.The target values were obtained after the calculation of the predicted results.Finally,compared with the results of GRNN,the improved method realized higher prediction accuracy.It thus offers a new way of predicting total carbon dioxide emissions,and the prediction results can provide macroscopic guidance and decision-making reference for China’s environmental protection and trading of carbon emissions.

Application of generalized regression neural network on fast 3D reconstruction

In robot-assisted surgery projects,researchers should be able to make fast 3D reconstruction. Usually 2D images acquired with common diagnostic equipments such as UT, CT and MRI are not enough and complete for an accurate 3D reconstruction. There are some interpolation methods for approximating non value voxels which consume large execution time. A novel algorithm is introduced based on generalized regression neural network (GRNN) which can interpolate unknown voxles fast and reliable. The GRNN interpolation is used to produce new 2D images between each two succeeding ultrasonic images. It is shown that the composition of GRNN with image distance transformation can produce higher quality 3D shapes. The results of this method are compared with other interpolation methods practically. It shows this method can decrease overall time consumption on online 3D reconstruction.

Parameters optimization for exponentially weighted moving average control chart using generalized regression neural network

As a useful alternative of Shewhart control chart, exponentially weighted moving average （EWMA） control chat has been applied widely to quality control, process monitoring, forecast, etc. In this paper, a method was introduced for optimal design of EWMA and multivariate EWMA （MEWMA） control charts, in which the optimal parameter pair （ λ, k） or （ λ, h ） was searched by using the generalized regression neural network （GRNN）. The results indicate that the optimal parameter pair can be obtained effectively by the proposed strategy for a given in-control average running length （ARLo） and shift to detect under any conditions, removing the drawback of incompleteness existing in the tables that had been reported.

Modelling the impact of climate change on rangeland forage production using a generalized regression neural network:a case study in Isfahan Province,Central Iran

Monitoring of rangeland forage production at specified spatial and temporal scales is necessary for grazing management and also for implementation of rehabilitation projects in rangelands. This study focused on the capability of a generalized regression neural network（GRNN） model combined with GIS techniques to explore the impact of climate change on rangeland forage production. Specifically, a dataset of 115 monitored records of forage production were collected from 16 rangeland sites during the period 1998–2007 in Isfahan Province, Central Iran. Neural network models were designed using the monitored forage production values and available environmental data（including climate and topography data）, and the performance of each network model was assessed using the mean estimation error（MEE）, model efficiency factor（MEF）, and correlation coefficient（r）. The best neural network model was then selected and further applied to predict the forage production of rangelands in the future（in 2030 and 2080） under A1 B climate change scenario using Hadley Centre coupled model. The present and future forage production maps were also produced. Rangeland forage production exhibited strong correlations with environmental factors, such as slope, elevation, aspect and annual temperature. The present forage production in the study area varied from 25.6 to 574.1 kg/hm^2. Under climate change scenario, the annual temperature was predicted to increase and the annual precipitation was predicted to decrease. The prediction maps of forage production in the future indicated that the area with low level of forage production（0–100 kg/hm^2） will increase while the areas with moderate, moderately high and high levels of forage production（≥100 kg/hm^2） will decrease both in 2030 and in 2080, which may be attributable to the increasing annual temperature and decreasing annual precipitation. It was predicted that forage production of rangelands will decrease in the next couple of decades, especially in the western and southern parts of Isfahan Province. These changes are more pronounced in elevations between 2200 and 2900 m. Therefore, rangeland managers have to cope with these changes by holistic management approaches through mitigation and human adaptations.

Term Structure of Interest Rates Based on Artificial Neural Network

In light of the nonlinear approaching capability of artificial neural networks （ ANN）, the term structure of interest rates is predicted using The generalized regression neural network （GRNN） and back propagation （BP） neural networks models. The prediction performance is measured with US interest rate data. Then, RBF and BP models are compared with Vasicek＇s model and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross （CIR） model. The comparison reveals that neural network models outperform Vasicek＇s model and CIR model, which are more precise and closer to the real market situation.

Twin model-based fault detection and tolerance approach for in-core self-powered neutron detectors

The in-core self-powered neutron detector(SPND)acts as a key measuring device for the monitoring of parameters and evaluation of the operating conditions of nuclear reactors.Prompt detection and tolerance of faulty SPNDs are indispensable for reliable reactor management.To completely extract the correlated state information of SPNDs,we constructed a twin model based on a generalized regression neural network(GRNN)that represents the common relationships among overall signals.Faulty SPNDs were determined because of the functional concordance of the twin model and real monitoring sys-tems,which calculated the error probability distribution between the model outputs and real values.Fault detection follows a tolerance phase to reinforce the stability of the twin model in the case of massive failures.A weighted K-nearest neighbor model was employed to reasonably reconstruct the values of the faulty signals and guarantee data purity.The experimental evaluation of the proposed method showed promising results,with excellent output consistency and high detection accuracy for both single-and multiple-point faulty SPNDs.For unexpected excessive failures,the proposed tolerance approach can efficiently repair fault behaviors and enhance the prediction performance of the twin model.

Short-term Load Forecasting of Regional Distribution Network Based on Generalized Regression Neural Network Optimized by Grey Wolf Optimization Algorithm

Short-term load forecasting of regional distribution network is the key to the economic operation of smart distribution systems,which not only requires high accuracy and fast calculation speed,but also has a diversity of influential factors and strong randomness.This paper proposes a short-term load forecasting model for regional distribution network combining the maximum information coefficient,factor analysis,gray wolf optimization,and generalized regression neural network(MIC-FA-GWO-GRNN).To screen and decrease the dimension of the multiple-input features of the short-term load forecasting model,MIC is first used to quantify the non-linear correlation between the load and input features,and to eliminate the ineffective features,and then FA is used to reduce the dimension of the screened input features on the premise of preserving the main information of input features.After that the high-precision short-term丨oad forecasting based on GWO-GRNN model is realized.GRNN is used to regressively analyze the input features after screening and dimension reduction,and the parameter of GRNN is optimized by using the GWO,which has strong global searching ability and fast convergence.Finally a case study of a regional distribution network in Tianjin,China verifies the accuracy and applicability of the proposed forecasting model.

Underwater Positioning Based on an Artificial Lateral Line and a Generalized Regression Neural Network

Taking advantage of the lateral line organ, fish can navigate, feed, and avoid predators and obstacles by sensing surrounding flow fields. The lateral line organ provides an important reference for the development of new underwater detection technology. Inspired by the lateral line organ, in this paper, for the sake of localizing the target dipole source in three-dimensional underwater space, an artificial lateral line consisting of nine underwater pressure sensors forming a cross-shaped sensor array is applied. Combined with the method of gener- alized regression neural network, which is suitable for solving nonlinear pattern recognition problems, a corresponding experimental platform has been built to sample data for training the neural network from a 12 cm by 12 cm by 24 cm cuboid space. The experimental results indicate that the cross-shaped artificial lateral line can localize the target dipole source two body-lengths away. The well- performing perceptual distance is below 13 cm away from the sensing array. Moreover, decreasing the data sampling interval and in- creasing the number of sensors utilized can help improve the positioning accuracy.

Short-term traffic forecasting based on principal component analysis and a generalized regression neural network for satellite networks

With the rapid growth of satellite traffic, the ability to forecast traffic loads becomes vital for improving data transmission efficiency and resource management in satellite networks. To precisely forecast the short-term traffic loads in satellite networks, a forecasting algorithm based on principal component analysis and a generalized regression neural network （PCA-GRNN） is proposed. The PCA-GRNN algorithm exploits the hidden regularity of satellite networks and fully considers both the temporal and spatial correlations of satellite traffic. Specifically, it selects optimal time series of spatio-temporally correlated historical traffic from satellites as forecasting inputs and applies principal component analysis to reduce the input dimensions while preserving the main features of the data. Then, a generalized regression neural network is utilized to perform the final short-term load forecasting based on the obtained principal components. The PCA-GRNN algorithm is evaluated based on real-world traffic traces, and the results show that the PCA-GRNN method achieves a higher forecasting accuracy, has a shorter training time and is more robust than other state-of-the-art algorithms, even for incomplete traffic datasets. Therefore, the PCA- GRNN algorithm can be regarded as a preferred solution for use in real-time traffic forecasting for realistic satellite networks.

Projectile impact point prediction method based on GRNN

In order to forecast projectile impact points quickly and accurately,aprojectile impact point prediction method based on generalized regression neural network（GRNN）is presented.Firstly,the model of GRNN forecasting impact point is established;secondly,the particle swarm algorithm（PSD）is used to optimize the smooth factor in the prediction model and then the optimal GRNN impact point prediction model is obtained.Finally,the numerical simulation of this prediction model is carried out.Simulation results show that the maximum range error is no more than 40 m,and the lateral deviation error is less than0.2m.The average time of impact point prediction is 6.645 ms,which is 1 300.623 ms less than that of numerical integration method.Therefore,it is feasible and effective for the proposed method to forecast projectile impact points,and thus it can provide a theoretical reference for practical engineering applications.

Quantifying social vulnerability for flood disasters of insurance company

Social vulnerability assessments are largely ignored when compared with biophysical vulnerability assessments. This is mainly due to the fact that there are more difficulties in quantifying them. Aiming at several pitfalls still existing in the Hoovering approach which is widely accepted, a suitable modified model is provided. In this modified model, the integrated vulnerability is made an analogy to the elasticity coefficient of a spring, and an objective evaluation criterion is established. With the evaluation criterion, the assessment indicators of social vulnerability are filtered and their weight assignments are accomplished. There is an application in the city of Changsha where floods occur often. With the relative data from the PICC Hunan Province Branch, a generalized regression neural network model is established in Matlab 7.0 and used to evaluate a company's flood social vulnerability index (SoVI). The results show that the average flood social vulnerability in Yuhua district is the highest, while Yuelu district is the lowest. It is good for disaster risk management and decision-making of insurance companies.

Evaluating soil nutrients of Dacrydium pectinatum in China using machine learning techniques

Background: The accurate estimation of soil nutrient content is particularly important in view of its impact on plant growth and forest regeneration. In order to investigate soil nutrient content and quality for the natural regeneration of Dacrydium pectinatum communities in China, designing advanced and accurate estimation methods is necessary.Methods: This study uses machine learning techniques created a series of comprehensive and novel models from which to evaluate soil nutrient content. Soil nutrient evaluation methods were built by using six support vector machines and four artificial neural networks.Results: The generalized regression neural network model was the best artificial neural network evaluation model with the smallest root mean square error(5.1), mean error(-0.85), and mean square prediction error(29). The accuracy rate of the combined k-nearest neighbors(k-NN) local support vector machines model(i.e. k-nearest neighbors-support vector machine(KNNSVM)) for soil nutrient evaluation was high, comparing to the other five partial support vector machines models investigated. The area under curve value of generalized regression neural network(0.6572) was the highest, and the cross-validation result showed that the generalized regression neural network reached 92.5%.Conclusions: Both the KNNSVM and generalized regression neural network models can be effectively used to evaluate soil nutrient content and quality grades in conjunction with appropriate model variables. Developing a new feasible evaluation method to assess soil nutrient quality for Dacrydium pectinatum, results from this study can be used as a reference for the adaptive management of rare and endangered tree species. This study, however, found some uncertainties in data acquisition and model simulations, which will be investigated in upcoming studies.

Application and Simulation of GRNN for the Shotcrete Robot

The generalized regression neural network-one kind of RBF neural network, is chosen to construct the inverse-kinematics model for the shotcrete robot which has redundant degree-of-freedom. The inverse-kinematics model of the object is trained by the general learning method. In constructing model process, different partition methods is tried to divide the joint space and different diffusion coefficient value to train the neural network. The influence of the spread coefficient to the approach ability is also studied. The simulation method is adopted to test the performance of the neural network. The simulation result turns out to be satisfactory.

A Hybrid Model for Short-term PV Output Forecasting Based on PCA-GWO-GRNN

High-precision day-ahead short-term photovoltaic(PV)output forecasting is essential in PV integration to the smart distribution networks and multi-energy system,and provides the foundation for the security,stability,and economic operation of PV systems.This paper proposes a hybrid model based on principal component analysis,grey wolf optimization and generalized regression neural network(PCA-GWO-GRNN)for day-ahead short-term PV output forecasting,considering the features of multiple influencing factors and strong uncertainty.This paper first uses the PCA to reduce the dimension of meteorological features.Then,the high-precision day-ahead short-term PV output forecasting based on GWO-GRNN model is realized.GRNN is used to regressively analyze the input features after dimension reduction,and the parameter of GRNN is optimized by using GWO,which has strong global searching ability and fast convergence.The proposed PCA-GWO-GRNN model effectively achieves a high precision in day-ahead shortterm PV output forecasting,which is demonstrated in a case study on a real PV plant in Jiangsu province,China.The results have validated the accuracy and applicability of the proposed model in real scenarios.

Identification of Graves’ophthalmology by laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy combined with machine learning method

Diagnosis of the Graves’ophthalmology remains a significant challenge.We identified between Graves’ophthalmology tissues and healthy controls by using laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy(LIBS)combined with machine learning method.In this work,the paraffin-embedded samples of the Graves’ophthalmology were prepared for LIBS spectra acquisition.The metallic elements(Na,K,Al,Ca),non-metallic element(O)and molecular bands((C-N),(C-O))were selected for diagnosing Graves’ophthalmology.The selected spectral lines were inputted into the supervised classification methods including linear discriminant analysis(LDA),support vector machine(SVM),k-nearest neighbor(ANN),and generalized regression neural network(GRNN),respectively.The results showed that the predicted accuracy rates of LDA,SVM,ANN,GRNN were 76.33%,96.28%,96.56%,and 96.33%,respectively.The sensitivity of four models were 75.89%,93.78%,96.78%,and 96.67%,respectively.The specificity of four models were 76.78%,98.78%,96.33%,and 96.00%,respectively.This demonstrated that LIBS assisted with a nonlinear model can be used to identify Graves’ophthalmopathy with a higher rate of accuracy.The ANN had the best performance by comparing the three nonlinear models.Therefore,LIBS combined with machine learning method can be an effective way to discriminate Graves’ophthalmology.