The Application of a Grey Markov Model to Forecasting Annual Maximum Water Levels at Hydrological Stations

Compared with traditional real-time forecasting,this paper proposes a Grey Markov Model(GMM) to forecast the maximum water levels at hydrological stations in the estuary area.The GMM combines the Grey System and Markov theory into a higher precision model.The GMM takes advantage of the Grey System to predict the trend values and uses the Markov theory to forecast fluctuation values,and thus gives forecast results involving two aspects of information.The procedure for forecasting annul maximum water levels with the GMM contains five main steps:1) establish the GM(1,1) model based on the data series;2) estimate the trend values;3) establish a Markov Model based on relative error series;4) modify the relative errors caused in step 2,and then obtain the relative errors of the second order estimation;5) compare the results with measured data and estimate the accuracy.The historical water level records(from 1960 to 1992) at Yuqiao Hydrological Station in the estuary area of the Haihe River near Tianjin,China are utilized to calibrate and verify the proposed model according to the above steps.Every 25 years' data are regarded as a hydro-sequence.Eight groups of simulated results show reasonable agreement between the predicted values and the measured data.The GMM is also applied to the 10 other hydrological stations in the same estuary.The forecast results for all of the hydrological stations are good or acceptable.The feasibility and effectiveness of this new forecasting model have been proved in this paper.

Assessment of Severity Level for Diabetic Macular Oedema Using Machine Learning Algorithms

The macula is an imperative part present in our human visual system which is most responsible for clear and colour vision. For the people suffering from diabetes, the various parts of the body including the retina of the eye are affected. These retinal damages cause swelling and other abnormalities nearby macula. The pathologies in macula due to diabetes are called Diabetic Macular oEdema (DME). It affects patients’ vision that may lead to vision loss. It can be overcome by advance identification of causes for swelling. The major causes for the swelling are neovascularization and other abnormalities occurring in the blood vessels nearby the macula. The aim of this work is to avoid vision loss by detecting the presence of abnormalities in macula in advance. The pathologies present in the abnormal images are detected by image segmentation technique viz. Fuzzy K-means algorithm. The classification is done by two different classifiers namely Cascade Neural Network and Partial Least Square which are employed to identify whether the image is normal or abnormal. The results of both the classifiers are compared with respect to classifier accuracy, sensitivity and specificity. The classifier accuracies of Cascade Neural Network and Partial Least Square are 96.84% and 94.36%, respectively. The information about the severity of the disease and the localization of pathologies are very useful to the ophthalmologist for diagnosing the disease and apply proper treatments to the patients to avoid the formation of any lesion and prevent vision loss.

SEM-backscattered Electron Imaging and Image Processing for Evaluation of Unhydrated Cement Volume Fraction in Slag Blended Portland Cement Pastes

Proper parameters for image taking and minimum field number for image processing were investigated to evaluate volume fraction of unhydrated cement（UHC） in both neat cement paste and slag blended cement paste. Our research suggested that magnification 250x was sufficient for the two pastes, and accelerating voltage should be set as 15 kV and 20 kV for BSE image taking of neat cement paste and slag blended cement paste respectively; the minimum field number increased while the total imaging area stayed the same as the magnification increased within certain statistical bias.

Optimal IoT Based Improved Deep Learning Model for Medical Image Classification

Recently medical image classification plays a vital role in medical image retrieval and computer-aided diagnosis system.Despite deep learning has proved to be superior to previous approaches that depend on handcrafted features;it remains difficult to implement because of the high intra-class variance and inter-class similarity generated by the wide range of imaging modalities and clinical diseases.The Internet of Things(IoT)in healthcare systems is quickly becoming a viable alternative for delivering high-quality medical treatment in today’s e-healthcare systems.In recent years,the Internet of Things(IoT)has been identified as one of the most interesting research subjects in the field of health care,notably in the field of medical image processing.For medical picture analysis,researchers used a combination of machine and deep learning techniques as well as artificial intelligence.These newly discovered approaches are employed to determine diseases,which may aid medical specialists in disease diagnosis at an earlier stage,giving precise,reliable,efficient,and timely results,and lowering death rates.Based on this insight,a novel optimal IoT-based improved deep learning model named optimization-driven deep belief neural network(ODBNN)is proposed in this article.In context,primarily image quality enhancement procedures like noise removal and contrast normalization are employed.Then the preprocessed image is subjected to feature extraction techniques in which intensity histogram,an average pixel of RGB channels,first-order statistics,Grey Level Co-Occurrence Matrix,Discrete Wavelet Transform,and Local Binary Pattern measures are extracted.After extracting these sets of features,the May Fly optimization technique is adopted to select the most relevant features.The selected features are fed into the proposed classification algorithm in terms of classifying similar input images into similar classes.The proposed model is evaluated in terms of accuracy,precision,recall,and f-measure.The investigation evident the performance of incorporating optimization techniques for medical image classification is better than conventional techniques.