Hybridized Intelligent Neural Network Optimization Model for Forecasting Prices of Rubber in Malaysia

Rubber producers,consumers,traders,and those who are involved in the rubber industry face major risks of rubber price fluctuations.As a result,decision-makers are required to make an accurate estimation of the price of rubber.This paper aims to propose hybrid intelligent models,which can be utilized to forecast the price of rubber in Malaysia by employing monthly Malaysia’s rubber pricing data,spanning from January 2016 to March 2021.The projected hybrid model consists of different algorithms with the symbolic Radial Basis Functions Neural Network k-Satisfiability Logic Mining(RBFNN-kSAT).These algorithms,including Grey Wolf Optimization Algorithm,Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm,and Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm were utilized in the forecasting data analysis.Several factors,which affect the monthly price of rubber,such as rubber production,total exports of rubber,total imports of rubber,stocks of rubber,currency exchange rate,and crude oil prices were also considered in the analysis.To evaluate the results of the introduced model,a comparison has been conducted for each model to identify the most optimum model for forecasting the price of rubber.The findings showed that GWO with RBFNN-kSAT represents the most accurate and efficient model compared with ABC with RBFNNkSAT and PSO with RBFNN-kSAT in forecasting the price of rubber.The GWO with RBFNN-kSAT obtained the greatest average accuracy(92%),with a better correlation coefficient R=0.983871 than ABC with RBFNN-kSAT and PSO with RBFNN-kSAT.Furthermore,the empirical results of this study provided several directions for policymakers to make the right decision in terms of devising proper measures in the industry to address frequent price changes so that the Malaysian rubber industry maintains dominance in the international markets.

Swarm-Based Extreme Learning Machine Models for Global Optimization

Extreme Learning Machine(ELM)is popular in batch learning,sequential learning,and progressive learning,due to its speed,easy integration,and generalization ability.While,Traditional ELM cannot train massive data rapidly and efficiently due to its memory residence,high time and space complexity.In ELM,the hidden layer typically necessitates a huge number of nodes.Furthermore,there is no certainty that the arrangement of weights and biases within the hidden layer is optimal.To solve this problem,the traditional ELM has been hybridized with swarm intelligence optimization techniques.This paper displays five proposed hybrid Algorithms“Salp Swarm Algorithm(SSA-ELM),Grasshopper Algorithm(GOA-ELM),Grey Wolf Algorithm(GWO-ELM),Whale optimizationAlgorithm(WOA-ELM)andMoth Flame Optimization(MFO-ELM)”.These five optimizers are hybridized with standard ELM methodology for resolving the tumor type classification using gene expression data.The proposed models applied to the predication of electricity loading data,that describes the energy use of a single residence over a fouryear period.In the hidden layer,Swarm algorithms are used to pick a smaller number of nodes to speed up the execution of ELM.The best weights and preferences were calculated by these algorithms for the hidden layer.Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed MFO-ELM achieved 98.13%accuracy and this is the highest model in accuracy in tumor type classification gene expression data.While in predication,the proposed GOA-ELM achieved 0.397which is least RMSE compared to the other models.

Multi-objective optimization of crimping of large-diameter welding pipe

Crimping is widely adopted in the production of large-diameter submerged-arc welding pipes. Traditionally, designers obtain the technical parameters for crimping from experience or by trial and error through experiments and the finite element(FE) method. However, it is difficult to achieve ideal crimping quality by these approaches. To resolve this issue, crimping parameter design was investigated by multi-objective optimization. Crimping was simulated using the FE code ABAQUS and the FE model was validated experimentally. A welding pipe made of X80 high-strength pipeline steel was considered as a target object and the optimization problem for its crimping was formulated as a mathematical model and crimping was optimized. A response surface method based on the radial basis function was used to construct a surrogate model; the genetic algorithm NSGA-II was adopted to search for Pareto solutions; grey relational analysis was used to determine the most satisfactory solution from the Pareto solutions. The obtained optimal design of parameters shows good agreement with the initial design and remarkably improves the crimping quality. Thus, the results provide an effective approach for improving crimping quality and reducing design times.

Discrete Improved Grey Wolf Optimizer for Community Detection

Detecting communities in real and complex networks is a highly contested topic in network analysis.Although many metaheuristic-based algorithms for community detection have been proposed,they still cannot effectively fulfill large-scale and real-world networks.Thus,this paper presents a new discrete version of the Improved Grey Wolf Optimizer(I-GWO)algorithm named DI-GWOCD for effectively detecting communities of different networks.In the proposed DI-GWOCD algorithm,I-GWO is first armed using a local search strategy to discover and improve nodes placed in improper communities and increase its ability to search for a better solution.Then a novel Binary Distance Vector(BDV)is introduced to calculate the wolves’distances and adapt I-GWO for solving the discrete community detection problem.The performance of the proposed DI-GWOCD was evaluated in terms of modularity,NMI,and the number of detected communities conducted by some well-known real-world network datasets.The experimental results were compared with the state-of-the-art algorithms and statistically analyzed using the Friedman and Wilcoxon tests.The comparison and the statistical analysis show that the proposed DI-GWOCD can detect the communities with higher quality than other comparative algorithms.

Optimized Controller Gains Using Grey Wolf Algorithm for Grid Tied Solar Power Generation with Improved Dynamics and Power Quality

This study proposes a control algorithm based on synchronous reference frame theory with unit templates instead of a phase locked loop for grid-connected photovoltaic(PV)solar system,comprising solar PV panels,DC-DC converter,controller for maximum power point tracking,resistance capacitance ripple filter,insulated-gate bipolar transistor based controller,interfacing inductor,linear and nonlinear loads.The dynamic performance of the grid connected solar system depends on the effect operation of the control algorithm,comprising two proportional-integral controllers.These controllers estimate the reference solar-grid currents,which in turn generate pulses for the three-leg voltage source converter.The grey wolf optimization algorithm is used to optimize the controller gains of the proportional-integral controllers,resulting in excellent performance compared to that of existing optimization algorithms.The compensation for neutral current is provided by a star-delta transformer(non-isolated),and the proposed solar PV grid system provides zero voltage regulation and eliminates harmonics,in addition to load balancing.Maximum power extraction from the solar panel is achieved using the incremental conductance algorithm for the DC-DC converter supplying solar power to the DC bus capacitor,which in turn supplies this power to the grid with improved dynamics and quality.The solar system along with the control algorithm and controller is modeled using Simulink in Matlab 2019.

Bio-inspired Hybrid Feature Selection Model for Intrusion Detection

Intrusion detection is a serious and complex problem.Undoubtedly due to a large number of attacks around the world,the concept of intrusion detection has become very important.This research proposes a multilayer bioinspired feature selection model for intrusion detection using an optimized genetic algorithm.Furthermore,the proposed multilayer model consists of two layers(layers 1 and 2).At layer 1,three algorithms are used for the feature selection.The algorithms used are Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO),Grey Wolf Optimization(GWO),and Firefly Optimization Algorithm(FFA).At the end of layer 1,a priority value will be assigned for each feature set.At layer 2 of the proposed model,the Optimized Genetic Algorithm(GA)is used to select one feature set based on the priority value.Modifications are done on standard GA to perform optimization and to fit the proposed model.The Optimized GA is used in the training phase to assign a priority value for each feature set.Also,the priority values are categorized into three categories:high,medium,and low.Besides,the Optimized GA is used in the testing phase to select a feature set based on its priority.The feature set with a high priority will be given a high priority to be selected.At the end of phase 2,an update for feature set priority may occur based on the selected features priority and the calculated F-Measures.The proposed model can learn and modify feature sets priority,which will be reflected in selecting features.For evaluation purposes,two well-known datasets are used in these experiments.The first dataset is UNSW-NB15,the other dataset is the NSL-KDD.Several evaluation criteria are used,such as precision,recall,and F-Measure.The experiments in this research suggest that the proposed model has a powerful and promising mechanism for the intrusion detection system.

Adaptive coordination control strategy of renewable energy sources,hydrogen production unit,and fuel celi for frequency regulation of a hybrid distributed power system

Owing to the significant number of hybrid generation systems(HGSs)containing various energy sources,coordina-tion between these sources plays a vital role in preserving frequency stability.In this paper,an adaptive coordination control strategy for renewable energy sources(RESs),an aqua electrolyzer(AE)for hydrogen production,and a fuel cell(FC)-based energy storage system(ESS)is proposed to enhance the frequency stability of an HGS.In the proposed system,the excess energy from RESs is used to power electrolysis via an AE for hydrogen energy storage in FCs.The proposed method is based on a proportional-integral(Pl)controller,which is optimally designed using a grey wolf optimization(GWO)algorithm to estimate the surplus energy from RESs(ie,a proportion of total power generation of RESs:Kn).The studied HGS contains various types of generation systems including a diesel generator,wind tur-bines,photovoltaic(PV)systems,AE with FCs,and ESSs(e.g.,battery and flywheel).The proposed method varies Kn with varying frequency deviation values to obtain the best benefits from RESs,while damping the frequency fluc-tuations.The proposed method is validated by considering different loading conditions and comparing with other existing studies that consider Kn as a constant value.The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method,which changes Kn value and subsequently stores the power extracted from the RESs in hydrogen energy storage according to frequency deviation changes,performs better than those that use constant Kn.The statistical analysis for frequency deviation of HGS with the proposed method has the best values and achieves large improvements for minimum,maximum,difference between maximum and minimum,mean,and standard deviation compared to the existing method.

A hybrid machine learning model to estimate self-compacting concrete compressive strength

This study examined the feasibility of using the grey wolf optimizer(GWO)and artificial neural network(ANN)to predict the compressive strength(CS)of self-compacting concrete(SCC).The ANN-GWO model was created using 115 samples from different sources,taking into account nine key SCC factors.The validation of the proposed model was evaluated via six indices,including correlation coefficient(R),mean squared error,mean absolute error(MAE),IA,Slope,and mean absolute percentage error.In addition,the importance of the parameters affecting the CS of SCC was investigated utilizing partial dependence plots.The results proved that the proposed ANN-GWO algorithm is a reliable predictor for SCC’s CS.Following that,an examination of the parameters impacting the CS of SCC was provided.