Cloud base height(CBH) is a crucial parameter for cloud radiative effect estimates, climate change simulations, and aviation guidance. However, due to the limited information on cloud vertical structures included in p...Cloud base height(CBH) is a crucial parameter for cloud radiative effect estimates, climate change simulations, and aviation guidance. However, due to the limited information on cloud vertical structures included in passive satellite radiometer observations, few operational satellite CBH products are currently available. This study presents a new method for retrieving CBH from satellite radiometers. The method first uses the combined measurements of satellite radiometers and ground-based cloud radars to develop a lookup table(LUT) of effective cloud water content(ECWC), representing the vertically varying cloud water content. This LUT allows for the conversion of cloud water path to cloud geometric thickness(CGT), enabling the estimation of CBH as the difference between cloud top height and CGT. Detailed comparative analysis of CBH estimates from the state-of-the-art ECWC LUT are conducted against four ground-based millimeter-wave cloud radar(MMCR) measurements, and results show that the mean bias(correlation coefficient) is0.18±1.79 km(0.73), which is lower(higher) than 0.23±2.11 km(0.67) as derived from the combined measurements of satellite radiometers and satellite radar-lidar(i.e., Cloud Sat and CALIPSO). Furthermore, the percentages of the CBH biases within 250 m increase by 5% to 10%, which varies by location. This indicates that the CBH estimates from our algorithm are more consistent with ground-based MMCR measurements. Therefore, this algorithm shows great potential for further improvement of the CBH retrievals as ground-based MMCR are being increasingly included in global surface meteorological observing networks, and the improved CBH retrievals will contribute to better cloud radiative effect estimates.展开更多
Data from in situ probes and a vertically-pointing ram-wave Doppler radar aboard a research aircraft are used to study the cloud microphysical effect of glaciogenic seeding of cold-season orographic clouds. A previous...Data from in situ probes and a vertically-pointing ram-wave Doppler radar aboard a research aircraft are used to study the cloud microphysical effect of glaciogenic seeding of cold-season orographic clouds. A previous study (Geerts et al., 2010) has shown that radar reflectivity tends to be higher during seeding periods in a shallow layer above the ground downwind of ground-based silver iodide (AgI) nuclei generators. This finding is based on seven flights, conducted over a mountain in Wyoming (the Unites States), each with a no-seeding period followed by a seeding period. In order to assess this impact, geographically fixed flight tracks were flown over a target mountain, both upwind and downwind of the AgI generators. This paper examines data from the same flights for further evidence of the cloud seeding impact. Com- posite radar data show that the low-level reflectivity increase is best defined upwind of the mountain crest and downwind of the point where the cloud base intersects the terrain. The main argument that this increase can be attributed to AgI seeding is that it is confined to a shallow layer near the ground where the flow is turbulent. Yet during two flights when clouds were cumuliform and coherent updrafts to flight level were recorded by the radar, the seeding impact was evident in the flight-level updrafts (about 610 m above the mountain peak) as a significant increase in the ice crystal appears short-lived as it is not apparent just downwind of concentration in all size bins. The seeding effect the crest.展开更多
This study investigates the cloud macro-and micro-physical characteristics in the convective and stratiform regions and their different responses to the seeding for mixed convective-stratiform clouds that occurred in ...This study investigates the cloud macro-and micro-physical characteristics in the convective and stratiform regions and their different responses to the seeding for mixed convective-stratiform clouds that occurred in Shandong province on 21 May 2018,based on the observations from the aircraft,the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership(NPP)satellite,and the high-resolution Himawari-8(H8)satellite.The aircraft observations show that convection was deeper and radar echoes were significantly enhanced with higher tops in response to seeding in the convective region.This is linked with the conversion of supercooled liquid droplets to ice crystals with released latent heat,resulting in strengthened updrafts,enhanced radar echoes,higher cloud tops,and more and larger precipitation particles.In contrast,in the stratiform cloud region,after the Silver Iodide(AgI)seeding,the radar echoes become significantly weaker at heights close to the seeding layer,with the echo tops lowered by 1.4–1.7 km.In addition,a hollow structure appears at the height of 6.2–7.8 km with a depth of about 1.6 km and a diameter of about 5.5 km,and features such as icing seeding tracks appear.These suggest that the transformation between droplets and ice particles was accelerated by the seeding in the stratiform part.The NPP and H8 satellites also show that convective activity was stronger in the convective region after seeding;while in the stratiform region,a cloud seeding track with a width of 1–3 km appears 10 km downstream of the seeding layer 15 minutes after the AgI seeding,which moves along the wind direction as width increases.展开更多
The snow enhancement experiments, carried out by injecting AgI and water vapor into orographically enhanced clouds (fog), have been conducted to confirm Li and Pitter's forced condensation process in a natural situ...The snow enhancement experiments, carried out by injecting AgI and water vapor into orographically enhanced clouds (fog), have been conducted to confirm Li and Pitter's forced condensation process in a natural situation. Nine ground-based experiments have been conducted at Daegwallyeong in the Taebaek Mountains for the easterly foggy days from January-February 2006. We then obtained the optimized conditions for the Daegwallyeong region as follows: the small seeding rate (1.04 g min-1) of AgI for the easterly cold fog with the high humidity of Gangneung. Additional experiments are needed to statistically estimate the snowfall increment caused by the small AgI seeding into the orographical fog (cloud) over the Taeback Mountains.展开更多
A 2D axisymmetric bin model is used to conduct idealized numerical experiments of cloud seeding.The simulations are performed for two clouds that differ in their initial wind shear.Results show that,although cloud see...A 2D axisymmetric bin model is used to conduct idealized numerical experiments of cloud seeding.The simulations are performed for two clouds that differ in their initial wind shear.Results show that,although cloud seeding with an ice concentration of 1000 Lin a regime that has relatively high supercooled liquid water can obtain a positive effect,the rainfall enhancement seems more pronounced when the cloud develops in a wind shear environment.In no-shear environment,the change in the microphysical thermodynamic field after seeding shows that,although more graupel is produced via riming and this can increase the surface rainfall intensity,the larger drag force and cooling of melting graupel is unfavorable for the development of cloud.On the contrary,when the cloud develops in a wind shear environment,since the main downdraft is behind the direction of movement of the cloud,its negative effect on precipitation is much weaker.展开更多
Using the radar reflectivity and intensive rainfall data, artificial seeding effects of convective clouds in Beijing on 8 August 2008, the opening day of the 29th Summer Olympics, were analyzed. The results indicate t...Using the radar reflectivity and intensive rainfall data, artificial seeding effects of convective clouds in Beijing on 8 August 2008, the opening day of the 29th Summer Olympics, were analyzed. The results indicate that, cloud seeding at single operation site for convective clouds invading from southwest direction may sharply mitigate the rainfall observed at leeward automatic weather stations within 5 - 10 min, while enhances the precipitation at a later stage about 10 - 20 min. Cloud seeding effects of operation sites Yuegezhuangxi, Changgouzhen, and Zhoukou, which are placed along the main moving routes or localized developing convective clouds in the west and center parts of Fangshan district, are very conspicuous. Combining the operation sites distribution and radar echoes, it is found that the site Changgouzhen, which is very close to the convective core, plays an essential role in suppressing the growth of convective cloud, reducing the coverage area of intense echoes classified as 45 - 60 dBZ, as well as mitigating the precipitation from neighboring automatic weather stations. Based on radar reflectivity and rainfall data, we find that the clouds over lots of operation sites in eastern Fangshan district are not cold enough to favor glaciogenic seeding with silver iodide, meanwhile, there is not too much precipitation observed.展开更多
In this research, the result of the cloud seeding over Yazd province during three months of February, March and April in 1999 has been evaluated using the historical regression method. Hereupon, the rain-gages in Yazd...In this research, the result of the cloud seeding over Yazd province during three months of February, March and April in 1999 has been evaluated using the historical regression method. Hereupon, the rain-gages in Yazd province as the target stations and the rain-gages of the neighboring provinces as the control stations have been selected. The rainfall averages for the three aforementioned months through 25 years (1973-1997) in all control and target stations have been calculated. In the next step, the correlations between the rainfalls of control and target stations have been estimated about 75%, which indicates a good consistency in order to use the historical regression. Then, through the obtained liner correlation equation between the control and target stations the precipitation amount for February, March and April in 1999, over the target region (Yazd province) was estimated about 27.57 mm, whiles the observed amount was 34.23 mm. In fact the precipitation increasing around 19.5% over Yazd province confirmed the success of this cloud seeding project.展开更多
Objective and accurate classification model or method of cloud image is a prerequisite for accurate weather monitoring and forecast.Thus safety of aircraft taking off and landing and air flight can be guaranteed.Thres...Objective and accurate classification model or method of cloud image is a prerequisite for accurate weather monitoring and forecast.Thus safety of aircraft taking off and landing and air flight can be guaranteed.Thresholding is a kind of simple and effective method of cloud classification.It can realize automated ground-based cloud detection and cloudage observation.The existing segmentation methods based on fixed threshold and single threshold cannot achieve good segmentation effect.Thus it is difficult to obtain the accurate result of cloud detection and cloudage observation.In view of the above-mentioned problems,multi-thresholding methods of ground-based cloud based on exponential entropy/exponential gray entropy and uniform searching particle swarm optimization(UPSO)are proposed.Exponential entropy and exponential gray entropy make up for the defects of undefined value and zero value in Shannon entropy.In addition,exponential gray entropy reflects the relative uniformity of gray levels within the cloud cluster and background cluster.Cloud regions and background regions of different gray level ranges can be distinguished more precisely using the multi-thresholding strategy.In order to reduce computational complexity of original exhaustive algorithm for multi-threshold selection,the UPSO algorithm is adopted.It can find the optimal thresholds quickly and accurately.As a result,the real-time processing of segmentation of groundbased cloud image can be realized.The experimental results show that,in comparison with the existing groundbased cloud image segmentation methods and multi-thresholding method based on maximum Shannon entropy,the proposed methods can extract the boundary shape,textures and details feature of cloud more clearly.Therefore,the accuracies of cloudage detection and morphology classification for ground-based cloud are both improved.展开更多
In the seeding operations in order to mitigate the climatic changes or to intervene beneficently on the precipitations process, it is very important to know the roll of the critical radius size of the cloud drops form...In the seeding operations in order to mitigate the climatic changes or to intervene beneficently on the precipitations process, it is very important to know the roll of the critical radius size of the cloud drops formation and its posterior evolution. In the seeding operations programs, the fundament is to determinate the critical radius in order to obtain efficient results. So, it must consider (a) the critical radius size necessary in order to get the better results; (b) the atmospheric conditions that determine it. In order to get a methodology to calculate the critical radius in each atmospheric condition, the present work has been developed. And with them, it can estimate the nuclei size necessary in order to assure good seeding. The authors had obtained approximate values that were good enough to the goals.展开更多
Cloud seeding is a method of artificially causing clouds to produce precipitation (降水) in the form of rain or snow.Cloud seeding has also been used in attempts to modify the severity of hail slorms and hurricanes.Th...Cloud seeding is a method of artificially causing clouds to produce precipitation (降水) in the form of rain or snow.Cloud seeding has also been used in attempts to modify the severity of hail slorms and hurricanes.The effectiveness of cloud seeding remains controversial,but it continues to be used in some regions to try lo展开更多
The Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5) has been used to investigate the extra-area effects of silver iodide (AgI) seeding on stratiform clouds performed at the supercooled layer.A bulk two-moment m...The Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5) has been used to investigate the extra-area effects of silver iodide (AgI) seeding on stratiform clouds performed at the supercooled layer.A bulk two-moment microphysical scheme and the new software package for silver iodide are incorporated in MM5.Extra conservation equations are applied to trace the seeding agent,which is transported along the flow field and interacts with the supercooled cloud fields.In this study,the model was run using three nested grids,with 3.3 km × 3.3 km horizontal resolution in the finest grid.The model results showed that seeding with AgI at the 5 to 15℃ levels had microphysical effects on the simulated clouds and that the simulation produced a longer-lasting seeding effect because of the transport of the seeding agent by upper-level winds.Most of the AgI particles acted as deposition nuclei,and the deposition nucleation process contributed mostly to additional cloud ice formation in this study.The results showed that more precipitation results from seeded than unseeded case,and the precipitation was redistributed downwind of the target.Augmented precipitation (varying from 5% to 25% downwind) was confined in space to within 250 km of the seeding target and in time to the 3-h period after initial seeding.展开更多
In this research, one-dimensional stratiform a novel dual-model system, cold cloud model (1DSC) coupled to Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model (WRF-1DSC for short), was employed to investigate the effects ...In this research, one-dimensional stratiform a novel dual-model system, cold cloud model (1DSC) coupled to Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model (WRF-1DSC for short), was employed to investigate the effects of cloud seeding by silver iodide (AgI) on rain enhancement. Driven by changing environmental conditions extracted from the WRF model, WRF-1DSC could be used to assess the cloud seeding effects quantitatively. The employment of WRF- 1DSC, in place of a one-dimen- sional two-moment cloud seeding model applied to a three-dimensional mesoscale cloud-resolving model, was found to result in massive reduction of computational resources. Numerical experiments with WRF-1DSC were conducted for a real stratiform precipitation event ob- served on 4-5 July 2004, in Northeast China. A good agreement between the observed and modeled cloud system ensured the ability of WRF-1DSC to simulate the observed precipitation process efficiently. Sensitivity tests were performed with different seeding times, locations, and amounts. Experimental results showed that the optimum seeding effect (defined as the percentage of rain enhancement or rain enhancement rate) could be achieved through proper seeding at locations of maximum cloud water content when the updraft was strong. The optimum seeding effect was found to increase by 5.61% when the cloud was seeded at 5.5 km above ground level around 2300 UTC 4 July 2004, with the maximum AgI mixing ratio (As) equaling 15 ng kg-1. On the other hand, for an overseeded cloud, a significant reduction occurred in the accumulated precipitation (-12.42%) as Xs reached 100 ng kg^-1. This study demonstrates the potential of WRF- 1DSC in determining the optimal AgI seeding strategy in practical operations of precipitation enhancement.展开更多
In this paper,the data of continuous atmospheric vertical integral vapour and liquid water content during April-June of 1992-1994 obtained by a ground-based dual-channel microwave radiometer are used to analyse the st...In this paper,the data of continuous atmospheric vertical integral vapour and liquid water content during April-June of 1992-1994 obtained by a ground-based dual-channel microwave radiometer are used to analyse the statistical characteristics of atmospheric vapour and liquid water content,and the relative distribution characteristics of vapour and liquid water content in cloudy atmosphere,the correlative relation of integral liquid water content L and ground precipitation intensity I.and precipitation transform rate of precipitation system.Finally,the weather modification condition of precipitus stratiform clouds and seeding potential is analyzed and discussed.展开更多
目前人工增雨催化数值模拟研究较少考虑环境场误差对模拟效果的影响,结论往往具有很大的不确定性。有鉴于此,本文将初始场扰动集合预报技术与包含催化模块的柱状云模式进行单向耦合(One Way Coupling),利用中尺度模式所提供包含环境场...目前人工增雨催化数值模拟研究较少考虑环境场误差对模拟效果的影响,结论往往具有很大的不确定性。有鉴于此,本文将初始场扰动集合预报技术与包含催化模块的柱状云模式进行单向耦合(One Way Coupling),利用中尺度模式所提供包含环境场扰动误差的多组热力、微物理量廓线实时驱动柱状云模式,对2022年1月23日浙江省积层混合云降水过程进行多成员、单/多格点AgI催化数值试验,尝试从概率的角度探讨最佳播撒方案以及对应的增雨潜力。从单站(杭州站)的模拟效果来看,23日15:00(协调世界时)在3.6 km高度(−5.2℃)处使用AgI(碘化银催化剂量为1.2×10^(−7)~1.2×10^(−4)g kg^(−1))播撒时所有集合成员均能够取得正增雨效果,其中采用1.2×10^(−5)g kg^(−1)剂量时增雨率最大,所有成员的均值为4.67%,99%分位数为7.77%。在单点模拟中,初始场扰动对于过量播撒是否导致减雨的判断有很大影响,例如,播撒剂量增加至1.2×10^(−2)g kg^(−1)后,超过50%的集合成员表现为减雨效果,但仍然有部分成员表现为增雨。针对这次过程,多格点催化试验表明增雨效果发生概率最优的区域位于浙西北和浙北北部区域,尤其在嘉兴东北部和临安附近,从概率预报的角度来说也往往对应着相对较高的平均过冷水含量和较低的冰晶数浓度均值。展开更多
利用耦合了碘化银催化过程的WRF(Weather Research and Forecast)模式,对2014年8月16日南京青奥会开幕式当天实施的人工催化作业开展数值模拟,评估催化效果并通过敏感性数值试验调查低空环境干层对催化效果的影响。结果表明,催化作业产...利用耦合了碘化银催化过程的WRF(Weather Research and Forecast)模式,对2014年8月16日南京青奥会开幕式当天实施的人工催化作业开展数值模拟,评估催化效果并通过敏感性数值试验调查低空环境干层对催化效果的影响。结果表明,催化作业产生了减雨效果,低空干区的存在是影响催化效果的关键。当低空存在深厚的相对湿度很小的干层时,催化导致减雨效果;当增加低层的相对湿度即弱化低空干层,催化减雨效果减弱甚至出现增雨效果。催化增强了雪的形成过程但减弱了雪的增长过程尤其是凝华增长,导致雪粒子浓度增加但粒径减小,融化产生更多的小雨滴增强了蒸发过程,最终导致地面降水减少。展开更多
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 42305150 and 42325501)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2023M741774)。
文摘Cloud base height(CBH) is a crucial parameter for cloud radiative effect estimates, climate change simulations, and aviation guidance. However, due to the limited information on cloud vertical structures included in passive satellite radiometer observations, few operational satellite CBH products are currently available. This study presents a new method for retrieving CBH from satellite radiometers. The method first uses the combined measurements of satellite radiometers and ground-based cloud radars to develop a lookup table(LUT) of effective cloud water content(ECWC), representing the vertically varying cloud water content. This LUT allows for the conversion of cloud water path to cloud geometric thickness(CGT), enabling the estimation of CBH as the difference between cloud top height and CGT. Detailed comparative analysis of CBH estimates from the state-of-the-art ECWC LUT are conducted against four ground-based millimeter-wave cloud radar(MMCR) measurements, and results show that the mean bias(correlation coefficient) is0.18±1.79 km(0.73), which is lower(higher) than 0.23±2.11 km(0.67) as derived from the combined measurements of satellite radiometers and satellite radar-lidar(i.e., Cloud Sat and CALIPSO). Furthermore, the percentages of the CBH biases within 250 m increase by 5% to 10%, which varies by location. This indicates that the CBH estimates from our algorithm are more consistent with ground-based MMCR measurements. Therefore, this algorithm shows great potential for further improvement of the CBH retrievals as ground-based MMCR are being increasingly included in global surface meteorological observing networks, and the improved CBH retrievals will contribute to better cloud radiative effect estimates.
基金supported by the WWMPP, which is funded by the State of Wyomingfunded by the National Science Foundation grant AGS-1058426Dr. MIAO Qun is partially sponsored by K.C.Wong Magna Fund in Ningbo University
文摘Data from in situ probes and a vertically-pointing ram-wave Doppler radar aboard a research aircraft are used to study the cloud microphysical effect of glaciogenic seeding of cold-season orographic clouds. A previous study (Geerts et al., 2010) has shown that radar reflectivity tends to be higher during seeding periods in a shallow layer above the ground downwind of ground-based silver iodide (AgI) nuclei generators. This finding is based on seven flights, conducted over a mountain in Wyoming (the Unites States), each with a no-seeding period followed by a seeding period. In order to assess this impact, geographically fixed flight tracks were flown over a target mountain, both upwind and downwind of the AgI generators. This paper examines data from the same flights for further evidence of the cloud seeding impact. Com- posite radar data show that the low-level reflectivity increase is best defined upwind of the mountain crest and downwind of the point where the cloud base intersects the terrain. The main argument that this increase can be attributed to AgI seeding is that it is confined to a shallow layer near the ground where the flow is turbulent. Yet during two flights when clouds were cumuliform and coherent updrafts to flight level were recorded by the radar, the seeding impact was evident in the flight-level updrafts (about 610 m above the mountain peak) as a significant increase in the ice crystal appears short-lived as it is not apparent just downwind of concentration in all size bins. The seeding effect the crest.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Project(Grant No.2019YFA0606803,2016YFA0601704)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41925022)+1 种基金the Innovation and Development Project of China Meteorological Administration(CXFZ2022J036)the Science and Technology Development Fund of Hubei Meteorological Bureau(Grant No.2017Y06,2017Y07,2016Y06,2019Y10).
文摘This study investigates the cloud macro-and micro-physical characteristics in the convective and stratiform regions and their different responses to the seeding for mixed convective-stratiform clouds that occurred in Shandong province on 21 May 2018,based on the observations from the aircraft,the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership(NPP)satellite,and the high-resolution Himawari-8(H8)satellite.The aircraft observations show that convection was deeper and radar echoes were significantly enhanced with higher tops in response to seeding in the convective region.This is linked with the conversion of supercooled liquid droplets to ice crystals with released latent heat,resulting in strengthened updrafts,enhanced radar echoes,higher cloud tops,and more and larger precipitation particles.In contrast,in the stratiform cloud region,after the Silver Iodide(AgI)seeding,the radar echoes become significantly weaker at heights close to the seeding layer,with the echo tops lowered by 1.4–1.7 km.In addition,a hollow structure appears at the height of 6.2–7.8 km with a depth of about 1.6 km and a diameter of about 5.5 km,and features such as icing seeding tracks appear.These suggest that the transformation between droplets and ice particles was accelerated by the seeding in the stratiform part.The NPP and H8 satellites also show that convective activity was stronger in the convective region after seeding;while in the stratiform region,a cloud seeding track with a width of 1–3 km appears 10 km downstream of the seeding layer 15 minutes after the AgI seeding,which moves along the wind direction as width increases.
基金supported by the Korea Science and Engineering Foundation (KOSEF)grant funded by the Korea government (MOST) R01-2006-000-10470-0 and R01-2006-000-11233-0 from the Basic Research Program of the Korea Science & Engineering Foundationby "Maintenance and Research of Cloud Phys-ical Observation System" and "Research for the Meteo-rological Observation Technology and its Application" ofMETRI, KMA project.
文摘The snow enhancement experiments, carried out by injecting AgI and water vapor into orographically enhanced clouds (fog), have been conducted to confirm Li and Pitter's forced condensation process in a natural situation. Nine ground-based experiments have been conducted at Daegwallyeong in the Taebaek Mountains for the easterly foggy days from January-February 2006. We then obtained the optimized conditions for the Daegwallyeong region as follows: the small seeding rate (1.04 g min-1) of AgI for the easterly cold fog with the high humidity of Gangneung. Additional experiments are needed to statistically estimate the snowfall increment caused by the small AgI seeding into the orographical fog (cloud) over the Taeback Mountains.
基金This study was jointly supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China[grant number 2018YFC1507900]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 41875172 and 42075192].
文摘A 2D axisymmetric bin model is used to conduct idealized numerical experiments of cloud seeding.The simulations are performed for two clouds that differ in their initial wind shear.Results show that,although cloud seeding with an ice concentration of 1000 Lin a regime that has relatively high supercooled liquid water can obtain a positive effect,the rainfall enhancement seems more pronounced when the cloud develops in a wind shear environment.In no-shear environment,the change in the microphysical thermodynamic field after seeding shows that,although more graupel is produced via riming and this can increase the surface rainfall intensity,the larger drag force and cooling of melting graupel is unfavorable for the development of cloud.On the contrary,when the cloud develops in a wind shear environment,since the main downdraft is behind the direction of movement of the cloud,its negative effect on precipitation is much weaker.
文摘Using the radar reflectivity and intensive rainfall data, artificial seeding effects of convective clouds in Beijing on 8 August 2008, the opening day of the 29th Summer Olympics, were analyzed. The results indicate that, cloud seeding at single operation site for convective clouds invading from southwest direction may sharply mitigate the rainfall observed at leeward automatic weather stations within 5 - 10 min, while enhances the precipitation at a later stage about 10 - 20 min. Cloud seeding effects of operation sites Yuegezhuangxi, Changgouzhen, and Zhoukou, which are placed along the main moving routes or localized developing convective clouds in the west and center parts of Fangshan district, are very conspicuous. Combining the operation sites distribution and radar echoes, it is found that the site Changgouzhen, which is very close to the convective core, plays an essential role in suppressing the growth of convective cloud, reducing the coverage area of intense echoes classified as 45 - 60 dBZ, as well as mitigating the precipitation from neighboring automatic weather stations. Based on radar reflectivity and rainfall data, we find that the clouds over lots of operation sites in eastern Fangshan district are not cold enough to favor glaciogenic seeding with silver iodide, meanwhile, there is not too much precipitation observed.
文摘In this research, the result of the cloud seeding over Yazd province during three months of February, March and April in 1999 has been evaluated using the historical regression method. Hereupon, the rain-gages in Yazd province as the target stations and the rain-gages of the neighboring provinces as the control stations have been selected. The rainfall averages for the three aforementioned months through 25 years (1973-1997) in all control and target stations have been calculated. In the next step, the correlations between the rainfalls of control and target stations have been estimated about 75%, which indicates a good consistency in order to use the historical regression. Then, through the obtained liner correlation equation between the control and target stations the precipitation amount for February, March and April in 1999, over the target region (Yazd province) was estimated about 27.57 mm, whiles the observed amount was 34.23 mm. In fact the precipitation increasing around 19.5% over Yazd province confirmed the success of this cloud seeding project.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(60872065)the Open Foundation of Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education at Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(KLME1108)the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions
文摘Objective and accurate classification model or method of cloud image is a prerequisite for accurate weather monitoring and forecast.Thus safety of aircraft taking off and landing and air flight can be guaranteed.Thresholding is a kind of simple and effective method of cloud classification.It can realize automated ground-based cloud detection and cloudage observation.The existing segmentation methods based on fixed threshold and single threshold cannot achieve good segmentation effect.Thus it is difficult to obtain the accurate result of cloud detection and cloudage observation.In view of the above-mentioned problems,multi-thresholding methods of ground-based cloud based on exponential entropy/exponential gray entropy and uniform searching particle swarm optimization(UPSO)are proposed.Exponential entropy and exponential gray entropy make up for the defects of undefined value and zero value in Shannon entropy.In addition,exponential gray entropy reflects the relative uniformity of gray levels within the cloud cluster and background cluster.Cloud regions and background regions of different gray level ranges can be distinguished more precisely using the multi-thresholding strategy.In order to reduce computational complexity of original exhaustive algorithm for multi-threshold selection,the UPSO algorithm is adopted.It can find the optimal thresholds quickly and accurately.As a result,the real-time processing of segmentation of groundbased cloud image can be realized.The experimental results show that,in comparison with the existing groundbased cloud image segmentation methods and multi-thresholding method based on maximum Shannon entropy,the proposed methods can extract the boundary shape,textures and details feature of cloud more clearly.Therefore,the accuracies of cloudage detection and morphology classification for ground-based cloud are both improved.
文摘In the seeding operations in order to mitigate the climatic changes or to intervene beneficently on the precipitations process, it is very important to know the roll of the critical radius size of the cloud drops formation and its posterior evolution. In the seeding operations programs, the fundament is to determinate the critical radius in order to obtain efficient results. So, it must consider (a) the critical radius size necessary in order to get the better results; (b) the atmospheric conditions that determine it. In order to get a methodology to calculate the critical radius in each atmospheric condition, the present work has been developed. And with them, it can estimate the nuclei size necessary in order to assure good seeding. The authors had obtained approximate values that were good enough to the goals.
文摘Cloud seeding is a method of artificially causing clouds to produce precipitation (降水) in the form of rain or snow.Cloud seeding has also been used in attempts to modify the severity of hail slorms and hurricanes.The effectiveness of cloud seeding remains controversial,but it continues to be used in some regions to try lo
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40805056)the National Key Technologies R&D Program of China (Grant No. 2006BAC12B00)
文摘The Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5) has been used to investigate the extra-area effects of silver iodide (AgI) seeding on stratiform clouds performed at the supercooled layer.A bulk two-moment microphysical scheme and the new software package for silver iodide are incorporated in MM5.Extra conservation equations are applied to trace the seeding agent,which is transported along the flow field and interacts with the supercooled cloud fields.In this study,the model was run using three nested grids,with 3.3 km × 3.3 km horizontal resolution in the finest grid.The model results showed that seeding with AgI at the 5 to 15℃ levels had microphysical effects on the simulated clouds and that the simulation produced a longer-lasting seeding effect because of the transport of the seeding agent by upper-level winds.Most of the AgI particles acted as deposition nuclei,and the deposition nucleation process contributed mostly to additional cloud ice formation in this study.The results showed that more precipitation results from seeded than unseeded case,and the precipitation was redistributed downwind of the target.Augmented precipitation (varying from 5% to 25% downwind) was confined in space to within 250 km of the seeding target and in time to the 3-h period after initial seeding.
基金supported by the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KZCX2-EW-203)the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No.2013CB430105)the National Department Public Benefit Research Foundation (Grant No.GYHY201006031)
文摘In this research, one-dimensional stratiform a novel dual-model system, cold cloud model (1DSC) coupled to Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model (WRF-1DSC for short), was employed to investigate the effects of cloud seeding by silver iodide (AgI) on rain enhancement. Driven by changing environmental conditions extracted from the WRF model, WRF-1DSC could be used to assess the cloud seeding effects quantitatively. The employment of WRF- 1DSC, in place of a one-dimen- sional two-moment cloud seeding model applied to a three-dimensional mesoscale cloud-resolving model, was found to result in massive reduction of computational resources. Numerical experiments with WRF-1DSC were conducted for a real stratiform precipitation event ob- served on 4-5 July 2004, in Northeast China. A good agreement between the observed and modeled cloud system ensured the ability of WRF-1DSC to simulate the observed precipitation process efficiently. Sensitivity tests were performed with different seeding times, locations, and amounts. Experimental results showed that the optimum seeding effect (defined as the percentage of rain enhancement or rain enhancement rate) could be achieved through proper seeding at locations of maximum cloud water content when the updraft was strong. The optimum seeding effect was found to increase by 5.61% when the cloud was seeded at 5.5 km above ground level around 2300 UTC 4 July 2004, with the maximum AgI mixing ratio (As) equaling 15 ng kg-1. On the other hand, for an overseeded cloud, a significant reduction occurred in the accumulated precipitation (-12.42%) as Xs reached 100 ng kg^-1. This study demonstrates the potential of WRF- 1DSC in determining the optimal AgI seeding strategy in practical operations of precipitation enhancement.
基金Natural Science Foundation of China Meteorological AdministrationNatural Science Foundation of Hebei Province(493128).
文摘In this paper,the data of continuous atmospheric vertical integral vapour and liquid water content during April-June of 1992-1994 obtained by a ground-based dual-channel microwave radiometer are used to analyse the statistical characteristics of atmospheric vapour and liquid water content,and the relative distribution characteristics of vapour and liquid water content in cloudy atmosphere,the correlative relation of integral liquid water content L and ground precipitation intensity I.and precipitation transform rate of precipitation system.Finally,the weather modification condition of precipitus stratiform clouds and seeding potential is analyzed and discussed.
文摘利用耦合了碘化银催化过程的WRF(Weather Research and Forecast)模式,对2014年8月16日南京青奥会开幕式当天实施的人工催化作业开展数值模拟,评估催化效果并通过敏感性数值试验调查低空环境干层对催化效果的影响。结果表明,催化作业产生了减雨效果,低空干区的存在是影响催化效果的关键。当低空存在深厚的相对湿度很小的干层时,催化导致减雨效果;当增加低层的相对湿度即弱化低空干层,催化减雨效果减弱甚至出现增雨效果。催化增强了雪的形成过程但减弱了雪的增长过程尤其是凝华增长,导致雪粒子浓度增加但粒径减小,融化产生更多的小雨滴增强了蒸发过程,最终导致地面降水减少。