A New model to forecast fishing ground of Scomber japonicus in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea

The pelagic species is closely related to the marine environmental factors, and establishment of forecasting model of fishing ground with high accuracy is an important content for pelagic fishery. The chub mackerel（Scomber japonicus） in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea is an important fishing target for Chinese lighting purse seine fishery. Based on the fishery data from China＇s mainland large-type lighting purse seine fishery for chub mackerel during the period of 2003 to 2010 and the environmental data including sea surface temperature（SST）, gradient of the sea surface temperature（GSST）, sea surface height（SSH） and geostrophic velocity（GV）, we attempt to establish one new forecasting model of fishing ground based on boosted regression trees. In this study, the fishing areas with fishing effort is considered as one fishing ground, and the areas with no fishing ground are randomly selected from a background field, in which the fishing areas have no records in the logbooks. The performance of the forecasting model of fishing ground is evaluated with the testing data from the actual fishing data in 2011. The results show that the forecasting model of fishing ground has a high prediction performance, and the area under receiver operating curve（AUC） attains 0.897. The predicted fishing grounds are coincided with the actual fishing locations in 2011, and the movement route is also the same as the shift of fishing vessels, which indicates that this forecasting model based on the boosted regression trees can be used to effectively forecast the fishing ground of chub mackerel in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea.

Geo-Electric Models of Primorski Krai, Russia

Based on the electrical properties and structural-tectonic principles, several geo-electric models have been established for the hydrogeologic provinces in Primorski Krai. They are mainly two-layered near-horizontally-layered model with a high-resistivity underlying horizon, multiple-layered model with subhorizontal interfaces, model with an inclined interface and a pinching bed, and model with a local extended inclusion. And these models can provide good basin for searching for ground water in the region.

Modeling Tensile Strength of Concrete on Partial Replacement of Ce­ment and Sand with Quarry Dust Ground Granulated Blast Furnace and Slag Silica Fumes

Tensile strength of concrete were examined on its partial replacement of cement and sand using ground granulated blast furnace and quarry dust.The study examines its behaviour at different dimensions.This is to monitor the variation effect of these parameters on the growth rates of tensile to the optimum curing age.These include non linear conditions of tensile state,non-elastic and its brittle behaviour at all times as it express zero conditions in tension.This means that it has the ability to with stand pull force.It also reflects its weak ability to handle shear stress thus tends to cause deformation in material as it has poor elasticity.The reflection of its brittle influence the rate of tensile behaviour from concrete ductility.These are known to be a material on modern mechanics of concrete.These are also considered as quasi brittle material.This behaviour was reflected as the system considered evaluating the growth rate of tensile strength that replaced cement and sand with these locally sourced addictives.The developed model monitor other reflected influential parameters such as variation of concrete porosity due it compaction in placements,tensile behaviour reflects these effect that subject it to mechanical properties of concrete.The study expressed the reaction of these parameters in the simulation,the evaluation of these affected the details variation of tensile growth rate at different water cement ratios and curing age.The tensile behaviour that was monitored are based on these factors in the study.The derived model were validated with the a researcher results[24],and both parameters developed best fits correlation.The study is imperative because the system expressed the behaviour of tensile strength from concrete at different dimensions.Experts can applied these concept to monitor tensile behaviour considering these parameters in its growth rates.

Method of SLAS’s ground track manipulation based on tangential impulse thrust

Satellites with altitudes below 400 km are called super low altitude satellites(SLAS),often used to achieve responsive imaging tasks.Therefore,it is important for the manipulation of its ground track.Aiming at the problem of ground track manipulation of SLAS,a control method based on tangential impulse thrust is proposed.First,the equation of the longitude difference between SLAS and the target point on the target latitude is derived based on Gauss’s variational equations.On this basis,the influence of the tangential impulse thrust on the ground track’s longitude is derived.Finally,the method for ground track manipulation of SLAS under the tangential impulse thrust is proposed.The simulation results verify the effective-ness of the method,after manipulation,the satellite can visit the target point and revisit it for multiple days.

Theoretical investigation of interaction between a rectangular plate and fractional viscoelastic foundation

The interaction between plates and foundations is a typical problem encountered in geotechnical engineering. The long-term plate performance is highly dependent on the theological characteristics of ground soil. Compared with conventional linear theology, the fractional calculus-based theory is a more powerful mathematical tool that can address this issue. This paper proposes a fractional Merchant model （FMM） to investigate the time-dependent behavior of a simply supported rectangular plate on viscoelastic foundation. The correspondence principle involving Laplace transforms was employed to derive the closed-form solutions of plate response under uniformly distributed load. The plate deflection, bending moment, and foundation reaction calculated using the FMM were compared with the results obtained from the analogous elastic model （EM） and the standard Merchant model （SMM）. It is shown that the upper and lower bound solutions of the FMM can be determined using the EM. In addition, a parametric study was performed to examine the influences of the model parameters on the time- dependent behavior of the plate-foundation interaction problem. The results indicate that a small fractional differential order corresponds to a plate resting on a sandy soil foundation, while the fractional differential order value should be increased for a clayey soil foundation. The long-term performance of a foundation plate can be accurately simulated by varying the values of the fractional differential order and the viscosity coefficient. The observations from this study reveal that the proposed fractional model has the capability to capture the variation of plate deflection over many decades of time.

Study on Lightning Transient Ground Potential in the Chaoyang Mountain Wind Farm

In order to get the distribution characteristics of lightning transient ground potential of 100 MW wind farm in the Chaoyang Mountain,Jinzhai County,the characteristics of lightning parameters within 5 km of the wind farm were analyzed based on the lightning monitoring data from 2006 to 2020 provided by Anhui Meteorological Bureau.According to the on-site geological investigation,a double-ring ground network model was established to simulate the three-dimensional transient contact voltage and step voltage distribution of a typical wind fan was obtained through simulation.The results show that the average lightning current amplitude around the wind farm was 44 kA,instead of 10 kA in the current traditional simulation research,which is used as the excitation source for the subsequent simulation of lightning transient ground potential.The peak value of lightning transient contact voltage of the single wind turbine is 2158.35 V,and the peak value of lightning transient step voltage is 441.75 V.The simulation results can provide certain reference for subsequent lightning risk assessment,lightning scheme design and ground grid construction of wind farms.

Mapping Seismic Hazard for Canadian Sites Using Spatially Smoothed Seismicity Model

The estimated seismic hazard based on the delineated seismic source model is used as the basis to assign the seismic design loads in Canadian structural design codes.An alternative for the estimation is based on a spatially smoothed source model.However,a quantification of differences in the Canadian seismic hazard maps(CanSHMs)obtained based on the delineated seismic source model and spatially smoothed model is unavailable.The quantification is valuable to identify epistemic uncertainty in the estimated seismic hazard and the degree of uncertainty in the CanSHMs.In the present study,we developed seismic source models using spatial smoothing and historical earthquake catalogue.We quantified the differences in the estimated Canadian seismic hazard by considering the delineated source model and spatially smoothed source models.For the development of the spatially smoothed seismic source models,we considered spatial kernel smoothing techniques with or without adaptive bandwidth.The results indicate that the use of the delineated seismic source model could lead to under or over-estimation of the seismic hazard as compared to those estimated based on spatially smoothed seismic source models.This suggests that an epistemic uncertainty caused by the seismic source models should be considered to map the seismic hazard.

Study on Ground Deformation during Shield Tunnel Construction

Through the systematic analysis of the ground settlement generated by the process of shield tunneling,the relationships between ground deformation and construction parameters are studied in this paper.Based on the assumption of linear small deformation,a mathematical model of the relationship between ground deformation and construction parameters is set up.The principle and method of optimization for estimating ground deformation is studied.The actual measured data are compared with the results of theoretical analysis in a case.Considering different ground formations in different construction sites with different adverse effects on surface and underground structures,the ground surface deformations caused by shield tunneling is an aimed topic in this paper.The contributions and research implications are the revealed relationships between the ground deformation and the shield tunneling parameters during construction.

Analysis and modeling of on-chip transformers under two ground conditions

Two fabricated on-chip transformers under different ground conditions（i.e.,CG and IG types） have been measured to compare their different characteristics.With the aid of the electromagnetic（EM） solver,we have analyzed the differences from the electric and magnetic aspects,and different effects in these aspects can be described with the lumped capacitor and inductor from the perspective of the equivalent circuit model.A physicsbased equivalent circuit model is proposed to model transformers under different ground conditions.In addition, the simple parameter extraction procedure for the corresponding model is also provided.All the model parameters are extracted and agree with the analysis.In order to verify the model＇s validity and accuracy,we have compared the modeled and measured S-parameters,and an excellent agreement has been found over a broad frequency range.

Simulation of permafrost changes on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, China, over the past three decades

Permafrost is one of the largest elements of the terrestrial cryosphere and is extremely sensitive to climate change.Based on mean annual ground temperature(MAGT)data from 189 boreholes on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau(QTP),terrain factors,and climate data from China Meteorological Forcing Dataset,we propose a new mean annual ground air temperature(MAGAT)statistical model between meteorological parameters with subsurface temperatures to simulate permafrost distribution and variation of MAGT on the QTP over the past three decades(1981–2010).Validation of the model with MAGT data from 13 boreholes and permafrost maps of the QTP indicated that the MAGAT model is applicable to simulate the distribution and evolution of permafrost on the QTP.Simulation results show that the spatiotemporal MAGT of permafrost significantly increased by 0.37℃,or 0.25℃/10 yr,and the total area of permafrost decreased by 2.48×10^(5)km^(2) on the QTP over the past three decades.Regionally,the changes of permafrost in the southwestern QTP were greater than other regions of the QTP.