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Application of Time-Series Model to Predict Groundwater Dynamic in Sanjiang Plain, Northeast China
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作者 LUAN Zhaoqing LIU Guihua YAN Baixing 《湿地科学》 CSCD 2011年第1期47-51,共5页
To study the groundwater dynamic in the typical region of Sanjiang Plain, long-term groundwater level observation data in the Honghe State Farm were collected and analyzed in this paper. The seasonal and long-term gro... To study the groundwater dynamic in the typical region of Sanjiang Plain, long-term groundwater level observation data in the Honghe State Farm were collected and analyzed in this paper. The seasonal and long-term groundwater dynamic was explored. From 1996 to 2008, groundwater level kept declining due to intensive exploitation of groundwater resources for rice irrigation. A decline of nearly 5 m was found for almost all the monitoring wells. A time-series method was established to model the groundwater dynamic. Modeled results by time-series model showed that the groundwater level in this region would keep declining according to the current exploitation intensity. A total dropdown of 1.07 m would occur from 2009 to 2012. Time-series model can be used to model and forecast the groundwater dynamic with high accuracy. Measures including control on groundwater exploitation amount and application of water saving irrigation technique should be taken to prevent the continuing declining of groundwater in the Sanjiang Plain. 展开更多
关键词 groundwater dynamic long-term trend seasonal ARMA exponential model Sanjiang Plain
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Inexact dynamic optimization for groundwater remediation planning and risk assessment under uncertainty
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《Global Geology》 1998年第1期22-23,共2页
关键词 Inexact dynamic optimization for groundwater remediation planning and risk assessment under uncertainty
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