We are considering two initial-boundary value problems for Rayleigh-Benard convection in Oberbeck-Boussinesq approximation for incompressible fluid in 3D-rectangular domain with 4:4:1 geometric ratio with periodicity ...We are considering two initial-boundary value problems for Rayleigh-Benard convection in Oberbeck-Boussinesq approximation for incompressible fluid in 3D-rectangular domain with 4:4:1 geometric ratio with periodicity in two directions and cubic domain with 1:1:1 ratio and zero velocity and temperature gradient boundary conditions. For this purpose, we use two numerical method: one is a Pseudo-Spectral-Galerkin method with trigonometric-Chebyshev polynomials and the other is finite element/volume method with WENO interpolation for advection term. Numerical methods are presented shortly and are benchmarked against known DNS data and against one another (for quasi-periodic domain problem). Then we perform stability analysis using analytical expression for main stationary solutions and eigenvalue numerical analysis by applying Implicitly Restarted Arnoldi (IRA) method. The IRA is used to perform linear stability analysis, find bifurcations of stationary points and analyze eigenvalues of monodromy matrices. Thus characteristic exponents of the system for time periodic solutions (limited cycles of various periods and resonance invariant tori) are computed. We show, numerically, the existence of multistable rotes to chaos through chaotic fractal attractors, full Feigenbaum-Sharkovski cascades and multidimensional torus attractors (Landau-Hopf scenario). The existence of these attractors is shown through analysis of phase subspaces projections, Poincare sections and eigenvalue analysis of numerically computed DNS data. These attractors burst into chaos with the increase of Rayleigh number either through resonance and phase-locking or through emergence of singular chaotic attractors.展开更多
Based on the weather monitoring data,NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and Doppler weather radar data,the circulation background,atmospheric stability and changing characteristics of radar echoes of a large-scale hail weather...Based on the weather monitoring data,NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and Doppler weather radar data,the circulation background,atmospheric stability and changing characteristics of radar echoes of a large-scale hail weather process in Ulanqab City on July 5,2021 were analyzed.The results show that this hail weather process occurred in the summer afternoon of the hail-prone period in Ulanqab City,and was formed under the influence of upper trough and the circulation background of"two troughs and one ridge",which was conducive to the occurrence of strong convection weather.The low-level shear line provided the dynamic and water vapor conditions for the occurrence of the hail.In strong convection weather,water vapor was transported mainly from the Bay of Bengal,India and Nepal over the Himalayas.Before the occurrence of strong convection weather,water vapor transport increased significantly,and the low-level water vapor concentrated below 400 hPa,with obvious convergence and vertical transport.The characteristic parameters of radar echoes,such as combined reflectivity,vertically integrated liquid,and echo top height,increased significantly before and during the occurrence of hail,which had good indicative significance for the prediction and early warning of hail.展开更多
[Objective] The paper is to analyze physical quantities and radar parameter of hail shooting and heavy convective rainfall weather. [Method] Using radar data of Jinan station during 2002 and 2008, combined with soundi...[Objective] The paper is to analyze physical quantities and radar parameter of hail shooting and heavy convective rainfall weather. [Method] Using radar data of Jinan station during 2002 and 2008, combined with sounding data, the physical quantities and radar parameter of hail shooting and heavy convective rainfall weather are compared and analyzed. [Result] The smaller Sl is conducive to the generation of hail weather. When K〉 35 ~C, the probability for occurrence of heavy rainfall weather is significantly increased; when K〈20 ^(3, the probability for occurrence of heavy rainfall weather is significantly decreased. When CAPE value is greater than 1 500 J/KG, the probability for occurrence of hail weather is significantly decreased, while the probability for occurrence of heavy rainfall weather is significantly in- creased. The possibility for occurrence of hail monomer is small when the wind shear is less than 5 m/s; and it is large while wind shear is greater than 20 m/s. The radar forecasting indexes of hail monomer is as follows: VIL value reaches 35 kg/m2 (May), 43 kg/m2 (June and July), the monomer height is greater than 9 km, the maximum reflectivity factor is larger than 60 dBz, strong center height reaches 3.3 km (May), 4.3 km (June) and 5.5 km (July); VlL value of heavy rainfall monomer generally is below 25 kg/m2. [Conclusion] The paper provides basis form prediction of hail and heavy rainfall.展开更多
Based on the conventional observation data,satellite,radar,automatic observation and other refined monitoring data,the severe hail weather in Hohhot City on July 29,2015 was analyzed at multiple scales.The results sho...Based on the conventional observation data,satellite,radar,automatic observation and other refined monitoring data,the severe hail weather in Hohhot City on July 29,2015 was analyzed at multiple scales.The results showed that from the perspective of synoptic-scale system,high-altitude cold air invaded Mongol shortwave trough,and the North China small high pressure and the subtropical high formed a warm shear line;the surface convergence line triggered severe convection weather.Unstable vertical structure,continuous increase of low-level humidity,more drier of high altitudes and the wind direction shear at 180° triggered hailstorm and lightning weather in Hohhot.α-scale convective cloud clusters were maintained in Hohhot,and the ground "herringbone" shear line oscillated violently between the north and the south.Strong lightning and big hails appeared on the ground.The "herringbone" shear line lifted slowly to the north,and there was short-time heavy precipitation on the ground.Radar products showed "bow echo",and the echo had a hanging structure;a mesoscale cyclone was formed 3 km away from the ground.On the radar wind profile,it can be seen that low-layer warm advection and strong wind shear triggered strong hailstorm in Hohhot.The disappearance of low- level warm advection and the maintenance of strong vertical shear of wind produced short-time heavy precipitation.There was a small difference between short-time heavy precipitation and hail in echo top height,but the coverage was significantly reduced.In Hohhot City,vertically integrated liquid water content quickly increased during the hail,and decreased during the short-time heavy precipitation.展开更多
[Objective] The research aimed to study the meso-scale characteristics of a hail process in Linyi area. [Method] By comprehensively using MICAPS conventional observation data, automatic encryption ground station, MM5 ...[Objective] The research aimed to study the meso-scale characteristics of a hail process in Linyi area. [Method] By comprehensively using MICAPS conventional observation data, automatic encryption ground station, MM5 model product and Doppler weather radar data, a strong convective hail weather process which happened in Shandong Peninsula and southeast of Shandong on May 30, 2010 was analyzed. The circulation background and physical mechanism of strong convection weather occurrence, the features of meso- and micro-scale systems were discussed. Some occurrence and development rules of such weather were found. [Result] The strong convective weather was mainly affected by the cold vortex and translot. The high-altitude northwest airflow, low-level southwest airflow, dry and cold air at the high layer, warm and wet air at the low layer, forward-tilting trough caused the strong convective weather. The radar echo analysis showed that the radar echo in the process belonged to the typical multi-monomer windstorm echo, and the strong echo zone was in the forefront of echo. When the convection development was the strongest, the echo intensity reached 65 dBz, and the echo top height surpassed 11 km. As the development of windstorm monomer, the big-value zone of vertical liquid water content product had the jumping formation and disappearance. Moreover, there was obvious weak echo zone. The windstorm monomer moved to the southeast direction as the precipitation system. In the right front of monomer moving direction, there was hook echo feature. The evolution characteristics of radial speed field at the different elevation angles before and after the hail weather occurrence were analyzed. It was found that the radial speed field had some premonitory variations before the hail weather occurrence. Doppler radar product was used to improve the initial field of MM5 model, which could improve the forecast effect in the certain degree and the accuracy of short-time forecast and nowcasting. [Conclusion] The research accumulated the experience for the short-term forecast and nowcasting work of strong convective weather in future.展开更多
To better study occurrence and development mechanism and characteris-tics of strong convective weather in Weifang, reduce the harm brought by disastrous weather, such as gale and hail, extract available forecast index...To better study occurrence and development mechanism and characteris-tics of strong convective weather in Weifang, reduce the harm brought by disastrous weather, such as gale and hail, extract available forecast index for future strong convective weather forecast work in spring and summer, and improve forecast ac-curacy, diagnostic analysis of the strong convective weather process was conducted. By using conventional weather data for profile and sounding analysis, and combining short-term numerical forecast products for cause analysis, such as radar and satel-lite cloud chart, occurrence characteristics and type of such strong convective weather were obtained. Results showed that the important reason of the strong convective weather occurrence was high-altitude trough split out in eastward move-ment process of northeast cold vortex. In the afternoon of 2nd when hail occurred, temperature rise was obvious at low layer, and energy was sufficient. High-altitude trough with forward tilting structure made that dry cold air at high layer overlapped on warm wet air at lower layer, thereby causing stable stratification formation and triggering the occurrence of strong convective weather.展开更多
In the paper, numerical simulation is performed for Benard convection in a closed three-dimensional rectangle with non-slippery bound. Numerical results show that when Rayleigh number Ra<3.6×104, Benard convec...In the paper, numerical simulation is performed for Benard convection in a closed three-dimensional rectangle with non-slippery bound. Numerical results show that when Rayleigh number Ra<3.6×104, Benard convection is steady, and when Ra≥3.6×104 it is unsteady and irregular. The cross sections and correlation coefficients of various fields are studied, and it is found that the external correlation scales of flow decrease as Ra increases when Ra≥ 7.5×104. Moreover, statistical analyses show that the Taylor inner scales (λv,λθv and so on) also decrease as Ra increases, and that the changing rates of λv and λθv with height are very different to each other in the vicinity of upper and lower bounds. Furthermore, statistical analyses show that the computed Nusselt number Nu is close to the lower limit of many experimental values, and in the transient region of flow pattern d1gNu/d1gRa is relatively greater than that in other region. In addition, other statistical quantities of the fields of temperature, velocity and vorticity are also computed and discussed.展开更多
In the paper, a finite differential numerical model is proposed for Benard convection ina non-slippery closed rectangle. By this model, we have discussed the bifurcation character-istics of two-dimensional Benard conv...In the paper, a finite differential numerical model is proposed for Benard convection ina non-slippery closed rectangle. By this model, we have discussed the bifurcation character-istics of two-dimensional Benard convection when Prandtl number is 1. The computed re-sults show that if the Rayleigh number Ra≥1.75×10~5, the Benard convection is unsteady andirregular, and that in the transient region of flow pattern, the changing rate of the Nusseltnumber Nu to Ra, dlgNu/dlgRa, is rather smaller than that in the non-transient region.Moreover, in the paper, we have analysed the relation between the shrinking rate of thephase flow and each term in the governing equations of Benard convection. And further,we have developed a new method to calculate the pressure gradient.展开更多
In addition to the hierarchical-structure (H-S) model, this paper further explores the most intensive intermittent structure of Rayleigh-Bénard convection at the high Ra numbers proportional to temperature. With ...In addition to the hierarchical-structure (H-S) model, this paper further explores the most intensive intermittent structure of Rayleigh-Bénard convection at the high Ra numbers proportional to temperature. With respect to the discovery and by means of the scale, both of Bolgiano, there are two regions of the structure holding the absolute scaling law given by Ching’s paper. Through theoretic analysis of data, this paper indicates that the regions act as two local intensive intermittent structures, by which the statistical absolute scaling performance of region is induced, rather than the statistical result of the entire time series in belief since 1941. In terms of statistical theory, the local structure in fluid, therefore, is the essence governing the absolute scaling performance of region, especially in high intensity.展开更多
文摘We are considering two initial-boundary value problems for Rayleigh-Benard convection in Oberbeck-Boussinesq approximation for incompressible fluid in 3D-rectangular domain with 4:4:1 geometric ratio with periodicity in two directions and cubic domain with 1:1:1 ratio and zero velocity and temperature gradient boundary conditions. For this purpose, we use two numerical method: one is a Pseudo-Spectral-Galerkin method with trigonometric-Chebyshev polynomials and the other is finite element/volume method with WENO interpolation for advection term. Numerical methods are presented shortly and are benchmarked against known DNS data and against one another (for quasi-periodic domain problem). Then we perform stability analysis using analytical expression for main stationary solutions and eigenvalue numerical analysis by applying Implicitly Restarted Arnoldi (IRA) method. The IRA is used to perform linear stability analysis, find bifurcations of stationary points and analyze eigenvalues of monodromy matrices. Thus characteristic exponents of the system for time periodic solutions (limited cycles of various periods and resonance invariant tori) are computed. We show, numerically, the existence of multistable rotes to chaos through chaotic fractal attractors, full Feigenbaum-Sharkovski cascades and multidimensional torus attractors (Landau-Hopf scenario). The existence of these attractors is shown through analysis of phase subspaces projections, Poincare sections and eigenvalue analysis of numerically computed DNS data. These attractors burst into chaos with the increase of Rayleigh number either through resonance and phase-locking or through emergence of singular chaotic attractors.
文摘Based on the weather monitoring data,NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and Doppler weather radar data,the circulation background,atmospheric stability and changing characteristics of radar echoes of a large-scale hail weather process in Ulanqab City on July 5,2021 were analyzed.The results show that this hail weather process occurred in the summer afternoon of the hail-prone period in Ulanqab City,and was formed under the influence of upper trough and the circulation background of"two troughs and one ridge",which was conducive to the occurrence of strong convection weather.The low-level shear line provided the dynamic and water vapor conditions for the occurrence of the hail.In strong convection weather,water vapor was transported mainly from the Bay of Bengal,India and Nepal over the Himalayas.Before the occurrence of strong convection weather,water vapor transport increased significantly,and the low-level water vapor concentrated below 400 hPa,with obvious convergence and vertical transport.The characteristic parameters of radar echoes,such as combined reflectivity,vertically integrated liquid,and echo top height,increased significantly before and during the occurrence of hail,which had good indicative significance for the prediction and early warning of hail.
基金Supported by Science and Technology Development Project of Shandong Science and Technology Hall(2010GSF10805)National Natural Science Foundation of China(41140036)~~
文摘[Objective] The paper is to analyze physical quantities and radar parameter of hail shooting and heavy convective rainfall weather. [Method] Using radar data of Jinan station during 2002 and 2008, combined with sounding data, the physical quantities and radar parameter of hail shooting and heavy convective rainfall weather are compared and analyzed. [Result] The smaller Sl is conducive to the generation of hail weather. When K〉 35 ~C, the probability for occurrence of heavy rainfall weather is significantly increased; when K〈20 ^(3, the probability for occurrence of heavy rainfall weather is significantly decreased. When CAPE value is greater than 1 500 J/KG, the probability for occurrence of hail weather is significantly decreased, while the probability for occurrence of heavy rainfall weather is significantly in- creased. The possibility for occurrence of hail monomer is small when the wind shear is less than 5 m/s; and it is large while wind shear is greater than 20 m/s. The radar forecasting indexes of hail monomer is as follows: VIL value reaches 35 kg/m2 (May), 43 kg/m2 (June and July), the monomer height is greater than 9 km, the maximum reflectivity factor is larger than 60 dBz, strong center height reaches 3.3 km (May), 4.3 km (June) and 5.5 km (July); VlL value of heavy rainfall monomer generally is below 25 kg/m2. [Conclusion] The paper provides basis form prediction of hail and heavy rainfall.
文摘Based on the conventional observation data,satellite,radar,automatic observation and other refined monitoring data,the severe hail weather in Hohhot City on July 29,2015 was analyzed at multiple scales.The results showed that from the perspective of synoptic-scale system,high-altitude cold air invaded Mongol shortwave trough,and the North China small high pressure and the subtropical high formed a warm shear line;the surface convergence line triggered severe convection weather.Unstable vertical structure,continuous increase of low-level humidity,more drier of high altitudes and the wind direction shear at 180° triggered hailstorm and lightning weather in Hohhot.α-scale convective cloud clusters were maintained in Hohhot,and the ground "herringbone" shear line oscillated violently between the north and the south.Strong lightning and big hails appeared on the ground.The "herringbone" shear line lifted slowly to the north,and there was short-time heavy precipitation on the ground.Radar products showed "bow echo",and the echo had a hanging structure;a mesoscale cyclone was formed 3 km away from the ground.On the radar wind profile,it can be seen that low-layer warm advection and strong wind shear triggered strong hailstorm in Hohhot.The disappearance of low- level warm advection and the maintenance of strong vertical shear of wind produced short-time heavy precipitation.There was a small difference between short-time heavy precipitation and hail in echo top height,but the coverage was significantly reduced.In Hohhot City,vertically integrated liquid water content quickly increased during the hail,and decreased during the short-time heavy precipitation.
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study the meso-scale characteristics of a hail process in Linyi area. [Method] By comprehensively using MICAPS conventional observation data, automatic encryption ground station, MM5 model product and Doppler weather radar data, a strong convective hail weather process which happened in Shandong Peninsula and southeast of Shandong on May 30, 2010 was analyzed. The circulation background and physical mechanism of strong convection weather occurrence, the features of meso- and micro-scale systems were discussed. Some occurrence and development rules of such weather were found. [Result] The strong convective weather was mainly affected by the cold vortex and translot. The high-altitude northwest airflow, low-level southwest airflow, dry and cold air at the high layer, warm and wet air at the low layer, forward-tilting trough caused the strong convective weather. The radar echo analysis showed that the radar echo in the process belonged to the typical multi-monomer windstorm echo, and the strong echo zone was in the forefront of echo. When the convection development was the strongest, the echo intensity reached 65 dBz, and the echo top height surpassed 11 km. As the development of windstorm monomer, the big-value zone of vertical liquid water content product had the jumping formation and disappearance. Moreover, there was obvious weak echo zone. The windstorm monomer moved to the southeast direction as the precipitation system. In the right front of monomer moving direction, there was hook echo feature. The evolution characteristics of radial speed field at the different elevation angles before and after the hail weather occurrence were analyzed. It was found that the radial speed field had some premonitory variations before the hail weather occurrence. Doppler radar product was used to improve the initial field of MM5 model, which could improve the forecast effect in the certain degree and the accuracy of short-time forecast and nowcasting. [Conclusion] The research accumulated the experience for the short-term forecast and nowcasting work of strong convective weather in future.
基金Supported by Meteorological Science and Technology Research Project of Shandong Provincial Meteorological Bureau(2014sdqxm14)~~
文摘To better study occurrence and development mechanism and characteris-tics of strong convective weather in Weifang, reduce the harm brought by disastrous weather, such as gale and hail, extract available forecast index for future strong convective weather forecast work in spring and summer, and improve forecast ac-curacy, diagnostic analysis of the strong convective weather process was conducted. By using conventional weather data for profile and sounding analysis, and combining short-term numerical forecast products for cause analysis, such as radar and satel-lite cloud chart, occurrence characteristics and type of such strong convective weather were obtained. Results showed that the important reason of the strong convective weather occurrence was high-altitude trough split out in eastward move-ment process of northeast cold vortex. In the afternoon of 2nd when hail occurred, temperature rise was obvious at low layer, and energy was sufficient. High-altitude trough with forward tilting structure made that dry cold air at high layer overlapped on warm wet air at lower layer, thereby causing stable stratification formation and triggering the occurrence of strong convective weather.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.
文摘In the paper, numerical simulation is performed for Benard convection in a closed three-dimensional rectangle with non-slippery bound. Numerical results show that when Rayleigh number Ra<3.6×104, Benard convection is steady, and when Ra≥3.6×104 it is unsteady and irregular. The cross sections and correlation coefficients of various fields are studied, and it is found that the external correlation scales of flow decrease as Ra increases when Ra≥ 7.5×104. Moreover, statistical analyses show that the Taylor inner scales (λv,λθv and so on) also decrease as Ra increases, and that the changing rates of λv and λθv with height are very different to each other in the vicinity of upper and lower bounds. Furthermore, statistical analyses show that the computed Nusselt number Nu is close to the lower limit of many experimental values, and in the transient region of flow pattern d1gNu/d1gRa is relatively greater than that in other region. In addition, other statistical quantities of the fields of temperature, velocity and vorticity are also computed and discussed.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.
文摘In the paper, a finite differential numerical model is proposed for Benard convection ina non-slippery closed rectangle. By this model, we have discussed the bifurcation character-istics of two-dimensional Benard convection when Prandtl number is 1. The computed re-sults show that if the Rayleigh number Ra≥1.75×10~5, the Benard convection is unsteady andirregular, and that in the transient region of flow pattern, the changing rate of the Nusseltnumber Nu to Ra, dlgNu/dlgRa, is rather smaller than that in the non-transient region.Moreover, in the paper, we have analysed the relation between the shrinking rate of thephase flow and each term in the governing equations of Benard convection. And further,we have developed a new method to calculate the pressure gradient.
文摘In addition to the hierarchical-structure (H-S) model, this paper further explores the most intensive intermittent structure of Rayleigh-Bénard convection at the high Ra numbers proportional to temperature. With respect to the discovery and by means of the scale, both of Bolgiano, there are two regions of the structure holding the absolute scaling law given by Ching’s paper. Through theoretic analysis of data, this paper indicates that the regions act as two local intensive intermittent structures, by which the statistical absolute scaling performance of region is induced, rather than the statistical result of the entire time series in belief since 1941. In terms of statistical theory, the local structure in fluid, therefore, is the essence governing the absolute scaling performance of region, especially in high intensity.
基金supported by the Basic Scientific Program of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics supporting the 14th Five-Year Plan[Grant No.7-224151]Youth Innovation Team of China Meteorological Administration[Grant No.CMA2023QN10]+4 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China[Grant Nos.42175010,41965010,U223321842275010]Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Commission[Grant No.Z221100005222012]the Department of Science and Technology of Hebei Province[Grant No.22375404D]the Open subjects of the Key Open Laboratory of Cloud Physical Environment,China Meteorological Administration[Grant No.2020Z00715]。