冬季乌拉尔山阻塞高压(以下简称乌山阻高)是导致我国出现大范围寒潮天气的重要影响系统,探究其建立和维持过程与位势高度季节内振荡的联系能够为我国延伸期天气预报及短期气候预测提供参考因子。本文基于欧洲中期天气预报中心(European ...冬季乌拉尔山阻塞高压(以下简称乌山阻高)是导致我国出现大范围寒潮天气的重要影响系统,探究其建立和维持过程与位势高度季节内振荡的联系能够为我国延伸期天气预报及短期气候预测提供参考因子。本文基于欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,EC‐MWF)提供的1979/1980-2019/2020年ERA5逐日再分析数据,采用主、客观相结合的方法,筛选得到114次冬季乌山阻高事件,累计阻高日数591天。利用功率谱分析、相关分析、合成分析等统计方法,分析乌山阻高与500 hPa位势高度季节内振荡之间的可能联系。结果表明:(1)近41年冬季乌拉尔山地区位势高度存在10~20天、30天及45天左右的显著周期。通过多尺度分析发现,在乌山阻高建立与维持期间位势高度的不同时间尺度分量贡献不同,其中对乌山阻高建立贡献最大的是10~20天的准双周位势高度正异常,阻高维持则决定于20~80天的季节内尺度位势高度正异常。在阻高建立和维持过程中,准双周位势高度异常具有自西向东的传播特征,季节内尺度位势高度异常无明显传播。(2)根据两次阻高事件发生的时间间隔长短将阻高事件分为连续阻高事件和其他阻高事件,通过多个例合成分析和典型个例分析,发现对于连续阻高事件而言,位势高度异常的20~80天振荡对其建立和维持贡献最大,但无明显传播特征,准双周尺度位势高度异常表现出向西传播的信号,而其他非连续阻高事件与不同时间尺度大气环流的联系则与所有阻高事件合成的结果相似。展开更多
Bozhong A Oilfield is located in the northeast of Huanghekou Sag in the Bohai Bay Basin, and is a complex fault block oilfield. The main oil bearing horizon is the lower Minghuazhen Member, belonging to shallow water ...Bozhong A Oilfield is located in the northeast of Huanghekou Sag in the Bohai Bay Basin, and is a complex fault block oilfield. The main oil bearing horizon is the lower Minghuazhen Member, belonging to shallow water delta sedimentation. For the rolling exploration and evaluation of adjacent fault blocks, this paper uses the mudstone smear method to analyze and accurately characterize the lithological contact relationship between the two walls of the fault. Based on the establishment of different reservoir docking modes on the two walls of the fault, the sealing parameters are calculated to evaluate the sealing ability of the fault, thereby evaluating its reservoir formation characteristics, and predicting the height of the oil column. The above methods provide geological basis for further rolling expansion and potential tapping in the study area and surrounding areas, and have guiding significance for exploration and rolling potential tapping in similar blocks in the Bohai Sea.展开更多
文摘冬季乌拉尔山阻塞高压(以下简称乌山阻高)是导致我国出现大范围寒潮天气的重要影响系统,探究其建立和维持过程与位势高度季节内振荡的联系能够为我国延伸期天气预报及短期气候预测提供参考因子。本文基于欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,EC‐MWF)提供的1979/1980-2019/2020年ERA5逐日再分析数据,采用主、客观相结合的方法,筛选得到114次冬季乌山阻高事件,累计阻高日数591天。利用功率谱分析、相关分析、合成分析等统计方法,分析乌山阻高与500 hPa位势高度季节内振荡之间的可能联系。结果表明:(1)近41年冬季乌拉尔山地区位势高度存在10~20天、30天及45天左右的显著周期。通过多尺度分析发现,在乌山阻高建立与维持期间位势高度的不同时间尺度分量贡献不同,其中对乌山阻高建立贡献最大的是10~20天的准双周位势高度正异常,阻高维持则决定于20~80天的季节内尺度位势高度正异常。在阻高建立和维持过程中,准双周位势高度异常具有自西向东的传播特征,季节内尺度位势高度异常无明显传播。(2)根据两次阻高事件发生的时间间隔长短将阻高事件分为连续阻高事件和其他阻高事件,通过多个例合成分析和典型个例分析,发现对于连续阻高事件而言,位势高度异常的20~80天振荡对其建立和维持贡献最大,但无明显传播特征,准双周尺度位势高度异常表现出向西传播的信号,而其他非连续阻高事件与不同时间尺度大气环流的联系则与所有阻高事件合成的结果相似。
文摘Bozhong A Oilfield is located in the northeast of Huanghekou Sag in the Bohai Bay Basin, and is a complex fault block oilfield. The main oil bearing horizon is the lower Minghuazhen Member, belonging to shallow water delta sedimentation. For the rolling exploration and evaluation of adjacent fault blocks, this paper uses the mudstone smear method to analyze and accurately characterize the lithological contact relationship between the two walls of the fault. Based on the establishment of different reservoir docking modes on the two walls of the fault, the sealing parameters are calculated to evaluate the sealing ability of the fault, thereby evaluating its reservoir formation characteristics, and predicting the height of the oil column. The above methods provide geological basis for further rolling expansion and potential tapping in the study area and surrounding areas, and have guiding significance for exploration and rolling potential tapping in similar blocks in the Bohai Sea.
