Background Respiratory infectious diseases(RIDs)remain a pressing public health concern,posing a signifcant threat to the well-being and lives of individuals.This study delves into the incidence of seven primary RIDs ...Background Respiratory infectious diseases(RIDs)remain a pressing public health concern,posing a signifcant threat to the well-being and lives of individuals.This study delves into the incidence of seven primary RIDs dur‑ing the period 2017-2021,aiming to gain deeper insights into their epidemiological characteristics for the purpose of enhancing control and prevention strategies.Methods Data pertaining to seven notifable RIDs,namely,seasonal infuenza,pulmonary tuberculosis(PTB),mumps,scarlet fever,pertussis,rubella and measles,in the mainland of China between 2017 and 2021 were obtained from the National Notifable Disease Reporting System(NNDRS).Joinpoint regression software was utilized to analyze temporal trends,while SaTScan software with a Poisson probability model was used to assess seasonal and spatial patterns.Results A total of 11,963,886 cases of the seven RIDs were reported during 2017-2021,and yielding a fve-year aver‑age incidence rate of 170.73 per 100,000 individuals.Among these RIDs,seasonal infuenza exhibited the highest aver‑age incidence rate(94.14 per 100,000),followed by PTB(55.52 per 100,000),mumps(15.16 per 100,000),scarlet fever(4.02 per 100,000),pertussis(1.10 per 100,000),rubella(0.59 per 100,000),and measles(0.21 per 100,000).Males experi‑enced higher incidence rates across all seven RIDs.PTB incidence was notably elevated among farmers and individu‑als aged over 65,whereas the other RIDs primarily afected children and students under 15 years of age.The inci‑dences of PTB and measles exhibited a declining trend from 2017 to 2021(APC=−7.53%,P=0.009;APC=−40.87%,P=0.02),while the other fve RIDs peaked in 2019.Concerning seasonal and spatial distribution,the seven RIDs displayed distinct characteristics,with variations observed for the same RIDs across diferent regions.The proportion of laboratory-confrmed cases fuctuated among the seven RIDs from 2017 to 2021,with measles and rubella exhibit‑ing higher proportions and mumps and scarlet fever showing lower proportions.Conclusions The incidence of PTB and measles demonstrated a decrease in the mainland of China between 2017 and 2021,while the remaining fve RIDs reached a peak in 2019.Overall,RIDs continue to pose a signifcant public health challenge.Urgent action is required to bolster capacity-building eforts and enhance control and prevention strategies for RIDs,taking into account regional disparities and epidemiological nuances.With the rapid advancement of high-tech solutions,the development and efective implementation of a digital/intelligent RIDs control and pre‑vention system are imperative to facilitate precise surveillance,early warnings,and swift responses.展开更多
Background:Fujian Province has one of the highest reported incidences of hepatitis B virus infection in China.This study aimed to provide a theoretical framework for preventing and controlling hepatitis B in Fujian Pr...Background:Fujian Province has one of the highest reported incidences of hepatitis B virus infection in China.This study aimed to provide a theoretical framework for preventing and controlling hepatitis B in Fujian Province,and to assess the trends and the spatial-temporal distribution patterns of hepatitis B in this region.Methods:Data on hepatitis B cases were extracted from the National Notifiable Infectious Disease Surveillance System.Spatial autocorrelation analysis,trend surface analysis,and spatial-temporal scanning statistics were used to identify the spatial and aggregation patterns at the county level.The Joinpoint was used to assess the reported incidence trends.Results:The average reported incidence of hepatitis B in Fujian from 2012 to 2021 was 14.46/10,000 population,with 583,262 notified cases.The age-adjusted reported incidence of hepatitis B decreased from 17.44/10,000 population in 2012 to 11.88/10,000 population in 2021,with an average reduction in the annual percentage change of 4.5%.There were obvious spatial-temporal aggregation characteristics in hepatitis B cases,and a high-incidence area was located in eastern Fujian.Spatio-temporal scanning statistics revealed four levels of aggregation of hepatitis B reporting rates.The first level of aggregation area included Minhou,Gulou,Jin’an,Taijiang,and nine other districts and counties.Conclusions:The incidence of hepatitis B is declining in Fujian Province.Spatial clusters of hepatitis B cases in Fujian Province were identified,and high-risk areas in eastern Fujian still exist.Closely monitoring the gen-eral patterns in the occurrence of hepatitis B and implementing focused control and preventative strategies are important.展开更多
Background Tuberculosis(TB)remains a pressing public health issue,posing a significant threat to individuals'well-being and lives.This study delves into the TB incidence in Chinese mainland during 2014-2021,aiming...Background Tuberculosis(TB)remains a pressing public health issue,posing a significant threat to individuals'well-being and lives.This study delves into the TB incidence in Chinese mainland during 2014-2021,aiming to gain deeper insights into their epidemiological characteristics and explore macro-level factors to enhance control and prevention.Methods TB incidence data in Chinese mainland from 2014 to 2021 were sourced from the National Notifiable Disease Reporting System(NNDRS).A two-stage distributed lag nonlinear model(DLNM)was constructed to evaluate the lag and non-linearity of daily average temperature(℃,Atemp),average relative humidity(%,ARH),average wind speed(m/s,AWS),sunshine duration(h,SD)and precipitation(mm,PRE)on the TB incidence.A spatial panel data model was used to assess the impact of demographic,medical and health resource,and economic factors on TB incidence.Results A total of 6,587,439 TB cases were reported in Chinese mainland during 2014-2021,with an average annual incidence rate of 59.17/100,000.The TB incidence decreased from 67.05/100,000 in 2014 to 46.40/100,000 in 2021,notably declining from 2018 to 2021(APC=-8.87%,95%CI:-11.97,-6.85%).TB incidence rates were higher among males,farmers,and individuals aged 65 years and older.Spatiotemporal analysis revealed a significant cluster in Xinjiang,Qinghai,and Xizang from March 2017 to June 2019(RR=3.94,P<0.001).From 2014 to 2021,the proportion of etiologically confirmed cases increased from 31.31%to 56.98%,and the time interval from TB onset to diagnosis shortened from 26 days(IQR:10-56 days)to 19 days(IQR:7-44 days).Specific meteorological conditions,including low temperature(<16.69℃),high relative humidity(>71.73%),low sunshine duration(<6.18 h)increased the risk of TB incidence,while extreme low wind speed(<2.79 m/s)decreased the risk.The spatial Durbin model showed positive associations between TB incidence rates and sex ratio(β=1.98),number of beds in medical and health institutions per 10,000 population(β=0.90),and total health expenses(β=0.55).There were negative associations between TB incidence rates and population(β=-1.14),population density(β=-0.19),urbanization rate(β=-0.62),number of medical and health institutions(β=-0.23),and number of health technicians per 10,000 population(β=-0.70).Conclusions Significant progress has been made in TB control and prevention in China,but challenges persist among some populations and areas.Varied relationships were observed between TB incidence and factors from meteorological,demographic,medical and health resource,and economic aspects.These findings underscore the importance of ongoing efforts to strengthen TB control and implement digital/intelligent surveillance for early risk detection and comprehensive interventions.展开更多
The study aimed to describe the epidemiological,virological and clinical features of sporadic HEV infection in eastern China.A total of 6112 patient sera were tested for anti-HEV IgG or anti-HEV IgM during one consecu...The study aimed to describe the epidemiological,virological and clinical features of sporadic HEV infection in eastern China.A total of 6112 patient sera were tested for anti-HEV IgG or anti-HEV IgM during one consecutive year(between August 2018 and July 2019).HEV RNA presence was evaluated by RT-PCR and HEV sequences were phylogenetically analyzed.Clinical features of confirmed HEV-infected patients were delineated.The sero-positivity rate of anti-HEV IgG maintained stable around 40%,while an obvious winter spike of anti-HEV IgM prevalence was observed.A total of 111 patients were confirmed of HEV viremia by molecular diagnosis.Subtype 4d was predominant.Phylogenetic analyses suggest that certain strains circulate across species and around the country.Subjects with confirmed current HEV infection had a high median age(58 years)and males were predominant(62.2%).Most patients presented with jaundice(75.7%)and anorexia(68.0%).Significantly elevated levels of liver enzymes and bilirubin were observed.Remarkably,the baseline bilirubin level was positively correlated with illness severity.Pre-existing HBV carriage may deteriorate illness.The clinical burden caused by locally acquired HEV infection is increasing.Surveillance should be enforced especially during the transition period from winter to spring.Patients with higher level of bilirubin at disease onset had slower recovery from HEV infection.展开更多
Chronic infections due to hepatitis B and hepatitis C viruses are responsible for most cases of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)worldwide,and this association is likely to remain during the next decade.Moreover,viral hep...Chronic infections due to hepatitis B and hepatitis C viruses are responsible for most cases of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)worldwide,and this association is likely to remain during the next decade.Moreover,viral hepatitis-related HCC imposes an important burden on public health in terms of disability-adjusted life years.In order to reduce such a burden,some major challenges must be faced.Universal vaccination against hepatitis B virus,especially in the neonatal period,is probably the most relevant primary preventive measure against the development of HCC.Moreover,considering the large adult population already infected with hepatitis B and C viruses,it is also imperative to identify these individuals to ensure their access to treatment.Both hepatitis B and C currently have highly effective therapies,which are able to diminish the risk of development of liver cancer.Finally,it is essential for individuals at high-risk of HCC to be included in surveillance programs,so that tumors are detected at an early stage.Patients with hepatitis B or C and advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis benefit from being followed in a surveillance program.As hepatitis B virus is oncogenic and capable of leading to liver cancer even in individuals with early stages of liver fibrosis,other high-risk groups of patients with hepatitis B are also candidates for surveillance.Considerable effort is required concerning these strategies in order to decrease the incidence and the mortality of viral hepatitis-related HCC.展开更多
AIM: To analyze the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, treatment patterns and outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. METHODS: We analyzed clinical, pathological and therapeutic data from 256 consecut...AIM: To analyze the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, treatment patterns and outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. METHODS: We analyzed clinical, pathological and therapeutic data from 256 consecutive patients, examined at S. Croce Hospital in Cuneo-Piedmont, with a diagnosis of HCC between 30th June 2000 and 1st July 2010. We analyzed the hospital imaging database and examined all medical records, including the diagnosis code for HCC (155.0 according to the ICD-9M classification system), both for inpatients and outpatients, and discovered 576 relevant clinical records. After the exclusion of reports relating to multiple admissions for the same patient, we identified 282 HCC patients. Moreover, from this HCC series, we excluded 26 patients: 1 patient because of an alternative final diagnosis, 8 patients because of a lack of complete clinical data in the medical record and 17 patients because they were admitted to different health care facilities, leaving 256 HCC patients. To highlight possible changes in HCC patterns over the ten-year period, we split the population into two five-year groups, according to the diagnosis period: 30 th June 2000-30th June 2005 and 1st July 2005-1st July 2010. Patients underwent a 6-mo follow up. RESULTS: Two hundred and fifty-six HCC patients were included (male/female 182/74; mean age 70 years), 133 in the first period and 123 in the second. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection was the most common HCC risk factor (54.1% in the first period, 50.4% in the second;P = 0.63); in the first period, 21.8% of patients were alcoholics and 15.5% were alcoholics in the second period (P > 0.05); the non-viral/non-alcoholic etiology rate was 3.7% in the first period and 20.3% in the second period (P < 0.001). Child class A patients increased significantly in the second period (P < 0.001). Adjusting for age, gender and etiology, there was a significant increase in HCC surveillance during the second period (P = 0.01). Differences between the two periods were seen in tumor parameters: there was an increase in the number of unifocal HCC patients, from 53 to 69 (P = 0.01), as well as an increase in the number of cases where the HCC was < 3 cm [from 22 to 37 (P = 0.01)]. The combined incidence of stage Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer 0 (very-early) and A (early) HCC was 46 (34.6%) between 2000-2005, increasing to 62 (50.4%) between 2005-2010 (P = 0.01). Of the patients, 62.4% underwent specific treatment in the first group, which increased to 90.2% in the second group (P < 0.001). Diagnosis period (P < 0.01), Barcelona-Clinic Liver Cancer stage (P < 0.01) and treatment per se (P < 0.05) were predictors of better prognosis; surveillance was not related to survival (P = 0.20).CONCLUSION: This study showed that, between 2000-2005 and 2005-2010, the number of HCV-related HCC decreased, non-viral/non alcoholic etiologies increased and of surveillance programs were more frequently applied.展开更多
文摘Background Respiratory infectious diseases(RIDs)remain a pressing public health concern,posing a signifcant threat to the well-being and lives of individuals.This study delves into the incidence of seven primary RIDs dur‑ing the period 2017-2021,aiming to gain deeper insights into their epidemiological characteristics for the purpose of enhancing control and prevention strategies.Methods Data pertaining to seven notifable RIDs,namely,seasonal infuenza,pulmonary tuberculosis(PTB),mumps,scarlet fever,pertussis,rubella and measles,in the mainland of China between 2017 and 2021 were obtained from the National Notifable Disease Reporting System(NNDRS).Joinpoint regression software was utilized to analyze temporal trends,while SaTScan software with a Poisson probability model was used to assess seasonal and spatial patterns.Results A total of 11,963,886 cases of the seven RIDs were reported during 2017-2021,and yielding a fve-year aver‑age incidence rate of 170.73 per 100,000 individuals.Among these RIDs,seasonal infuenza exhibited the highest aver‑age incidence rate(94.14 per 100,000),followed by PTB(55.52 per 100,000),mumps(15.16 per 100,000),scarlet fever(4.02 per 100,000),pertussis(1.10 per 100,000),rubella(0.59 per 100,000),and measles(0.21 per 100,000).Males experi‑enced higher incidence rates across all seven RIDs.PTB incidence was notably elevated among farmers and individu‑als aged over 65,whereas the other RIDs primarily afected children and students under 15 years of age.The inci‑dences of PTB and measles exhibited a declining trend from 2017 to 2021(APC=−7.53%,P=0.009;APC=−40.87%,P=0.02),while the other fve RIDs peaked in 2019.Concerning seasonal and spatial distribution,the seven RIDs displayed distinct characteristics,with variations observed for the same RIDs across diferent regions.The proportion of laboratory-confrmed cases fuctuated among the seven RIDs from 2017 to 2021,with measles and rubella exhibit‑ing higher proportions and mumps and scarlet fever showing lower proportions.Conclusions The incidence of PTB and measles demonstrated a decrease in the mainland of China between 2017 and 2021,while the remaining fve RIDs reached a peak in 2019.Overall,RIDs continue to pose a signifcant public health challenge.Urgent action is required to bolster capacity-building eforts and enhance control and prevention strategies for RIDs,taking into account regional disparities and epidemiological nuances.With the rapid advancement of high-tech solutions,the development and efective implementation of a digital/intelligent RIDs control and pre‑vention system are imperative to facilitate precise surveillance,early warnings,and swift responses.
基金supported by the Fujian Research and Training Grants for Young and Middle-aged Leaders in Healthcare.
文摘Background:Fujian Province has one of the highest reported incidences of hepatitis B virus infection in China.This study aimed to provide a theoretical framework for preventing and controlling hepatitis B in Fujian Province,and to assess the trends and the spatial-temporal distribution patterns of hepatitis B in this region.Methods:Data on hepatitis B cases were extracted from the National Notifiable Infectious Disease Surveillance System.Spatial autocorrelation analysis,trend surface analysis,and spatial-temporal scanning statistics were used to identify the spatial and aggregation patterns at the county level.The Joinpoint was used to assess the reported incidence trends.Results:The average reported incidence of hepatitis B in Fujian from 2012 to 2021 was 14.46/10,000 population,with 583,262 notified cases.The age-adjusted reported incidence of hepatitis B decreased from 17.44/10,000 population in 2012 to 11.88/10,000 population in 2021,with an average reduction in the annual percentage change of 4.5%.There were obvious spatial-temporal aggregation characteristics in hepatitis B cases,and a high-incidence area was located in eastern Fujian.Spatio-temporal scanning statistics revealed four levels of aggregation of hepatitis B reporting rates.The first level of aggregation area included Minhou,Gulou,Jin’an,Taijiang,and nine other districts and counties.Conclusions:The incidence of hepatitis B is declining in Fujian Province.Spatial clusters of hepatitis B cases in Fujian Province were identified,and high-risk areas in eastern Fujian still exist.Closely monitoring the gen-eral patterns in the occurrence of hepatitis B and implementing focused control and preventative strategies are important.
基金funded by grants from Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention(102393220020010000017)
文摘Background Tuberculosis(TB)remains a pressing public health issue,posing a significant threat to individuals'well-being and lives.This study delves into the TB incidence in Chinese mainland during 2014-2021,aiming to gain deeper insights into their epidemiological characteristics and explore macro-level factors to enhance control and prevention.Methods TB incidence data in Chinese mainland from 2014 to 2021 were sourced from the National Notifiable Disease Reporting System(NNDRS).A two-stage distributed lag nonlinear model(DLNM)was constructed to evaluate the lag and non-linearity of daily average temperature(℃,Atemp),average relative humidity(%,ARH),average wind speed(m/s,AWS),sunshine duration(h,SD)and precipitation(mm,PRE)on the TB incidence.A spatial panel data model was used to assess the impact of demographic,medical and health resource,and economic factors on TB incidence.Results A total of 6,587,439 TB cases were reported in Chinese mainland during 2014-2021,with an average annual incidence rate of 59.17/100,000.The TB incidence decreased from 67.05/100,000 in 2014 to 46.40/100,000 in 2021,notably declining from 2018 to 2021(APC=-8.87%,95%CI:-11.97,-6.85%).TB incidence rates were higher among males,farmers,and individuals aged 65 years and older.Spatiotemporal analysis revealed a significant cluster in Xinjiang,Qinghai,and Xizang from March 2017 to June 2019(RR=3.94,P<0.001).From 2014 to 2021,the proportion of etiologically confirmed cases increased from 31.31%to 56.98%,and the time interval from TB onset to diagnosis shortened from 26 days(IQR:10-56 days)to 19 days(IQR:7-44 days).Specific meteorological conditions,including low temperature(<16.69℃),high relative humidity(>71.73%),low sunshine duration(<6.18 h)increased the risk of TB incidence,while extreme low wind speed(<2.79 m/s)decreased the risk.The spatial Durbin model showed positive associations between TB incidence rates and sex ratio(β=1.98),number of beds in medical and health institutions per 10,000 population(β=0.90),and total health expenses(β=0.55).There were negative associations between TB incidence rates and population(β=-1.14),population density(β=-0.19),urbanization rate(β=-0.62),number of medical and health institutions(β=-0.23),and number of health technicians per 10,000 population(β=-0.70).Conclusions Significant progress has been made in TB control and prevention in China,but challenges persist among some populations and areas.Varied relationships were observed between TB incidence and factors from meteorological,demographic,medical and health resource,and economic aspects.These findings underscore the importance of ongoing efforts to strengthen TB control and implement digital/intelligent surveillance for early risk detection and comprehensive interventions.
基金This study was funded by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.81501733)the Shanghai Municipal Key Clinical Specialty(shslczdzk01103)Key Projects in the National Science&Technology Pillar Program during the Thirteenth Five-year Plan Period(2017ZX10203201-008,2018ZX09201016-003-001,2017ZX10202202-005-004).
文摘The study aimed to describe the epidemiological,virological and clinical features of sporadic HEV infection in eastern China.A total of 6112 patient sera were tested for anti-HEV IgG or anti-HEV IgM during one consecutive year(between August 2018 and July 2019).HEV RNA presence was evaluated by RT-PCR and HEV sequences were phylogenetically analyzed.Clinical features of confirmed HEV-infected patients were delineated.The sero-positivity rate of anti-HEV IgG maintained stable around 40%,while an obvious winter spike of anti-HEV IgM prevalence was observed.A total of 111 patients were confirmed of HEV viremia by molecular diagnosis.Subtype 4d was predominant.Phylogenetic analyses suggest that certain strains circulate across species and around the country.Subjects with confirmed current HEV infection had a high median age(58 years)and males were predominant(62.2%).Most patients presented with jaundice(75.7%)and anorexia(68.0%).Significantly elevated levels of liver enzymes and bilirubin were observed.Remarkably,the baseline bilirubin level was positively correlated with illness severity.Pre-existing HBV carriage may deteriorate illness.The clinical burden caused by locally acquired HEV infection is increasing.Surveillance should be enforced especially during the transition period from winter to spring.Patients with higher level of bilirubin at disease onset had slower recovery from HEV infection.
基金Supported by European-Latin American ESCALON Consortium,funded by the EU Horizon 2020 Program,No.825510Robert Wood Johnson Foundation,Harold Amos Medical Faculty Development Program(to Debes JD).
文摘Chronic infections due to hepatitis B and hepatitis C viruses are responsible for most cases of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)worldwide,and this association is likely to remain during the next decade.Moreover,viral hepatitis-related HCC imposes an important burden on public health in terms of disability-adjusted life years.In order to reduce such a burden,some major challenges must be faced.Universal vaccination against hepatitis B virus,especially in the neonatal period,is probably the most relevant primary preventive measure against the development of HCC.Moreover,considering the large adult population already infected with hepatitis B and C viruses,it is also imperative to identify these individuals to ensure their access to treatment.Both hepatitis B and C currently have highly effective therapies,which are able to diminish the risk of development of liver cancer.Finally,it is essential for individuals at high-risk of HCC to be included in surveillance programs,so that tumors are detected at an early stage.Patients with hepatitis B or C and advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis benefit from being followed in a surveillance program.As hepatitis B virus is oncogenic and capable of leading to liver cancer even in individuals with early stages of liver fibrosis,other high-risk groups of patients with hepatitis B are also candidates for surveillance.Considerable effort is required concerning these strategies in order to decrease the incidence and the mortality of viral hepatitis-related HCC.
文摘AIM: To analyze the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, treatment patterns and outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. METHODS: We analyzed clinical, pathological and therapeutic data from 256 consecutive patients, examined at S. Croce Hospital in Cuneo-Piedmont, with a diagnosis of HCC between 30th June 2000 and 1st July 2010. We analyzed the hospital imaging database and examined all medical records, including the diagnosis code for HCC (155.0 according to the ICD-9M classification system), both for inpatients and outpatients, and discovered 576 relevant clinical records. After the exclusion of reports relating to multiple admissions for the same patient, we identified 282 HCC patients. Moreover, from this HCC series, we excluded 26 patients: 1 patient because of an alternative final diagnosis, 8 patients because of a lack of complete clinical data in the medical record and 17 patients because they were admitted to different health care facilities, leaving 256 HCC patients. To highlight possible changes in HCC patterns over the ten-year period, we split the population into two five-year groups, according to the diagnosis period: 30 th June 2000-30th June 2005 and 1st July 2005-1st July 2010. Patients underwent a 6-mo follow up. RESULTS: Two hundred and fifty-six HCC patients were included (male/female 182/74; mean age 70 years), 133 in the first period and 123 in the second. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection was the most common HCC risk factor (54.1% in the first period, 50.4% in the second;P = 0.63); in the first period, 21.8% of patients were alcoholics and 15.5% were alcoholics in the second period (P > 0.05); the non-viral/non-alcoholic etiology rate was 3.7% in the first period and 20.3% in the second period (P < 0.001). Child class A patients increased significantly in the second period (P < 0.001). Adjusting for age, gender and etiology, there was a significant increase in HCC surveillance during the second period (P = 0.01). Differences between the two periods were seen in tumor parameters: there was an increase in the number of unifocal HCC patients, from 53 to 69 (P = 0.01), as well as an increase in the number of cases where the HCC was < 3 cm [from 22 to 37 (P = 0.01)]. The combined incidence of stage Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer 0 (very-early) and A (early) HCC was 46 (34.6%) between 2000-2005, increasing to 62 (50.4%) between 2005-2010 (P = 0.01). Of the patients, 62.4% underwent specific treatment in the first group, which increased to 90.2% in the second group (P < 0.001). Diagnosis period (P < 0.01), Barcelona-Clinic Liver Cancer stage (P < 0.01) and treatment per se (P < 0.05) were predictors of better prognosis; surveillance was not related to survival (P = 0.20).CONCLUSION: This study showed that, between 2000-2005 and 2005-2010, the number of HCV-related HCC decreased, non-viral/non alcoholic etiologies increased and of surveillance programs were more frequently applied.