Purpose – This paper aims to propose a medium-term forecast model for the daily passenger volume of HighSpeed Railway (HSR) systems to predict the daily the Origin-Destination (OD) daily volume formultiple consecutiv...Purpose – This paper aims to propose a medium-term forecast model for the daily passenger volume of HighSpeed Railway (HSR) systems to predict the daily the Origin-Destination (OD) daily volume formultiple consecutivedays (e.g. 120 days).Design/methodology/approach – By analyzing the characteristics of the historical data on daily passengervolume of HSR systems, the date and holiday labels were designed with determined value ranges.In accordance to the autoregressive characteristics of the daily passenger volume of HSR, the Double LayerParallel Wavelet Neural Network (DLP-WNN) model suitable for the medium-term (about 120 d) forecast of thedaily passenger volume of HSR was established. The DLP-WNN model obtains the daily forecast result byweighed summation of the daily output values of the two subnets. Subnet 1 reflects the overall trend of dailypassenger volumes in the recent period, and subnet 2 the daily fluctuation of the daily passenger volume toensure the accuracy of medium-term forecast.Findings – According to the example application, in which the DLP-WNN modelwas used for the medium-termforecast of the daily passenger volumes for 120 days for typical O-D pairs at 4 different distances, the averageabsolute percentage error is 7%-12%, obviously lower than the results measured by the Back Propagation (BP)neural network, the ELM (extreme learning machine), the ELMAN neural network, the GRNN (generalizedregression neural network) and the VMD-GA-BP. The DLP-WNN model was verified to be suitable for themedium-term forecast of the daily passenger volume of HSR.Originality/value – This study proposed a Double Layer Parallel structure forecast model for medium-termdaily passenger volume (about 120 days) of HSR systems by using the date and holiday labels and WaveletNeural Network. The predict results are important input data for supporting the line planning, scheduling andother decisions in operation and management in HSR systems.展开更多
In this study, the benefit-cost analysis technique for projects evaluation is applied to determine the minimum level of demand that makes a high-speed rail project economically viable in Spain. To get this goal, it is...In this study, the benefit-cost analysis technique for projects evaluation is applied to determine the minimum level of demand that makes a high-speed rail project economically viable in Spain. To get this goal, it is nec- essary to take into account not only the costs and benefits of the high speed railway but also the analysis of the costs and benefits linked to other alternative transport modes, such as plane, private car or bus. The re- sults show that the high-speed rail studied is socially profitable from a traffic volume of 6.5 million passen- gers and for a social discount rate of 4%. Given the benefits associated with network effects, which magni- tude grows parallel to the extension of the high-speed network, this threshold could be significantly reduced in subsequent projects.展开更多
The concept of building up a“well-connected fully-integrated,enviomentfriendly,passenger-oriented,economic-efficient,culturally-rich,intelligent and A convenient”station has been being applied to practice in recent ...The concept of building up a“well-connected fully-integrated,enviomentfriendly,passenger-oriented,economic-efficient,culturally-rich,intelligent and A convenient”station has been being applied to practice in recent years.China State Railway Group Co.Ltd .(hereinafier referred to as CHINA RAILWAY)and the Academyof Arts&Design,Tsinghua University have jointly initiated a series of study projects around the topic of“cultural and artistic expression”aiming to optimize design concepts and explore the design aesthetics of China's railway passenger stations in practice.These projects have achieved some positive results and this paper aims to provide a better analysis of the design concept of railway passenger stations in the new era through ananalysis of those stations' design aesthetic.展开更多
The key points and strategies of the design of railway passenger stations in the new era are described.The distinctive features,design innovation points and design elements of high-quality projects of large transport ...The key points and strategies of the design of railway passenger stations in the new era are described.The distinctive features,design innovation points and design elements of high-quality projects of large transport hubs are analyzed through dissecting two cases of completed projects,ie Xiong'an Station and Beijing Chaoyang Station.In the light of the general requirements for passenger station construction of China State Railway Group Co.Lid the paper elaborates the development and application trends of railway passenger stations ofthe new erain terms of environmental protection,energy saving,economic efficiency,culture,convenient circulation and intelligence.In addition,new concepts,new technologies and new materials are actively developed and key technologies of the design of iconic excellent passenger stations of the new era are explored and summarized.展开更多
利用声仿真软件VA ONE中的统计能量分析(Statistical Energy Analysis,SEA)模块对某沿海高速客船进行全船声振预报及隔振降噪分析。通过声仿真软件建立全船声仿真模型,对主机激励和螺旋桨激励下的船舶做初期声振预报,各主要舱室噪声均...利用声仿真软件VA ONE中的统计能量分析(Statistical Energy Analysis,SEA)模块对某沿海高速客船进行全船声振预报及隔振降噪分析。通过声仿真软件建立全船声仿真模型,对主机激励和螺旋桨激励下的船舶做初期声振预报,各主要舱室噪声均不符合规范要求。分析不符要求的舱室噪声产生原因,并且利用软件中的噪声控制模块对相应舱室布置隔声材料,隔声效果明显。软件分析结果可作为研究统计能量分析工程人员的参考。展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.72171236 and 71701216)the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2020YFB1600400)+2 种基金the China Scholarship Council(202008360277)the Key Science and Technology Research Program of the Educational Department of Jiangxi Province(Grant No.GJJ200605)the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province(Grant No.2020JJ5783).
文摘Purpose – This paper aims to propose a medium-term forecast model for the daily passenger volume of HighSpeed Railway (HSR) systems to predict the daily the Origin-Destination (OD) daily volume formultiple consecutivedays (e.g. 120 days).Design/methodology/approach – By analyzing the characteristics of the historical data on daily passengervolume of HSR systems, the date and holiday labels were designed with determined value ranges.In accordance to the autoregressive characteristics of the daily passenger volume of HSR, the Double LayerParallel Wavelet Neural Network (DLP-WNN) model suitable for the medium-term (about 120 d) forecast of thedaily passenger volume of HSR was established. The DLP-WNN model obtains the daily forecast result byweighed summation of the daily output values of the two subnets. Subnet 1 reflects the overall trend of dailypassenger volumes in the recent period, and subnet 2 the daily fluctuation of the daily passenger volume toensure the accuracy of medium-term forecast.Findings – According to the example application, in which the DLP-WNN modelwas used for the medium-termforecast of the daily passenger volumes for 120 days for typical O-D pairs at 4 different distances, the averageabsolute percentage error is 7%-12%, obviously lower than the results measured by the Back Propagation (BP)neural network, the ELM (extreme learning machine), the ELMAN neural network, the GRNN (generalizedregression neural network) and the VMD-GA-BP. The DLP-WNN model was verified to be suitable for themedium-term forecast of the daily passenger volume of HSR.Originality/value – This study proposed a Double Layer Parallel structure forecast model for medium-termdaily passenger volume (about 120 days) of HSR systems by using the date and holiday labels and WaveletNeural Network. The predict results are important input data for supporting the line planning, scheduling andother decisions in operation and management in HSR systems.
文摘In this study, the benefit-cost analysis technique for projects evaluation is applied to determine the minimum level of demand that makes a high-speed rail project economically viable in Spain. To get this goal, it is nec- essary to take into account not only the costs and benefits of the high speed railway but also the analysis of the costs and benefits linked to other alternative transport modes, such as plane, private car or bus. The re- sults show that the high-speed rail studied is socially profitable from a traffic volume of 6.5 million passen- gers and for a social discount rate of 4%. Given the benefits associated with network effects, which magni- tude grows parallel to the extension of the high-speed network, this threshold could be significantly reduced in subsequent projects.
文摘The concept of building up a“well-connected fully-integrated,enviomentfriendly,passenger-oriented,economic-efficient,culturally-rich,intelligent and A convenient”station has been being applied to practice in recent years.China State Railway Group Co.Ltd .(hereinafier referred to as CHINA RAILWAY)and the Academyof Arts&Design,Tsinghua University have jointly initiated a series of study projects around the topic of“cultural and artistic expression”aiming to optimize design concepts and explore the design aesthetics of China's railway passenger stations in practice.These projects have achieved some positive results and this paper aims to provide a better analysis of the design concept of railway passenger stations in the new era through ananalysis of those stations' design aesthetic.
文摘The key points and strategies of the design of railway passenger stations in the new era are described.The distinctive features,design innovation points and design elements of high-quality projects of large transport hubs are analyzed through dissecting two cases of completed projects,ie Xiong'an Station and Beijing Chaoyang Station.In the light of the general requirements for passenger station construction of China State Railway Group Co.Lid the paper elaborates the development and application trends of railway passenger stations ofthe new erain terms of environmental protection,energy saving,economic efficiency,culture,convenient circulation and intelligence.In addition,new concepts,new technologies and new materials are actively developed and key technologies of the design of iconic excellent passenger stations of the new era are explored and summarized.
文摘利用声仿真软件VA ONE中的统计能量分析(Statistical Energy Analysis,SEA)模块对某沿海高速客船进行全船声振预报及隔振降噪分析。通过声仿真软件建立全船声仿真模型,对主机激励和螺旋桨激励下的船舶做初期声振预报,各主要舱室噪声均不符合规范要求。分析不符要求的舱室噪声产生原因,并且利用软件中的噪声控制模块对相应舱室布置隔声材料,隔声效果明显。软件分析结果可作为研究统计能量分析工程人员的参考。
