High-frequency compensation for seismic data based on adaptive generalized S transform

The low-pass fi ltering eff ect of the Earth results in the absorption and attenuation of the high-frequency components of seismic signals by the stratum during propagation.Hence,seismic data have low resolution.Considering the limitations of traditional high-frequency compensation methods,this paper presents a new method based on adaptive generalized S transform.This method is based on the study of frequency spectrum attenuation law of seismic signals,and the Gauss window function of adaptive generalized S transform is used to fi t the attenuation trend of seismic signals to seek the optimal Gauss window function.The amplitude spectrum compensation function constructed using the optimal Gauss window function is used to modify the time-frequency spectrum of the adaptive generalized S transform of seismic signals and reconstruct seismic signals to compensate for high-frequency attenuation.Practical data processing results show that the method can compensate for the high-frequency components that are absorbed and attenuated by the stratum,thereby eff ectively improving the resolution and quality of seismic data.

Covariance Estimation Using High-Frequency Data： An Analysis of Nord Pool Electricity Forward Data

The modeling of volatility and correlation is important in order to calculate hedge ratios, value at risk estimates, CAPM （Capital Asset Pricing Model betas）, derivate pricing and risk management in general. Recent access to intra-daily high-frequency data for two of the most liquid contracts at the Nord Pool exchange has made it possible to apply new and promising methods for analyzing volatility and correlation. The concepts of realized volatility and realized correlation are applied, and this study statistically describes the distribution （both distributional properties and temporal dependencies） of electricity forward data from 2005 to 2009. The main findings show that the logarithmic realized volatility is approximately normally distributed, while realized correlation seems not to be. Further, realized volatility and realized correlation have a long-memory feature. There also seems to be a high correlation between realized correlation and volatilities and positive relations between trading volume and realized volatility and between trading volume and realized correlation. These results are to a large extent consistent with earlier studies of stylized facts of other financial and commodity markets.

Vessel fusion tracking with a dual-frequency high-frequency surface wave radar and calibrated by an automatic identification system

High-frequency surface wave radar（HFSWR） and automatic identification system（AIS） are the two most important sensors used for vessel tracking.The HFSWR can be applied to tracking all vessels in a detection area,while the AIS is usually used to verify the information of cooperative vessels.Because of interference from sea clutter,employing single-frequency HFSWR for vessel tracking may obscure vessels located in the blind zones of Bragg peaks.Analyzing changes in the detection frequencies constitutes an effective method for addressing this deficiency.A solution consisting of vessel fusion tracking is proposed using dual-frequency HFSWR data calibrated by the AIS.Since different systematic biases exist between HFSWR frequency measurements and AIS measurements,AIS information is used to estimate and correct the HFSWR systematic biases at each frequency.First,AIS point measurements for cooperative vessels are associated with the HFSWR measurements using a JVC assignment algorithm.From the association results of the cooperative vessels,the systematic biases in the dualfrequency HFSWR data are estimated and corrected.Then,based on the corrected dual-frequency HFSWR data,the vessels are tracked using a dual-frequency fusion joint probabilistic data association（JPDA）-unscented Kalman filter（UKF） algorithm.Experimental results using real-life detection data show that the proposed method is efficient at tracking vessels in real time and can improve the tracking capability and accuracy compared with tracking processes involving single-frequency data.

Novel modelling strategies for high‑frequency stock trading data

Full electronic automation in stock exchanges has recently become popular,generat-ing high-frequency intraday data and motivating the development of near real-time price forecasting methods.Machine learning algorithms are widely applied to mid-price stock predictions.Processing raw data as inputs for prediction models(e.g.,data thinning and feature engineering)can primarily affect the performance of the prediction methods.However,researchers rarely discuss this topic.This motivated us to propose three novel modelling strategies for processing raw data.We illustrate how our novel modelling strategies improve forecasting performance by analyzing high-frequency data of the Dow Jones 30 component stocks.In these experiments,our strategies often lead to statistically significant improvement in predictions.The three strategies improve the F1 scores of the SVM models by 0.056,0.087,and 0.016,respectively.

船舶导航设备高频通信数据传输安全监测系统设计

船舶导航设备信息包括船舶位置、速度等敏感信息,对高频通信数据进行安全监测具有重要意义。本文分析船舶导航设备高频通信数据传输中存在的安全威胁,提出一种高频通信数据传输安全监测系统架构,从数据完整性校验以及高频通信入侵监测这2个方面对安全监测系统进行设计,构建哈希函数进行数据完整性校验,并通过快速唤醒机制、GPS同步、数据收集智能调度及夸层设计等多种方法可以有效降低延时性。测试结果表明,系统可以通过调度系统资源实现对高频数据通信中异常行为的监控。

Migration scheme for imaging offset VSP data within local phase space

The imaging of offset VSP data in local phase space can improve the image of the subsurface structure near the well.In this paper,we present a migration scheme for imaging VSP data in a local phase space,which uses the Gabor-Daubechies tight framebased extrapolator（G-D extrapolator） and its high-frequency asymptotic expansion to extrapolate wavefields and also delineates an improved correlation imaging condition in the local angle domain.The results for migrating synthetic and real VSP data demonstrate that the application of the high-frequency G-D extrapolator asymptotic expansion can effectively decrease computational complexity.The local angle domain correlation imaging condition can be used to weaken migration artifacts without increasing computation.

Super Resolution Perception for Improving Data Completeness in Smart Grid State Estimation

The smart grid is an evolving critical infrastructure,which combines renewable energy and the most advanced information and communication technologies to provide more economic and secure power supply services.To cope with the intermittency of ever-increasing renewable energy and ensure the security of the smart grid,state estimation,which serves as a basic tool for understanding the true states of a smart grid,should be performed with high frequency.More complete system state data are needed to support high-frequency state estimation.The data completeness problem for smart grid state estimation is therefore studied in this paper.The problem of improving data completeness by recovering highfrequency data from low-frequency data is formulated as a super resolution perception(SRP)problem in this paper.A novel machine-learning-based SRP approach is thereafter proposed.The proposed method,namely the Super Resolution Perception Net for State Estimation(SRPNSE),consists of three steps:feature extraction,information completion,and data reconstruction.Case studies have demonstrated the effectiveness and value of the proposed SRPNSE approach in recovering high-frequency data from low-frequency data for the state estimation.

Modelling Animal Activity as Curves: An Approach Using Wavelet-Based Functional Data Analysis

Temporal activity patterns in animals emerge from complex interactions between choices made by organisms as responses to biotic interactions and challenges posed by external factors. Temporal activity pattern is an inherently continuous process, even being recorded as a time series. The discreteness of the data set is clearly due to data-acquisition limitations rather than a true underlying discrete nature of the phenomenon itself. Therefore, curves are a natural representation for high-frequency data. Here, we fully model temporal activity data as curves integrating wavelets and functional data analysis, allowing for testing hypotheses based on curves rather than on scalar and vector-valued data. Temporal activity data were obtained experimentally for males and females of a small-bodied marsupial and modelled as wavelets with independent and identically distributed errors and dependent errors. The null hypothesis of no difference in temporal activity pattern between male and female curves was tested with functional analysis of variance (FANOVA). The null hypothesis was rejected by FANOVA and we discussed the differences in temporal activity pattern curves between males and females in terms of ecological and life-history attributes of the reference species. We also performed numerical analysis that shed light on the regularity properties of the wavelet bases used and the thresholding parameters.

An extended sparsemax-linearmoving model with application to high-frequency financial data

There continues to be unfading interest in developing parametric max-stable processes for modelling tail dependencies and clustered extremes in time series data.However,this comes with some difficulties mainly due to the lack of models that fit data directly without transforming the data and the barriers in estimating a significant number of parameters in the existing models.In thiswork,we study the use of the sparsemaxima ofmovingmaxima(M3)process.After introducing random effects and hidden Fréchet type shocks into the process,we get an extended maxlinear model.The extended model then enables us to model cases of tail dependence or independence depending on parameter values.We present some unique properties including mirroring the dependence structure in real data,dealing with the undesirable signature patterns found in most parametricmax-stable processes,and being directly applicable to real data.ABayesian inference approach is developed for the proposed model,and it is applied to simulated and real data.

M-estimation for Periodic GARCH Model with High-frequency Data

This paper studies an M-estimator of a proxy periodic GARCH （p, q） scaling model and establishes its consistency and asymptotic normality. Simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of the estimator. The numerical results show that our M-estimator is more efficient and robust than other estimators without the use of high-frequency data.

Time–frequency co-movement and risk connectedness among cryptocurrencies:new evidence from the higher-order moments before and during the COVID-19 pandemic

Analyzing comovements and connectedness is critical for providing significant implications for crypto-portfolio risk management.However,most existing research focuses on the lower-order moment nexus(i.e.the return and volatility interactions).For the first time,this study investigates the higher-order moment comovements and risk connectedness among cryptocurrencies before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in both the time and frequency domains.We combine the realized moment measures and wavelet coherence,and the newly proposed time-varying parameter vector autoregression-based frequency connectedness approach(Chatziantoniou et al.in Integration and risk transmission in the market for crude oil a time-varying parameter frequency connectedness approach.Technical report,University of Pretoria,Department of Economics,2021)using intraday high-frequency data.The empirical results demonstrate that the comovement of realized volatility between BTC and other cryp-tocurrencies is stronger than that of the realized skewness,realized kurtosis,and signed jump variation.The comovements among cryptocurrencies are both time-dependent and frequency-dependent.Besides the volatility spillovers,the risk spillovers of high-order moments and jumps are also significant,although their magnitudes vary with moments,making them moment-dependent as well and are lower than volatility connectedness.Frequency connectedness demonstrates that the risk connectedness is mainly transmitted in the short term(1–7 days).Furthermore,the total dynamic connectedness of all realized moments is time-varying and has been significantly affected by the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic.Several practical implications are drawn for crypto investors,portfolio managers,regulators,and policymakers in optimizing their investment and risk management tactics.

Volatility forecasting in Chinese nonferrous metals futures market

This paper seeks to model and forecast the Chinese nonferrous metals futures market volatility and allows new insights into the time-varying volatility of realized volatility and leverage effects using high-frequency data.The LHAR-CJ model is extended and the empirical research on copper and aluminum futures in Shanghai Futures Exchange suggests the dynamic dependencies and time-varying volatility of realized volatility,which are captured by long memory HAR-GARCH model.Besides,the findings also show the significant weekly leverage effects in Chinese nonferrous metals futures market volatility.Finally,in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts are investigated,and the results show that the LHAR-CJ-G model,considering time-varyingvolatility of realized volatility and leverage effects,effectively improves the explanatory power as well as out-of sample predictive performance.

Uncertainty index and stock volatility prediction:evidence from international markets

This study investigates the predictability of a fixed uncertainty index(UI)for realized variances(volatility)in the international stock markets from a high-frequency perspective.We construct a composite UI based on the scaled principal component analysis(s-PCA)method and demonstrate that it exhibits significant in-and out-of-sample predictabilities for realized variances in global stock markets.This predictive power is more powerful than those of two commonly employed competing methods,namely,PCA and the partial least squares(PLS)methods.The result is robust in several checks.Further,we explain that s-PCA outperforms other dimension-reduction methods since it can effectively increase the impacts of strong predictors and decrease those of weak factors.The implications of this research are significant for investors who allocate assets globally.

Forecasting Realized Volatility Using Subsample Averaging

When the observed price process is the true underlying price process plus microstructure noise, it is known that realized volatility (RV) estimates will be overwhelmed by the noise when the sampling frequency approaches infinity. Therefore, it may be optimal to sample less frequently, and averaging the less frequently sampled subsamples can improve estimation for quadratic variation. In this paper, we extend this idea to forecasting daily realized volatility. While subsample averaging has been proposed and used in estimating RV, this paper is the first that uses subsample averaging for forecasting RV. The subsample averaging method we examine incorporates the high frequency data in different levels of systematic sampling. It first pools the high frequency data into several subsamples, then generates forecasts from each subsample, and then combines these forecasts. We find that in daily S&P 500 return realized volatility forecasts, subsample averaging generates better forecasts than those using only one subsample.

High-Dimensional Volatility Matrix Estimation with Cross-Sectional Dependent and Heavy-Tailed Microstructural Noise

The estimates of the high-dimensional volatility matrix based on high-frequency data play a pivotal role in many financial applications.However,most existing studies have been built on the sub-Gaussian and cross-sectional independence assumptions of microstructure noise,which are typically violated in the financial markets.In this paper,the authors proposed a new robust volatility matrix estimator,with very mild assumptions on the cross-sectional dependence and tail behaviors of the noises,and demonstrated that it can achieve the optimal convergence rate n-1/4.Furthermore,the proposed model offered better explanatory and predictive powers by decomposing the estimator into low-rank and sparse components,using an appropriate regularization procedure.Simulation studies demonstrated that the proposed estimator outperforms its competitors under various dependence structures of microstructure noise.Additionally,an extensive analysis of the high-frequency data for stocks in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China demonstrated the practical effectiveness of the estimator.

Total Electricity Consumption Forecasting Based on Temperature Composite Index and Mixed-Frequency Models

The total electricity consumption(TEC)can accurately reflect the operation of the national economy,and the forecasting of the TEC can help predict the economic development trend,as well as provide insights for the formulation of macro policies.Nowadays,high-frequency and massive multi-source data provide a new way to predict the TEC.In this paper,a"seasonal-cumulative temperature index"is constructed based on high-frequency temperature data,and a mixed-frequency prediction model based on multi-source big data(Mixed Data Sampling with Monthly Temperature and Daily Temperature index,MIDAS-MT-DT)is proposed.Experimental results show that the MIDAS-MT-DT model achieves higher prediction accuracy,and the"seasonal-cumulative temperature index"can improve prediction accuracy.

Research on Prediction and Early Warning of A-Share Market Volatility Based on HAR-Type Models

Based on the different premium volatility characteristics of various systematic factors in the A-share market, this paper constructs six representative high-frequency volatility prediction models that consider multiple complex risk structures. On this basis, a detailed comparative analysis of the differences in volatility characteristics among various factors is conducted, and the optimal prediction and early warning framework for the A-share market is proposed. Research shows that: 1) The volatility research results only for individual market indexes are not universally representative. 2) The fluctuation characteristics among different systematic factors and their respective optimal prediction model frameworks generally have significant differences, that is, there is no single fixed combination of model parameters. 3) Complex risk characteristics such as long memory, measurement errors, and high-frequency jump fluctuations obviously exist in the A-share market. The optimal forecast and early warning framework for the A-share market can be constructed by a combination of models that consider one or more of the above risk characteristics. The above conclusions have important practical reference value for the risk warning and prevention of the A-share market and the formulation of related policies.

Study on the Intraday Pattern and the Dynamic Correlation Among Return,Volume and Open Interest——Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures Markets

This paper uses minute by minute data series from Chinese commodity futures markets to study patterns of intraday effect and discovers the L pattern of absolute return and volume.It is different from stock market,which has a distinctive pattern of U-shaped.The financial market microstructure theory,traders' psychology and trading mechanism are applied to explain it.Then this paper studies the factors that influence volatility of return and the lagged orders.The results show that there is a bilateral Granger causality among any two of the absolute return,volume and open interest,and it is different from the empirical results of the stock market,in the sense that there is only a unilateral Granger causal relationship from volume to absolute return.The authors also analyze the dynamic relationship among these three factors.The empirical results tell that the influence of open interest on volatility of absolute return and volume is weak,and there is a strong correlation between absolute return and volume.Some investment suggestions are offered from the analysis mentioned above.

Predicting Trend of High Frequency CSI 300 Index Using Adaptive Input Selection and Machine Learning Techniques

High-frequency stock trend prediction using machine learners has raised substantial interest in literature. Nevertheless, there is no gold standard to select the inputs for the learners. This paper investigates the approach of adaptive input selection(AIS) for the trend prediction of high-frequency stock index price and compares it with the commonly used deterministic input setting(DIS) approach.The DIS approach is implemented through computation of technical indicator values on deterministic period parameters. The AIS approach selects the most suitable indicators and their parameters for the time-varying dataset using feature selection methods. Two state-of-the-art machine learners, support vector machine(SVM) and artificial neural network(ANN), are adopted as learning models. Accuracy and F-measure of SVM and ANN models with both the approaches are computed based on the high-frequency data of CSI 300 index. The results suggest that the AIS approach using t-statistics,information gain and ROC methods can achieve better prediction performance than the DIS approach.Also, the investment performance evaluation shows that the AIS approach with the same three feature selection methods provides significantly higher returns than the DIS approach.

Intraday Volatility Spillover between the Shanghai and Hong Kong Stock Markets—Evidence from A+H Shares after the Launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect

Using minute data of eligible A+H stocks under the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect(SHHKSC),we investigate the volatility spillover between the Shanghai and Hong Kong stock markets based on a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity-X(GARCH-X)model with four exogenous variables,namely,volatilities of the corresponding stocks on the other market,volatilities of the indexes of both stock markets,and volatilities of the correlated stocks,which are selected using the dynamic conditional correlation model and bootstrap approach.Results show that after the launch of the SHHKSC,volatility spillovers are significant in both directions almost all the time,and the volatility spillover between the two stock markets tends to be larger when bidirectional capital flows under the SHHKSC increase or when important financial events occur.We also analyze the influences of the volatilities of correlated stocks and industries on the volatility spillover and volatilities of A+H stocks.The bidirectional volatility spillovers between Shanghai and Hong Kong stock markets do not change qualitatively after incorporating the volatilities of correlated stocks and industries in the GARCH-X model.Moreover,the average volatilities of the correlated stocks are shown to have significant influences on the volatilities of individual A+H stocks,and the influences increase when the local stock market shows a sharp rise or fall.Compared with the market indexes,the correlated stocks could be regarded as a more important and indispensable factor for individual A+H stocks’volatilities modeling,which may carry more information than the industry.