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Impact of BRICS Trade Facilitation on China's Exports Using Cross-Border E-Commerce
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作者 Longling LI Kaimei CHEN Zijian LONG 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2024年第5期1-7,共7页
With the rapid growth of the global digital economy, cross-border e-commerce, as an emerging form of trade, has gradually become a powerful engine to promote the development of global trade. BRICS is an important forc... With the rapid growth of the global digital economy, cross-border e-commerce, as an emerging form of trade, has gradually become a powerful engine to promote the development of global trade. BRICS is an important force in the global economy, and the progress of the BRICS countries' trade facilitation level has an important impact on the global trade environment. This paper conducts an in-depth study of the dynamic changes in BRICS trade facilitation from 2013 to 2022, and uses an extended gravity model to analyze the specific impact of this change on China's exports using cross-border e-commerce. The results show that although the BRICS countries have made some progress in trade facilitation, the overall level still needs to be improved, and there are obvious differences among member countries. However, the improvement of trade facilitation among BRICS countries has undoubtedly brought significant positive effects to China's exports using cross-border e-commerce. 展开更多
关键词 Trade facilitation BRICS Cross-border e-commerce export trade
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China:In the fourth quarter of 2023,exports of yarn and fabric to ASEAN ceased declining and rebounded
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《China Textile》 2024年第1期22-23,共2页
On January 8th,the China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Textiles released data showing that in the fourth quarter,China’s textile and clothing exports gradually stabilised.The proportion of intermediate... On January 8th,the China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Textiles released data showing that in the fourth quarter,China’s textile and clothing exports gradually stabilised.The proportion of intermediate exports in textile and clothing exports continued to rise,providing a new impetus for the substantial expansion of exports to traditional markets and international supply chain cooperation. 展开更多
关键词 export QUARTER FOURTH
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Impact of foreign direct investment on the exports of five major sectors of Pakistan’s economy:A governance perspective
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作者 Kamran Farid Tahir Mahmood +1 位作者 Muhammad Mumtaz Sarfraz Hussain Ansari 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2023年第3期181-188,共8页
This study investigates and analyses empirically the impact of Foreign Direct Investment(FDI)inflows on the exports for a panel series of five large-scale manufacturing industries of Pakistan during the period 2000-20... This study investigates and analyses empirically the impact of Foreign Direct Investment(FDI)inflows on the exports for a panel series of five large-scale manufacturing industries of Pakistan during the period 2000-2020.For this purpose,we establish export production function as based on endogenous growth theory in which role of FDI is considered as additional determinant of export.The Pedroni residual-based co-integration test and Error Correction Model(ECM)are applied for the long and short-run relationships.Pedroni residual based approach highlighted that human capitals,domestic capitals,foreign direct investments,exports,and domestic sales are co-integrated in the long run.According to results of ECM,coefficient of FDI appears to have statistical significant impact on exports and has a positive sign in the long run.Whereas,FDI does not contribute to export growth in the short run but it takes time to influence the growth patterns of the sector.On the basis of theoretical notion of endogenous growth theory,long-run coefficient of FDI may be interpreted as evidence in favour of the hypotheses that FDI has an impact on exports via export development.Thus,it can be concluded that“FDI-based endogenous growth theory”is valid in the case of Pakistan. 展开更多
关键词 FDI exports Panel Data Pakistan
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Does Innovation Matter for Chinese High-Tech Exports? A Firm-Level Analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Dahai Fu Yanrui Wu Yihong Tang 《Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities》 2012年第2期218-245,共28页
Abstract This paper investigates the impact of innovation on export decisions of Chinese high-tech firms during the period of 2005-2007. Using a parametric, instrumental variable approach and a non-parametric matching... Abstract This paper investigates the impact of innovation on export decisions of Chinese high-tech firms during the period of 2005-2007. Using a parametric, instrumental variable approach and a non-parametric matching method, we find that firm-level innovation efforts, measured by R&D spending and new product output, play only a minor role for domestic exporters. Foreign-invested firms dominate the high-tech exports but do not rely on indigenous innovation activities. These results demonstrate that the success of Chinese high-tech exports does not result from heavy R&D expenditure and technological progress. Moreover, different types of innovation measures show different impacts on the likelihood of exporting. The impacts of innovation on exporting vary widely across industries and Chinese regions. 展开更多
关键词 exports INNOVATION high technology China
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How do green product exports affect carbon emissions?Evidence from China
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作者 Kangyin Dong Jiaman Li Xiucheng Dong 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2023年第2期43-51,共9页
Green development has become an increasingly important global initiative.Therefore,this study focuses on the impact of green product exports on carbon emissions in China.Firm-level datasets are used to estimate provin... Green development has become an increasingly important global initiative.Therefore,this study focuses on the impact of green product exports on carbon emissions in China.Firm-level datasets are used to estimate provincial green product exports between 2001-2016.This study estimates the impact of green exports on carbon emissions using the system generalized method of moments methodology.In addition,heterogeneity and asymmetry of the nexus are explored.The following findings are highlighted:(1)China’s green product exports show a significant upward trend during the study period;(2)increased green product exports,especially those of high-technology manufacturers,can effectively mitigate CO_(2) emissions;(3)the influence of green product exports on carbon emissions is regional heterogeneous but consistent across quantiles;and(4)technique and scale effects are significant mediators,whereas the composition effect is not.These findings provide new evidence supporting methods to mitigate China’s CO_(2) emissions by adjusting green product export structures. 展开更多
关键词 Green product exports CO_(2)emissions Mediation effect
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Does Green Food Certification promote agri-food export quality?Evidence from China
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作者 Ping Wei Hongman Liu +1 位作者 Chaokai Xu Shibin Wen 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第3期1061-1074,共14页
The construction of a food certification system plays a vital role in upgrading export quality, which previous studies have largely overlooked. We match China's industry-level data of Green Food Certification with... The construction of a food certification system plays a vital role in upgrading export quality, which previous studies have largely overlooked. We match China's industry-level data of Green Food Certification with its HS6-digit export data of agri-food products to quantify the impact of Green Food Certification on export quality. We identify the significant and positive effect of Green Food Certification on export quality. The 2SLS estimation based on instrumental variables and a range of robustness checks confirm the validity and robustness of the benchmark conclusions. Further analysis discloses that Green Food Certification improves export quality by raising agricultural production efficiency and brand premiums. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the effect of Green Food Certification varies across regions, notably improving the quality of agri-food products exported to developed regions and regions with high levels of import supervision. Furthermore, among various product types, Green Food Certification significantly improves the export quality of primary products and products vulnerable to non-tariff measures. The above findings could guide the future development of agri-food quality certification systems, potentially leading to a transformation and promotion of the agri-food trade. 展开更多
关键词 Green Food Certification agri-food products green transformation export quality food labeling
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Building the ARIMA Model for Forecasting the Production of Vietnam’s Coffee Export
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作者 Duy Quang Phung Quoc Thang Trinh +4 位作者 Quang Truong Do Ngan Giang Nguyen Van Ha Nguyen Gia Khiem Ngo Thi Minh Ngoc Tran 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2024年第4期1237-1246,共10页
Coffee is a significant industry, accounting for 3% of Vietnam’s GDP, with annual export turnover consistently exceeding USD 3 billion. Despite global economic challenges affecting purchasing power at various times, ... Coffee is a significant industry, accounting for 3% of Vietnam’s GDP, with annual export turnover consistently exceeding USD 3 billion. Despite global economic challenges affecting purchasing power at various times, Vietnam’s coffee exports in December 2023 continued to surge, reaching the highest level in the past 9 months at 190,000 tons, a 59.3% increase compared to November 2023, but still a slight 3.5% decrease from the same period last year. The export turnover reached USD 538 million, a 51% increase from November 2023 and a 26.4% increase from the same period last year. Therefore, forecasting the coffee export volume holds significant importance for coffee producers nationwide. This research employs the Box-Jenkins method to construct an ARIMA model for forecasting Vietnam’s coffee export volume based on annual data published by the General Statistics Office. Results indicate that among the models considered, the ARIMA(1, 1, 2) model is the most suitable. The study also provides short-term forecasts for Vietnam’s coffee export volume. However, the current model is limited to forecasting and is not yet optimized, as the assumed linearity in the model is a simplification. 展开更多
关键词 ARIMA Forecasting Coffee export Volume Data Science
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Analysis of the Impact of Technical Trade Barriers on the Export of Toys-Based on Analysis of Zhejiang,China
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作者 LIU Ningning CHEN Xiaoxi 《Chinese Business Review》 2024年第1期37-46,共10页
Technical barriers to trade,as a non-tariff barrier,have an increasing impact on the international market.As a major province in toy exports,Zhejiang Province’s toy export trade is therefore greatly hindered.This art... Technical barriers to trade,as a non-tariff barrier,have an increasing impact on the international market.As a major province in toy exports,Zhejiang Province’s toy export trade is therefore greatly hindered.This article aims to explore the impact of technical trade barriers on toy exports in Zhejiang Province and analyze countermeasures.Through literature review and some empirical analysis,it is found that technical trade barriers have greatly promoted the development of Zhejiang’s toy industry;however,they have also subjected it to impacts and pressures such as cost and technology.In response to the impact of technical trade barriers on toy exports,this article proposes corresponding countermeasures to avoid such barriers:firstly,establish a quality management system that complies with export product regulations to ensure that the products produced can meet international requirements and standards;secondly,reduce dependence on overseas markets;then enhance one’s own technology,and strengthen product innovation,in order to enhance the international competitiveness of the product and oneself;in addition,we should also explore diversified markets and expand the sales channels and coverage of our products. 展开更多
关键词 technical trade barriers Zhejiang Province export of toys countermeasure analysis
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Mysterious Exporter for Brassinosteroid First Identified
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《Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences》 2024年第1期50-51,共2页
It is impossible for plants to grow and reproduce without being regulated by phytohormones.One of the phytohormones is the brassinosteroid(BR)hormones,also named as the sixth phytohormone.
关键词 export impossible sixth
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Research on the Threshold Effect of China’s Pharmaceutical Export Trade on Internal and External R&D Investment
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作者 Qiao Jiahui Song Yu +1 位作者 Gong Jingran Chen Yuwen 《Asian Journal of Social Pharmacy》 2024年第2期135-146,共12页
Objective To study the threshold effect of export trade on internal and external R&D investment in China’s pharmaceutical industry,and to provide reference for some pharmaceutical enterprises to improve the inves... Objective To study the threshold effect of export trade on internal and external R&D investment in China’s pharmaceutical industry,and to provide reference for some pharmaceutical enterprises to improve the investment.Methods The panel data of pharmaceutical industry in 25 provinces and cities in China from 2009 to 2019 were selected to conduct empirical analysis by establishing a threshold regression model,and a better export trade interval was obtained.Results and Conclusion There is a threshold value for the effect of new product export on both internal and external R&D expenditures,and the threshold values are 845.2788 million yuan and 318.4198 million yuan,respectively.There is a single threshold effect of export trade on both internal and external R&D investment in China’s pharmaceutical industry,and the effect of export trade on internal and external R&D investment changes from negative to positive as the export trade develops from low to high. 展开更多
关键词 pharmaceutical industry threshold effect export trade R&D investment
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Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural exports 被引量:5
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作者 LIN Ben-xi Yu Yvette ZHANG 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第12期2937-2945,共9页
The COVID-19 outbreak has shocked the world’s economies in the year of 2020.As this pandemic spreads around the globe,many experts feared that the global food supplies might start running short,especially if supply c... The COVID-19 outbreak has shocked the world’s economies in the year of 2020.As this pandemic spreads around the globe,many experts feared that the global food supplies might start running short,especially if supply chains were disrupted.COVID-19 also added to the uncertainty of the business operation.Therefore,it is critical to understand how COVID-19 pandemic affected global food supply and market.In this study,we investigate the impact of COVID-19 on agricultural export companies in China using a unique firm-level survey data.We found that although on average agricultural businesses experienced declines in the exports,exports of some agricultural products especially grain and oil held strong and even increased,implying the essential demand for staple food during the pandemic.Not surprisingly,exports of medicinal herb also increased significantly during the pandemic.However,exports of goods such as edible fungus and horticultural products sharply decreased.Our results also showed that in general,impact of COVID-19 on smaller firms was more severe than that on larger firms.The results of this study can provide useful guidance and implications for agricultural businesses and policy makers on their COVID-19 mitigation efforts to navigate this global pandemic. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 PANDEMIC agricultural exports business survey international trade China
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Relationship between the Environment and Economic Growth in China via Exports: A Perspective of Ecological Impact (2000-2014) 被引量:2
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作者 Guillermo Velázquez Valadez Jiaqi Hu 《Journal of Environmental Protection》 2016年第11期1670-1692,共23页
China’s swift and substantial economic growth over the past 20 years has made the country one of the top industrial powers in the world, second only the United States. From the perspective of ecology and the impact o... China’s swift and substantial economic growth over the past 20 years has made the country one of the top industrial powers in the world, second only the United States. From the perspective of ecology and the impact on the environment produced by economic and industrial growth, the exports that have driven rapid growth have also resulted in an alarming level of environmental pollution in major Chinese cities. Research has shown that the Chinese government’s investment in bringing down pollution levels has been insufficient and ineffective. The monetary amount allocated for pollution reduction has barely reached 0.15% of the country’s GDP and has failed to meaningfully reverse the effects of industrialization, including increased exports and economic growth rates affecting China’s ecology. The present study investigated China’s ecological situation in terms of the industrial production that has generated its level of exports, with special focus on problems related to water, air, and solid waste. An econometric analysis was conducted to determine the relationship between the main variables. The exports and GDP (dependent variable), air pollution, water pollution, and industrial solid waste (independent variables) were provided by the Institute of Statistics and the Environment Institute of China for this study. The data was managed in Econometric Eviews 7.0 software and yielded an adjusted R<sup>2 </sup>of 96.09% (high correlation) with an interesting correlation between the exports and three independent variables;after subsequent variable analysis, we found that investments in water and industrial solid waste were not significant (i.e., that said investments have failed to solve the pollution problem). It is necessary to review the Chinese investment policy with special attention to these variables to appropriately respond to China’s ecological crisis. 展开更多
关键词 Economic Growth Environment exports POLLUTION Gross Domestic Product
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Discussion on the Promotion of Exports is the Only Path for Development in Developing Nations
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作者 袁兴 《海外英语》 2011年第2X期284-285,共2页
Nowdays, some people think the promotion of exports as the only way for development in developing counties. However, I disagree with this idea. Admittedly, export can increase the foreign exchange reserves and enlarge... Nowdays, some people think the promotion of exports as the only way for development in developing counties. However, I disagree with this idea. Admittedly, export can increase the foreign exchange reserves and enlarge the overall revenues of a county. According to the formula GDP=C+I+G+X-M, besides the net export, domestic consumption and investment are also other two indispensable paths to improve the GDP of a developing county. 展开更多
关键词 the PROMOTION of exports DEVELOPING
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Study on Building an Econometric Model of Canada's Newsprint Exports to the United States of America
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作者 Liu JunchangCollege of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry UniversityG. HazenbergSchool of Forestry, Lakehead University ,Canada 《北京林业大学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 1992年第S2期130-141,共12页
For predictive purposes and for understanding the relationship between the US market and Canadian newsprint producers an econometric model was built. In this study, a simultaneous-equation model was developed, which c... For predictive purposes and for understanding the relationship between the US market and Canadian newsprint producers an econometric model was built. In this study, a simultaneous-equation model was developed, which consisted of four equations, one each for the supply, export, consumption and price of newsprint. The period of 1955-1986 was covered by this model. The data for the years 1985 and 1986 were reserved to test the predictive power of the model. In fitting the four equations for the period of 1955 -1984, the coefficients of determination, the R -square values, between observed and predicted values were higher than 99 per cent. The test results of the forecasting power showed that there was no statistically significant difference between predicted and observed values at the 5 per cent level of significance. Sources of forecasting error are expressed as three partial inequality coefficients associated with bias, variance and covariance of predicted and observed values. The error could not be 展开更多
关键词 simultaneous-equation model NEWSPRINT supply export consumption PRICE
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Agricultural Exports Competitiveness of Pakistan in Global Market
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作者 Majid Lateef Tong Guang-ji +3 位作者 Muhammad Usman Riaz Mazhir Nadeem Ishaq Muhammad Abdullah Zeeshan Ahmad 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2018年第2期77-87,共11页
Agricultural sector is a major source of employment and export earnings for Pakistan. Exports of Pakistan are highly concentrated in agricultural products including cotton, rice, sugar and fruit. This study analyzed c... Agricultural sector is a major source of employment and export earnings for Pakistan. Exports of Pakistan are highly concentrated in agricultural products including cotton, rice, sugar and fruit. This study analyzed comparative and competitive advantages of the main agricultural products of Pakistan, i.e. cotton, rice and tangerines. Consumption patterns of top exporting countries in each category were also analyzed. Results revealed that Pakistan had strong competitiveness for export of these commodities. Strong potential for growth in the agricultural sector of Pakistan was found and it could be optimized to raise export earnings and meet the objectives of the strategic trade policy framework (STPF) 2015-2018 of Pakistan. 展开更多
关键词 agricultural trade comparative advantage COMPETITIVENESS export Pakistan
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Competitive Potential in Clothing Exports for Hong Kong and the Interior of China
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作者 Au Kinfan(区健勋) 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2001年第3期42-48,共7页
Hong Kong and the Interior of China are leading clothing exporters in the world. Together they accounted for nearly 29 percent of the global clothing exports in 1999.The paper is basically divided into two parts. Firs... Hong Kong and the Interior of China are leading clothing exporters in the world. Together they accounted for nearly 29 percent of the global clothing exports in 1999.The paper is basically divided into two parts. Firstly, it discusses that high world market share is an indicator of competitiveness for the product. From United Nations statistics, it was identified that Hong Kong and the Interior of China were competitive in certain discrete clothing items and a trend was apparent in the production shift of labour intensive clothing items from Hong Kong to the Mainland as witnessed from 1987-1993. With the revised statistical classification system in clothing items released by United Nations, second part of the paper further investigates the broad clothing categories of knitted and woven garments from 1987-1998. It was discovered that Hong Kong was traditionally more competitive in knitted garments while the Interior of China possessed advantages in the manufacture of woven items. Taking the labour cost advantage of the Interior of China and the marketing strengths of Hong Kong, their co-operation for clothing production is considered complementary to each other and able to foster synergistic effects. 展开更多
关键词 Competitiveness world market share KNITTED and woven garments CLOTHING exports.
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Improve the Competitiveness and Value of Rice Exports of the Mekong Delta Provinces
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作者 Nguyen Thi Tuong Vi Tianjun Liu 《Agricultural Sciences》 2019年第6期707-719,共13页
Purpose: Vietnam rice has long been a product of international stature. In the commodity export of Vietnam, rice always plays as key agricultural commodities, with contributions billions of dollars each year in total ... Purpose: Vietnam rice has long been a product of international stature. In the commodity export of Vietnam, rice always plays as key agricultural commodities, with contributions billions of dollars each year in total export value. It not only contributes to the overall growth of the economy, but also gradually affirms Vietnam’s position on the international rice market. According to General Statistics Office, in 2012, Vietnam produced 43.7 million tonnes of rice and exported record 8.047 million tonnes of rice, contributing to the total export value of $3.689 million. However, it has not still been commensurate with the value and potential of rice from Vietnam. In addition, the fact is that in recent years, although export rice increased sharply, bringing many records for Vietnam, it had lower prices than other rice exporting countries (Thailand, India, Pakistan). So what is the cause and solution to enhance competitiveness and promote export of rice products in Viet Nam? In the increasingly complex international context, besides socio-economic development, security and national defense, food security has become a matter of international concern. The article first discusses the competitiveness, the value of rice exports and the need to improve competitiveness and export value of rice in the Mekong Delta. Then, there are some solutions proposed to improve the competitiveness and export of rice in the Mekong Delta in the coming time. 展开更多
关键词 MEKONG DELTA Rice export FOOD Security The COMPETITIVENESS
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Analyzing the Relation between Greek Paper and Paperboard Imports and Exports with Macroeconomic Variables
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作者 Panagiotis Koulelis 《Open Journal of Forestry》 2014年第5期431-438,共8页
This paper describes the relation between Greek imports and exports of paper and paperboard and a number of major macroeconomic variables, such as population, gross domestic product, the industrial production index an... This paper describes the relation between Greek imports and exports of paper and paperboard and a number of major macroeconomic variables, such as population, gross domestic product, the industrial production index and domestic round wood production. The Pearson correlation coefficient and multiple regression analysis were employed in the analysis of the data. The study shows that there is no significant relation between paper and paperboard imports as a dependent variable and population, gross domestic product and domestic round wood production as independent variables. Despite this, an acceptable model is constructed using only gross domestic product as an independent variable. The study also shows that there is a significant relation between the export of paper and paperboard and gross domestic product, the industrial production index and round wood production. The results indicate that gross domestic product as an independent variable has the greatest effect on wood imports and exports in Greece during the period studied. Using these models is confirmed that the use of socioeconomic variables and the construction of future scenarios for the Greek forest sector is very efficient considering the special characteristics of the Greek economy. These models could help the establishment of economic growth, the reduction of the financial and ecological deficit, the implementation of economic reforms and to increase new investments. 展开更多
关键词 GREEK Forest Sector PAPER IMPORTS exports Forecasts MACROECONOMIC Variables
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Effect of forest thinning on hydrologic nitrate exports from a Nsaturated plantation
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作者 Masaaki Chiwa Hirokazu Haga +5 位作者 Tamao Kasahara Makiko Tateishi Takami Saito Hiroaki Kato Kyoichi Otsuki Yuichi Onda 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第2期387-395,共9页
Although several studies have assessed the effects of thinning on water quality,including nitrogen(N)exports,few have examined N-saturated plantations.This study assessed the short-term effect of thinning on N exports... Although several studies have assessed the effects of thinning on water quality,including nitrogen(N)exports,few have examined N-saturated plantations.This study assessed the short-term effect of thinning on N exports from a N-saturated plantation forest in northern Kyushu,western Japan,that was thinned(43%of basal area)during January-March 2012.Water levels at the gauging station were continually measured,and streamwater baseflow and stormflow samples were collected before(2011)and after(2013)forest thinning.Annual precipitation before(2469 mm)and after(2418 mm)forest thinning differed little,and annual water discharge after thinning(1641 mm)was similar to that before thinning(1609 mm).However,direct flow during stormflow periods was higher after thinning(260 mm)than before(153 mm).The concentrations of major ions in stream water did not differ before and after thinning.As a result,the high annual dissolved inorganic N(DIN)exports differed little before(35.8 kg N ha^-1 a^-1)and after(36.5 kg N ha^-1 a^-1)forest thinning.DIN exports during stormflow periods were slightly higher after(12.2 kg N ha^-1 a^-1)than before thinning(10.5 kg N ha^-1 a^-1)and were proportional to the increased direct flow after thinning(561 mm after vs.470 mm before thinning).We concluded that thinning does not affect annual N exports from the N-saturated plantation forest,but it can increase the proportion of N exported during stormflow periods in proportion to increased water volume of direct flow after thinning. 展开更多
关键词 THINNING Nitrogen saturation Nitrogen export Direct flow BASEFLOW
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Empirically Analysis of the CO_2 Emissions Embodied in Exports of China 被引量:1
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作者 Zhu Qirong 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2011年第3期86-96,共11页
In this paper,using the input-output model,the author first calculated the CO 2 emissions embodied in exports of China in 2002 and 2007.Then,the author empirically analyzed problems existing in the composition of expo... In this paper,using the input-output model,the author first calculated the CO 2 emissions embodied in exports of China in 2002 and 2007.Then,the author empirically analyzed problems existing in the composition of exported products and analyzed its possible reasons.The research results of this paper are as follows:Since China's entry into WTO,the CO 2 emissions embodied in exports of China have been increasing rapidly;the value of exported products of high-carbon emissions industries accounts for a relatively higher proportion to China's total exports value because China's carbon intensive products have a certain competitive advantage.Additionally,this paper has put forward relevant suggestions based on these results. 展开更多
关键词 二氧化碳排放量 出口产品 经验分析 中国 投入产出模型 科研成果 竞争优势 WTO
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