Probabilistic reliability model established by insufficient data is inaccessible. The convex model was applied to model the uncertainties of variables. A new non-probabilistic reliability model was proposed based on t...Probabilistic reliability model established by insufficient data is inaccessible. The convex model was applied to model the uncertainties of variables. A new non-probabilistic reliability model was proposed based on the robustness of system to uncertainty. The non-probabilistic reliability model,the infinite norm model,and the probabilistic model were used to assess the reliability of a steel beam,respectively. The results show that the resistance is allowed to couple with the action effect in the non-probabilistic reliability model. Additionally,the non-probabilistic reliability model becomes the same accurate as probabilistic model with the increase of the bounded uncertain information. The model is decided by the available data and information.展开更多
The non-probabilistic approach to fatigue life analysis was studied using the convex models-interval, ellipsoidal and multiconvex models. The lower and upper bounds of the fatigue life were obtained by using the secon...The non-probabilistic approach to fatigue life analysis was studied using the convex models-interval, ellipsoidal and multiconvex models. The lower and upper bounds of the fatigue life were obtained by using the second-order Taylor series and Lagrange multiplier method. The solving process for derivatives of the implicit life function was presented. Moreover, a median ellipsoidal model was proposed which can take into account the sample blind zone and almost impossibility of concurrence of some small probability events. The Monte Carlo method for multi-convex model was presented, an important alternative when the analytical method does not work. A project example was given. The feasibility and rationality of the presented approach were verified. It is also revealed that the proposed method is conservative compared to the traditional probabilistic method, but it is a useful complement when it is difficult to obtain the accurate probability densities of parameters.展开更多
基金Sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51008100)the Ministry of Science and Technology(Grant No.2011CB013604)+2 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province,China(Grant No.ZR2001EEQ028)the Science and Technology Planning Project of Weihai(Grant No.2010-3-96)the Natural Scientific Research Innovation Foundation in Harbin Institute of Technology(Grant No.HIT.NSRIF.201009)
文摘Probabilistic reliability model established by insufficient data is inaccessible. The convex model was applied to model the uncertainties of variables. A new non-probabilistic reliability model was proposed based on the robustness of system to uncertainty. The non-probabilistic reliability model,the infinite norm model,and the probabilistic model were used to assess the reliability of a steel beam,respectively. The results show that the resistance is allowed to couple with the action effect in the non-probabilistic reliability model. Additionally,the non-probabilistic reliability model becomes the same accurate as probabilistic model with the increase of the bounded uncertain information. The model is decided by the available data and information.
基金supported by the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University of Chinathe Advanced Research Foundation of China (Grant No. 9140A27050109JB1112)
文摘The non-probabilistic approach to fatigue life analysis was studied using the convex models-interval, ellipsoidal and multiconvex models. The lower and upper bounds of the fatigue life were obtained by using the second-order Taylor series and Lagrange multiplier method. The solving process for derivatives of the implicit life function was presented. Moreover, a median ellipsoidal model was proposed which can take into account the sample blind zone and almost impossibility of concurrence of some small probability events. The Monte Carlo method for multi-convex model was presented, an important alternative when the analytical method does not work. A project example was given. The feasibility and rationality of the presented approach were verified. It is also revealed that the proposed method is conservative compared to the traditional probabilistic method, but it is a useful complement when it is difficult to obtain the accurate probability densities of parameters.
