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Econometric Model to Estimate the Probability of Default and Loss Given Default in the EBA Stress Test in 2016
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作者 Salvador Climent-Serrano 《Journal of Economic Science Research》 2018年第1期11-16,共6页
In this research,an econometric with panel data using Ordinary least squares OLS model is constructed following the guidelines recommended by the EBA stress test methodology for 2016.The findings indicate that macroec... In this research,an econometric with panel data using Ordinary least squares OLS model is constructed following the guidelines recommended by the EBA stress test methodology for 2016.The findings indicate that macroeconomic factors affecting defaults are the expected ones in the Spanish credit institutions.However,loan impairments do not follow the patterns that a priori would be normal.Divergent is outcomes in defaults and impairments:the Non-Performing Loans(NPL)is pro-cyclical and impairment losses are counter-cyclical. 展开更多
关键词 NPL DELINQUENCY impairment losses Spanish banks Late payment Probability of default(PD) loss given default(LGD)
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Importance of Balance Sheet Composition in Stress Test Estimates
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作者 Salvador Climent Serrano Elisabeth Bustos-Contell Gregorio Labatut-Serer 《Journal of Economic Science Research》 2018年第1期1-4,共4页
The stress tests are based on macroeconomic variables for the estimations of the results.However,there are other factors that may influence them.This paper studies the influence of the balance sheet structure in the N... The stress tests are based on macroeconomic variables for the estimations of the results.However,there are other factors that may influence them.This paper studies the influence of the balance sheet structure in the NPL and the loss caused by the NPL using econometric models.The objective is to research how they affect the aggregates in the balance sheet to the delay in payment and the the provision for impairment,distinguishing these effects according to the economic cycle,so that can be applied to the stress test.The results show that the Balance sheet structure is important in delinquency and losses caused by it,especially in respect of stockholders'funds,ECB resources and the account Non-current assets held for sale.It also highlights the influence of the economic cycle and the different behavior of the NPL and the losses due to default with respect to the same explanatory variables. 展开更多
关键词 NPLs impairment losses Financial assets Economic cycle OLS EBA
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