Variational Inference Based Kernel Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Construction of Prediction Intervals for Industrial Time Series With Incomplete Input

Prediction intervals(PIs)for industrial time series can provide useful guidance for workers.Given that the failure of industrial sensors may cause the missing point in inputs,the existing kernel dynamic Bayesian networks(KDBN),serving as an effective method for PIs construction,suffer from high computational load using the stochastic algorithm for inference.This study proposes a variational inference method for the KDBN for the purpose of fast inference,which avoids the timeconsuming stochastic sampling.The proposed algorithm contains two stages.The first stage involves the inference of the missing inputs by using a local linearization based variational inference,and based on the computed posterior distributions over the missing inputs the second stage sees a Gaussian approximation for probability over the nodes in future time slices.To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method,a synthetic dataset and a practical dataset of generation flow of blast furnace gas(BFG)are employed with different ratios of missing inputs.The experimental results indicate that the proposed method can provide reliable PIs for the generation flow of BFG and it exhibits shorter computing time than the stochastic based one.

Real-time performance of periodic data transmission in EPA industrial Ethernet

To evaluate and improve the real-time performance of Ethernet for plant automation（EPA） industrial Ethernet,the real-time performance of EPA periodic data transmission was theoretically and experimentally studied.By analyzing information transmission regularity and EPA deterministic scheduling mechanism,periodic messages were categorized as different modes according to their entering-queue time.The scheduling characteristics and delivery time of each mode and their interacting relations were studied,during which the models of real-time performance of periodic information transmission in EPA system were established.On this basis,an experimental platform is developed to test the delivery time of periodic messages transmission in EPA system.According to the analysis and the experiment,the main factors that limit the real-time performance of EPA periodic data transmission and the improvement methods were proposed.

Mycoflora and Mycotoxicological Quality of Four Freshly Harvested Paddy Rice Cultivars and Relation with Harvest to Industry Reception Timing

Grain quality and safety of four freshly harvested paddy rice （Oryza sativa L.） cultivars （Epagri 109, SCS 114 Andosan, Tio Taka 113 and Epagri 115 CL） grown under irrigation system in the north of Santa Catarina State, Brazil were studied. The quality parameters evaluated were mycoflora, mycotoxins （aflatoxins, ochratoxin A and zearalenone）, water distribution （moisture content and water activity） apart from environmental conditions （relative humidity and temperature） and the relation between harvest and the industry reception timing. All cultivars presented an average waiting time of 8.6 h （ranged from 0.3 to 24.9 h）, a total fungi load of 8.6x104 cfu/mL （ranged from 1.8x103 to 9.4x105 cfu/mL） with a rather high humidity condition of 19.0% moisture content （varied from 14.9% to 24.5%） and 0.92 water activity （varied from 0.78 to 0.99） under the average environmental conditions of 87.3% relative humidity （varied from 80.0% to 96.8%） and 25.4 ~C （varied from 22.5 to 27.5 ~C）, respectively. The conditions to which the samples were submitted allowed fungal growth, but no mycotoxins were detected. Regarding the rice cultivars fungal genera isolated, Aspergillus and Penicillium were the most often isolated among all the cultivars and variation on fungi distribution among them was not observed. Moreover, it was not found a correlation of the grain loading ＆ unloading time with the humidity conditions and the total fungi load. Furthermore, all results and the importance of monitoring the rice mycotoxicological quality and safety were discussed.

China's Mining Industry Embraces Golden Time for External Investment

At the 2016(The 4th)International Summit Forum on Mining Development held on December 8,attending experts said,under dual pressures of meeting peak period of resource demand and confronting industry adjustment,over supply of global major mineral products will continue,in the next three to five years prices of mineral products may continue to

China's textile and garment industry productivity 14 times the U.S.

Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released the "China Industry Competitiveness Report(2012) NO.2",Guo Chaoxian,deputy director of Industrial Organization Office of Academy of Social Sciences Institute of Industrial Economics,said that

Sex Industry Moves with the Times

【选注者言:本文的末句是:Call girl services circumvent(本义:包围;智取)Japan’santi-prostitution law by saying they offer massages and beauty treatments for men。此句是否可译成:应召女郎的服务是对日本禁妓法律的一种“对策”,她们声称是在为男人提供按摩和治疗。我一直为“上有政策,下有对策”的翻译感到苦恼。现在好了,上面的circumvent似乎可以一用。Circumvent的英语释义是:to avoidor get around by artful maneuvering(用狡诈的策略避免或应付)。如:Sheplanned a way to circumvent all the bureaucratic red tape.(她计划避开官僚体制下的繁文缛礼)】