With debate that the U.S. trade deficit is due to overestimate exchange rate of RMB, the paper pointed out that exchange rate is not the main factor for the formation of balance of payments on trade. U.S. trade defici...With debate that the U.S. trade deficit is due to overestimate exchange rate of RMB, the paper pointed out that exchange rate is not the main factor for the formation of balance of payments on trade. U.S. trade deficit is largely due to the current international monetary system, international division of labor and the trade structure determined by it, low savings rates and other factors.展开更多
The international dollar standard is malfunctioning. Near-zero US short-term interest rates launch massive hot money outflows into emerging markets （EM） in Asia and Latin America. Each EM central bank buys dollars t...The international dollar standard is malfunctioning. Near-zero US short-term interest rates launch massive hot money outflows into emerging markets （EM） in Asia and Latin America. Each EM central bank buys dollars to prevent its currency from appreciating but loses monetary control. Despite some appreciation, average inflation in EMs is now much higher than in the old industrial economies and world commodity prices are bid up sharply. This inflation on the dollar ＇s periphery only registers in the US CPI with a long lag. However, the more immediate effect of the Fed＇s zero interest rate is to upset the process of bank intermediation within the American economy. Bank credit continues to decline while employment languishes. Therefore, constructive international monetary reform calls for the Fed to abandon its zero-interest rate policy, which is best done in cooperation with the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England also abandoning their ultra low interest rates.展开更多
This paper looks at the foreign exchange rates （FX rates） and specifically the RMB/US dollar exchange rate issue from the international political economy （IPE） perspective. It argues that in reality, the US-China ...This paper looks at the foreign exchange rates （FX rates） and specifically the RMB/US dollar exchange rate issue from the international political economy （IPE） perspective. It argues that in reality, the US-China debate on the renminbi （RMB） exchange rate and the new reform initiated on July 21,2005 is Hot only an economic issue, but more than that, an issue of political economy, that is determined by the dynamic interaction of various economic and political factors at both the national and international levels.展开更多
文摘With debate that the U.S. trade deficit is due to overestimate exchange rate of RMB, the paper pointed out that exchange rate is not the main factor for the formation of balance of payments on trade. U.S. trade deficit is largely due to the current international monetary system, international division of labor and the trade structure determined by it, low savings rates and other factors.
文摘The international dollar standard is malfunctioning. Near-zero US short-term interest rates launch massive hot money outflows into emerging markets （EM） in Asia and Latin America. Each EM central bank buys dollars to prevent its currency from appreciating but loses monetary control. Despite some appreciation, average inflation in EMs is now much higher than in the old industrial economies and world commodity prices are bid up sharply. This inflation on the dollar ＇s periphery only registers in the US CPI with a long lag. However, the more immediate effect of the Fed＇s zero interest rate is to upset the process of bank intermediation within the American economy. Bank credit continues to decline while employment languishes. Therefore, constructive international monetary reform calls for the Fed to abandon its zero-interest rate policy, which is best done in cooperation with the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England also abandoning their ultra low interest rates.
文摘This paper looks at the foreign exchange rates （FX rates） and specifically the RMB/US dollar exchange rate issue from the international political economy （IPE） perspective. It argues that in reality, the US-China debate on the renminbi （RMB） exchange rate and the new reform initiated on July 21,2005 is Hot only an economic issue, but more than that, an issue of political economy, that is determined by the dynamic interaction of various economic and political factors at both the national and international levels.
