Satellite lithium-ion battery remaining useful life estimation with an iterative updated RVM fused with the KF algorithm

Lithium-ion batteries have become the third-generation space batteries and are widely utilized in a series of spacecraft. Remaining Useful Life （RUL） estimation is essential to a spacecraft as the battery is a critical part and determines the lifetime and reliability. The Relevance Vector Machine （RVM） is a data-driven algorithm used to estimate a battery＇s RUL due to its sparse feature and uncertainty management capability. Especially, some of the regressive cases indicate that the RVM can obtain a better short-term prediction performance rather than long-term prediction. As a nonlinear kernel learning algorithm, the coefficient matrix and relevance vectors are fixed once the RVM training is conducted. Moreover, the RVM can be simply influenced by the noise with the training data. Thus, this work proposes an iterative updated approach to improve the long-term prediction performance for a battery＇s RUL prediction. Firstly, when a new estimator is output by the RVM, the Kalman filter is applied to optimize this estimator with a physical degradation model. Then, this optimized estimator is added into the training set as an on-line sample, the RVM model is re-trained, and the coefficient matrix and relevance vectors can be dynamically adjusted to make next iterative prediction. Experimental results with a commercial battery test data set and a satellite battery data set both indicate that the proposed method can achieve a better performance for RUL estimation.

Probabilistic data association algorithm based on ensemble Kalman filter with observation iterated update

Aiming at improving the observation uncertainty caused by limited accuracy of sensors,and the uncertainty of observation source in clutters,through the dynamic combination of ensemble Kalman filter(EnKF) and probabilistic data association(PDA),a novel probabilistic data association algorithm based on ensemble Kalman filter with observation iterated update is proposed.Firstly,combining with the advantages of data assimilation handling observation uncertainty in EnKF,an observation iterated update strategy is used to realize optimization of EnKF in structure.And the object is to further improve state estimation precision of nonlinear system.Secondly,the above algorithm is introduced to the framework of PDA,and the object is to increase reliability and stability of candidate echo acknowledgement.In addition,in order to decrease computation complexity in the combination of improved EnKF and PDA,the maximum observation iterated update mechanism is applied to the iteration of PDA.Finally,simulation results verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed algorithm by a typical target tracking scene in clutters.