NADARAYA-WATSON ESTIMATORS FOR REFLECTED STOCHASTIC PROCESSES

We study the Nadaraya-Watson estimators for the drift function of two-sided reflected stochastic differential equations.The estimates,based on either the continuously observed process or the discretely observed process,are considered.Under certain conditions,we prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the two estimators.Our method is also suitable for one-sided reflected stochastic differential equations.Simulation results demonstrate that the performance of our estimator is superior to that of the estimator proposed by Cholaquidis et al.(Stat Sin,2021,31:29-51).Several real data sets of the currency exchange rate are used to illustrate our proposed methodology.

Modeling and Performance Analysis of UAV-Aided Millimeter Wave Cellular Networks with Stochastic Geometry

UAV-aided cellular networks,millimeter wave(mm-wave) communications and multi-antenna techniques are viewed as promising components of the solution for beyond-5G(B5G) and even 6G communications.By leveraging the power of stochastic geometry,this paper aims at providing an effective framework for modeling and analyzing a UAV-aided heterogeneous cellular network,where the terrestrial base stations(TBSs) and the UAV base stations(UBSs) coexist,and the UBSs are provided with mm-wave and multi-antenna techniques.By modeling the TBSs as a PPP and the UBSs as a Matern hard-core point process of type Ⅱ(MPH-Ⅱ),approximated but accurate analytical results for the average rate of the typical user of both tiers are derived through an approximation method based on the mean interference-to-signal ratio(MISR) gain.The influence of some relevant parameters is discussed in detail,and some insights into the network deployment and optimization are revealed.Numerical results show that some trade-offs are worthy of being considered,such as the antenna array size,the altitude of the UAVs and the power control factor of the UBSs.

The Limit Distribution of Stochastic Evolution Equations Driven by-Stable Non-Gaussian Noise

We study the distribution limit of a class of stochastic evolution equation driven by an additive-stable Non-Gaussian process in the case of α∈(1,2).We prove that,under suitable conditions,the law of the solution converges weakly to the law of a stochastic evolution equation with an additive Gaussian process.

Outage Probability Analysis for D2D-Enabled Heterogeneous Cellular Networks with Exclusion Zone:A Stochastic Geometry Approach

Interference management is one of the most important issues in the device-to-device(D2D)-enabled heterogeneous cellular networks(HetCNets)due to the coexistence of massive cellular and D2D devices in which D2D devices reuse the cellular spectrum.To alleviate the interference,an efficient interference management way is to set exclusion zones around the cellular receivers.In this paper,we adopt a stochastic geometry approach to analyze the outage probabilities of cellular and D2D users in the D2D-enabled HetCNets.The main difficulties contain three aspects:1)how to model the location randomness of base stations,cellular and D2D users in practical networks;2)how to capture the randomness and interrelation of cellular and D2D transmissions due to the existence of random exclusion zones;3)how to characterize the different types of interference and their impacts on the outage probabilities of cellular and D2D users.We then run extensive Monte-Carlo simulations which manifest that our theoretical model is very accurate.

Pricing Study on Two Kinds of Power Options in Jump-Diffusion Models with Fractional Brownian Motion and Stochastic Rate

In this paper, under the assumption that the exchange rate follows the extended Vasicek model, the pricing of the reset option in FBM model is investigated. Some interesting themes such as closed-form formulas for the reset option with a single reset date and the phenomena of delta of the reset jumps existing in the reset option during the reset date are discussed. The closed-form formulae of pricing for two kinds of power options are derived in the end.

Stochastic Analysis of Interconnect Delay in the Presence of Process Variations

Process variations can reduce the accuracy in estimation of interconnect performance. This work presents a process variation based stochastic model and proposes an effective analytical method to estimate interconnect delay. The technique decouples the stochastic interconnect segments by an improved decoupling method. Combined with a polynomial chaos expression （PCE）, this paper applies the stochastic Galerkin method （SGM） to analyze the system response. A finite representation of interconnect delay is then obtained with the complex approximation method and the bisection method. Results from the analysis match well with those from SPICE. Moreover, the method shows good computational efficiency, as the running time is much less than the SPICE simulation＇s.

An Extended Birth-Death Processes with Catastrophes——Stochastically Monotone, Feller and Symmetric Properties

A new structure with the special property that catastrophes is imposed to ordinary Birth_Death processes is considered. The necessary and sufficient conditions of stochastically monotone, Feller and symmetric properties for the extended birth_death processes with catastrophes are obtained.

Data driven particle size estimation of hematite grinding process using stochastic configuration network with robust technique

As a production quality index of hematite grinding process,particle size(PS)is hard to be measured in real time.To achieve the PS estimation,this paper proposes a novel data driven model of PS using stochastic configuration network(SCN)with robust technique,namely,robust SCN(RSCN).Firstly,this paper proves the universal approximation property of RSCN with weighted least squares technique.Secondly,three robust algorithms are presented by employing M-estimation with Huber loss function,M-estimation with interquartile range(IQR)and nonparametric kernel density estimation(NKDE)function respectively to set the penalty weight.Comparison experiments are first carried out based on the UCI standard data sets to verify the effectiveness of these methods,and then the data-driven PS model based on the robust algorithms are established and verified.Experimental results show that the RSCN has an excellent performance for the PS estimation.

Stability of Stochastic Logistic Model with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process for Cell Growth of Microorganism in Fermentation Process

Current research is concerned with the stability of stochastic logistic equation with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. First, this research proves that the stochastic logistic model with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process has a positive solution. After that, it also introduces the sufficient conditions for stochastically stability of stochastic logistic model for cell growth of microorganism in fermentation process for positive equilibrium point by using Lyapunov function. In addition, this research establishes the sufficient conditions for zero solution as mentioned in Appendix A due to the cell growth of microorganism μmax, which cannot be negative in fermentation process. Furthermore, for numerical simulation, current research uses the 4-stage stochastic Runge-Kutta (SRK4) method to show the reality of the results.

AWeighted Average Finite Difference Scheme for the Numerical Solution of Stochastic Parabolic Partial Differential Equations

In the present paper,the numerical solution of It?type stochastic parabolic equation with a timewhite noise process is imparted based on a stochastic finite difference scheme.At the beginning,an implicit stochastic finite difference scheme is presented for this equation.Some mathematical analyses of the scheme are then discussed.Lastly,to ascertain the efficacy and accuracy of the suggested technique,the numerical results are discussed and compared with the exact solution.

Maximum principle for anticipated recursive stochastic optimal control problem with delay and Lvy processes

In this paper, we study the stochastic maximum principle for optimal control prob- lem of anticipated forward-backward system with delay and Lovy processes as the random dis- turbance. This control system can be described by the anticipated forward-backward stochastic differential equations with delay and L^vy processes （AFBSDEDLs）, we first obtain the existence and uniqueness theorem of adapted solutions for AFBSDEDLs; combining the AFBSDEDLs＇ preliminary result with certain classical convex variational techniques, the corresponding maxi- mum principle is proved.

A Study on Stochastic Differential Equation Using Fractional Power of Operator in the Semigroup Theory

Stochastic differential equation (SDE) is an ordinary differential equation with a stochastic process that can model the unpredictable real-life behavior of any continuous systems. It is the combination of differential equations, probability theory, and stochastic processes. Stochastic differential equations arise in modeling a variety of random dynamic phenomena in physical, biological and social process. The SDE theory is traditionally used in physical science and financial mathematics. Recently, more researchers have been conducted in the application of SDE theory to various areas of engineering. This dissertation is mainly concerned with the existence of mild solutions for impulsive neutral stochastic differential equations with nonlocal conditions in Hilbert spaces. The results are obtained by using fractional powers of operator in the semigroup theory and Sadovskii fixed point theorem.

Parametric Linear Stochastic Modelling of Benue River flow Process

The dynamics and accurate forecasting of streamflow processes of a river are important in the management of extreme events such as floods and droughts, optimal design of water storage structures and drainage networks. In this study, attempt was made at investigating the appropriateness of stochastic modelling of the streamflow process of the Benue River using data-driven models based on univariate streamflow series. To this end, multiplicative seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model was developed for the logarithmic transformed monthly flows. The seasonal ARIMA model’s performance was compared with the traditional Thomas-Fiering model forecasts, and results obtained show that the multiplicative seasonal ARIMA model was able to forecast flow logarithms. However, it could not adequately account for the seasonal variability in the monthly standard deviations. The forecast flow logarithms therefore cannot readily be transformed into natural flows;hence, the need for cautious optimism in its adoption, though it could be used as a basis for the development of an Integrated Riverflow Forecasting System (IRFS). Since forecasting could be a highly “noisy” application because of the complex river flow system, a distributed hydrological model is recommended for real-time forecasting of the river flow regime especially for purposes of sustainable water resources management.

Stochastic Model for Multiple Classes and Subclasses Simple Documents Processing

The issue of document management has been raised for a long time, especially with the appearance of office automation in the 1980s, which led to dematerialization and Electronic Document Management (EDM). In the same period, workflow management has experienced significant development, but has become more focused on the industry. However, it seems to us that document workflows have not had the same interest for the scientific community. But nowadays, the emergence and supremacy of the Internet in electronic exchanges are leading to a massive dematerialization of documents;which requires a conceptual reconsideration of the organizational framework for the processing of said documents in both public and private administrations. This problem seems open to us and deserves the interest of the scientific community. Indeed, EDM has mainly focused on the storage (referencing) and circulation of documents (traceability). It paid little attention to the overall behavior of the system in processing documents. The purpose of our researches is to model document processing systems. In the previous works, we proposed a general model and its specialization in the case of small documents (any document processed by a single person at a time during its processing life cycle), which represent 70% of documents processed by administrations, according to our study. In this contribution, we extend the model for processing small documents to the case where they are managed in a system comprising document classes organized in subclasses;which is the case for most administrations. We have thus observed that this model is a Markovian ML×K/ML×K/1 queues network. We have analyzed the constraints of this model and deduced certain characteristics and metrics. In fine, the ultimate objective of our work is to design a document workflow management system, integrating a component of global behavior prediction.

CONTINUOUS TIME MIXED STATE BRANCHING PROCESSES AND STOCHASTIC EQUATIONS

A continuous time and mixed state branching process is constructed by a scaling limit theorem of two-type Galton-Watson processes.The process can also be obtained by the pathwise unique solution to a stochastic equation system.From the stochastic equation system we derive the distribution of local jumps and give the exponential ergodicity in Wasserstein-type distances of the transition semigroup.Meanwhile,we study immigration structures associated with the process and prove the existence of the stationary distribution of the process with immigration.

Reliability Analysis of Repairable Systems Using Stochastic Point Processes

In order to analyze the failure data from repairable systems, the homogeneous Poisson process (HPP) is usually used. In general, HPP cannot be applied to analyze the entire life cycle of a complex, re-pairable system because the rate of occurrence of failures (ROCOF) of the system changes over time rather than remains stable. However, from a practical point of view, it is always preferred to apply the simplest method to address problems and to obtain useful practical results. Therefore, we attempted to use the HPP model to analyze the failure data from real repairable systems. A graphic method and the Laplace test were also used in the analysis. Results of numerical applications show that the HPP model may be a useful tool for the entire life cycle of repairable systems.

Research on Production Process Control Method Combined Stochastic Process Algebra and Stochastic Petri Nets

A hierarchical closed-loop production control scheme integrating scheduling,control and performance evaluation is discussed.Firstly,the production process is divided into two main hierarchies:the lower level is the physical operation level and the upper one is the management level.Secondly,the schedule template for the management level and the activity template for the physical operation level are constructed separately,the tasks in the schedule have the ability to make partial decisions,and the per- formance parameters are introduced into activity template.Thirdly,the two levels use different model representations:stochastic process algebra for the management level whose output is the control commands and stochastic Petri net for the physical operation lev- el which is the execution of the control commands.Then,the integration of the two levels is the control commands mapping into the lower physical operations and the responses feeding back to the upper decision-making that are defined by some transition functions. Under the proposed scheme,the production process control of a flexible assembly is exemplified.It is concluded that the process con- trol model has partial ability to make decision on-line for uncertain and dynamic environments and facilitates reasoning about the be- haviors of the process control,and performance evaluation can be done online for real-time scheduling to ensure the global optimiza- tion.

A RESEARCH ON SEGMENTATION OF NONSTATIONARY STOCHASTIC PROCESS INTO PIECEWISE STATIONARY STOCHASTIC PROCESS

P. M. Djuric, etc.(1992) researched on the segmentation of nonstationary stochastic process into piecewise stationary stochastic process by Bayesian criterion ,and gave a dynamic equation about the number of segments, their boundaries and AR model orders for each segment, but did not give detailed solution for the equation. Because the solution for the equation is very complex, this paper investigates the solution, derives some recursive relations, simplifies the problem ,saves computation time and goes further into the segmentation of nonstationary stochastic process into piecewise stationary stochastic process.

Modeling and Analysis for Supply Chain Using Stochastic Process Algebra

In order to improve the influence of the uncertain and dynamic of node enterprise behavior on the performance of supply chain,the method based on stochastic process algebra for description,analysis,validation and evaluation of supply chain business process model is proposed.Firstly,the description of the uncertainty of node enterprise behavior is given using the extended Unified Modeling Language sequence diagram,and mapping rule is defined from the extended Unified Modeling Language sequence diagram to stochastic process algebra.Secondly,on the basis of the acquired stochastic process algebra model,the supply chain business process model is verified with Mobility Workbench.Finally,according to the operational semantics of stochastic process algebra,the continuous-time Markov chain,isomorphic with stochastic process algebra model,is built; and the system performance evaluation of transient status and stable status is respectively conducted in accordance with Markov transfer relations and the current state of system,obtaining the predicted performance value and average performance index value for a specific period of time.The simulation experiments show that the proposed method can accurately describe the stochastic behaviors of supply chain system and interactions among nodes,effectively verify the validity of the model,and objectively and exactly evaluate design of the supply chain.

Modeling stochastic mortality with O-U type processes

Modeling log-mortality rates on O-U type processes and forecasting life expectancies are explored using U.S. data. In the classic Lee-Carter model of mortality, the time trend and the age-specific pattern of mortality over age group are linear, this is not the feature of mortality model. To avoid this disadvantage, O-U type processes will be used to model the log-mortality in this paper. In fact, this model is an AR(1) process, but with a nonlinear time drift term.Based on the mortality data of America from Human Mortality database(HMD), mortality projection consistently indicates a preference for mortality with O-U type processes over those with the classical Lee-Carter model. By means of this model, the low bounds of mortality rates at every age are given. Therefore, lengthening of maximum life expectancies span is estimated in this paper.