期刊文献+
共找到17,651篇文章
< 1 2 250 >
每页显示 20 50 100
THE GLOBAL EXISTENCE OF STRONG SOLUTIONS TO THERMOMECHANICAL CUCKER-SMALE-STOKES EQUATIONS IN THE WHOLE DOMAIN
1
作者 邹委员 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期887-908,共22页
We study the global existence and uniqueness of a strong solution to the kinetic thermomechanical Cucker-Smale(for short,TCS) model coupled with Stokes equations in the whole space.The coupled system consists of the k... We study the global existence and uniqueness of a strong solution to the kinetic thermomechanical Cucker-Smale(for short,TCS) model coupled with Stokes equations in the whole space.The coupled system consists of the kinetic TCS equation for a particle ensemble and the Stokes equations for a fluid via a drag force.In this paper,we present a complete analysis of the existence of global-in-time strong solutions to the coupled model without any smallness restrictions on the initial data. 展开更多
关键词 thermomechanical Cucker-Smale model Stokes equations strong solutions global existence
下载PDF
Surrogate modeling for unsaturated infiltration via the physics and equality-constrained artificial neural networks 被引量:1
2
作者 Peng Lan Jingjing Su Sheng Zhang 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第6期2282-2295,共14页
Machine learning(ML)provides a new surrogate method for investigating groundwater flow dynamics in unsaturated soils.Traditional pure data-driven methods(e.g.deep neural network,DNN)can provide rapid predictions,but t... Machine learning(ML)provides a new surrogate method for investigating groundwater flow dynamics in unsaturated soils.Traditional pure data-driven methods(e.g.deep neural network,DNN)can provide rapid predictions,but they do require sufficient on-site data for accurate training,and lack interpretability to the physical processes within the data.In this paper,we provide a physics and equalityconstrained artificial neural network(PECANN),to derive unsaturated infiltration solutions with a small amount of initial and boundary data.PECANN takes the physics-informed neural network(PINN)as a foundation,encodes the unsaturated infiltration physical laws(i.e.Richards equation,RE)into the loss function,and uses the augmented Lagrangian method to constrain the learning process of the solutions of RE by adding stronger penalty for the initial and boundary conditions.Four unsaturated infiltration cases are designed to test the training performance of PECANN,i.e.one-dimensional(1D)steady-state unsaturated infiltration,1D transient-state infiltration,two-dimensional(2D)transient-state infiltration,and 1D coupled unsaturated infiltration and deformation.The predicted results of PECANN are compared with the finite difference solutions or analytical solutions.The results indicate that PECANN can accurately capture the variations of pressure head during the unsaturated infiltration,and present higher precision and robustness than DNN and PINN.It is also revealed that PECANN can achieve the same accuracy as the finite difference method with fewer initial and boundary training data.Additionally,we investigate the effect of the hyperparameters of PECANN on solving RE problem.PECANN provides an effective tool for simulating unsaturated infiltration. 展开更多
关键词 Richards equation(RE) Unsaturated infiltration Data-driven solutions Numerical modeling Machine learning(ML)
下载PDF
A Collocation Technique via Pell-Lucas Polynomials to Solve Fractional Differential EquationModel for HIV/AIDS with Treatment Compartment
3
作者 Gamze Yıldırım Suayip Yüzbası 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2024年第10期281-310,共30页
In this study,a numerical method based on the Pell-Lucas polynomials(PLPs)is developed to solve the fractional order HIV/AIDS epidemic model with a treatment compartment.The HIV/AIDS mathematical model with a treatmen... In this study,a numerical method based on the Pell-Lucas polynomials(PLPs)is developed to solve the fractional order HIV/AIDS epidemic model with a treatment compartment.The HIV/AIDS mathematical model with a treatment compartment is divided into five classes,namely,susceptible patients(S),HIV-positive individuals(I),individuals with full-blown AIDS but not receiving ARV treatment(A),individuals being treated(T),and individuals who have changed their sexual habits sufficiently(R).According to the method,by utilizing the PLPs and the collocation points,we convert the fractional order HIV/AIDS epidemic model with a treatment compartment into a nonlinear system of the algebraic equations.Also,the error analysis is presented for the Pell-Lucas approximation method.The aim of this study is to observe the behavior of five populations after 200 days when drug treatment is applied to HIV-infectious and full-blown AIDS people.To demonstrate the usefulness of this method,the applications are made on the numerical example with the help of MATLAB.In addition,four cases of the fractional order derivative(p=1,p=0.95,p=0.9,p=0.85)are examined in the range[0,200].Owing to applications,we figured out that the outcomes have quite decent errors.Also,we understand that the errors decrease when the value of N increases.The figures in this study are created in MATLAB.The outcomes indicate that the presented method is reasonably sufficient and correct. 展开更多
关键词 Collocation method fractional differential equations HIV/AIDS epidemic model Pell-Lucas polynomials
下载PDF
A CFD Model to Evaluate Near-Surface Oil Spill from a Broken Loading Pipe in Shallow Coastal Waters
4
作者 Portia Felix Lee Leon +2 位作者 Derek Gay Stefano Salon Hazi Azamathulla 《Fluid Dynamics & Materials Processing》 EI 2024年第1期59-77,共19页
Oil spills continue to generate various issues and concerns regarding their effect and behavior in the marine environment,owing to the related potential for detrimental environmental,economic and social implications.I... Oil spills continue to generate various issues and concerns regarding their effect and behavior in the marine environment,owing to the related potential for detrimental environmental,economic and social implications.It is essential to have a solid understanding of the ways in which oil interacts with the water and the coastal ecosystems that are located nearby.This study proposes a simplified model for predicting the plume-like transport behavior of heavy Bunker C fuel oil discharging downward from an acutely-angled broken pipeline located on the water surface.The results show that the spill overall profile is articulated in three major flow areas.The first,is the source field,i.e.,a region near the origin of the initial jet,followed by the intermediate or transport field,namely,the region where the jet oil flow transitions into an underwater oil plume flow and starts to move horizontally,and finally,the far-field,where the oil re-surface and spreads onto the shore at a significant distance from the spill site.The behavior of the oil in the intermediate field is investigated using a simplified injection-type oil spill model capable of mimicking the undersea trapping and lateral migration of an oil plume originating from a negatively buoyant jet spill.A rectangular domain with proper boundary conditions is used to implement the model.The Projection approach is used to discretize a modified version of the Navier-Stokes equations in two dimensions.A benchmark fluid flow issue is used to verify the model and the results indicate a reasonable relationship between specific gravity and depth as well as agreement with the aerial data and a vertical temperature profile plot. 展开更多
关键词 CFD model Navier-Stokes equations projection method water surface oil spill shallow coastal waters
下载PDF
Shock Initiation Experiments with Modeling on a DNAN Based MeltCast Insensitive Explosive
5
作者 Feichao Miao Dandan Li +2 位作者 Yangfan Cheng Junjiong Meng Lin Zhou 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期655-662,共8页
2,4-dinitroanisole(DNAN)is a good replacement for 2,4,6-trinitrotoluene(TNT)in melt-cast explosives due to its superior insensitivity.With the increasing use of DNAN-based melt-cast explosives,the prediction of reacti... 2,4-dinitroanisole(DNAN)is a good replacement for 2,4,6-trinitrotoluene(TNT)in melt-cast explosives due to its superior insensitivity.With the increasing use of DNAN-based melt-cast explosives,the prediction of reaction violence and hazard assessment of the explosives subjected to shock is of great significance.This study investigated the shock initiation characteristics for a DNAN-based melt-cast explosive,DHFA,using the one-dimensional Lagrangian apparatus.The embedded manganin gauges in the apparatus record the pressure histories at four Lagrangian positions and show that shock-todetonation transition in DHFA needs a high input shock pressure.The experimental data are analyzed to calibrate the Ignition and Growth model.The calibration is performed using an objective function based on both pressure history and the arrival time of shock.Good agreement between experimental and calculated pressure histories indicates the high accuracy of the calibrated parameters with the optimization method. 展开更多
关键词 2 4-Dinitroanisole(DNAN) Shock initiation Insensitive explosives Ignition and growth model equation of state(EOS)
下载PDF
Application of Elzaki Transform Method to Market Volatility Using the Black-Scholes Model
6
作者 Henrietta Ify Ojarikre Ideh Rapheal Ebimene James Mamadu 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2024年第3期819-828,共10页
Black-Scholes Model (B-SM) simulates the dynamics of financial market and contains instruments such as options and puts which are major indices requiring solution. B-SM is known to estimate the correct prices of Europ... Black-Scholes Model (B-SM) simulates the dynamics of financial market and contains instruments such as options and puts which are major indices requiring solution. B-SM is known to estimate the correct prices of European Stock options and establish the theoretical foundation for Option pricing. Therefore, this paper evaluates the Black-Schole model in simulating the European call in a cash flow in the dependent drift and focuses on obtaining analytic and then approximate solution for the model. The work also examines Fokker Planck Equation (FPE) and extracts the link between FPE and B-SM for non equilibrium systems. The B-SM is then solved via the Elzaki transform method (ETM). The computational procedures were obtained using MAPLE 18 with the solution provided in the form of convergent series. 展开更多
关键词 Elzaki Transform Method European Call Black-Scholes model Fokker-Planck equation Market Volatility
下载PDF
Measurement Research Based on Bayesian Structural Equation Cognitive Model
7
作者 Shuixian Fei Sanzhi Shi +4 位作者 Jixin Li Jiali Zheng Xinyi Yu Yifan Huang Xiang Li 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2024年第4期1163-1177,共15页
The Bayesian structural equation model integrates the principles of Bayesian statistics, providing a more flexible and comprehensive modeling framework. In exploring complex relationships between variables, handling u... The Bayesian structural equation model integrates the principles of Bayesian statistics, providing a more flexible and comprehensive modeling framework. In exploring complex relationships between variables, handling uncertainty, and dealing with missing data, the Bayesian structural equation model demonstrates unique advantages. Therefore, Bayesian methods are used in this paper to establish a structural equation model of innovative talent cognition, with the measurement of college students’ cognition of innovative talent being studied. An in-depth analysis is conducted on the effects of innovative self-efficacy, social resources, innovative personality traits, and school education, aiming to explore the factors influencing college students’ innovative talent. The results indicate that innovative self-efficacy plays a key role in perception, social resources are significantly positively correlated with the perception of innovative talents, innovative personality tendencies and school education are positively correlated with the perception of innovative talents, but the impact is not significant. 展开更多
关键词 Bayesian Structural equation model Innovative Talents Measure of Cognition Innovative Self-Efficacy Social Resources
下载PDF
Maxwell Equations and Magnetic Monopoles
8
作者 Sebastiano Tosto 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2024年第3期737-763,共27页
The manuscript introduces an “ab initio” quantum model to deduce the Maxwell equations. After general considerations and laying out the model’s theoretical framework, these equations can be derived alongside a broa... The manuscript introduces an “ab initio” quantum model to deduce the Maxwell equations. After general considerations and laying out the model’s theoretical framework, these equations can be derived alongside a broad variety of other results. Specifically, a corollary of the present model proposes a possible mechanism underlying the formation of magnetic monopoles and allows estimating their formation energy in order of magnitude. 展开更多
关键词 “Ab Initio” Quantum model Maxwell equations Theoretical Framework Magnetic Monopoles Formation Energy
下载PDF
Simplified Homogeneous Balance Method and Its Applications to the Whitham-Broer-Kaup Model Equations 被引量:10
9
作者 Mingliang Wang Xiangzheng Li 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2014年第8期823-827,共5页
A nonlinear transformation of the Whitham-Broer-Kaup (WBK) model equations in the shallow water small-amplitude regime is derived by using a simplified homogeneous balance method. The WBK model equations are linearize... A nonlinear transformation of the Whitham-Broer-Kaup (WBK) model equations in the shallow water small-amplitude regime is derived by using a simplified homogeneous balance method. The WBK model equations are linearized under the nonlinear transformation. Various exact solutions of the WBK model equations are obtained via the nonlinear transformation with the aid of solutions for the linear equation. 展开更多
关键词 WBk model equations Simplified HOMOGENEOUS BALANCE Method Nonlinear Transformation Multiple SOLITON SOLUTIONS Periodic SOLUTIONS in Space Variable RATIONAL SOLUTIONS
下载PDF
An Adaptive Time-Step Backward Differentiation Algorithm to Solve Stiff Ordinary Differential Equations: Application to Solve Activated Sludge Models 被引量:2
10
作者 Jamal Alikhani Bahareh Shoghli +1 位作者 Ujjal Kumar Bhowmik Arash Massoudieh 《American Journal of Computational Mathematics》 2016年第4期298-312,共15页
A backward differentiation formula (BDF) has been shown to be an effective way to solve a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that have some degree of stiffness. However, sometimes, due to high-frequency ... A backward differentiation formula (BDF) has been shown to be an effective way to solve a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that have some degree of stiffness. However, sometimes, due to high-frequency variations in the external time series of boundary conditions, a small time-step is required to solve the ODE system throughout the entire simulation period, which can lead to a high computational cost, slower response, and need for more memory resources. One possible strategy to overcome this problem is to dynamically adjust the time-step with respect to the system’s stiffness. Therefore, small time-steps can be applied when needed, and larger time-steps can be used when allowable. This paper presents a new algorithm for adjusting the dynamic time-step based on a BDF discretization method. The parameters used to dynamically adjust the size of the time-step can be optimally specified to result in a minimum computation time and reasonable accuracy for a particular case of ODEs. The proposed algorithm was applied to solve the system of ODEs obtained from an activated sludge model (ASM) for biological wastewater treatment processes. The algorithm was tested for various solver parameters, and the optimum set of three adjustable parameters that represented minimum computation time was identified. In addition, the accuracy of the algorithm was evaluated for various sets of solver parameters. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive Time-Step Backward Differentiation Formula Activated Sludge model Ordinary Differential equation Stiffness Computation Time
下载PDF
A lattice Bhatnagar-Gross-Krook model for a class of the generalized Burgers equations
11
作者 余晓美 施保昌 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2006年第7期1441-1449,共9页
A new lattice Bhatnagar-Gross-Krook (LBGK) model for a class of the generalized Burgers equations is proposed. It is a general LBGK model for nonlinear Burgers equations with source term in arbitrary dimensional spa... A new lattice Bhatnagar-Gross-Krook (LBGK) model for a class of the generalized Burgers equations is proposed. It is a general LBGK model for nonlinear Burgers equations with source term in arbitrary dimensional space. The linear stability of the model is also studied. The model is numerically tested for three problems in different dimensional space, and the numerical results are compared with either analytic solutions or numerical results obtained by other methods. Satisfactory results are obtained by the numerical simulations. 展开更多
关键词 LBGk model a class of generalized Burgers equation stability simulation
下载PDF
Stable Runge-Kutta discontinuous Galerkin solver for hypersonic rarefied gaseous flow based on 2D Boltzmann kinetic model equations
12
作者 Wei SU Zhenyu TANG +1 位作者 Bijiao HE Guobiao CAI 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第3期343-362,共20页
A stable high-order Runge-Kutta discontinuous Galerkin(RKDG) scheme that strictly preserves positivity of the solution is designed to solve the Boltzmann kinetic equation with model collision integrals. Stability is k... A stable high-order Runge-Kutta discontinuous Galerkin(RKDG) scheme that strictly preserves positivity of the solution is designed to solve the Boltzmann kinetic equation with model collision integrals. Stability is kept by accuracy of velocity discretization, conservative calculation of the discrete collision relaxation term, and a limiter. By keeping the time step smaller than the local mean collision time and forcing positivity values of velocity distribution functions on certain points, the limiter can preserve positivity of solutions to the cell average velocity distribution functions. Verification is performed with a normal shock wave at a Mach number 2.05, a hypersonic flow about a two-dimensional(2D) cylinder at Mach numbers 6.0 and 12.0, and an unsteady shock tube flow. The results show that, the scheme is stable and accurate to capture shock structures in steady and unsteady hypersonic rarefied gaseous flows. Compared with two widely used limiters, the current limiter has the advantage of easy implementation and ability of minimizing the influence of accuracy of the original RKDG method. 展开更多
关键词 model equation hypersonic flow discontinuous Galerkin (DG) conservative discretization positivity-preserving limiter Courant-Friedrichs-Lewy (CFL) condition
下载PDF
Dynamic flight stability of hovering model insects:theory versus simulation using equations of motion coupled with Navier-Stokes equations 被引量:9
13
作者 Yan-Lai Zhang Mao Sun 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第4期509-520,共12页
In the present paper, the longitudinal dynamic flight stability properties of two model insects are predicted by an approximate theory and computed by numerical sim- ulation. The theory is based on the averaged model ... In the present paper, the longitudinal dynamic flight stability properties of two model insects are predicted by an approximate theory and computed by numerical sim- ulation. The theory is based on the averaged model (which assumes that the frequency of wingbeat is sufficiently higher than that of the body motion, so that the flapping wings' degrees of freedom relative to the body can be dropped and the wings can be replaced by wingbeat-cycle-average forces and moments); the simulation solves the complete equations of motion coupled with the Navier-Stokes equations. Comparison between the theory and the simulation provides a test to the validity of the assumptions in the theory. One of the insects is a model dronefly which has relatively high wingbeat frequency (164 Hz) and the other is a model hawkmoth which has relatively low wingbeat frequency (26 Hz). The results show that the averaged model is valid for the hawkmoth as well as for the dronefly. Since the wingbeat frequency of the hawkmoth is relatively low (the characteristic times of the natural modes of motion of the body divided by wingbeat period are relatively large) compared with many other insects, that the theory based on the averaged model is valid for the hawkmoth means that it could be valid for many insects. 展开更多
关键词 Insect Hovering Dynamic flight stability Averaged model equations-of-motion Navier-Stokes simulation
下载PDF
A Tutorial on Common Differential Equations and Solutions Useful for Modeling Epidemics Like COVID-19: Linear and Non-Linear Compartmentation Models
14
作者 Robert V. Mulkern Reyhaneh Nosrati 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2022年第10期3053-3071,共19页
Purpose: To review some of the basic models, differential equations and solutions, both analytic and numerical, which produce time courses for the fractions of Susceptible (S), Infectious (I) and Recovered (R) fractio... Purpose: To review some of the basic models, differential equations and solutions, both analytic and numerical, which produce time courses for the fractions of Susceptible (S), Infectious (I) and Recovered (R) fractions of the population during the epidemic and/or endemic conditions. Methods: Two and three-compartment models with analytic solutions to the proposed linear differential equations as well as models based on the non-linear differential equations first proposed by Kermack and McKendrick (KM) [1] a century ago are considered. The equations reviewed include the ability to slide between so-called Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR), Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible (SIS), Susceptible-Infectious (SI) and Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) models, effectively moving from epidemic to endemic characterizations of infectious disease. Results: Both the linear and KM model yield typical “curves” of the infected fraction being sought “to flatten” with the effects of social distancing/masking efforts and/or pharmaceutical interventions. Demonstrative applications of the solutions to fit real COVID-19 data, including linear and KM SIR fit data from the first 100 days following “lockdown” in the authors’ locale and to the total number of cases in the USA over the course of 1 year with SI and SIS models are provided. Conclusions: COVID-19 took us all by surprise, all wondering how to help. Spreading a basic understanding of some of the mathematics used by epidemiologists to model infectious diseases seemed like a good place to start and served as the primary purpose for this tutorial. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 Differential equations modelling Compartment model
下载PDF
Using Artificial Neural-Networks in Stochastic Differential Equations Based Software Reliability Growth Modeling
15
作者 Sunil Kumar Khatri Prakriti Trivedi +1 位作者 Shiv Kant Nisha Dembla 《Journal of Software Engineering and Applications》 2011年第10期596-601,共6页
Due to high cost of fixing failures, safety concerns, and legal liabilities, organizations need to produce software that is highly reliable. Software reliability growth models have been developed by software developer... Due to high cost of fixing failures, safety concerns, and legal liabilities, organizations need to produce software that is highly reliable. Software reliability growth models have been developed by software developers in tracking and measuring the growth of reliability. Most of the Software Reliability Growth Models, which have been proposed, treat the event of software fault detection in the testing and operational phase as a counting process. Moreover, if the size of software system is large, the number of software faults detected during the testing phase becomes large, and the change of the number of faults which are detected and removed through debugging activities becomes sufficiently small compared with the initial fault content at the beginning of the testing phase. Therefore in such a situation, we can model the software fault detection process as a stochastic process with a continuous state space. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been applied in software reliability growth prediction. In this paper, we propose an ANN based software reliability growth model based on Ito type of stochastic differential equation. The model has been validated, evaluated and compared with other existing NHPP model by applying it on actual failure/fault removal data sets cited from real software development projects. The proposed model integrated with the concept of stochastic differential equation performs comparatively better than the existing NHPP based model. 展开更多
关键词 Software Reliability Growth model Artificial NEURAL Network STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL equatION (SDE) STOCHASTIC Process
下载PDF
Solution of Self-similar Equations of the k-ε Model in the Shear Turbulent Mixing Problem and Its Numerical Simulation
16
作者 Vyacheslav P. Statsenko Yulia V. Tret'yachenko Yury V. Yanilkin 《Journal of Physical Science and Application》 2015年第6期377-395,共19页
下载PDF
改进k-means的多域光纤通信非线性失真补偿方法
17
作者 赵淑君 刘伟 《激光杂志》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第5期182-186,共5页
为了解决光纤通信信号在传输过程中受到非线性影响而产生的失真问题,提高光纤通信系统的稳定性,提出了改进k-means的多域光纤通信非线性失真补偿方法。构建多域光纤通信传输模型,在传输端利用波长转换器将输入信号传输到光纤,结合干扰... 为了解决光纤通信信号在传输过程中受到非线性影响而产生的失真问题,提高光纤通信系统的稳定性,提出了改进k-means的多域光纤通信非线性失真补偿方法。构建多域光纤通信传输模型,在传输端利用波长转换器将输入信号传输到光纤,结合干扰原理线性化脉冲恢复光信号。以信噪比描述光纤通信的色散特性,明确信号交互出现非线性失真变化。通过Dijkstra方法改进k-means方法,解调失真星座,避免聚类陷入局部最优,使全部簇信号尽可能接近原始调制中心,实现失真补偿。实验结果表明:利用所提方法对光纤通信非线性失真进行补偿后,聚类效果较佳,信息误码率可降至10^(-7),有效减少了网络传输消耗,提高光纤通信信号质量。 展开更多
关键词 改进k-means方法 多域光纤通信 非线性失真补偿 Dijkstra方法 马可科夫方程
下载PDF
基于改进N-K模型的地铁盾构掘进安全风险耦合研究
18
作者 张建设 黄艳龙 +3 位作者 李瑚均 陈辉华 何况 代姿爽 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期67-75,共9页
为预防和控制地铁盾构掘进施工过程中的关键安全风险,并精准判断哪些风险耦合情境是导致事故发生的显著情境,提出改进N-K模型研究地铁盾构掘进安全风险耦合;综合运用文献研究、事故案例、专家访谈等方法,辨识地铁盾构掘进的关键安全风... 为预防和控制地铁盾构掘进施工过程中的关键安全风险,并精准判断哪些风险耦合情境是导致事故发生的显著情境,提出改进N-K模型研究地铁盾构掘进安全风险耦合;综合运用文献研究、事故案例、专家访谈等方法,辨识地铁盾构掘进的关键安全风险因素;基于N-K模型提出新的地铁盾构掘进安全风险耦合评估模型,并选用安全事故案例验证该模型的适用性。结果表明:辨识得到地铁盾构掘进关键安全风险因素清单,包括4类一级风险因素,21个二级风险因素;地铁盾构掘进施工安全风险随着耦合因素种类的增加而变大,4因素风险耦合值最高,3因素风险耦合值次之,双因素风险耦合值最低,作业人员安全意识薄弱和机械故障参与作用的耦合情境更容易发生安全事故。 展开更多
关键词 改进N-k模型 盾构掘进施工 安全风险 风险因素 风险耦合
下载PDF
基于Vasicek模型的新能源发电误差分析及储能配置决策方法
19
作者 刘威 吴越剑 +3 位作者 白茂金 段忠峰 朱春萍 董晓明 《现代电力》 北大核心 2024年第4期739-746,共8页
新能源机组出力预测误差的概率特性分析,对系统备用决策具有重要意义。常规的基于特定解析形式的分析模型,对于新能源实际出力分布规律的描述不够灵活且存在误差,为平抑不确定性的影响,集中式新能源通常需配置足够容量的储能应用,从而... 新能源机组出力预测误差的概率特性分析,对系统备用决策具有重要意义。常规的基于特定解析形式的分析模型,对于新能源实际出力分布规律的描述不够灵活且存在误差,为平抑不确定性的影响,集中式新能源通常需配置足够容量的储能应用,从而影响经济效益。因此,从随机过程的角度,依据一种特殊的随机微分方程—Vasicek模型,给出新能源出力模型的参数估计方法,避免概率分布的具体解析表达,并依托该模型提出一种改进的储能配置方法。算例分析表明,所提算法具有较好的短期预测性能,以此为依据决策储能容量配置更加精确和经济。 展开更多
关键词 新能源 不确定性 随机微分方程 概率分布 VASICEk模型 参数估计 储能配置
下载PDF
基于DEMATEL/N-K的机坪管制系统运行风险因素耦合分析
20
作者 张兆宁 高振方 《安全与环境学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期873-882,共10页
为了分析机坪管制系统风险因素的耦合性,将决策实验室分析(DEMATEL)模型与N-K模型相结合形成新的风险因素耦合分析模型。首先,利用N-K模型对2017—2019年机坪管制运行不安全事件进行耦合分析,计算不同耦合方式的耦合值;然后,利用DEMATE... 为了分析机坪管制系统风险因素的耦合性,将决策实验室分析(DEMATEL)模型与N-K模型相结合形成新的风险因素耦合分析模型。首先,利用N-K模型对2017—2019年机坪管制运行不安全事件进行耦合分析,计算不同耦合方式的耦合值;然后,利用DEMATEL模型计算安全风险因素的影响度和被影响度,确定要素的中心度排序,通过DEMATEL模型得到的综合影响矩阵计算可达矩阵,用来分析风险因素的可达性,最后,利用风险因素耦合值对各风险节点的中心度进行修正,获得关键的风险因素。基于实际运行数据,通过DEMATEL/N-K模型分析机坪管制系统的关键风险因素。结果表明,人为因素和机械因素之间的耦合程度明显更高,即更容易导致事故的发生,其中地面保障人员操作出错或未有效观察航空器造成航空器或地面保障设备故障是重点防控的对象。此外,在夜晚或雨天等视线条件下工作,更容易发生不安全事件,应当采取措施控制此类风险。 展开更多
关键词 安全工程 耦合度 机坪管制 N-k模型 不安全事件
下载PDF
上一页 1 2 250 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部