In this paper, we take Guizhou Province (the heart of southwestern Karst region in China) as the research object. By establishing gray forecasting model and time series forecasting model, we conduct the accuracy test ...In this paper, we take Guizhou Province (the heart of southwestern Karst region in China) as the research object. By establishing gray forecasting model and time series forecasting model, we conduct the accuracy test on the actual production capacity of land and the forecasted production capacity of land in 2007 and 2008, and then conduct comprehensive forecast of the land production potential in Guizhou Province in 2020. On this basis, considering the nutritional standards needed by three kinds of life type (dressing warmly and eating one's fill, well-off life, relatively affluent life), we evaluate the land production potential in Guizhou Province under the project of returning farmland to forest. Based on the evaluation results, we put forth the relevant recommendations for achieving sustainable land use in the context of returning farmland to forest in Guizhou Province.展开更多
Net Primary Productivity (NPP) is the basis of the material and energy transport calculation in ecosystem studies. NPP directly reflects the production capacity of plant communities under natural conditions. Ecosystem...Net Primary Productivity (NPP) is the basis of the material and energy transport calculation in ecosystem studies. NPP directly reflects the production capacity of plant communities under natural conditions. Ecosystem services are hot topics in the field of ecology. Many studies calculate ecosystem service value based on NPP. Taking Guanshanhu District of Guiyang City, Guizhou Province as the research object, using TM, ETM<sup>+</sup>, Gaofen2 and MOD17A3HGF.006 as data sources, this paper analyzed the change of ecosystem service value based on NPP in 2000, 2010 and 2020. The results showed that the area of forest ecosystem increased during 2000-2010 and decreased during 2010-2020. The artificial surface grew rapidly from 1146.82 hm<sup>2</sup> to 7544.29 hm<sup>2</sup> during 2000-2020. The farmland ecosystem decreased from 13308.29 hm<sup>2</sup> to 6342.33 hm<sup>2</sup> during 2000-2020. With the dynamic changes in ecosystem spatial distribution and component structure, the total NPP in 2000, 2010 and 2020 was 12.58 × 10<sup>4</sup> t, 11.90 × 10<sup>4</sup> t and 11.78 × 10<sup>4</sup> t, respectively, showing a decreasing trend. The total value of natural and semi-natural ecosystems services based on NPP showed an increasing trend, which was ￥ 6.938 × 10<sup>8</sup> in 2000, ￥ 8.052 × 10<sup>8</sup> in 2010 and ￥ 10.306 × 10<sup>8</sup> in 2020 respectively. The ecosystem contributed the most to the ecological service value in 2000 was farmland, but in 2010 and 2020, it was the forest ecosystem. The ecological service value of grassland and wetland was relatively small, while the ratio of the wetland ecological service value displayed a decreasing trend. In the future, it is necessary to establish a strict pretrial system for land use, so as to effectively protect the natural and semi-natural ecosystems and fulfill the growing ecological demands of residents.展开更多
贵州省是我国喀斯特生态系统的典型分布区,生态敏感且脆弱,同时其也曾是我国的连片特困区,经济发展愿望迫切。对区域环境-经济发展状况及相互作用关系进行研究具有重要意义。研究从植被净生态系统生产力、土壤碳储量、岩溶碳通量三方面...贵州省是我国喀斯特生态系统的典型分布区,生态敏感且脆弱,同时其也曾是我国的连片特困区,经济发展愿望迫切。对区域环境-经济发展状况及相互作用关系进行研究具有重要意义。研究从植被净生态系统生产力、土壤碳储量、岩溶碳通量三方面计算了贵州省陆地生态系统碳吸收,以能源燃烧排放的CO_(2)表征碳排放量,对区域碳吸收和碳排放的时空变化特征进行剖析,在此基础上构建环境碳负荷指数和脱钩弹性系数,用于解析贵州省碳收支状况及环境碳负荷与经济发展之间的脱钩关系。结果显示:(1)贵州省植被净生态系统生产力均值为257.72 g C/m^(2),呈逐步增强趋势,空间上呈现西高东低、南高北低的分布格局;岩溶碳通量的均值为6.71 t C/km^(2),年际波动较大,集中分布在研究区东北和西南部;土壤碳储量的均值为8.38 t/hm^(2),其高值区主要位于研究区南部和东部边缘;(2)区域碳排放呈现出了逐年增长的特征,表明了能源消耗的增强,形成了以城市高值区为中心向外辐射递减,各点之间以道路连通为特征的分布格局;(3)环境碳负荷指数呈逐年增长趋势,表征区域面临的环境压力越来越大,特别是在贵州省主城区出现了明显的收支不平衡,能源结构优化亟待加强;(4)综合脱钩状态整体以弱脱钩和扩张连接为主,且随时间推移脱钩状态由弱脱钩向扩张连接转变,说明环境保护滞后于经济发展,也就意味着贵州省经济的发展一定程度上牺牲了环境保护。未来应进一步强化生态修复工程的可持续性,同时发展绿色经济以促进区域生态-经济可持续发展。展开更多
The conflict between poverty and the resulting over-exploitation of natural resources on the one hand, and ecological restoration and sustainable development on the other hand, in the southwest China karst region was ...The conflict between poverty and the resulting over-exploitation of natural resources on the one hand, and ecological restoration and sustainable development on the other hand, in the southwest China karst region was studied. In this region, the karst forest (a mixed evergreen and deciduous broad-leaved forest) is rapidly degrading due to over-exploitation (sloping farming). We suggest that an Ecological Compensation (EC) model should be established with: financial institutions, local people, and a third part as an intermediate link. The process would continue for 20 years. As a case study we used Bangui town (3800 families) in the upper reaches of Pearl River. The per capita income of residents was used as the benchmark. The compensation would start with 80%, and decrease to 20% over a period of 20 years. Infrastructure investment would decrease from 20% of the total person’s compensation to 5% as the farmers increasingly use alternative income sources. The EC includes compensation for individual, infrastructure, and environmental investments. The total EC for Bangui would be 305,064 × 104 yuan during the 20 years.展开更多
基金Supported by 2009 Youth Project of Social Science Planning in Guizhou Province (09GHQNHQ04)Agricultural Scientific and Technological Project in Guizhou Province (20103014)
文摘In this paper, we take Guizhou Province (the heart of southwestern Karst region in China) as the research object. By establishing gray forecasting model and time series forecasting model, we conduct the accuracy test on the actual production capacity of land and the forecasted production capacity of land in 2007 and 2008, and then conduct comprehensive forecast of the land production potential in Guizhou Province in 2020. On this basis, considering the nutritional standards needed by three kinds of life type (dressing warmly and eating one's fill, well-off life, relatively affluent life), we evaluate the land production potential in Guizhou Province under the project of returning farmland to forest. Based on the evaluation results, we put forth the relevant recommendations for achieving sustainable land use in the context of returning farmland to forest in Guizhou Province.
文摘Net Primary Productivity (NPP) is the basis of the material and energy transport calculation in ecosystem studies. NPP directly reflects the production capacity of plant communities under natural conditions. Ecosystem services are hot topics in the field of ecology. Many studies calculate ecosystem service value based on NPP. Taking Guanshanhu District of Guiyang City, Guizhou Province as the research object, using TM, ETM<sup>+</sup>, Gaofen2 and MOD17A3HGF.006 as data sources, this paper analyzed the change of ecosystem service value based on NPP in 2000, 2010 and 2020. The results showed that the area of forest ecosystem increased during 2000-2010 and decreased during 2010-2020. The artificial surface grew rapidly from 1146.82 hm<sup>2</sup> to 7544.29 hm<sup>2</sup> during 2000-2020. The farmland ecosystem decreased from 13308.29 hm<sup>2</sup> to 6342.33 hm<sup>2</sup> during 2000-2020. With the dynamic changes in ecosystem spatial distribution and component structure, the total NPP in 2000, 2010 and 2020 was 12.58 × 10<sup>4</sup> t, 11.90 × 10<sup>4</sup> t and 11.78 × 10<sup>4</sup> t, respectively, showing a decreasing trend. The total value of natural and semi-natural ecosystems services based on NPP showed an increasing trend, which was ￥ 6.938 × 10<sup>8</sup> in 2000, ￥ 8.052 × 10<sup>8</sup> in 2010 and ￥ 10.306 × 10<sup>8</sup> in 2020 respectively. The ecosystem contributed the most to the ecological service value in 2000 was farmland, but in 2010 and 2020, it was the forest ecosystem. The ecological service value of grassland and wetland was relatively small, while the ratio of the wetland ecological service value displayed a decreasing trend. In the future, it is necessary to establish a strict pretrial system for land use, so as to effectively protect the natural and semi-natural ecosystems and fulfill the growing ecological demands of residents.
文摘贵州省是我国喀斯特生态系统的典型分布区,生态敏感且脆弱,同时其也曾是我国的连片特困区,经济发展愿望迫切。对区域环境-经济发展状况及相互作用关系进行研究具有重要意义。研究从植被净生态系统生产力、土壤碳储量、岩溶碳通量三方面计算了贵州省陆地生态系统碳吸收,以能源燃烧排放的CO_(2)表征碳排放量,对区域碳吸收和碳排放的时空变化特征进行剖析,在此基础上构建环境碳负荷指数和脱钩弹性系数,用于解析贵州省碳收支状况及环境碳负荷与经济发展之间的脱钩关系。结果显示:(1)贵州省植被净生态系统生产力均值为257.72 g C/m^(2),呈逐步增强趋势,空间上呈现西高东低、南高北低的分布格局;岩溶碳通量的均值为6.71 t C/km^(2),年际波动较大,集中分布在研究区东北和西南部;土壤碳储量的均值为8.38 t/hm^(2),其高值区主要位于研究区南部和东部边缘;(2)区域碳排放呈现出了逐年增长的特征,表明了能源消耗的增强,形成了以城市高值区为中心向外辐射递减,各点之间以道路连通为特征的分布格局;(3)环境碳负荷指数呈逐年增长趋势,表征区域面临的环境压力越来越大,特别是在贵州省主城区出现了明显的收支不平衡,能源结构优化亟待加强;(4)综合脱钩状态整体以弱脱钩和扩张连接为主,且随时间推移脱钩状态由弱脱钩向扩张连接转变,说明环境保护滞后于经济发展,也就意味着贵州省经济的发展一定程度上牺牲了环境保护。未来应进一步强化生态修复工程的可持续性,同时发展绿色经济以促进区域生态-经济可持续发展。
文摘The conflict between poverty and the resulting over-exploitation of natural resources on the one hand, and ecological restoration and sustainable development on the other hand, in the southwest China karst region was studied. In this region, the karst forest (a mixed evergreen and deciduous broad-leaved forest) is rapidly degrading due to over-exploitation (sloping farming). We suggest that an Ecological Compensation (EC) model should be established with: financial institutions, local people, and a third part as an intermediate link. The process would continue for 20 years. As a case study we used Bangui town (3800 families) in the upper reaches of Pearl River. The per capita income of residents was used as the benchmark. The compensation would start with 80%, and decrease to 20% over a period of 20 years. Infrastructure investment would decrease from 20% of the total person’s compensation to 5% as the farmers increasingly use alternative income sources. The EC includes compensation for individual, infrastructure, and environmental investments. The total EC for Bangui would be 305,064 × 104 yuan during the 20 years.
