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Spatiotemporal Variability in Extreme Temperature Events in an Arid-Semiarid Region of China and Their Teleconnections with Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation 被引量:1
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作者 Lin Zhang Yanfeng Liu +1 位作者 Menggui Jin Xing Liang 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第4期1201-1217,共17页
With a warming climate,temperature extremes have been a main global issue in recent decades due to their potential influence on the sustainable development of human life and natural ecosystems.In this study,12 indicat... With a warming climate,temperature extremes have been a main global issue in recent decades due to their potential influence on the sustainable development of human life and natural ecosystems.In this study,12 indicators of extreme temperature events are used to evaluate the spatiotemporal distribution,periodic structure and teleconnections with large-scale atmospheric circulation in Xinjiang,Northwest China by combining wavelet coherence(WTC) analysis based on continuous wavelet transform(CWT) analysis with the sequential Mann-Kendall test.We find that over the past six decades,the climate in Xinjiang has become warmer and has suffered from increases in the frequency of warm extremes and decreases in the frequency of cold extremes.Warm extremes have mainly occurred in the southern Tianshan Mountains surrounding the Tarim Basin and western part of the Taklamakan Desert,and cold extremes have primarily occurred in the southwestern Altai Mountains and northern foot of the Tianshan Mountains.Extreme temperature events,including warm extremes,cold extremes,and other temperature indices,have significant interannual variability,with the main oscillation periods at smaller(2–4-year band),intermediate(4–7-year band),and greater time scales in recent decades.Furthermore,cold-extreme indices,including frost days,cool days,and cool nights all show a clear changepoint during 1990–1997 at the 95% confidence level,and both ice days and cold spell duration indicator have a potential changepoint during 1981–1986.However,the changing points for warmextreme indices are detected during 1992–1998.The temperature variables are significantly correlated with the EI Ni?o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) and Arctic Oscillation(AO),but less well correlated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO).The phase difference in the WTC spectra is not uniform between temperature extremes and climatic oscillations.Our findings will have important implications for local governments in taking effective measures to mitigate the potential effects of regional climate warming due to human activities in Xinjiang. 展开更多
关键词 extreme temperature events spatiotemporal variability large-scale atmospheric circu-lation inland arid-semiarid region wavelet analysis climate change.
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Main Energy Paths and Energy Cascade Processes of the Two Types of Persistent Heavy Rainfall Events over the Yangtze River–Huaihe River Basin 被引量:5
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作者 Yuanchun ZHANG Jianhua SUN Shenming FU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第2期129-143,共15页
Two types of persistent heavy rainfall events (PHREs) over the Yangtze River-Huaihe River Basin were determined in a recent statistical study: type A, whose precipitation is mainly located to the south of the Yangt... Two types of persistent heavy rainfall events (PHREs) over the Yangtze River-Huaihe River Basin were determined in a recent statistical study: type A, whose precipitation is mainly located to the south of the Yangtze River; and type B, whose precipitation is mainly located to the north of the river. The present study investigated these two PHRE types using a newly derived set of energy equations to show the scale interaction and main energy paths contributing to the persistence of the precipitation. The main results were as follows. The available potential energy (APE) and kinetic energy (KE) associated with both PHRE types generally increased upward in the troposphere, with the energy of the type-A PHREs stronger than that of the type-B PHREs (except for in the middle troposphere). There were two main common and universal energy paths of the two PHRE types: (1) the baroclinic energy conversion from APE to KE was the dominant energy source for the evolution of large-scale background circulations; and (2) the downscaled energy cascade processes of KE and APE were vital for sustaining the eddy flow, which directly caused the PHREs. The significant differences between the two PHRE types mainly appeared in the lower troposphere, where the baroclinic energy conversion associated with the eddy flow in type-A PHREs was from KE to APE, which reduced the intensity of the precipitation-related eddy flow; whereas, the conversion in type-B PHREs was from APE to KE, which enhanced the eddy flow. 展开更多
关键词 persistent heavy rainfall event energy cascade process large-scale background circulation precipitation-related eddy flow
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Extensive Cold-Precipitation-Freezing Events in Southern China and Their Circulation Characteristics 被引量:5
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作者 Jing-Bei PENG Cholaw BUEH Zuo-Wei XIE 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第1期81-97,共17页
Concurrence of low temperature,precipitation and freezing weather in an extensive area would cause devastating impacts on local economy and society.We call such a combination of concurrent disastrous weather“extensiv... Concurrence of low temperature,precipitation and freezing weather in an extensive area would cause devastating impacts on local economy and society.We call such a combination of concurrent disastrous weather“extensive coldprecipitation-freezing”events(ECPFEs).In this study,the ECPFEs in southern China(15°−35°N,102°−123°E)are objectively defined by using daily surface observational data for the period 1951−2013.An ECPFE in southern China is defined if the low temperature area,precipitation area and freezing area concurrently exceed their respective thresholds for at least three consecutive days.The identified ECPFEs are shown to be reasonable and reliable,compared with those in previous studies.The circulation anomalies in ECPFEs are characterized by a large-scale tilted ridge and trough pairing over mid-and high-latitude Eurasia,and the intensified subtropical westerlies along the southern foot of the Tibetan Plateau and the anomalous anticyclonic circulation over the subtropical western Pacific.Comparative analysis reveals that the stable cold air from the north and the warm and moist air from the south converge,facilitating a favorable environment for the concurrence of extensive low-temperature,precipitation and freezing weather. 展开更多
关键词 extensive cold-precipitation-freezing event southern China large-scale tilted ridge and trough trough over the Bay of Bengal western Pacific subtropical high
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Zone 3 Relay Blocking Scheme to Prevent Cascaded Events
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作者 LIM Seong-Il 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2008年第2期97-105,共9页
Defense systems are needed to prevent catastrophic failures of a power grid due to cascaded events.Cascaded events can be attributed to improper operations of protective relays.The most challenging problem for the des... Defense systems are needed to prevent catastrophic failures of a power grid due to cascaded events.Cascaded events can be attributed to improper operations of protective relays.The most challenging problem for the design and implementation of a defense system is the perform- ance in accuracy and speed in a real time environment.Protective devices are normally designed to operate fast in order to isolate the fault(s).This paper proposes a new methodology to distin- guish line overloads from actual faults for distance relays.In order to distinguish between line flow transfers from a line outage and an actual fault,the line outage distribution factor(LODF)and gen- eration shift factor(GSF)based power flow estimation method,and a secure peer to peer(P2P) communication structure are adopted.Computer simulations of cascaded events for a 6-bus system and the Korean power grid have been performed to establish the feasibility of the proposed scheme. 展开更多
关键词 继电器 保护措施 电力系统 电网
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Energy Security Planning for Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles in Large-Scale Events:A Case Study of Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics 被引量:1
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作者 Pinxi Wang Qing Xue +3 位作者 Jun Yang Hao Ma Yilun Li Xu Zhao 《Automotive Innovation》 EI CSCD 2022年第2期209-220,共12页
Energy security planning is fundamental to safeguarding the traffic operation in large-scale events.To guarantee the promo-tion of green,zero-carbon,and environmental-friendly hydrogen fuel cell vehicles(HFCVs)in larg... Energy security planning is fundamental to safeguarding the traffic operation in large-scale events.To guarantee the promo-tion of green,zero-carbon,and environmental-friendly hydrogen fuel cell vehicles(HFCVs)in large-scale events,a five-stage planning method is proposed considering the demand and supply potential of hydrogen energy.Specifically,to meet the requirements of the large-scale events’demand,a new calculation approach is proposed to calculate the hydrogen amount and the distribution of hydrogen stations.In addition,energy supply is guaranteed from four aspects,namely hydrogen produc-tion,hydrogen storage,hydrogen delivery,and hydrogen refueling.The emergency plan is established based on the overall support plan,which can realize multi-dimensional energy security.Furthermore,the planning method is demonstrative as it powers the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics as the first“green”Olympic,providing both theoretical and practical evidence for the energy security planning of large-scale events.This study provides suggestions about ensuring the energy demand after the race,broadening the application scenarios,and accelerating the application of HFCVs. 展开更多
关键词 Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles large-scale events Energy security plan Hydrogen calculation Layout of hydrogen refueling station
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Understanding the Dynamics Location of Very Large Populations Interacted with Service Points
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作者 Rola Younis Masoud Mohammed Mohammad Asif Salam 《Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation》 2023年第3期60-87,共28页
This paper offers preliminary work on system dynamics and Data mining tools. It tries to understand the dynamics of carrying out large-scale events, such as Hajj. The study looks at a large, recurring problem as a var... This paper offers preliminary work on system dynamics and Data mining tools. It tries to understand the dynamics of carrying out large-scale events, such as Hajj. The study looks at a large, recurring problem as a variable to consider, such as how the flow of people changes over time as well as how location interacts with placement. The predicted data is analyzed using Vensim PLE 32 modeling software, GIS Arc Map 10.2.1, and AnyLogic 7.3.1 software regarding the potential placement of temporal service points, taking into consideration the three dynamic constraints and behavioral aspects: a large population, limitation in time, and space. This research proposes appropriate data analyses to ensure the optimal positioning of the service points with limited time and space for large-scale events. The conceptual framework would be the output of this study. Knowledge may be added to the insights based on the technique. 展开更多
关键词 Information on Geographic Systems (GIS) large-scale events Hajj Pilgrimage Data Mining Tools System Dynamics Agent-Based Modeling Discrete-Time event
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“Approach” and “Threshold” Effects of Large-scale Urban Events on Heritage Conservation:A Study on Heritage Conservation from Standpoint of Cultural Anthropology
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作者 ZHANG Jie,PhD,Associate Professor,School of Art Design and Media,East China University of Science and Technology,Shanghai,P.R.China. 《China City Planning Review》 2010年第1期54-65,共12页
Large-scale urban events like the Olympic Games,the World Expo,etc.,have brought about an "approach" leading to renewed conservation measures for old city areas.While they make many heritages receive better ... Large-scale urban events like the Olympic Games,the World Expo,etc.,have brought about an "approach" leading to renewed conservation measures for old city areas.While they make many heritages receive better protection,they also create new problem of "threshold" to heritage conservation;thus,ideas about the effects of large-scale urban events on cultural heritage preservation are polarized into two opposite directions.Using cultural anthropology as the basis of analysis,this article interprets how these conflicting concepts came to be.As large-scale urban events accelerate and strengthen urban development,they also often cause the abandonment of specific cultural elements during the process of heritage conservation for the oldest city areas.This leads to a general loss of direction in cultural protection efforts.A potential solution is to unearth the cultural spirit of the old cities and preserve it through practical technologies,in considering the specific function of large-scale urban events.In so doing,it is possible to explore new directions and approaches to conserve the heritages of the old city under the guide of urban cultural development strategies. 展开更多
关键词 large-scale URBAN eventS "approach" and "threshold
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城市电网应对突发事件保障供电安全的对策研究 被引量:34
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作者 张文亮 周孝信 +1 位作者 白晓民 汤涌 《中国电机工程学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2008年第22期1-7,共7页
该文从预防和应对城市突发事件和灾害造成大停电事故的角度,分析当前城市电网存在的主要问题。在此基础上,从加强系统规划设计,城市供电应急系统建设和城市电网运行控制研究等三个方面,提出了保障城市电网供电安全的工作重点和建议,以... 该文从预防和应对城市突发事件和灾害造成大停电事故的角度,分析当前城市电网存在的主要问题。在此基础上,从加强系统规划设计,城市供电应急系统建设和城市电网运行控制研究等三个方面,提出了保障城市电网供电安全的工作重点和建议,以期建设坚强的城市电网,降低城市电网的运行风险,加快事故后的抢修重建和供电恢复工作,提高应对突发事件和重大灾害、保障供电安全的能力。 展开更多
关键词 城市供电安全 突发事件 大面积停电 应急预案
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小型压水堆严重事故序列的筛选及模拟分析研究 被引量:2
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作者 陈玉清 赵新文 杨磊 《核科学与工程》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第3期335-340,共6页
根据某小型压水堆的特点和运行经验,筛选给出可能引起严重事故的始发事件清单,然后基于SCDAP/RELAP5程序建立了反应堆严重事故分析平台,模拟确认了反应堆严重事故的响应序列。以反应堆全部电源丧失事故为例,根据稳压器安全阀响应情况将... 根据某小型压水堆的特点和运行经验,筛选给出可能引起严重事故的始发事件清单,然后基于SCDAP/RELAP5程序建立了反应堆严重事故分析平台,模拟确认了反应堆严重事故的响应序列。以反应堆全部电源丧失事故为例,根据稳压器安全阀响应情况将事故细分为两类断电事故,并分别分析了反应堆系统的热工水力响应行为及特征参数与后果,为评估装置薄弱环节、严重事故管理导则的开发奠定了基础。 展开更多
关键词 小型压水堆 严重事故 始发事件 SCDAP/RELAP5 断电事故
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大型核电站全厂断电事故的失效模式分析 被引量:2
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作者 陈海燕 李小华 柯国土 《核科学与工程》 CSCD 北大核心 1998年第4期304-310,共7页
运用故障树分析方法,对核电站全厂断电事故进行分析。建造了全厂断电事故即厂用电力系统A、B两列6.6kV交流应急母线LHA和LHB同时失电故障树。利用SETS程序及法国标准90万千瓦压水堆核电站200堆年运行经验反馈的... 运用故障树分析方法,对核电站全厂断电事故进行分析。建造了全厂断电事故即厂用电力系统A、B两列6.6kV交流应急母线LHA和LHB同时失电故障树。利用SETS程序及法国标准90万千瓦压水堆核电站200堆年运行经验反馈的可靠性数据,对全厂断电故障树作了定性、定量分析,得到了全厂断电事故的发生概率。给出了全厂断电事故的主要失效模式及发生的概率和事件的重要度。 展开更多
关键词 电力系统 全厂断电 故障树 失效模式 核电厂
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类比沙堆模型的电网危害性事件序列展示模型 被引量:1
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作者 柳进 张世杰 +1 位作者 李来福 柳焯 《继电器》 CSCD 北大核心 2007年第S1期354-358,共5页
为了给大面积停电和自组织临界性问题的研究提供一种基础技术手段,根据沙堆模型与电力系统危机演变展示模型间存在一定类比性,建立了类比沙堆模型的电力系统危害性事件展示模型,大面积停电危机演变过程中,经常出现的危害性事件有两种:... 为了给大面积停电和自组织临界性问题的研究提供一种基础技术手段,根据沙堆模型与电力系统危机演变展示模型间存在一定类比性,建立了类比沙堆模型的电力系统危害性事件展示模型,大面积停电危机演变过程中,经常出现的危害性事件有两种:一种是事故跳闸或连锁跳闸,另一种是电压失稳或崩溃。与沙堆模型中沙粒总是不断地下落相对应,类比沙堆模型的电力系统危害性事件展示模型中,负荷需求不断地增长着,模型从初始状态出发,在负荷需求不断增长的条件下,不同的危害性事件将依次呈现出来,展示危机演变的进程。 展开更多
关键词 沙堆模型 电力系统大面积停电 事件序列展示 安全稳定控制
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基于情景要素的电网大面积停电事件情景序列构建方法研究 被引量:3
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作者 王学军 门永生 邓创 《中国安全生产科学技术》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第10期69-74,共6页
为了进一步做好电网大面积停电事件应对工作,针对电网大面积停电事件外部致因条件与事件内部演化规律不清的问题,采用"情景-构建"方法梳理事件情景要素,并在历史事故案例数据以及大量应急演练数据的基础上,综合运用数据挖掘方... 为了进一步做好电网大面积停电事件应对工作,针对电网大面积停电事件外部致因条件与事件内部演化规律不清的问题,采用"情景-构建"方法梳理事件情景要素,并在历史事故案例数据以及大量应急演练数据的基础上,综合运用数据挖掘方法,建立相关事件情景的逻辑与时间序列,为电网大面积停电事件的应急响应与决策指挥等工作提供科学、合理的理论支持,相关研究思路与方法也可为电力企业其它类型突发事件的应急管理工作提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 电网大面积停电事件 情景要素 情景序列 应急演练 数据挖掘
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全球大停电的经验教训 被引量:12
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作者 Gǖnther Beck Dusan Povh Dietmar Retzmann Erwin Tehsch 《中国电力》 CSCD 北大核心 2007年第10期75-81,共7页
根据国际能源机构的预测,在未来20多年里,发展中国家和新兴国家的耗电量将增加220%,而工业化国家则仅增加37%。现有电力系统负荷的大幅度增加将产生瓶颈效应和可靠性问题。历年发生的欧美州大停电清楚地表明,相邻系统间的紧密电气... 根据国际能源机构的预测,在未来20多年里,发展中国家和新兴国家的耗电量将增加220%,而工业化国家则仅增加37%。现有电力系统负荷的大幅度增加将产生瓶颈效应和可靠性问题。历年发生的欧美州大停电清楚地表明,相邻系统间的紧密电气耦合对于重负荷互联系统而言,可能存在无法控制的级联事故风险。介绍美加大停电和欧洲大停电事件,讨论大停电的经验教训。对避免环流、防止电压崩溃等解决大型电力系统稳定性问题的措施及“防火墙”的实施进行了说明。阐述涉及系统改善的高压直流输电(HVDC)和灵活交流输电(FACTS)技术的优点。 展开更多
关键词 电力系统 大停电事故 电压稳定 瓶颈效应
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大型电网连锁故障分析技术及大停电智能预警系统 被引量:1
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作者 刘挺坚 刘俊勇 刘友波 《四川电力技术》 2016年第2期1-5,共5页
连锁故障引发的大停电事故在全球范围内时有发生,对社会和经济造成了巨大损失。为了理解连锁故障的演变特征并进一步构建有效的大停电预防系统,回顾近年来国内外发生的8次大停电事故,研究大停电事故的故障演化过程;对现有连锁故障研究... 连锁故障引发的大停电事故在全球范围内时有发生,对社会和经济造成了巨大损失。为了理解连锁故障的演变特征并进一步构建有效的大停电预防系统,回顾近年来国内外发生的8次大停电事故,研究大停电事故的故障演化过程;对现有连锁故障研究模型和方法进行评述,分析其适用性及模型优缺点;提出基于事件校核和连续时域仿真的连锁故障时序事件搜索方法;最终基于所提连锁故障时序事件搜索方法构建了可用于大停电风险可视化预警的智能预警系统。 展开更多
关键词 连锁故障 演变特征 时序事件 大停电预防 可视化预警
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基于台区时间差的计量终端掉电判断逻辑研究 被引量:1
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作者 梁捷 孙法治 王军 《东北电力技术》 2019年第12期1-3,7,共4页
为提高计量自动化终端掉电事件判断的准确性,提出一种计及台区时间差的计量终端掉电有效性判断逻辑。该方法对计量自动化系统各应用单元提出包括计量终端掉/上电事件判断限值和优先顺序设置,电能表上电启动工作响应等要求,搜集计量终端... 为提高计量自动化终端掉电事件判断的准确性,提出一种计及台区时间差的计量终端掉电有效性判断逻辑。该方法对计量自动化系统各应用单元提出包括计量终端掉/上电事件判断限值和优先顺序设置,电能表上电启动工作响应等要求,搜集计量终端与同一台区电能表的掉电信息,根据该终端与同一台区电能表停电发生的时间差及其持续时间信息进行掉电事件有效性检验,并给出检验判据。最后以4类常见终端为例进行不同掉电情况的场景模拟测试。结果表明,该方法能准确识别出所模拟场景的掉电事件,满足现场应用需求。 展开更多
关键词 计量自动化终端 停电事件 台区时间差 有效性检验
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大面积停电事件应急预案桌面推演优化与实践 被引量:2
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作者 李文广 吴凯越 +2 位作者 单长顺 孙艳立 余尔汶 《电力安全技术》 2021年第6期1-3,共3页
依据《生产安全事故应急演练基本规范》有关要求,开展大面积停电事件应急预案桌面推演优化研究,结合福建省仙游县大面积停电事件应急体系建设,创新和优化了大面积停电事件桌面推演形式、内容和流程,提升和改善了预案的针对性和可操作性。
关键词 大面积停电 应急预案 桌面推演
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基于计量自动化系统中压停电事件的自动匹配
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作者 许冠中 宁柏锋 钟宇欢 《电子测试》 2019年第4期111-112,共2页
文中介绍了计量自动化系统和客户全方位系统中的停电信息集市。通过这两种系统的停电特点分析,并采用停电时间统计自适应匹配模型,实现客户停电时间的自动化统计,提高客户停电时间数据的准确性。且通过这两个系统数据的对比后,及时发现... 文中介绍了计量自动化系统和客户全方位系统中的停电信息集市。通过这两种系统的停电特点分析,并采用停电时间统计自适应匹配模型,实现客户停电时间的自动化统计,提高客户停电时间数据的准确性。且通过这两个系统数据的对比后,及时发现异常情况,对采购或管理规范方面进行优化,与传统停电管理系统相比,大大提升了客户停电管理工作的效率。 展开更多
关键词 计量自动化系统 停电事件 匹配模型 自动化
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Power system restoration:a literature review from 2006 to 2016 被引量:26
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作者 Yutian LIU Rui FAN Vladimir TERZIJA 《Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy》 SCIE EI 2016年第3期332-341,共10页
Power system restoration has attracted more attention and made great progress recently. Research progress of the power system restoration from 2006 to 2016 is reviewed in this paper, including black-start, network rec... Power system restoration has attracted more attention and made great progress recently. Research progress of the power system restoration from 2006 to 2016 is reviewed in this paper, including black-start, network reconfiguration and load restoration. Some emerging methods and key techniques are also discussed in the context of the integration of variable renewable energy and development of the smart grid. There is a long way to go to achieve automatic self-healing in bulk power systems because of its extreme complexity. However, rapidly developing artificial intelligence technology will eventually enable the step-by-step dynamic decision-making based on the situation awareness of supervisory control and data acquisition systems(SCADA) and wide area measurement systems(WAMS) in the near future. 展开更多
关键词 large-scale blackout Power system restoration SELF-HEALING Smart grid Renewable energy Wide area measurement system(WAMS) Cyber attack
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