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Analysis of Commuting Modal Shift in Consideration of Social Interaction of Consciousness for Environment
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作者 Masashi Okushima 《Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering》 2024年第2期63-80,共18页
It is the matter for achievement of the low carbon transport system that the excessive use of private vehicles can be controlled appropriately.Not only improvement of service level of modes except private vehicle,but ... It is the matter for achievement of the low carbon transport system that the excessive use of private vehicles can be controlled appropriately.Not only improvement of service level of modes except private vehicle,but also consciousness for environmental problem of individual trip maker is important for eco-commuting promotion.On the other hand,consciousness for environment would be changed by influence of other person.Accordingly,it is aimed in the study that the structure of decision-making process for modal shift to the eco-commuting mode in the local city is described considering environmental consciousness and social interaction.For the purpose,the consciousness for the environment problem and the travel behavior of the commuter at the suburban area in the local city are investigated by the questionnaire survey.The covariance structure about the eco-consciousness is analyzed with the database of the questionnaire survey by structural equation modeling.As the result,it can be confirmed with the structural equation model that the individual environmental consciousness is strongly related with the intention of self-sacrifice and is influenced with the local interaction of the individual connections.On the other hand,the intention of modal shift for the commuting mode is analyzed with the database of the questionnaire survey.It can be found out that the environmental consciousness is not statistically significant for commuting mode choice with the present poor level of service of public transport.However,the intention of self-sacrifice for the prevention of the global warming is statistically confirmed as the factor of modal shift with the operation of eco-commuting bus service with the RP/SP integrated estimation method.As the result,the multi-agent simulation system with social interaction model for eco consciousness is developed to measure the effect of the eco-commuting promotion.For the purpose,the carbon dioxide emission is estimated based on traffic demand and road network condition in the traffic environment model.On the other hand,the relation between agents is defined based on the small world network.The proposed multi-agent simulation is applied to measure the effect of the eco-commuting promotion such as improvement of level of service on the public transport or education of eco-consciousness.The effect of the promotion plan can be observed with the proposed multi-agent system.Finally,it can be concluded that the proposed multi-agent simulation with social interaction for eco-consciousness is useful for planning of eco-commuting promotion. 展开更多
关键词 Greenhouse gas emission modal shift structural equation model RP/SP combined estimation multi-agent simulation local interaction small world network consciousness for environment commuting shuttle bus local city
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基于贝叶斯网络的城市燃气管网泄漏事故后果预测与分析 被引量:6
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作者 白玉贵 蒋雯丽 +3 位作者 秦琪伟 龙彦宏 马家骥 姜骁 《城市勘测》 2021年第4期163-168,共6页
基于贝叶斯网络的城市燃气管网泄漏事故后果的预测与分析,研究城市燃气管网的泄漏过程,建立管网泄漏事故蝶形图模型;其次将该事故蝶形图模型转化为贝叶斯网络,构建城市燃气管网泄漏事故网络模型,进行事故后果的预测与分析;最后通过该模... 基于贝叶斯网络的城市燃气管网泄漏事故后果的预测与分析,研究城市燃气管网的泄漏过程,建立管网泄漏事故蝶形图模型;其次将该事故蝶形图模型转化为贝叶斯网络,构建城市燃气管网泄漏事故网络模型,进行事故后果的预测与分析;最后通过该模型进行案例分析,对比实际后果情况与模型预测结果,证实该贝叶斯网络模型适用于城市燃气管网泄漏事故后果的预测与分析。 展开更多
关键词 贝叶斯网络 城市燃气管网泄漏 蝶形图模型 泄漏事故后果预测
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