A model of continuous-time insider trading in which a risk-neutral in-sider possesses two imperfect correlated signals of a risky asset is studied.By conditional expectation theory and filtering theory,we first establ...A model of continuous-time insider trading in which a risk-neutral in-sider possesses two imperfect correlated signals of a risky asset is studied.By conditional expectation theory and filtering theory,we first establish three lemmas:normal corre-lation,equivalent pricing and equivalent profit,which can guarantee to turn our model into a model with insider knowing full information.Then we investigate the impact of the two correlated signals on the market equilibrium consisting of optimal insider trading strategy and semi-strong pricing rule.It shows that in the equilibrium,(1)the market depth is constant over time;(2)if the two noisy signals are not linerly correlated,then all private information of the insider is incorporated into prices in the end while the whole information on the asset value can not incorporated into prices in the end;(3)if the two noisy signals are linear correlated such that the insider can infer the whole information of the asset value,then our model turns into a model with insider knowing full information;(4)if the two noisy signals are the same then the total ex ant profit of the insider is increasing with the noise decreasing,while down to O as the noise going up to infinity;(5)if the two noisy signals are not linear correlated then with one noisy signal fixed,the total ex ante profit of the insider is single-peaked with a unique minimum with respect to the other noisy signal value,and furthermore as the noisy value going to O it gets its maximum,the profit in the case that the real value is observed.展开更多
How do auditors react to insider trading in client firms? This paper examines the effects of insider trading on the audit report date. Insiders tend to urge managers to manage earnings to make more profits through tr...How do auditors react to insider trading in client firms? This paper examines the effects of insider trading on the audit report date. Insiders tend to urge managers to manage earnings to make more profits through trading their own firm's shares. If auditors play an important role in monitoring managers, they may pay more attention to insider trading, which may delay the filing of audit reports. We find that the more the insiders trade their stocks, the longer the audit report lag is. In addition, to address the effectiveness of auditors' efforts to prevent managers from earnings management, we test whether an extra effort by auditors can reduce aggressive accounting. We also find that auditors deter aggressive accounting by stretching report lag in response to insider trading, implying that auditors' efforts weaken insiders' opportunistic behavior. This study contributes to the literature by providing evidence that insider trading is a significant determinant of the audit report lag. We suggest that auditors are interested in insiders' activity and it can enhance the quality of accounting information.展开更多
Although Brazil has a long history of having insider trading laws (IT laws) in place and became the first emerging country to enforce the IT laws (Bhattacharya & Daouk, 2002), criminal sanctions and hefty monetar...Although Brazil has a long history of having insider trading laws (IT laws) in place and became the first emerging country to enforce the IT laws (Bhattacharya & Daouk, 2002), criminal sanctions and hefty monetary penalties were only made possible by the amendment of its laws against IT on October 31, 2001. We study the stock price effects of merger announcements made by 151 firms over two periods, before and after the change of IT laws. Our empirical results suggest that target firms attained positive price run-ups in pre-announcement windows before, but not after, the legal regime change. While acquiring firms had strong positive pre-announcement reactions in both legal regimes, the abnormal returns (AR) decreased in the more stringent legal regime. These results indicate that more stringent IT laws may deter IT and improve market efficiency in an emerging country.展开更多
Using data from the Bucharest Stock Exchange,we examine the factors influencing the probability of informed trading(PIN)during February—October 2020,a COVID-19 pandemic period.Based on an unconditional quantile regre...Using data from the Bucharest Stock Exchange,we examine the factors influencing the probability of informed trading(PIN)during February—October 2020,a COVID-19 pandemic period.Based on an unconditional quantile regression approach,we show that PIN exhibit asymmetric dependency with liquidity and trading costs.Furthermore,building a customized database that contains all insider transactions on the Bucharest Stock Exchange,we reveal that these types of orders monotonically increase the infor-mation asymmetry from the 50th to the 90th quantile throughout the PIN distribution.Finally,we bring strong empirical evidence associating the level of information asym-metry to the level of fake news related to the COVID-19 pandemic.This novel result suggests that during episodes when the level of PIN is medium to high(between 15 and 50%),any COVID-19 related news classified as misinformation released during the lockdown period,is discouraging informed traders to place buy or sell orders condi-tioned by their private information.展开更多
文摘A model of continuous-time insider trading in which a risk-neutral in-sider possesses two imperfect correlated signals of a risky asset is studied.By conditional expectation theory and filtering theory,we first establish three lemmas:normal corre-lation,equivalent pricing and equivalent profit,which can guarantee to turn our model into a model with insider knowing full information.Then we investigate the impact of the two correlated signals on the market equilibrium consisting of optimal insider trading strategy and semi-strong pricing rule.It shows that in the equilibrium,(1)the market depth is constant over time;(2)if the two noisy signals are not linerly correlated,then all private information of the insider is incorporated into prices in the end while the whole information on the asset value can not incorporated into prices in the end;(3)if the two noisy signals are linear correlated such that the insider can infer the whole information of the asset value,then our model turns into a model with insider knowing full information;(4)if the two noisy signals are the same then the total ex ant profit of the insider is increasing with the noise decreasing,while down to O as the noise going up to infinity;(5)if the two noisy signals are not linear correlated then with one noisy signal fixed,the total ex ante profit of the insider is single-peaked with a unique minimum with respect to the other noisy signal value,and furthermore as the noisy value going to O it gets its maximum,the profit in the case that the real value is observed.
文摘How do auditors react to insider trading in client firms? This paper examines the effects of insider trading on the audit report date. Insiders tend to urge managers to manage earnings to make more profits through trading their own firm's shares. If auditors play an important role in monitoring managers, they may pay more attention to insider trading, which may delay the filing of audit reports. We find that the more the insiders trade their stocks, the longer the audit report lag is. In addition, to address the effectiveness of auditors' efforts to prevent managers from earnings management, we test whether an extra effort by auditors can reduce aggressive accounting. We also find that auditors deter aggressive accounting by stretching report lag in response to insider trading, implying that auditors' efforts weaken insiders' opportunistic behavior. This study contributes to the literature by providing evidence that insider trading is a significant determinant of the audit report lag. We suggest that auditors are interested in insiders' activity and it can enhance the quality of accounting information.
文摘Although Brazil has a long history of having insider trading laws (IT laws) in place and became the first emerging country to enforce the IT laws (Bhattacharya & Daouk, 2002), criminal sanctions and hefty monetary penalties were only made possible by the amendment of its laws against IT on October 31, 2001. We study the stock price effects of merger announcements made by 151 firms over two periods, before and after the change of IT laws. Our empirical results suggest that target firms attained positive price run-ups in pre-announcement windows before, but not after, the legal regime change. While acquiring firms had strong positive pre-announcement reactions in both legal regimes, the abnormal returns (AR) decreased in the more stringent legal regime. These results indicate that more stringent IT laws may deter IT and improve market efficiency in an emerging country.
基金Analiza impactului incertitudinilor actuale asupra mediului economic,ediția 2022,No.750/19.05.2022(en:Analysis of the impact of current uncertainties on the economic environment,2022 edition,No.750/19.05.2022).Recipient:Cosmin-Octavian CEPOI,PhD.
文摘Using data from the Bucharest Stock Exchange,we examine the factors influencing the probability of informed trading(PIN)during February—October 2020,a COVID-19 pandemic period.Based on an unconditional quantile regression approach,we show that PIN exhibit asymmetric dependency with liquidity and trading costs.Furthermore,building a customized database that contains all insider transactions on the Bucharest Stock Exchange,we reveal that these types of orders monotonically increase the infor-mation asymmetry from the 50th to the 90th quantile throughout the PIN distribution.Finally,we bring strong empirical evidence associating the level of information asym-metry to the level of fake news related to the COVID-19 pandemic.This novel result suggests that during episodes when the level of PIN is medium to high(between 15 and 50%),any COVID-19 related news classified as misinformation released during the lockdown period,is discouraging informed traders to place buy or sell orders condi-tioned by their private information.