ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTION OF LIKELIHOOD RATIO STATISTIC FOR TESTING SPHERICTY IN GROWTH CURVE MODELS

In this paper, asymptotic expansions of the distribution of the likelihood ratio statistic for testing sphericity in a crowth curve model have been derived in the null and nonnull cases when the alternatives are dose to the null hypothesis. These expansions are given in series form of beta distributions.

Modified likelihood ratio test for homogeneity in normal mixtures with two samples

This paper investigates the modified likelihood ratio test（LRT） for homogeneity in normal mixtures of two samples with mixing proportions unknown. It is proved that the limit distribution of the modified likelihood ratio test is X^2（1）.

Generalized Likelihood Ratio Tests for Varying-Coefficient Models with Censored Data

In this paper, we extend the generalized likelihood ratio test to the varying-coefficient models with censored data. We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the proposed test and demonstrate that its limiting null distribution follows a distribution, with the scale constant and the number of degree of freedom being independent of nuisance parameters or functions, which is called the wilks phenomenon. Both simulated and real data examples are given to illustrate the performance of the testing approach.

Profile Likelihood Tests for Common Risk Ratios in Meta-Analysis Studies

It is well-known that the power of Cochran’s Q test to assess the presence of heterogeneity among treatment effects in a clinical meta-analysis is low due to the small number of studies combined. Two modified tests (PL1, PL2) were proposed by replacing the profile maximum likelihood estimator (PMLE) into the variance formula of logarithm of risk ratio in the standard chi-square test statistic for testing the null common risk ratios across all k studies (i = 1, L, k). The simply naive test (SIM) as another comparative candidate has considerably arisen. The performance of tests in terms of type I error rate under the null hypothesis and power of test under the random effects hypothesis was done via a simulation plan with various combinations of significance levels, numbers of studies, sample sizes in treatment and control arms, and true risk ratios as effect sizes of interest. The results indicated that for moderate to large study sizes (k?≥ 16)?in combination with moderate to large sample sizes?(?≥ 50), three tests (PL1, PL2, and Q) could control type I error rates in almost all situations. Two proposed tests (PL1, PL2) performed best with the highest power when?k?≥ 16?and moderate sample sizes (= 50,100);this finding was very useful to make a recommendation to use them in practical situations. Meanwhile, the standard Q test performed best when?k?≥ 16 and large sample sizes (≥ 500). Moreover, no tests were reasonable for small sample sizes (≤ 10), regardless of study size k. The simply naive test (SIM) is recommended to be adopted with high performance when k = 4 in combination with (≥ 500).

A Likelihood-Based Multiple Change Point Algorithm for Count Data with Allowance for Over-Dispersion

Count data is almost always over-dispersed where the variance exceeds the mean. Several count data models have been proposed by researchers but the problem of over-dispersion still remains unresolved, more so in the context of change point analysis. This study develops a likelihood-based algorithm that detects and estimates multiple change points in a set of count data assumed to follow the Negative Binomial distribution. Discrete change point procedures discussed in literature work well for equi-dispersed data. The new algorithm produces reliable estimates of change points in cases of both equi-dispersed and over-dispersed count data;hence its advantage over other count data change point techniques. The Negative Binomial Multiple Change Point Algorithm was tested using simulated data for different sample sizes and varying positions of change. Changes in the distribution parameters were detected and estimated by conducting a likelihood ratio test on several partitions of data obtained through step-wise recursive binary segmentation. Critical values for the likelihood ratio test were developed and used to check for significance of the maximum likelihood estimates of the change points. The change point algorithm was found to work best for large datasets, though it also works well for small and medium-sized datasets with little to no error in the location of change points. The algorithm correctly detects changes when present and fails to detect changes when change is absent in actual sense. Power analysis of the likelihood ratio test for change was performed through Monte-Carlo simulation in the single change point setting. Sensitivity analysis of the test power showed that likelihood ratio test is the most powerful when the simulated change points are located mid-way through the sample data as opposed to when changes were located in the periphery. Further, the test is more powerful when the change was located three-quarter-way through the sample data compared to when the change point is closer (quarter-way) to the first observation.

Hypothesis testing analysis and unknown parameter estimation of GPS signal detection

Hypothesis testing analysis and unknown parameter estimation of both the intermediate frequency(IF) and baseband GPS signal detection are given by using the generalized likelihood ratio test(GLRT) approach,applying the model of GPS signal in white Gaussian noise,It is proved that the test statistic follows central or noncentral F distribution,It is also pointed out that the test statistic is nearly identical to central or noncentral chi-squared distribution because the processing samples are large enough to be considered as infinite in GPS acquisition problem.It is also proved that the probability of false alarm,the probability of detection and the threshold are affected largely when the hypothesis testing refers to the full pseudorandom noise(PRN) code phase and Doppler frequency search space cells instead of each individual cell.The performance of the test statistic is also given with combining the noncoherent integration.

The Latest Progress in Varying-coefficient Models

Varying-coefficient models are a useful extension of classical linear model. They are widely applied to economics, biomedicine, epidemiology, and so on. There are extensive studies on them in the latest three decade years. In this paper, many of models related to varying-coefficient models are gathered up. All kinds of the estimation procedures and theory of hypothesis test on the varying-coefficients model are summarized. Prom my opinion, some aspects waiting to study are proposed.

OUTLIER TEST IN RANDOMIZED LINEAR MODEL

In this papert we give an approach for detecting one or more outliers inrandomized linear model.The likelihood ratio test statistic and its distributions underthe null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis are given. Furthermore,the robustnessof the test statistic in a certain sense is proved. Finally,the optimality properties of thetest are derived.

Testing Linearity of Nonparametric Component in Partially Linear Model

In this paper, we propose the test statistic to check whether the nonparametric function in partially linear models is linear or not. We estimate the nonparametric function in alternative by using the local linear method, and then estimate the parameters by the two stage method. The test statistic under the null hypothesis is calculated, and it is shown to be asymptotically normal.

Improvement of the Preliminary Test Estimator When Stochastic Restrictions are Available in Linear Regression Model

Ridge type estimators are used to estimate regression parameters in a multiple linear regression model when multicolinearity exists among predictor variables. When different estimators are available, preliminary test estimation procedure is adopted to select a suitable estimator. In this paper, two ridge estimators, the Stochastic Restricted Liu Estimator and Liu Estimator are combined to define a new preliminary test estimator, namely the Preliminary Test Stochastic Restricted Liu Estimator (PTSRLE). The stochastic properties of the proposed estimator are derived, and the performance of PTSRLE is compared with SRLE in the sense of mean square error matrix (MSEM) and scalar mean square error (SMSE) for the two cases in which the stochastic restrictions are correct and not correct. Moreover the SMSE of PTSRLE based on Wald (WA), Likelihood Ratio (LR) and Lagrangian Multiplier (LM) tests are derived, and the performance of PTSRLE is compared using WA, LR and LM tests as a function of the shrinkage parameter d with respect to the SMSE. Finally a numerical example is given to illustrate some of the theoretical findings.

Testing Equality of Nonparametric Functions in Two Partially Linear Models

We propose the test statistic to check whether the nonpararnetric functions in two partially linear models are equality or not in this paper. We estimate the nonparametric function both in null hypothesis and the alternative by the local linear method, where we ignore the parametric components, and then estimate the parameters by the two stage method. The test statistic is derived, and it is shown to be asymptotically normal under the null hypothesis.

On Testing Equality of K Multiple Correlation Matrices

Coutsourides derived an ad hoc nuisance paratmeter removal test for testing equality of two multiple correlation matrices of two independent p variate normal populations under the assumption that a sample of size n is available from each population. This paper presents a likelihood ratio test criterion for testing equality of K multiple correlation matrices and extends the results to the testing of equality of K partial correlation matrices.

A Problem of Testing Homogeneity Against Order Constraints on Risk Differences

Consider I pairs of independent binomial variates x0i and x1i with corresponding parameters P0i and p1i and sample sizes n0i and n1i for i=1, …,I. Let △i = P1i-P0i be the difference of the two binomial parameters, where △i’s are to be of interest and P0i’s are nuisance parameters. The null hypothesis of homogeneity on the risk difference can be written as

A Test on High-Dimensional Intraclass Correlation Structure

The paper considers a high-dimensional likelihood ratio(LR)test on the intraclass correlation structure of the multivariate normal population.When the dimension p and sample size N satisfy N−1>p→∞,it is proved that the logarithmic LR statistic asymptotically obeys Gaussian distribution,and the explicit expressions of the mean and the variance are also obtained.The simulations demonstrate that our high-dimensional LR test method outperforms the traditional Chi-square approximation method or F-approximation method,and performs as efficient as the accurate high-dimensional Edgeworth expansion method and the more accurate high-dimensional Edgeworth expansion method in analyzing the intraclass covariance structure of highdimensional data.

Evaluation of Third-Order Method for the Tests of Variance Component in Linear Mixed Models

Mixed models provide a wide range of applications including hierarchical modeling and longitudinal studies. The tests of variance component in mixed models have long been a methodological challenge because of its boundary conditions. It is well documented in literature that the traditional first-order methods: likelihood ratio statistic, Wald statistic and score statistic, provide an excessively conservative approximation to the null distribution. However, the magnitude of the conservativeness has not been thoroughly explored. In this paper, we propose a likelihood-based third-order method to the mixed models for testing the null hypothesis of zero and non-zero variance component. The proposed method dramatically improved the accuracy of the tests. Extensive simulations were carried out to demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed method in comparison with the standard first-order methods. The results show the conservativeness of the first order methods and the accuracy of the proposed method in approximating the p-values and confidence intervals even when the sample size is small.

The Permutation Test as an Ancillary Procedure for Comparing Zero-Inflated Continuous Distributions

Empirical estimates of power and Type I error can be misleading if a statistical test does not perform at the stated rejection level under the null hypothesis. We employed the permutation test to control the empirical type I errors for zero-inflated exponential distributions. The simulation results indicated that the permutation test can be used effectively to control the type I errors near the nominal level even the sample sizes are small based on four statistical tests. Our results attest to the permutation test being a valuable adjunct to the current statistical methods for comparing distributions with underlying zero-inflated data structures.

基于极化SAR梯度和复Wishart分类器的舰船检测

舰船检测是极化SAR系统的重要应用之一。现有的舰船检测方法容易受到旁瓣泄露的干扰,使得舰船目标的形态难以提取,导致检测结果不符合真实情况。此外,在舰船过于密集、尺度不一致的情况下,相邻舰船由于旁瓣的影响有时会被认为是单个目标,从而造成漏检。针对这些问题,该文提出一种基于极化SAR梯度和复Wishart分类器的舰船检测方法。首先,将似然比检验(LRT)梯度引入对数比值梯度框架,使其适用于极化SAR数据;基于LRT梯度图进行恒虚警(CFAR)检测,提取舰船的边缘信息,消除伪影的同时抑制强旁瓣对舰船精细轮廓提取的影响。其次,利用复Wishart迭代分类器对舰船强散射部分进行检测,可排除大部分的杂波干扰且保持舰船形态细节。最后,将二者信息融合,从而可以保持舰船形态细节的同时克服旁瓣和伪信号的虚警。该文在3幅来自ALOS-2卫星的极化SAR图像上进行了对比实验,实验表明与其他方法相比,该文所提算法具有更少的虚警和漏检,且能够有效克服旁瓣泄露,保持舰船形态细节。

基于时变Copula函数的多部件系统可靠性评估

针对多部件失效相关的机械系统,提出一种基于时变Copula函数的多部件系统可靠性评估方法。首先,引入非线性Wiener过程刻画性能退化过程,并采用Copula函数刻画多部件失效间的相关性;其次,基于傅里叶级数近似Copula函数的演化方程,并通过蒙特卡洛(MC)模拟验证傅里叶级数对常见时变形式的拟合效果;此外,采用似然比统计量检验时变相关性的存在性,指明时变相关性研究的必要性。算例分析结果表明,与静态相关性模型相比,时变相关性模型对数似然函数值提高4.36%、赤池信息量准则(AIC)减小3.81%,可靠性评估结果更加准确。

变化环境下珠江河口区复合洪水事件遭遇分析

受全球气候持续变暖影响,沿海城市受到上游洪水、热带气旋、天文潮等海陆要素联合驱动引发的复合洪水事件频发,严重威胁该地区人民生命财产安全。以1986—2018年间影响珠江河口区的135场台风为统计样本,采用Mann-Kendall检验法和Pettitt检验法分析复合洪水事件的发生趋势和变化情况,并通过Vine Copula拟合复合洪水事件潮位、风速、流量三变量的联合分布函数,采用Copula似然比检验法对联合分布函数相关结构进行变点检验。研究结果表明:考虑Vine Copula函数突变的情况下三个变量间的相关性增强,能更好地反映各个变量间随事件变化的相依关系,提高了复合洪水事件重现期评估的准确性。近三十年来热带气旋数量呈现出下降趋势,而风速则呈现显著增强的趋势且风速在2002年发生突变,即热带气旋事件呈现“出现次数下降、等级增强”的特性。在变化环境下“天鸽”“山竹”等极端复合洪水事件联合重现期计算结果相比传统固定参数的Copula重现期计算结果小,即未来极端复合洪水事件发生概率在增大。

子空间干扰加高斯杂波背景下基于GLRT的斜对称方向检测器设计

文章研究了背景为子空间干扰加高斯杂波的距离扩展目标方向检测问题。杂波是均值为零协方差矩阵未知但具有斜对称特性的高斯杂波,目标与干扰分别通过具备斜对称特性的目标子空间和干扰子空间描述。针对方向检测问题,利用上述斜对称性,根据广义似然比检验(Generalized Likeli-hood Ratio Test,GLRT)准则的一步与两步设计方法,设计了基于GLRT的一步法与两步法的距离扩展目标方向检测器。通过理论推导证明了这2种检测器相对于未知杂波协方差矩阵都具有恒虚警率。对比相同背景下已有检测器,特别是在辅助数据有限的场景下,文章提出的2个检测器表现出了优越的检测性能。